NFL Back-to-Back Road Games Betting Strategies

Back-to-Back Road Games and Backing the Unders

The main base for this NFL strategy is looking at teams who are playing their second consecutive game on the road and we will be looking specifically at the totals markets.

The totals market is one set by the sportsbooks where they give you a line with the option of wagering on under or over that total number of points in the game.

This means if the chosen NFL sportsbook has set the total line at 52, you can either wager on whether there will be less than (under) or more than (over) 52 points in the game, if there are exactly 52 points then the wager is a push.

We also have other betting strategy blogs for the NFL which look at the number of ways that would have been profitable in past seasons.

• NFL Head-to-Head Betting Strategies
• NFL Monday Night Football Betting Systems
• NFL Opening Weekend Betting Strategies

NFL Back-to-Back Road Games - The Numbers

If we look back over the past seven seasons of the NFL and game which feature a team who are playing their 2nd consecutive game on the road then there is one standout type of NFL wager to focus on.

This isn't the Moneyline market, that market is pretty close with a 55%/45% split in favor of the host and is not the spread either which shows a loss if back either of those.

The market is the totals, more specifically the Unders wager, from 485 games a total of 272 (56%) have gone under the set line with 43% (207) going over and 6 resulting in a push.

The base number is pretty decent too, had you wagered $10 on the under in each of those games, you would have produced a profit of +$408.30 over the six seasons which works out as an 8.42% R.O.I.

NFL Back-to-Back Road Games - Reducing the Losers

Whilst the numbers are pretty good as they are with 56% of the games results in under, we would have still had 43% of the wagers marked as losers so let's try to reduce that figure.

Looking at the months, September through to December all show profits, however, in January, from a total of 28 games, only 13 of those went under.

Teams will be pushing for the playoffs and that looks as though the games are seeing more points with 54% of those going over so we can eliminate games in January.

Are the certain teams on the road to ignore?

There certainly do seem to be certain teams when on the road who we could ignore, maybe they are not big point scorers but the following we can ignore:

• 6-6 New York Jets
• 8-9 Las Vegas Raiders
• 6-6 Los Angeles Rams
• 6-7 Minnesota Vikings
• 8-10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• 6-7 Kansas City Chiefs
• 5-7 Chicago Bears
• 5-6 Philadelphia Eagles
• 5-9 New York Giants
• 6-10 San Francisco 49ers
• 5-11 Cleveland Browns

Those are twelve teams who have not produced more under results than overs and all show a loss if wagering on them.

NFL Back-to-Back Road Games - The Strategy

That is it, this NFL system is fairly easy to follow with minimal factors to consider and those are:

1. The game must contain a team playing 2nd consecutive road game
2. The game must take place between September & December
3. The team on the road must not be one of the 11 mentioned

That is it! 3 simple factors that over the past seven seasons would have produced a total of 193 winning under wagers from a total of 299, that is a success rate of 65%.

Had you wagered $10 on each of those 299 games from a total $2,990 outlay, you would have received back $3,710.10 which would have been a profit of $720.10 and an R.O.I of 24.08% and those are figures that any NFL handicapper would be more than happy with!

*Statistics only include regular season games between the 2014-15 and the 2023-24 seasons, the home team is the official team listed as hosting and closing odds and lines are used in the figures.