nilook

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nilook's Tips History

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All sports
25 January 2025
15:30 Maritimo v Pacos Ferreira

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.10

Win

220

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 58.3% (1.71), Maritimo: 1.00 scored / 1.63 conceded Pacos Ferreira: 1.13 scored / 1.25 conceded Last 5 - Maritimo: 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded Last 5 - Pacos Ferreira: 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded All - Maritimo: 1.28 scored / 1.61 conceded All - Pacos Ferreira: 1.22 scored / 1.61 conceded Value Bet!
15:00 QPR v Sheff Wed

Over 2.50

Total Goals

154 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-154

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 67.0% (1.49), Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 80.0% (1.25), All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00), QPR: 1.43 scored / 1.36 conceded Sheffield Wednesday: 1.23 scored / 1.77 conceded Last 5 - QPR: 1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded Last 5 - Sheffield Wednesday: 1.80 scored / 2.40 conceded All - QPR: 1.14 scored / 1.25 conceded All - Sheffield Wednesday: 1.43 scored / 1.61 conceded Value Bet
15:00 Ross County v Hibernian

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-200

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 65.2% (1.53) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 63.0% (1.59) Ross County: 1.25 scored / 1.67 conceded Hibernian: 1.18 scored / 1.64 conceded Last 5 - Ross County: 1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Hibernian: 2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded All - Ross County: 1.00 scored / 1.83 conceded All - Hibernian: 1.48 scored / 1.57 conceded Value Bet!
15:00 Stirling v Bonnyrigg Rose

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@1.90

Win

180

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 57.8% (1.73), Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 60.0% (1.67), All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 53.7% (1.86), Stirling Albion: 1.00 scored / 1.78 conceded Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: 1.00 scored / 2.30 conceded Last 5 - Stirling Albion: 1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded Last 5 - Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded All - Stirling Albion: 1.30 scored / 1.70 conceded All - Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: 1.21 scored / 1.58 conceded Value Bet
24 January 2025
20:15 FC Arouca v Moreirense

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-100

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 45.8% (2.18) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 52.8% (1.89), Arouca: 0.63 scored / 1.25 conceded Moreirense: 1.22 scored / 1.78 conceded Last 5 - Arouca: 1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Moreirense: 0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded All - Arouca: 0.83 scored / 1.67 conceded All - Moreirense: 1.22 scored / 1.39 conceded, K.O Time: 20:15 Games: 29 Home Wins: 37.9% Away Wins: 34.5% Draws: 27.6% Over 2.5: 69.0% BTTS: 55.2%, We don't see too many overs coming out with these kinds of odds, but this is a value bet anyway!
17:00 NK Osijek v HNK Sibenik

Over 2.50

Total Goals

208 WIN

@2.00

Win

208

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 77.8% (1.29) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 63.9% (1.57), NK Osijek: 1.56 scored / 1.22 conceded Sibenik: 1.11 scored / 2.22 conceded Last 5 - NK Osijek: 1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Sibenik: 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded All - NK Osijek: 1.56 scored / 1.28 conceded All - Sibenik: 0.83 scored / 1.83 conceded, K.O Time: 17:00 Games: 12 Home Wins: 33.3% Away Wins: 25.0% Draws: 41.7% Over 2.5: 75.0% BTTS: 66.7%, Value bet!
15:00 Gloria Buzau v FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@2.38

Win

138

Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00). All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 47.7% (2.10). Half-time odds look like a value bet. HvA HT Over 1.5 Goals: 31.8% (3.14). Last 5 HT Over 1.5 Goals: 40.0% (2.50). All Games HT Over 1.5 Goals: 40.9% (2.44). It's a risky one, but why not!
20 January 2025
20:00 Villarreal v Mallorca

Over 2.50

Total Goals

194 WIN

@2.00

Win

194

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 61.1% (1.64) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 55.3% (1.81), Villarreal: 2.00 scored / 1.89 conceded Mallorca: 1.11 scored / 1.11 conceded Last 5 - Villarreal: 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded Last 5 - Mallorca: 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded All - Villarreal: 1.79 scored / 1.63 conceded All - Mallorca: 1.00 scored / 1.11 conceded, Value Bet
18:00 UD Oliveirense v Penafiel

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.10

Win

220

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 53.5% (1.87) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 55.9% (1.79) Oliveirense: 0.33 scored / 1.89 conceded Penafiel: 1.63 scored / 1.00 conceded Last 5 - Oliveirense: 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded Last 5 - Penafiel: 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded All - Oliveirense: 0.71 scored / 1.94 conceded All - Penafiel: 1.65 scored / 1.18 conceded Value Bet!
19 January 2025
17:00 Verona v Lazio

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.91

Win

137

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43), Verona: 1.10 scored / 2.20 conceded Lazio: 1.50 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Verona: 1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Lazio: 0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded All - Verona: 1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded All - Lazio: 1.70 scored / 1.40 conceded, K.O Time: 17:00 Games: 30 Home Wins: 30.0% Away Wins: 26.7% Draws: 43.3% Over 2.5: 60.0% BTTS: 46.7% Value Bet!!
15:30 Tondela v Maritimo

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-250

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 64.6% (1.55) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 60.0% (1.67) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 61.8% (1.62), Tondela: 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded Maritimo: 1.67 scored / 1.78 conceded Last 5 - Tondela: 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded Last 5 - Maritimo: 1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded All - Tondela: 2.00 scored / 1.18 conceded All - Maritimo: 1.35 scored / 1.71 conceded, Value Bet!!
13:00 Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao

Over 2.50

Total Goals

185 WIN

@2.20

Win

222

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 52.8% (1.89) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 52.6% (1.90), K.O Time: 13:00 Games: 28 Home Wins: 46.4% Away Wins: 25.0% Draws: 28.6% Over 2.5: 60.7% BTTS: 57.1% Value Bet!!
18 January 2025
20:30 Guimaraes v FC Arouca

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.95

Win

142

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 70.8% (1.41) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43), Guimaraes: 2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded Arouca: 0.89 scored / 2.00 conceded Last 5 - Guimaraes: 2.00 scored / 2.20 conceded Last 5 - Arouca: 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded All - Guimaraes: 1.53 scored / 1.29 conceded All - Arouca: 0.76 scored / 1.65 conceded. Value bet!
15:00 Athens Kallithea v Volos NFC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-150

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 61.1% (1.64) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00), Kallithea: 1.11 scored / 1.89 conceded Volos NFC: 1.00 scored / 1.56 conceded Last 5 - Kallithea: 1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded Last 5 - Volos NFC: 1.20 scored / 2.60 conceded All - Kallithea: 0.89 scored / 1.61 conceded All - Volos NFC: 0.89 scored / 1.72 conceded, K.O Time: 15:00 Games: 20 Home Wins: 25.0% Away Wins: 60.0% Draws: 15.0% Over 2.5: 55.0% BTTS: 55.0%, Value Bet!
15:00 Derby v Watford

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-150

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 59.6% (1.68) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 55.8% (1.79), Derby: 1.58 scored / 0.92 conceded Watford: 1.31 scored / 2.08 conceded Last 5 - Derby: 1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded Last 5 - Watford: 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded All - Derby: 1.19 scored / 1.35 conceded All - Watford: 1.38 scored / 1.42 conceded, Value bet!
13:00 Girona v Sevilla

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.95

Win

142

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 66.7% (1.50) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 60.0% (1.67), Girona: 2.00 scored / 1.44 conceded Sevilla: 1.33 scored / 2.11 conceded Last 5 - Girona: 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded Last 5 - Sevilla: 1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded All - Girona: 1.42 scored / 1.32 conceded All - Sevilla: 1.11 scored / 1.47 conceded, K.O Time: 13:00 Games: 28 Home Wins: 46.4% Away Wins: 25.0% Draws: 28.6% Over 2.5: 60.7% BTTS: 57.1% Value bet!
17 January 2025
20:15 Chaves v Academico Viseu

Over 2.50

Total Goals

156 WIN

@2.25

Win

195

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 53.5% (1.87) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 47.1% (2.13), Chaves: 1.00 scored / 1.13 conceded Academico Viseu: 1.78 scored / 1.44 conceded Last 5 - Chaves: 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded Last 5 - Academico Viseu: 1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded All - Chaves: 1.18 scored / 1.12 conceded All - Academico Viseu: 1.47 scored / 1.12 conceded
20:00 Espanyol v Valladolid

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.45

Win

218

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 63.9% (1.57), All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 52.6% (1.90), Espanyol: 1.30 scored / 1.20 conceded. Valladolid: 0.67 scored / 2.78 conceded. Last 5 - Espanyol: 0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded. Last 5 - Valladolid: 0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded. All - Espanyol: 0.89 scored / 1.63 conceded. All - Valladolid: 0.68 scored / 1.95 conceded. Value Bet!
15:00 FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia v ACS Sepsi

Over 2.50

Total Goals

128 WIN

@2.20

Win

154

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) Value bet
03:00 Nuno Borges vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.13

Win

6

Just selecting this to get the OLBG buck, so don't pay too much attention to this one. On top of that, I need to add a comment of 20 or more words, which makes it even more funny, so enjoy!
16 January 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Southampton

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Not my kind of odds, but this looks solid: Manchester United: 1.30 scored / 1.60 conceded Southampton: 0.50 scored / 1.70 conceded Last 5 - Manchester United: 0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded Last 5 - Southampton: 0.20 scored / 2.60 conceded All - Manchester United: 1.15 scored / 1.40 conceded All - Southampton: 0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded.
14 January 2025
19:45 Atalanta v Juventus

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-250

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 68.8% (1.45) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 60.0% (1.67) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 58.3% (1.71) Atalanta: 3.13 scored / 1.38 conceded Juventus: 1.88 scored / 0.75 conceded Last 5 - Atalanta: 1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded Last 5 - Juventus: 1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded All - Atalanta: 2.39 scored / 1.11 conceded All - Juventus: 1.67 scored / 0.83 conceded
19:45 Cardiff v Watford

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-250

HvA Over 2.5 Goals: 50.0% (2.00) Last 5 Over 2.5 Goals: 70.0% (1.43) All Games Over 2.5 Goals: 52.0% (1.92) , Cardiff: 1.00 scored / 1.42 conceded Watford: 1.33 scored / 2.17 conceded Last 5 - Cardiff: 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded Last 5 - Watford: 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded All - Cardiff: 1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded All - Watford: 1.40 scored / 1.44 conceded
11 January 2025
20:00 Real Oviedo v Sporting Gijon

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-200

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 50%, Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 60%, All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 52.4%. Combined implied odds: 2.00, 1.67, 1.91. Value Bet!
15:00 St Mirren v Dundee Utd

Over 2.50

Total Goals

256 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-256

Home versus Away matches Over 2.5 Goals: 59.1%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 80%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 72.7%. Combined implied Odds: 1.69, 1.25, 1.38. Referee: D. Dickinson 75% Over 2.5 out of 8 games. Value Bet!
14:30 Heidenheim v Union Berlin

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-200

Home versus Away matches Over 2.5 Goals: 54.5%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 70%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 50%. Combined implied odds: 1.84, 1.43, 2.00. Last 5 matches: Heidenheim: Scored 1 / Conceded 3.60 - Union: Scored 1 / Conceded 2.20. Value bet!
10 January 2025
20:00 Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo

Over 2.50

Total Goals

180 WIN

@2.20

Win

216

Home versus Away Over 2.5 Goals: 68.80%. All games Over 2.5 Goals: 52.80%. Combined implied odds: 1.45, 1.89. Last 5 matches: Rayo: 1.50 Scored / 1.63 Conceded (3.13) - Celta: 1.25 Scored / 2.38 Conceded (3.63). Value Bet!
19:00 Fortuna Sittard v Go Ahead Eagles

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@1.80

Win

160

Home versus Away Games Over 2.5 Goals: 68.8%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 90%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 61.80%. Combined implied odds: 1.45, 1.11, 1.62. Value Bet.
19:00 Laval v Red Star FC 93

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.08

Lose

-200

Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 60%. All matches Over 2.5 goals: 52.90%. Combined implied odds: 1.67, 1.89. Home versus Away Games: Laval: 1.63 Scored / 1.13 Conceded - Red Star: 1.11 Scored / 1.78 Conceded. Value Bet!
06 January 2025
20:15 Gil Vicente v Rio Ave

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-200

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 47.3%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 50%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 53.1%. Combined implied odds: 2.11, 2.00, 1.88. KO Time over 2.5 Goals 68% out of 25 games. Value Bet!
20:00 QPR v Luton

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.30

Win

260

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 51.9%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 50%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 48%. Combined implied odds: 1.93, 2.00, 2.08. Value Bet!
20:00 Wolverhampton v Nottm Forest

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.10

Win

220

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 63.9%, Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%, All matches over 2.5 Goals: 60.5%. Combined implied odds: 1.57, 1.67, 1.65. Referee P.Bankes Over 2.5 90.9% out of 11 games. Value Bet!
05 January 2025
17:30 Atromitos Athinon v Asteras Tripolis

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@2.55

Lose

-150

Home versus Away matches Over 2.5 Goals: 50%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 1.43%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 53.1%. Combined implied odds: 2.00, 1.43, 1.88. KO Time Over 2.5 50% out of 12 games. A rather huge offered odd for a league running on a 46% over 2.5 Goals (52/112 games). Value Bet!
14:30 Motherwell v Aberdeen

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-250

Home versus Away matches Over 2.5 Goals: 68.3%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 60%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 70%. Combined implied odds: 1.46, 1.67, 1.43. Referee N. Walsh Over 2.5 50% out of 12 Games. Value Bet.
14:00 Angers v Brest

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-250

Home versus Away matches Over 2.5 Goals: 78.6%. Last 5 matches Over 2.5 Goals: 70%. All matches Over 2.5 Goals: 50%. Combined implied odds: 1.27, 1.43, 2.00. KO Time 60% Over 2.5 Goals. Value Bet!
04 January 2025
19:45 Verona v Udinese

Over 2.50

Total Goals

251 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-251

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 77.8%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 70%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 66.7%. Combined implied odds: 1.29, 1.43, 1.50. Today there are quite a few games like this one where offered odds don't make sense. Perhaps this has to do with the Christmas - New Year break. We will see...
14:00 Chaves v Penafiel

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-250

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 71.40%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 61.5%. Combined implied odds: 1.40, 1.67, 1.63. Value Bet. Would expect a much lower odd offered by the bookie. Either I am missing something or this is indeed a Value Bet!
13:00 Bradford v Grimsby

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.00

Win

250

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 61%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 80%! All matches over 2.5 Goals: 61.6%. Combined implied odds: 1.64, 1.25, 1.62. Value Bet. Again, odds offered don't make sense, so either I am missing something or this is indeed a value bet!
13:00 Guingamp v Dunkerque

Over 2.50

Total Goals

200 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-200

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 58.9%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 56.3%. Combined implied probabilities: 1.70, 1.67, 1.78. Value Bet! KO Time: 50% (7/14 matches). Lower stake due to teams not performing well during HT.
03 January 2025
20:15 Guimaraes v Sporting

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.05

Win

262

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 goals: 79.5%. Last 5 marches over 2.5 goals: 60%. All matches over 2.5 goals: 59.4%. Combined implied odds: 1.26, 1.67, 1.68. KO Time: Over 2.5 68% out of 25 games Value Bet!!
20:00 Nice v Rennes

Over 2.50

Total Goals

225 WIN

@1.95

Win

214

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 64.3%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 56.7%. Combined implied odds: 1.56, 1.67, 1.76. Value Bet. A bit lower stake due to KO Time stats @ 20:00. 47.4% over 2.5 Goals out of 19 matches.
02 January 2025
15:00 St Johnstone v Hibernian

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-250

Home versus Away matched over 2.5 goals: 73.9%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals: 80%. All games over 2.5 goals: 1.54. Combined implied odds: 1.35, 1.25, 1.54! Referee L. Wilson 100% over 2.5 (4/4).
01 January 2025
15:00 Accrington Stanley v Grimsby

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.00

Win

250

Hove versus Away Over 2.5 Goals: 52.3%. Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 70%. All matches over 2.5 Goals: 65.9%. Combined Implied Odds: 1.91, 1.43, 1.52. Value bet.
15:00 Luton v Norwich

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-250

Home versus Away matches over 2.5 Goals: 58.3%, Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%, All matches over 2.5 Goals: 58.3%. Combined implied odds: 1.71, 1.67, 1.71. Value Bet!
15:00 Woking v Maidenhead Utd

Over 2.50

Total Goals

250 WIN

@2.10

Win

275

Home versus Away over 2.5 Goals: 50%, Last 5 matches over 2.5 Goals: 60%, All matches over 2.5 Goals: 52.1%. Combined implied odds: 2.00, 1.67, 1.92. Value Bet!

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