HRFBBT

Horse racing & football selections. I try to focus on the big races as much as possible, looking at stats, previous trends and pointers to inform decisions.

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HRFBBT's Tips History

03 May 2024

19:05 7:05 Punchestown

Billericay Dickie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Horses in these silks have been running well this week and Mullins has shown sometimes it's his second or third string which pop up. The current favourite fell LTO in a race won by Captsin Cody, he did the form no good yesterday although he was travelling well at the time, and had Paul Townend.

15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Bold Style

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

A rematch between Bold Style and Boiling Point. The latter finishing half a length ahead of the selection LTO. Our horse ran the entire race out on his own there, and looked to have lost sight of thr prize a furlong out when drifting right handed back over towards the stands. Can improve for that run, and with more cover can reverse the placings.

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13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Magic Dream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Looked like the winner from 2 furlongs out on debut only to go down narrowly, when getting back up at the line. Should have learned from that experience. Half sister to the smart miler Naval Crown and Appleby is just over 30% on thr Rowley since the start of 2020.

02 May 2024

18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Captain Cody

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Captain Cody was so strong at the finish when winning a Grade 2 novice at Fairyhouse LTO, storming past a stablemate 2 out and flying home. Jody Townend was on board that day but today it's Pauls turn, and has a live chance to go in again if in the same mood.

18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Teahupoo

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.91

Win

Champion Stayers Hurdle, Grade 1. 4 of the last 11 winners were favourites, 8 of the last 11 were top 3 in the market. 9/11 had 3+ graded wins and had won at least once this season. Selection looked in rude nick when seen at Cheltenham and is fancied to do the English / Irish double.

16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Coko Beach

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Cross Country Chase Cup. This looks primed for Coko Beach, who won over the shorter distance of this course on cross country debut in February. Came 2nd in the Becher in December and 11th in the National at Aintree. Should be tough to beat.

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Blood Destiny

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Form ties in very closely with Spillanes Tower, who won here well on Tuesday. Blood Destiny has given that horse upto 7lbs on those occasions and makes handicap debut today with the drop back to 2m looking positive.

01 May 2024

18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Aurora Vega

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Mares Flat Race, Grade 3. Mullins has won 4 of the 7 editions, 3 with favourites (1x second favourite). Aurora Vega is the overnight market leader, with Patrick on board. Selection looking to reverse form with stablemate Fleur Au Fusil when beaten roughly 5 lengths LTO in Feb. Raced keenly and was hampered late on, can improve past it.

17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Galopin Des Champs

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Punchestown Gold Cup, Grade 1. Mullins has won 5 of the last 11, 4 being favourites. Fastorslow managed the better of the selection in this race last year, but I fancy Galopin to get the job done this time.

16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Jasmin De Vaux

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Champion Flat Race, Grade 1. 8 out of the last 11 winners have been in top 3 of the market, 4 being favourites. Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 11 editions, with the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham a key pointer. 8/11 winners of this race ran there, 4 winning and 3 placing. Selection was mighty impressive at Cheltenham and can back up the trend further.

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Dancing City

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.25

Win

112

Channor Novice Hurdle, Grade 1. Mullins and Townsend have teamed up to win the last 3 editions, all favourites. Mullins has won 7 of the last 11, his last 5 all favourites. 6 of the last 11 won LTO with 9/11 rated 143 or higher.

15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Mistergif

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 10 editions of this race and Mistergif looks to hold claims. He finished 11 lengths behind Mystical Power LTO which is solid form and it really looks a massive week for the trainer after a cracking Tuesday for him already.

30 April 2024

16:30 4:25 Yarmouth

Dreamrocker

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed and looks the type to do better this year, being a half sister to Group 1 winner Dreamloper. Was doing her best work at the finish when drawn widest for handicap debut in October, so may well need the run but could definitely rate higher than plenty of these in the future.

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Daddy Long Legs

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

105

Willie Mullins has won the last 5 editions of this race. Favourites have won 5 of the last 11, with 8 of the last 11 winners being in the top 3 of the market. This one makes handicap debut after winning easily LTO.

16:10 4:10 Brighton

Zayina

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-10

Don't often like picking horses making their handicap debut but with 3 places on offer for such a small field I'm going for it. Zayina is a course winner stepping up 2 furlongs from that win today. Grace McEntee claims 3lbs leaving us on a feather. Measured Moments is the only runner in the field to have had a run this year.

15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Mystical Power

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG

@3.00

Win

100

KPMG Champion Hurdle, Grade 1. Rematch between Mystical Power and Slade Steel, with the former outstayed in the Supreme. Quicker conditions should suit this impeccably bred horse. 5 of the last 11 winners have been with favourites, with 9/11 in the top 3 of the market.

15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Paddys Milestone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

29 April 2024

18:09 6:09 Windsor

Fighter Command

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

29 of the yards last 43 runners have come in the top three, 8 have won (19%). Selection was beaten odds on LTO but ran freely and looked to have it in the bag 1f out before folding. Can improve for that run and looks a big scopey horse with potential.

14:00 2:00 Southwell

Cloud King

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-50

Cloud King looked really good LTO, struggling for room before powering through the line. He can take this step up in class and go in again.

28 April 2024

14:50 2:50 Longchamp

Zarakem

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Prix Ganay, Grade 1. 5 out of the last 12 favourites have won. 11/12 were in the top 3 of the market. 11/12 had 3+ flat wins. 11/12 had 1+ graded win. 9/12 had run at Longchamp before. Zarakem ticks alot of the boxes for previous race trends and is a multiple graded winner. He won LTO over c&d in a group 2 from the re-opposing Fantastic Moon.

14:20 2:20 Bath

Maharajas Express

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

14:10 2:10 Southwell

Robusto

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

27 April 2024

17:30 Everton v Brentford

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

16:10 4:10 Sandown

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Win

Grade 2 Select Hurdle. 6 of the last 9 winners were favourites. 8/9 were top 3 in the market. 8/9 rated 150+. Selection narrowly beat Langer Dan LTO, still looks to be improving, steps up slightly again in trip and many of the yards 2 milers have shown class upped towards the 3 mile mark this season.

15:35 3:35 Sandown

Courtland

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Sandown Gold Cup, class 1 handicap. Kitty's Light won this last year off 10st8 as favourite. The only fav in last 11 years. 8/11 carried less than 11st. 4/11 top 3 in market. 10/11 rated 135+. 8/11 had 1+ win this season and 11/11 had 1+ previous win at 3m+. I think this comes too soon for last years winner and we go with the previous trends.

Slipway

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

Another in the race who ticks alot of boxes for previous trends. Importantly he's the right weight, has won at 3m+, is rated over 135. Yard having a cracking season.

15:00 3:00 Sandown

El Fabiolo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Grade 1 celebration chase. Jonbon won this last year and Nicky Henderson has a fine record, winning 5 of the last 11 editions. However, favourites have won 8 of the last 11 and this looks primed for El Fabiolo back at 2m.

15:00 Fulham v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

15:00 Milton Keynes Dons v Sutton Utd

Milton Keynes Dons

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

15:00 Newcastle v Sheff Utd

Newcastle - Newcastle

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Alexander Isak

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

15:00 Norwich v Swansea

Norwich

50 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-50

03:00 WIN Jets @ COL Avalanche

COL Avalanche

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.61

Win

The Avalanaches are a team to keep on side of in the NHL, especially when playing at home. Fully expect them to get the job done here.

26 April 2024

20:00 QPR v Leeds

Leeds

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

It's do or die time for Leeds in their hunt for automatic promotion. Ipswich are just behind them with a game hand and this is a must win match for Leeds. I expect them to be too strong in a performance which should show their desire to return to the Prem.

15:35 3:35 Sandown

Arabian Crown

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

Dragon pick 3. Group 3 classic trial. 8/11 winners were in thr top 3 of the market and rated over 88. 6/11 ran over 175 days ago. Arabian Crown ticks the boxes and is well regarded, entered in the Derby. Dominating the overnight market and should take some stopping.

15:00 3:00 Sandown

Charyn

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.75

Win

14:25 2:25 Sandown

Okeechobee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Win

100

13:30 1:30 Perth

Old Gregorian

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Old Gregorian looks interesting now tongue tied and after wind op, going into handicaps. Finished runner up in a bumper on this card last year and could well be the answer.

03:00 DEN Nuggets @ LA Lakers

DEN Nuggets 1.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

Fancy the Nuggets to take this one tonight in LA. +1 on the pointspread looks value, with Jokic tearing it up.

25 April 2024

20:00 Brighton v Man City

Man City (AH) -1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.09

Win

Dragon pick 2. Brighton have been out of sorts and I fancy City will be far too strong in their hunt for the Premier League tonight. They've won 4-1, 4-1 & 5-0 in the last 5 visits, drawing 1 and losing the other.

19:45 7:45 Huntingdon

Followcato

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-10

The Ben Pauling yard are having a solid season with their bumper runners and this one is the current market leader. Should go close, so taking each way for a small loss on the place.

19:15 7:15 Huntingdon

Balhambar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Another Harry Derham holding sold claims, officially 1lb well in under the penalty. Goes for the hat trick today, good ground might suit better than what he's ran on so far and was strong at the line LTO.

19:15 Luke Littler vs Gerwyn Price

Over 6.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Taking the overs and Littler to have a fine throwing game. He can get the better of the ice man here and register most 180s.

16:20 4:20 Warwick

Take No Chances

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.50 on 25/04 at 14:000.20 deduction for Saint Davy@5.00 withdrawn at 14:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.50 x (1-0.20) = 3.00

@3.00

Win

100

Take No Chances looks to have his ground today for the Skeltons. He's carrying a very nice weight for a race like this and went close LTO when just denied by Zain Nights., who has since followed up. Expecting a late pounce.

16:00 4:00 Huntingdon

Ascending Lark

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

Dragon pick. Hard has had 9 winners, 3 seconds and 6 thirds from their last 28 runners. Selection won nicely LTO in this grade, today's penalty will ask more of a question. Ran green in the opening stages and hit a flat spot on the run in, before asserting with more left to give. Can go in again with the form well advertised and the front 2 miles clear.

15:45 3:45 Warwick

Omaha Wish

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

The favourite looks the likely winner but if it runs underpar then our lightly raced 6 year old could play a part. The Skeltons have won this twice in the last 5 years.

14:10 2:10 Beverley

Larchill Lass

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

Trainer having a fine season with his 2 year olds again. This one can surely play a part on debut.

24 April 2024

19:50 7:50 Uttoxeter

Austins Hill Lass

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

15:59 3:59 Uttoxeter

Its Maisy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.00

Win

It's Maisy holds solid claims. The only one arriving in any sort of form, 2 wins and 2 seconds from last 4 runs. Horse is 3 from 4 on the ground.

15:55 3:55 Perth

Figaroc

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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