ndgm1605

I love football, basketball, American football, boxing, MMA and sometimes horse racing

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ndgm1605's Tips History

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06 January 2025
20:00 Wolverhampton v Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Nottingham Forest is the most in-form team in the league, with a remarkable five consecutive wins in the Premier League. Their recent performances include shutting out high-scoring teams like Tottenham (1-0) and Everton (2-0), and they’ve now climbed to the top half of the table. They’ve scored 43% more goals in their last 5 games than their season average, showing a significant improvement in attacking efficiency. Despite recent improvements, Wolves have still conceded 2.2 goals per game this season, highlighting defensive instability. Forest’s efficient attack could exploit these weaknesses, especially with Wolves missing key defensive players.

Under 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Wolverhampton generates 3 corners per game on average this season, which is among the lowest in the Premier League. Nottingham Forest averages 5.8 corners per game, slightly higher, but still not enough to suggest a game with numerous corner kicks. Combined, their season averages amount to just 8.8 corners per game, significantly below the 10.5 threshold.
05 January 2025
19:45 Roma v Lazio

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Roma has been showing attacking momentum under Claudio Ranieri, with 9 goals scored in their last 3 wins, including a dominant 5-0 victory over Parma. Lazio, although inconsistent in their last few matches, has the firepower to score. They average 1.8 goals per game this season, which is 34% above the league average. Lazio has conceded 57% more goals in their last 5 games (2.2 goals per game), indicating that Roma could exploit gaps in their backline. Roma, although defensively solid in most games, has occasionally faltered against top opponents, conceding 2 against Atalanta and 2 against Como.

Lazio (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

75 WIN

@1.81

Lose

-75

Lazio has been one of the most consistent teams in Serie A, currently sitting in 3rd place. They’ve secured big wins against Napoli (1-0) and Lecce (2-1), proving their ability to handle high-pressure games. Roma has been inconsistent, alternating between big wins and unexpected losses (e.g., 0-2 to Como).Despite some recent lapses, Lazio’s defense has generally been strong, allowing 24% fewer shots than the league average. Roma’s attack, while improving, could struggle to break down Lazio's organized backline.
17:00 Torino v Parma

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Torino has shown resilience in their games, as evidenced by their comeback from 0-2 to draw 2-2 against Udinese. Despite limited goal-scoring opportunities, they have proven capable of converting chances into goals with efficiency. The potential absence of key defender Sebastian Walukiewicz could make Torino's backline vulnerable, increasing the likelihood of conceding. Parma's win over Monza (2-1) demonstrated their ability to capitalize on moments of advantage, even when not entirely dominant in play. Despite their inconsistencies, Parma has managed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing they have the offensive tools to challenge Torino’s defense.
16:30 Liverpool v Man Utd

Liverpool

125 WIN

@1.38

Lose

-125

Liverpool is in red-hot form, having won their last three Premier League matches. Notably, their most recent 5-0 thrashing of West Ham showcased their attacking prowess, with 14 goals scored in their last three games. The team is brimming with confidence, sitting near the top of the table, and is on course for a title challenge. They’ve proven their ability to dominate games both offensively and defensively. Liverpool scores an average of 2.5 goals per game this season, which is 55% higher than the league average. In their last five games, they’ve scored an incredible 3.8 goals per game.United is in disarray, sitting 14th in the table, having lost four consecutive matches, including heavy defeats to Bournemouth (0-3), Wolves (0-2), and Newcastle (0-2).The team has managed only 1 goal in their last four games, highlighting their offensive struggles.
01:00 CIN Bengals @ PIT Steelers

CIN Bengals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

The Cincinnati Bengals are entering their matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers with significant momentum and all the ingredients for success. Riding a four-game winning streak, the Bengals have clawed their way back into playoff contention, and their resurgence has been powered by elite quarterback play from Joe Burrow. Burrow, who is now part of MVP discussions, has showcased remarkable leadership and precision, steering the Bengals to crucial victories even in high-pressure scenarios, such as their recent overtime win against the Denver Broncos. The Bengals' offense is firing on all cylinders, with Burrow connecting seamlessly with top-tier playmakers like Ja'Marr Chase, who is on the verge of reaching major milestones. The unit's explosiveness and versatility make it a formidable challenge for any defense. At the same time, the Bengals' defense has been stepping up, making critical stops when it matters most, demonstrating a balanced approach on both sides of the ball.
04 January 2025
21:30 CLE Browns @ BAL Ravens

CLE Browns 17.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Although their offense has struggled, Cleveland’s defense can still force punts and limit explosive plays. If they can find ways to pressure Lamar Jackson and keep him contained, the Ravens’ point total might not skyrocket. After losing three straight at home, the Browns are desperate to bounce back. Urgency tends to bring out the best in teams, especially in a heated divisional matchup. Expect adjustments to fix recent mistakes, especially if the Browns can keep the score tight early.
20:00 Lyon v Montpellier

Lyon

125 WIN

@1.33

Win

41

Lyon is on an impressive 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions, showcasing their resilience, depth, and tactical excellence. Maintaining such consistency, especially while competing in multiple tournaments, highlights the team's high standards and adaptability. With 27 goals in 15 games, Lyon boasts one of the most potent attacks in Ligue 1. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net places immense pressure on opponents, making it difficult for teams like Montpellier to keep up. Montpellier sits near the bottom of the Ligue 1 standings with only three victories in 15 matches. Their inability to secure consistent results reflects deeper systemic issues within the team.
19:45 Verona v Udinese

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-75

Verona has been unpredictable but effective in scoring. Despite their struggles, they have managed to score in key games against Parma (3-2) and Bologna (3-2) in recent weeks. Their ability to find the net even in difficult matches highlights their offensive potential. Verona's defense is shaky, conceding an average of 2 goals per game this season. Even in their wins, they have allowed goals, making them vulnerable to Udinese's attacking threats. Udinese has shown attacking promise, scoring in their last two matches against Fiorentina (2-1) and Torino (2-2). The team has slightly improved offensively, with higher chance conversion in recent games. Udinese concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. This trend suggests they are likely to let Verona score, especially given their inability to maintain clean sheets.
18:00 Lille v Nantes

Lille

100 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-100

Lille are on a 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions, demonstrating their consistency and confidence. Even though they play in multiple tournaments, they’ve kept their performances at a high level, seldom dropping points. The visitors have only three league wins all season, and their defense often lapses late in matches. That frailty gets magnified against a well-balanced Lille squad that can strike at any moment.
17:30 Brighton v Arsenal

Arsenal

75 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-75

Arsenal have won three straight matches, scoring nine goals in the process. This good run of form has boosted the team’s self-belief, making them more likely to carry that winning mentality into the Amex. While the “Seagulls” can pose a threat, their ongoing seven-match winless streak has undermined their morale. Facing an in-form Arsenal becomes even tougher when confidence is low and key players are injured.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.67

Win

67

Brighton may be struggling for wins, but they typically maintain a positive, attack-oriented style??"especially at home. Even during their recent slump, the “Seagulls” have scored in most of their draws (e.g., 2:2 with Aston Villa, 1:1 with West Ham, 2:2 with Leicester). Despite injuries (Saka, White, Tomiyasu), the “Gunners” still boast plenty of firepower up front. Gabriel Jesus, in particular, has been prolific of late (6 goals in his last 4 matches), making it likely Arsenal will find the net. Key defensive players are missing on both teams (Brighton: Milner, Welbeck, Estupinan, Ferguson; Arsenal: White, Tomiyasu). With makeshift back lines, even a brief lapse in concentration can allow quality attacks to break through.
17:00 Fiorentina v Napoli

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Both teams have demonstrated a strong ability to score in recent matches. The last five games between these sides have consistently seen three or more goals, underscoring their propensity for high-scoring encounters. Napoli maintains a healthy scoring rate, with 1.5 goals per game, which is above the league average. Their ability to generate and convert chances contributes significantly to their goal tally.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-75

Fiorentina boasts a strong offensive record, scoring 27% more goals than the league average. Despite their recent four-game winless streak, their ability to find the back of the net remains impressive, particularly with Gabriel Jesus netting six goals in the last four matches. Napoli maintains a solid offensive output, generating 1.5 goals per game, which is above the league average. Their ability to create chances is evident from their 12% higher shot generation compared to Fiorentina.
12:30 Tottenham v Newcastle

Newcastle

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Newcastle has been on a tear, winning four straight Premier League matches and five in a row across all competitions. This purple patch of form makes them extremely confident going into the clash with Spurs.Spurs are missing multiple defensive stalwarts (Romero, van de Ven, Davies) and first-choice goalkeeper Vicario. Their patchwork back line has leaked goals recently and may struggle to contain Newcastle’s dynamic attack.Alexander Isak has been exceptional, scoring five times in his last three league appearances. When on form, he can dismantle vulnerable defenses. With Spurs in disarray at the back, Isak could be the difference-maker once again.
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Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.33

Win

33

Spurs’ back line is decimated by injuries (Romero, van de Ven, Davies) and the absence of first-choice goalkeeper Vicario. This patched-up defense has been leaking goals (2.6 conceded per match over their last five), making another high-scoring encounter likely. The Magpies average three goals per game over their last five matches. With Alexander Isak in sensational form (five goals in three rounds), Newcastle’s offensive output shows no sign of slowing down??"even away from St. James’ Park. While Tottenham’s results have dipped, their attacking talent (e.g., Son, Maddison) remains strong. Newcastle also face defensive absences (Schar, Lascelles, Botman, Pope), which should give Spurs enough openings to notch at least a goal or two.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.30

Win

30

The Spurs are missing key defenders (Romero, van de Ven, Davies) and their first-choice goalkeeper (Vicario). Recent results show their makeshift defense concedes goals at a high rate (2.6 goals per game over the last five). Even at home, it will be difficult for such a depleted back line to keep Newcastle’s attack at bay. The Magpies boast one of the most potent offenses in the Premier League, netting three goals per game over their last five outings. Alexander Isak is in lethal form, having scored five goals in just three rounds. Their consistent goal output makes them very likely to find the net. Despite poor overall form, Spurs still field dangerous attackers??"such as Son Heung-min and James Maddison??"capable of scoring at any moment. With Newcastle’s back line also missing key players (Schar, Botman, Lascelles, Trippier), Tottenham should have chances to break through.
00:07 PIT Penguins @ FLA Panthers

Under 6.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Florida has been struggling offensively in recent games, scoring just 2 goals per game over their last five matches. This includes being shut out twice (0-4 against Tampa Bay and Montreal). The team’s attack, which was once a strong point, has become inconsistent, and their recent inability to finish chances significantly lowers the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Pittsburgh hasn’t been particularly prolific on offense either, averaging just 3 goals per game over their last five contests. Their reliance on Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin to create scoring opportunities highlights the lack of offensive depth, especially with inconsistent performances from secondary players. Both teams tend to play a more controlled, methodical style, particularly in tighter contests like this one. With both teams needing points for playoff positioning, expect a conservative approach with fewer high-risk plays, which typically results in lower-scoring games. Florida has seen the under hit in 3 of their last 5 games, where they failed to score more than 1 goal in three of those contests. Pittsburgh’s games have been inconsistent, but their lower offensive production recently makes an under more likely.
03 January 2025
20:00 Nice v Rennes

Nice

50 WIN

@2.37

Win

69

Nice have looked especially solid at the Allianz Riviera, winning or drawing most of their recent home matches. Their form on home turf remains one of the key reasons to favor them against a Rennes side that has struggled mightily away from home. The biggest red flag for Rennes is their dismal away form. They have earned just a single point on their travels this season, indicating consistent difficulties when playing outside Roazhon Park. Against a well-organized Nice squad, those problems could easily resurface.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.80

Win

60

In head-to-head clashes between the two, five of the previous seven meetings saw both teams score. This track record suggests a tendency toward open, attacking play whenever they square off. Even with a few absences, the “Eaglets” typically create enough chances on home soil to put at least one goal past most opponents. The atmosphere at the Allianz Riviera often boosts their attacking output. While Rennes struggle overall in away fixtures, they still possess attacking quality in players like Arnaud Kalimuendo and Ludovic Blas. They have enough firepower to test a Nice back line dealing with injuries (e.g., Dante).
20:00 Valencia v Real Madrid

Real Madrid

100 WIN

@1.44

Win

44

Even amid debates over how to integrate Kylian Mbappé alongside Vinícius Júnior, the sheer quality of Real’s forward line consistently threatens any defense. They score at a rate above league average (2.3 goals per match). Valencia’s defense, meanwhile, is missing key personnel (e.g., Mouctar Diakhaby, Thierry Correia), making them vulnerable to Madrid’s attacking firepower.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.60

Win

60

Real Madrid boasts a high-powered forward line led by Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior. Their firepower means they are more than capable of scoring multiple goals on any given day. Even if Valencia defends well, Real Madrid’s quality in the final third often translates into multiple goals??"especially against teams struggling at the back. Real Madrid needs three points to solidify their spot at the top of the standings, and Valencia urgently needs results to escape relegation danger. Both sides have incentive to chase goals if the scoreline isn’t favorable, increasing the likelihood of at least three goals total.
02 January 2025
00:40 BKN Nets @ TOR Raptors

BKN Nets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Brooklyn’s defense, conceding just 103.6 points per game in their last five outings, is vastly superior to Toronto’s, which has allowed an alarming 133.8 points per game in the same period. Toronto’s defense has been atrocious recently, allowing opponents to shoot freely from both inside and beyond the arc. Brooklyn’s balanced scoring attack, led by Cam Johnson (574 points), will capitalize on this disorganization. Toronto is on an 11-game losing streak, a massive burden that likely weighs on the players’ confidence and morale. The Raptors’ inability to execute under pressure has been a recurring theme, as evidenced by their recent blowout losses.

Under 221.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Raptors have struggled offensively this season, averaging only 111.1 points per game, which is slightly below the league average. Over their last five games, this number has dipped further to 107.8 points per game, reflecting their current inability to produce consistent offensive output. The Nets fare even worse on offense, averaging only 107.8 points per game this season, with their last five games seeing that drop to 97.6 points per game, nearly 9% lower than their season average. This offensive stagnation is a strong indicator that this game will have limited scoring.
00:40 NO Pelicans @ MIA Heat

MIA Heat

Money Line

125 WIN

@1.30

Win

38

The Pelicans, are in the middle of a 10-game losing streak, including multiple games where they conceded over 120 points. Their inability to close out games and their recent defensive struggles give Miami a clear edge.Miami’s defense is one of the best in the league, conceding just 108.7 points per game, which is 12% less than the league average. Over their last five games, they've further tightened up defensively, allowing only 104.8 points per game. In comparison, New Orleans has one of the weakest defenses in the league, conceding 117.9 points per game, and this number has risen to 122.4 points per game in their last five outings. Miami’s disciplined and organized defense is likely to stifle the Pelicans' inconsistent offense.
00:40 UTA Jazz @ NY Knicks

Over 230.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Knicks have been in exceptional offensive form, averaging 125.2 points per game over their last five contests. This is a notable 6% increase compared to their season average of 117.8 points per game. Their ability to score consistently, even in high-pressure situations, makes it likely they’ll contribute heavily to the total. Despite their losing streak, Utah has still averaged 114 points per game in their last five games, which is higher than their season average of 111 points. Their offense, while inconsistent, has been functional enough to capitalize on defensive lapses. Utah’s defense has been one of their weakest aspects this season, conceding 119.8 points per game on average. Over the last five games, they’ve given up 117.2 points per game, showing no significant improvement in stopping opponents. Against a red-hot Knicks offense, Utah is likely to struggle, which will contribute significantly to the total score. While the Knicks are better defensively, conceding just 109.8 points per game on the season, they’ve allowed 112.4 points per game in their last five games. This slight defensive regression could allow Utah to find enough scoring opportunities to keep the game total high.
00:10 CHI Bulls @ WAS Wizards

CHI Bulls

Money Line

100 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-100

Chicago has won their last two games, including a solid victory against the Milwaukee Bucks (116-111), demonstrating their ability to compete against stronger teams. This momentum and confidence will be a driving factor against a struggling Wizards team. Washington, in contrast, has lost four of their last five games, including a blowout loss to the New York Knicks (126-106). Their inability to maintain competitive performances highlights their current lack of form and consistency.

Under 236.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Over their last five games, the Bulls have averaged 110.6 points per game, which is 6% below their season average of 117.5 points. This recent dip in scoring reflects offensive inconsistency, which is crucial in keeping the total under 236.5. Their recent performances against teams like Milwaukee (116-111) and Boston (123-98 loss) suggest that their offense is capable but not explosive enough to push totals consistently over high thresholds. The Wizards have averaged 111.4 points per game in their last five games, a marginal increase compared to their season average of 108.4. Despite this slight improvement, their offense is still well below league averages, especially against more disciplined defenses like Chicago's. Both teams play at a relatively moderate pace, with neither being known for fast-break-heavy or high-tempo basketball. The Wizards' offensive struggles and reliance on half-court sets to score tend to slow the game down, limiting possessions and, subsequently, total points.
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01 January 2025
23:07 NJ Devils @ LA Kings

LA Kings 1.50

Puck Line

100 WIN

@1.37

Win

37

Los Angeles has shown solid form recently, earning points in four of their last five matches. Despite a few rough patches in December, the Kings have rebounded strongly with two crucial wins, including a tightly contested overtime victory against Edmonton. This resilience and ability to grind out results indicate that they can keep the game close, even against strong opponents. The Devils, while still a top team in the East, are currently struggling. They’ve suffered consecutive losses, including a surprising defeat to the Anaheim Ducks, a bottom-tier Western Conference team. Their defense and goaltending have shown vulnerabilities, with Jacob Markstrom's save percentage dipping below 89% in their most recent outing. These issues could make it difficult for New Jersey to dominate against a determined Los Angeles squad.
17:30 Brentford v Arsenal

Under 10.50

Total Corners

75 WIN

@1.91

Win

68

Arsenal’s matches typically do not generate a large number of corners. Specifically, in their away fixtures, Mikel Arteta’s side has stayed under 10.5 total corners??"and usually far below that threshold??"in the vast majority of recent games. This pattern often continues regardless of the final score because Arsenal prioritize efficient possession and chance creation through short passing combinations rather than flooding the box with crosses. With Saka out, Arsenal may focus their attacks through central lanes (e.g., Odegaard pulling the strings), leading to fewer times the ball is scrambled out by defenders for corners.

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