MadFitz

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MadFitz's Tips History

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12 May 2024
17:00 Trabzonspor v Istanbulspor

Istanbulspor (AH) 2.25

Asian Hcap

102 WIN

@1.82

Lose

-102

If the locals already seem won the 3 points of this match, it seems good to remember it will be played behind closed doors , a context which can distord the situation. In addition, Trabzonspor is certainly 3rd in the standings but only 8th in the home matches and the visitors have only lost 3 times on their 8 visits here (1w,4d). So, I think this opposition isn't as lopsided as it might first appear.
14:30 Darmstadt v TSG Hoffenheim

Darmstadt (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-100

The locals are already relegated after a season clearly to be forgotten (3w,8d,21l). However, for their last home match I'm banking on a burst of pride on their part against an opponent against whom they had obtained the draw in the first leg (3-3) and who has often succedeed in the past since Hoffenheim did not is imposed only once on his last 5 visits (2d,2l).
13:00 BK Hacken v Kalmar FF

Kalmar FF (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.86

Lose

-100

Despite being a major team of Swedish football, the locals have only 2 victories in 4 home matches (2l). I think that visitors could take advantage of this, having won here last season and 3 times in their last 5 visits.
13:00 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng v Qingdao West Coast

Qingdao West Coast (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.02

Win

102

If, confirming their habits from last season in Jia League, the locals are performing well on the road, they have still not won at home. I think the arrival of Qingdao West Coast will not improve this statistic, in fact the visitors won during their 2 visits on Shenzhen's field.
12:30 Eintracht Braunschweig v Wehen SV

Wehen SV (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.98

Lose

-100

This is a match about the fight to avoid relegation. This context can be tense, I think that a draw is very likely but if there were to be a winner I would give the advantage to the visitors who won after 4 of their 5 visits on Braunschweig's field (1l).
11 May 2024
20:00 Athletic Bilbao v Osasuna

Osasuna (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.87

Win

87

The visitors come to revive after a bad series of 4 defeats in a row. Despite Bilbao's impressive record at home this season (11w,5d,1l) I think there is reason to hope for Osasuna. It seems in fact that trips to San Mamès have been successful for them in recent seasons since they have only lost once in regular time in their last 6 visits.
19:00 Rakow Czestochowa v Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.98

Lose+Push

-50

Although reigning champions, locals have had more difficulty this season. They remain in 3 home matches without a victory and this evening host a direct competitor in the fight for a European place. Visitors who in 4 visits on Rakow's field have only lost once (1w,2d) and who, in my opinion should take at least one point in this confrontation.
18:00 OFI Crete v Panetolikos

Panetolikos (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.88

Win

88

This is a match whit out real stakes since the two teams have already largely assured their place in Super League for the next season, but also the 5th confrontation between this two clubs (1w for locals, 1 draw and 2w for visitors). In this context, I think that between a team that has not lost in the last 5 home matches and the visitors who are undefeated on their last 5 away matches a draw seems a logical result for this opposition.
17:30 Ludogorets Razgrad v CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-100

In this match the leader receives the second even if with 10 points in advance the locals are already assured of the title. However, there remains a slight mathematical hope for the visitors to return to the rankings and in this context I do not think that's Razgrad's victory is assured as the odds may suggest.
14:30 SC Freiburg v Heidenheim

Heidenheim (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.92

Win

92

Despite the gap between the odds, only 3 points separated the two teams and the visitors , promoted at the start of the season could, if successful take the locals seventh place, synonymous of European qualification. An issue which makes me predict a more balaced match that the bookmakers envisage...
14:00 Gornik Zabrze v Stal Mielec

Stal Mielec (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.80

Win

80

Despite the big gap in the odds making the locals logical favourites, I think that Stal Mielec, who won in the first leg, will be able to get at east the point of the draw at the end of this opposition.
13:00 Mallorca v Las Palmas

Las Palmas (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.99

Lose+Push

-50

Both teams are not in a good shape at the moment, but Las Palmas seems to be successful in Mallorca where they remain in 4 matches without defeat (2w,2d). In my opinion they can create a surprise here.
13:00 Racing Santander v Mirandes

Mirandes (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-100

The objectives are different for the two teams, the locals wanting to consolidate their claims to play in the play-offs for accession to La Liga and the visitors will be looking to take points to take distance with the relegation zone. Mirandes seems to be successful against Santander since they have only conceded one defeat in the last 5 confrontations between the two teams (home/away; 1w,3d) and the locals will also have to do without the services of their best scorer, Peque (18 goals) suspended for this match.
10 May 2024
20:00 CD Alaves v Girona

CD Alaves (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

105 WIN

@1.73

Win

77

If their status of 2nd in the ranking makes the visitors the favourites of the bookmakers, the have only one victory in their 5 last trips (4l). I think that the locals, who have only lost one of their five last home matches (3w,1d) could create a surprise in this confrontation.
19:30 Augsburg v VfB Stuttgart

Augsburg (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

125 WIN

@1.95

Lose+Push

-62

Even if it looks rather complicated, the locals still mathematically have a chance of winning a European place. I think that this objective will allow them to thwart the predictions who make them the outsiders of this match.
19:30 Catanzaro v Sampdoria

Catanzaro (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-100

The two teams are already assured of playing the play-offs for accession to Serie A. The locals are the fourth best home team of the league (9w,4d,5l) and although Sampdoria is the 5th best on the road (8w,5d,5l) I think Catanzaro will do what is necessary not to lose, especially since the latter won in the first leg (1-2).
07 May 2024
17:30 VfL Osnabruck v Schalke

VfL Osnabruck (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

109 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-109

Locals still have a hope of taking the play-off place to avoid relegation. If in the first leg they were heavily inclined and although the worst home team in the league (3w,5d,7l), the opportunity to remain concerned in the fight for maintenance and the fact that Schalke is the worst away team of Bundesliga II (2w,3d,10l) make me think Osnabruck has its chance in this match.
05 May 2024
20:00 Sevilla v Granada

Granada (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

101 WIN

@1.98

Lose

-101

The locals were able to extricate themselves from the fight to avoid relegation and are today almost definitely saved. The visitors, for their part, still have a slim mathematical hope of remaining in La Liga next season and will play tonight a match that they should not be lost. I understand the fact they are as seen as outsiders since they have no victory on the road this season (3d,13l) but I see them being up to the challenge and not losing in this decisive match for their survival.
19:30 CFR Cluj v Rapid Bucuresti

Rapid Bucuresti (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.90

Win+Push

45

I really don't understand why Cluj is such a big favourite in this match because Rapid still finished the regular season second and second best away team where they only conceded two defeats (5w,8d). Certainly their debut in this second phase was less impressive but despite this I see them holding their place in this confrontation.
18:30 HNK Rijeka v Dinamo Zagreb

HNK Rijeka (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-100

In this opposition the second receives the leader and only one point separates the two teams. In this context where a victory would allow the locals to take the lead in the standings and despite the history of recent confrontations in favour of Dinamo I think that Rijeka can win.
17:30 Valencia v CD Alaves

CD Alaves (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.11

Win

111

Alaves is certainly very mediocre on the road, but the locals have been feverish at home lately since they have only one victory on their last five receptions (3d,1l). Moreover, Betis'victory earlier today put a definitive end to their claims to a European place while the visitors still need few points to seal their place in Liga next season. So I think the visitors will have the upper hand in this opposition.
17:00 AC Milan v Genoa

Genoa (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.11

Win

111

If the defeat of the Rossoneri against rivals of Inter during their last home match may seem anecdotal, it nevertheless punctuates a series of 5 matches without a victory in all competitions. I think that the Genoa, who we have often seen this season keep the big teams of the league at bay, is able to take advantage of this poor form.
14:30 Union Berlin v Bochum

Bochum (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.92

Win

92

"Vae Victis" because it's a match between the first two non-relegable teams. Despite the status of the worst away team of the visitors (1w,4d,10l), the recent form of the Berliners (5 matches without victory and only one goal scored for eight conceded) makes me predict that Bochum will take at least one point at the end of this confrontation.
13:00 Eibar v Amorebieta

Amorebieta (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-100

The locals are in the fight for accession to La Liga and the visitors if successful would return to one point of the first non-relegable team. It seems important to me to note here that Amorebieta is undefeated on the road since January 27th (3w,3d) and that is a derby between two teams separated by only 25 km. So much data that makes me imagine a surprise from the visitors.
13:00 Elfsborg v Malmo FF

Elfsborg (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.04

Win

104

Despite their mediocre start to the season, the locals stay a big team in Swedish football . Certainly the visitors arrive with 6 victories in as many league match but I think that Elfsborg  will be able to live up to this shock by taking at least one point if not three like during the two last visits of Malmö.
04 May 2024
20:00 Fluminense v Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

47

An interesting statistic about this match is that in the last 20 oppositions between these two teams, the away one has only won three times. Based on this fact, I give the advantage to the locals despite their uncomfortable situation of first non-relegable.
20:00 Mallorca v Atletico Madrid

Mallorca (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.06

Lose

-100

If the visitors are almost guaranteed to play in the Champion's League next season, their record on the road is clearly not up to their status since they have only 2 victories on their last 10 away matches . So I think that the locals will take advantage of this match to take points.
17:00 Monza v Lazio

Monza (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.08

Win

108

Although the locals have lost their last two home matches against Napoli and Atalanta, I think that the slim hopes that remain for them of clinging to a European place will allow them to create a surprise by taking at least the point of the draw as they had known how to do it in the first leg (1-1).
15:00 Brentford v Fulham

Fulham (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

130 WIN

@1.86

Win

112

Both teams are guaranteed to play in the Premier League next season and will therefore play without pressure. If the bookmakers give the advantage to the locals, I am banking on a reaction of pride from Fulham who lost sharply at home in the first leg of this Londoner derby.
15:00 Sheff Utd v Nottm Forest

Sheff Utd (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-100

It is obvious to say that the return of the locals to the Premier League will have been nightmarish since they were already condemned to relegation before this match. However, I'm banking on a reaction of pride of Sheffield against a Nottingham team at a relatively similar level and who have not often been successful on the Bramall Lane Side.
14:30 Borussia Dortmund v Augsburg

Augsburg (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.08

Lose

-100

In this final stretch of the Bundesliga, Augsburg remains concerned by the fight for a European place. If it's true that trips to Signal Iduna Park have not often been successful for them in recent seasons, I still think they are capable of at least snatching a draw like in the first leg (1-1) against a Dortmund team who played in Champion's League this week and therefore risks lacking physical freshness.
03 May 2024
20:00 Getafe v Athletic Bilbao

Getafe (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.86

Lose

-100

Only three teams have won at Getafe this season (8w,5d) and Bilbao's very average away record (5w,5d,6l) leads me to think that sharing points is what the visitors can do hope for better from this match.
19:00 Angers v Pau

Pau (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.98

Lose+Push

-50

Before this day, only four points separate the visitors from a play-off place for promotion to Ligue 1 and nine remain within reach over the last three days. The first leg ended in a spectacular draw (4-4) and I think that Pau have the capacity to take at least one point at the end of this confrontation as well.
19:00 US Quevilly v Dunkerque

Dunkerque (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.80

Win

80

This match concerns the fight to remain in Ligue 2 next season and although the locals won the first leg (0-1), Dunkerque's honourable record on the road (7w, 5d, 5l and only one defeat on their five last away matches) invites me to give the advantage to the visitors.
20 April 2024
18:00 Concarneau v US Quevilly

Concarneau (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

130 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

62

In this match of poorly ranked fighters to stay in Ligue 2 next season, I give the advantage to the locals because QRM seems to be a team that as been successful for them and against which they have not lost in the last five matches (3w,2d, Home/Away).
18:00 Pau v Laval

Laval (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-100

Two points separate the two teams who can still claim to be involved in the fight for promotion to Ligue 1. However , I give the advantage to the visitors who are the best team of Ligue 2 on the road where they have only two defeats (8w,5d).
17:00 Empoli v Napoli

Empoli (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.99

Win

99

If the visitors travelling rather well this season (7w,5d,4l), they have not often been successful on Empoli's field where they have only 2 victories on the last 10 visits (2d,6l). I think that the locals can at least grab a draw after winning the first leg (0-1).
17:00 Samsunspor v Adana Demirspor

Adana Demirspor (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.85

Win+Push

43

If the visitors have not yet enjoyed success on the road this season (9d,7l), this match on the Samsunspor pitch seems to be the perfect opportunity since in 7 visits to the local's pitch they have never lost (3w,4d).
15:15 Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna

Osasuna (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.11

Lose

-100

Rayo Vallecano's record is poor (2w,8d,5l) and the visitors seem to be comfortable on the road (5w,3d,7l) and seem to me to be logical favourites for the victory despite the absence of their top scorer, Budimir.
15:00 Luton v Brentford

Luton (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-100

If the visitors are already almost guaranteed to play in Premier League next season with a 7 pts lead over the first relegable team, in this case Luton Town, the locals must get out of the relegation zone and the poor away record of the visitors (3w,2d,11l) can give them reason to hope for victory.
14:30 Wolfsburg v Bochum

Bochum (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-100

Both teams occupy the two places above the relegation zone. If the status of the visitors'worst away team (1w,4d,9l) could make Wolfsburg a logical favourite, the home record of the locals (4w,4d,9l) leads me to think that on the contrary Bochum could create surprise in this match.
13:00 Amorebieta v Valladolid

Amorebieta (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-100

Despite the big gap between the two teams in the standings, since the locals are fighting to get out of the relegation zone while the visitors are fighting for the climb, the two teams are on a good run and are respectively 1st and 2nd on the 5 last matches. If a draw remains possible, I think Amorebieta can surprise Valladolid.
13:00 Celta Vigo v Las Palmas

Las Palmas (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

106 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-106

Las Palmas won in the first leg (2-1) and, failing to repeat this performance, Celta's poor record at home (3w,5d,7l) invites me to think that the visitors can at least hope for a point at the end of this confrontation.
19 April 2024
19:45 St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC

Waterford FC (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.02

Win

102

The two teams have already faced each other this season with the result being a victory for the visitors (3-1). Although the locals have the advantage of playing at home, I think that Waterford, a promoted team which seeks to ensure its maintenance in the Premier Division as soon as possible, will be able to take at least a point at the end of this match.
18:30 Farul Constanta v CFR Cluj

Farul Constanta (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.98

Win

98

The locals, reigning champions, have struggled this season but are nevertheless in a position to temporarily take second place and overtake the visitors if successful. So I give them the advantage.
17:00 Korona Kielce v Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-100

The locals are in fight to stay in Ekstraklasa but have only won 4 home matches this season (7d,3l), a record which is enough to be frightening when hosting the sixth best team of the league on the road (5w,3d,6l). So I give the advantage to the visitors in this match.
15 April 2024
18:00 Silkeborg IF v FC Nordsjaelland

Silkeborg IF (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.01

Lose

-100

Even if the visitors are the favourites of the bookmakers, they have lost in their last three visits to the locals who I do not see losing at the end of this confrontation.
17:30 Fiorentina v Genoa

Genoa (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.87

Win

87

Although the locals won heavily in the first leg (1-4), they are however on a bad streak of 5 matches without victory in all competitions (3d,2l). The visitors have only lost once in their last 5 trips, and it was on Inter's field (1w,3d). So I think Genoa can take at least one point here.
14 April 2024
17:00 Viktoria Plzen v Slavia Prague

Viktoria Plzen (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.95

Win

95

Despite the difference in the odds, here the third receives the second and above all Plzen is the only team to have beaten the Slavia this season in the league. Perhaps they will not repeat the feat, but I do not see the locals losing in this confrontation.
16:00 Tromso v Haugesund

Haugesund (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@1.81

Win

81

The locals are favourites, but Haugesund won their first away match of the season and seems rather comfortable on Tromso's field where they have only lost twice in the last five visits (1w,2d).
14:30 Darmstadt v SC Freiburg

Darmstadt (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.00

Lose+Push

-50

Even if the task promises to be tough, the locals still have a slim hope to grab the play-off place and hoping to save their place in the Bundesliga. This objective makes me thinks that they will not lose in this match, even against an opponent who still have some pretensions on qualifying for the European Cup.
13:30 FC Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.02

Lose+Push

-50

Despite the impressive run of the locals who are undefeated at home since September 2023, I don't understand the so big difference in the odds. The two teams are tied on points in the standings and I think this match will be closer than the statistics might predict it.
12:35 Shanghai Port v Shandong Taishan

Shandong Taishan (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

100 WIN

@2.00

Push

0

In this match, despite the odds which give the locals the clear favourites, we must not forget that if the latter are reigning champions, they are hosting here their runner-up from last season, visitors who were able to win 2 times on their last 5 visits and who, in my opinion, could at least grab a draw as they were able to do last season (1-1).
12:30 St Pauli v Elversberg

Elversberg (AH) 1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

51

The locals are fighting for the title and are therefore logical favourites. But Elversberg has a record on the road that I find interesting (5w,3d,6l) and I therefore think they are capable to create surprise in this confrontation.

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