Stanleyblowup

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

Stanleyblowup's Tips History

22 January 2025
20:00 Real Madrid v FC Salzburg

Real Madrid

50 WIN

@1.07

Win

4

Real Madrid certainly has not made the best start in Europe, but domestically they are rounding into some better form. I'm expecting them to make short work of Salzburg tonight.
19:30 Egypt vs Iceland

Iceland

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

Iceland are a big price tonight because, although they face a reasonably good Egyptian team, this is a team with some up-and-coming players who are the next generation for this national side and should be no worse than evens.
19:30 Norway vs Spain

Norway

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

Norway has a decent record against the Spanish, and we have home advantage tonight. I think they could run against a team that has conceded very heavily in the last few matches.
19:28 Race 5 Gulfstream Park

No Valla

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 0.91 on 22/01 at 17:58 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 1.62 used instead of 0.91 taken BOG

@2.62

Win

81

No Valla very much looks like a pick of the bunch tonight in what is a pretty weak field, with certainly not a great deal of depth once you get past the top two runners. So, on the basis that this is a horse with a proven winning record, I think she has every chance.
19:04 7:04 Harlow

Headford Ava

Daily Races

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Ava is a sensational dog in full flow. The question is usually whether or not she can get a good enough start to give her a chance to get over the line first. But this is a bigger price than I was expecting, so I'm happy to be on board.
18:30 Judd Trump v Tom Ford

Judd Trump

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Trump remains at the very top of his game, and the likes of Tom Ford are just not in his league. So if he plays even at 90%, he should win this one pretty comfortably, even though it is an admittedly short price.
14 January 2025
19:30 Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz

Bayer Leverkusen

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Leverkusen are admittedly short for this match tomorrow, but there are enormous advantages. They remain in good form and have huge confidence coming off a title-winning season last year.
00:07 FLA Panthers @ PHI Flyers

PHI Flyers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

The Flyers are being disrespected by the bookies here, given that they have been playing very well and scoring freely. Defensively, they can struggle, but they have enough to win this one.
13 January 2025
19:06 7:06 Yarmouth

Swift Engine

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Swift Engine has one very solid opponent to beat tonight, but the rest of the field really are making up the numbers. So, in a head-to-head with two dogs having very similar records, particularly at this track, I'm going with the value bet at a nice price.
19:00 AZ Reserves v Ajax Reserves

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

I can't separate these two teams today, both of whom have very good reserve outfits. Both have defenses which are proving to be porous in recent outings, but overall this is a very generous price.
17:00 Konyaspor v Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Fenerbahce are playing so well at the moment that I'm backing them home or away because they simply have a squad which is better than 95% of this division. In particular, they have some wonderful attacking ability which is likely to cause major problems for the home side.
14:00 Kerala Blasters v Odisha FC

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

I think these two teams are much more evenly matched than the bookies seem to think, in particular because Kerala has not been playing well in recent weeks and has conceded quite a few. So, I think this will be a match with goals.
01:20 Sony Open in Hawaii

Tom Kim

50 WIN

@20.00

Lose

-50

Tom Kim should really like it around this place, which suits his short and generally accurate playing style and does not require him to overpower the track. He's also proving himself to be more than capable of winning events at this level, and generally, it's not an especially strong field.

Mackenzie Hughes

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Hughes had a very good season, and with the additional length that he's gained in the last 12 months or so, he is increasingly a threat in this market. I follow him at this sort of price because, on his day, he can go very low.
12 January 2025
20:10 Race 6 Aqueduct

Gallant Greta

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.62

Lose

-50

Gallant Greta needs a convincing win to really cement her position as a borderline elite horse. I think that could happen tonight because this isn't a field with much depth, and there's also a lack of form amongst some of the other more serious contenders.
19:00 Shaun Murphy v Gary Wilson

Shaun Murphy

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Murphy remains a very dangerous player, and his consistency means that he is an excellent bet tomorrow against Wilson, who does not appear to be at his best and is struggling to string more than one or two good frames together.
17:30 Bath v Clermont

Bath

To Win

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

I'm expecting Bath to have it all their own way today against an opposition which is several levels below them and isn't in great form. On the other hand, they are riding high on the back of some fantastic performances.
14:00 Cyclo Cross Netherlands NC 2025

Pim Ronhaar

Win Outright

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Pim, as well question the most talented writer in this field. Suppose I'm concerned and probably doesn't need to be on his very best to win today. But a somewhat indifferent race last time has lengthened odds, so he's even better value than usual.
13:00 Toulon v Harlequins

Toulon

To Win

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Toulon would probably have the edge even if they were playing away from home. But in front of the home crowd, I simply think they are borderline unbeatable when it comes to taking on teams at this sort of level.
12:45 FC Porto B v Portimonense

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

These two are more evenly matched, and I think the bookies seem to think so because, although Porto do have some talented youngsters, they certainly lack experience. They've had some unexpected failings this season.
12:40 Cyclo Cross Netherlands NC Women 2025

Puck Pieterse

Win Outright

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Puck is simply a class at the moment. I don't see anyone getting particularly close to her. In fact, both of the next favorites in the betting are in fairly indifferent form.
11:30 Genoa v Parma

Genoa & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Genoa are playing nicely. They have a pretty potent attacking force, and Parma really struggle to match them in any of the key metrics that will determine this match. So, I can't see past the home side.

Andrea Pinamonti

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Andrea is a huge threat and gets a starting berth today in a match that Genoa should win. If they do, they'll need him to be at his usual potent best.
10:57 10:57 Valley

Mantlehill

Daily Races

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Mantlehill has all the ingredients to be a really quality dog and a consistent winner at this sort of level. Although that consistency is not quite there yet, the raw speed is simply better than anything else in this field.
00:00 Veronika Erjavec vs Suzan Lamens

Veronika Erjavec to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Veronika is, in my view, a much more promising player of these two. Whilst she isn't always the most consistent and there probably isn't favoritism here, I think the value available on her producing one of those performances that she's so capable of is worth the risk.
11 January 2025
23:25 Race 8 Fair Grounds

Geaux Sugar

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.62

Lose

-50

Geaux Sugar very much looks like a top-quality horse in the making. 1.62 is a big price given the lack of any real depth in this field, with only one other horse who has even contended at this level, let alone won.
22:00 Magomed Gadzhiyasulov v Bruno Lopes

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Magomed is a tactician and brilliant fighter, but I think he still lacks some of the killer instinct to be backing him in the knockout market. So the decision market looks much more attractive.
20:00 Castres v Bulls

Castres

To Win

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Castres have a few world-class players, and in their current form, they're capable of blowing this level of opposition away. I suspect they will do something tonight at what is a slim but overall acceptable price.
20:00 Connacht v Lyon

Connacht

To Win

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Connacht used to be a truly elite team and now have a forward line about as good as anybody in the division. So, matches against teams at Lyon's level are more and more straightforward.
20:00 Leicester v Ulster

Leicester

To Win

50 WIN

@1.10

Win

5

Leicester is such a fantastic team in full flow, and they are so consistent that I cannot see past them in matches like this. They're going to be able to physically dominate Ulster, as they have so many times in the past.
16:30 Mark Selby v Jackson Page

Mark Selby

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Page, I really want to win this morning, but I don't see him coming through Selby given the way he's playing at the moment and some of the very imperious scoring he's putting together.
15:30 Joburg Super Kings vs MI Cape Town T20

R Rickelton

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Given I've gone with this money in the Buckman market, and the fact that I think he may well contribute with the ball as well, it makes sense to go with him in the man of the match market as well at this sort of price because his team will rely upon him heavily today.

R Rickelton (MI Cape Town)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Rickleton is a superbly talented player and is in a rich vein of form at the moment. His team will need him to go well today if they are to come through this one. I think he's likely to build a big score and may contribute with the ball as well.
15:00 Barnet v Hartlepool

Barnet

50 WIN

@1.48

Void

0

Impress me this season, particularly in defense, where they prove themselves to be very resilient and remarkably consistent. So, with home advantage, I expect a clean sheet and another solid win today.
15:00 Gateshead v Braintree Town

Gateshead

50 WIN

@1.45

Void

0

Gateshead looks like massive value against a wayside which is clearly struggling very badly for confidence and form. I think they're likely to take a battering this afternoon.
13:00 Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Maccabi Haifa

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Maccabi Haifa have an imperious home record, and historically they've dominated Hapoel. So, I think this will be a straightforward win, probably two or three nil.
13:00 Stormers v Sale Sharks

Stormers -8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Stormers are quite well priced in the main market. Even this undercut doesn't put me off because they are a sensational team in full flow. I'm expecting them to run riot today.
13:00 Vannes v Edinburgh

Vannes 7.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Vannes have bags of quality, and with this handicap in their favor, I really do not see them losing against Edinburgh today. The away side is in decent form. Matches between these two have been close, and I expect the same today.
12:30 Walsall v Tranmere

Walsall

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Walsall should have a big advantage here this afternoon. I was actually expecting a shorter price than this given the way they are playing and given the home advantage, but I'm happy to take this price.
12:00 Bristol City v Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Wolves are in good form, and I think they're booked to win and to win without conceding because they are a quality outfit. Both defensively and going forward, they have shown promise this year.
12:00 Mark Selby v Jimmy Robertson

Mark Selby

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Selby, he's playing some great stuff at the moment. I'm quite tempted on the whitewash in the score market, but the safer bet is probably for him to come through this one over four or five frames.
10 January 2025
23:30 Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Tommy Paul to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.25

Lose

-50

Paul should win this one, but I'm not expecting him to have it all his own way, given that he has an opponent here who is playing some really good stuff and has not suffered many whitewashes in recent months. So, I think he will push the favorite close.
22:54 Race 9 Sunland Park

Bow To Clara

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.67

Lose

-50

Bow to Clara. She's very much a pick of the bunch tonight, coming here with a jockey with a great record. Some very positive things are being said about her by a trainer, and she looked in fine nick last time.
19:00 Excelsior v FC Dordrecht

Excelsior

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Excelsior have been playing quite nicely in the last few matches and certainly look to be good for goals. But their defense remains suspect, so if they can keep it reasonably tight at the back, I expect a good win.
17:30 Mark Selby v Joe O Connor

Mark Selby

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-50

I'm going with Selby in his early match this evening, but my confidence is even greater that he'll beat O'Connor later on. Mark is simply at another level compared to Joe.
17:00 Pendikspor v Bandirmaspor

Pendikspor & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

The home team should have enough going forward to win this one. Although the defense hasn't necessarily been at its best this year, the wayside has been fairly anemic at times. I think they will win one or two nil.
16:30 Mark Selby v Jak Jones

Mark Selby

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Selby has played really well in this event so far, and Jones has also surprised a few. But he really lacks the pure scoring power of players like Mark and will likely be beaten this evening.
16:30 TUTO Volley vs SAVO Volley

TUTO Volley to win 3-2

Set Score

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Just fancied the home team tonight, but it really could go either way. So I think both sides will take off each other, and it will be a narrow win for the home team.
12:12 12:12 Harlow

Whiteboy Jack

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Jack may not be the most convincing before week out, but his past is devastatingly good and so much depends on a start. If he starts even moderately placed in this field, he should blow them away.
09 January 2025
19:15 Race 2 Fair Grounds

Rayden And Remi

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 09/01 at 15:19 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.5 used instead of 4.00 taken BOG

@5.50

Win

225

Rayden certainly shouldn't be the third favorite tonight in what is quite an open race. There are two very vulnerable-looking favorites who are by no means proven winners, whereas this is a horse that has won at this level and above.
17:34 5:34 Valley

Tickets Holly

Daily Races

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Tickets Holly looks to have a great chance today in what is a pretty weak field against a few dogs he has beaten in the past. Starting is often slightly suspect but raw speed is seriously impressive.
17:00 Al Nassr Riyadh v Al Akhdoud

Al Nassr Riyadh

50 WIN

@1.27

Win

14

Al Nassr Riyadh have been playing really well, especially at home this season. They have such an array of stars that I really can't see past them today, even though I would've liked a slightly bigger price.
17:00 Beskydy vs Benatky nad Jizerou

Benatky nad Jizerou to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

The away side is in very good form, but most of their biggest victories have come at home. So, I can see them losing a set tonight, and on that basis, I think this is a pretty generous price.
05:30 Australia National Championships Time Trial 2025

Jay Vine

Win Outright

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

Vine is a tremendous rider and is eventually going to race this week against Lucas, who is also in top form. When the two have come together, this is the man who has come out on top more often than not.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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