Stanleyblowup

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

Stanleyblowup's Tips History

All tips
20 December 2024
20:45 Race 5 Fair Grounds

Tales To Tell

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.67

Lose

-50

Tales To Tell is short but may well go off even shorter than this because there's nothing remotely in his league in this field. Some of his recent times have been hugely impressive.
19 December 2024
21:45 Race 7 Fair Grounds

Zadorsky

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.80

Lose

-50

Zadorsky looked back to his best last time out and has shown glimpses of huge talent, albeit mixed in with a few disappointing runs. Overall, he's the star here and I can't see past him.
20:00 Inter Milan v Udinese

Inter Milan

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Inter Milan was sensational last weekend and are devastatingly good going forward. So if their defense proves to be even reasonably robust, I am expecting another victory for them this week.
20:00 NK Celje v The New Saints

NK Celje

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

I simply cannot see past this side this week. Even though this is a fairly skinny price, it remains value because they are just so much better than the away side and are likely to score goals for fun.
18 December 2024
17:30 Atalanta v Cesena

Atalanta

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Atalanta have made a good start to the first half of the season and play a team in woeful form and at a level several below that of the home side. So this should be a comfortable home victory.
17:25 Race 1 Tampa Bay Downs

Oops Haha

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

41

Oops Haha may have one of the worst names in the sport, but is quickly demonstrating one of the fastest finishes as well. At any price around even, this is a must bet when the field quality behind is so poor.
16 December 2024
21:15 Race 6 Fair Grounds

Hes Just Lucky

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.80

Win

40

He's just lucky. He's an obvious nap today because he's in imperious form, and there's so little in this field that should trouble a horse which is ready to step up to the next level, in my view, but remains a decent price.
19:30 Trefl Gdansk vs Cuprum Stilon Gorzow

Trefl Gdansk to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Gdansk, a team, who I have won plenty on before, and I see this is a very big value bet today given that the home side is in better form. Albeit, they rarely come away unscathed, so I can see them losing a set.
16:30 Vampula Women vs Orpo Women

Vampula Women to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Vampula look like a side on the rise at present. They've got an unusual squad in that they have a few real stars and then a few players who are perhaps not quite at the required level. But overall, I see them as a significantly better outfit than Orpo and should win this one today.
12:45 Wesley Plaisier vs Ryusei Azemoto

Wesley Plaisier to win 3-1

Leg Betting

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Plaisier is certainly the more talented player of the two, and I do see him winning the match. However, the Japanese player has improved quite a bit this year, and I can see him winning at least a set.
01:20 GB Packers @ SEA Seahawks

Josh Jacobs (GB Packers)

First Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Josh Jacobs is a prolific scorer and a regular feature in this market. I think he'll get plenty of opportunities today and achieve some success early on.
15 December 2024
19:14 Race 5 Laurel Park

Alias

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.73

Lose

-50

Alias looks like the pick of the bunch tonight in what isn't the greatest field. Given that he's beaten a much higher level of opposition in the past, I'm actually surprised he's plying his trade at this sort of level. He needs to step up if he's really to be tested.
15:30 Alfred Dunhill Championship

Francesco Laporta

25 EW

@46.00

Lose

-50

Laporta found himself in contention last week and remains a very solid pick this week on a course which should suit him well, and at a nice price.

Romain Langasque

50 WIN

@36.00

Lose

-50

Romain was superb last week with his iron play and to some extent his driver, but was let down by the putter yet again. If he putts even averagely well, he will win.
14:10 Cyclo Cross WC Namur 2024

Eli Iserbyt

Win Outright

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

This is a pretty difficult race to call, but I think that Eli remains the most consistent rider at this level. At this sort of price, I think the bookies have made a mistake because he should be a fair bit shorter.
14:10 Lars Van Der Haar vs Felipe Orts

Lars Van Der Haar

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Lars usually has the beating of Felipe, and I don't see anything different today. Lars is simply the all-around better quality athlete, and this is a slightly bigger price than I was expecting.
14:10 Thibau Nys vs Niels Vandeputte

Thibau Nys

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Thibau is not perhaps at his very best at the moment, but he remains a devastatingly effective rider even at this level of performance, so it remains good value.
13:45 Alfred Dunhill Championship

Scott Jamieson

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Jamieson is a perennial fast starter, and also this is probably the course where he has the best record on tour. So, this is a great price.
12:40 Cyclo Cross WC Namur Women 2024

Fem Van Empel

Win Outright

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Van Empel is in fantastic form, and although the same can be said for Puck, I think she's actually some way ahead of her in terms of raw speed.
00:30 Davey Grant v Ramon Taveras

Davey Grant Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

This could be a really interesting fight between two evenly matched opponents. I don't see either knocking the other out, as they have the skill and potential to nullify each other. So, I think it will be a decision, and ultimately Grant is the superior technician in my view.
14 December 2024
19:45 Race 3 Fair Grounds

Touchuponastar

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.33

Win

17

Touchuponastar to be the real deal and an absolutely elite horse in a field that isn't really deserving of his talent. I'm expecting him to blow this field away whether he starts well or not and onto bigger and better things in the future.
18:45 Granit Shala v Daniel Dietz

Daniel Dietz KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Daniel should be a bigger favorite than this in my view. Not only is he likely to win, I also think he is likely to win by knockout given his vastly superior power.
12 December 2024
01:53 Race 5 Charles Town

Main Line Cipher

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 0.50 on 11/12 at 22:40 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 0.73 used instead of 0.50 taken BOG

@1.73

Win

36

Main Line Cipher is a tremendous horse with a massive future if the last few outings are anything to go by. He's beaten this sort of level several times and is ready to step up in my view.
08 December 2024
19:49 Race 6 Gulfstream Park

Woke Up Quick

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Win

41

Woke up quick looks a real deal in my view. He's always the most consistent but there isn't a great deal to worry about in this field and he won't need to be at his best to triumph so I'm quite happy at this sort of price.
15:30 Nedbank Golf Challenge

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Although we haven't seen this man for the last few weeks, he has one of the best records on this course of anyone teeing it up this week, including a win a few years ago. He also plies his trade mostly on the PGA TOUR level above this event, and that should count heavily in his favor.

Jesper Svensson

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Svensson is certainly one of the most talented newcomers to the tour, and he's even obtained a PGA TOUR card for the coming season. So I only see him getting better across the next 12 months. He's already a winner at this level, and coming off a seventh place in Dubai, I think he's overpriced by the bookies this week.
12:40 Cyclo Cross WC Cabras Women 2024

Lucinda Brand

Win Outright

50 WIN

@1.14

Void

0

Lucinda is simply at another level compared to the rest of this field. Sometimes you just have to take skinny prices like this when a win is a win.
07 December 2024
18:30 Race 1 Oaklawn Park

Boogie Woogie Gal

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-50

Boogie Woogie Gal arrives here in good form and has shown herself to be the one to beat in what is a lackluster field. She looks to have more in the tank at a big price.
15:00 Hull v Blackburn

Blackburn

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Blackburn look overpriced to me today, sitting comfortably eighth in the league and in much better form than Hull, who have struggled quite badly in recent months. So I'm tempted to make a big bet on this one today.
15:00 Luton v Swansea

Swansea

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Swansea have got every chance today, even away from home, because Luton are not at their best. They have a very formidable attacking lineup if the midfielders can create chances.
15:00 Millwall v Coventry

Coventry

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

85

This is a tricky one to call, but in my view, Coventry's attacking lineup is a big strength, and I think they will score. Given some of Millwall's recent struggles, I think this is a big price on an away win.
06 December 2024
22:14 Race 9 Oaklawn Park

Innovator

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.73

Lose

-50

Innovator has bags of ability and has already proven to be a winner at this sort of level. So I'm actually slightly surprised that a price close to evens is available at a track where she's already had some success.
19:00 Toulouse vs AS Cannes

AS Cannes to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

This could be a really good match today between two pretty evenly matched teams who have evenly rated starting lineups. I think the away side will get the better of this one because they played really well last time out and should be very high on confidence. But it will be tight.
05 December 2024
20:45 Race 5 Fair Grounds

Country Lady

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.67

Win

34

Country Lady is supremely talented and by far the best horse in this field. She shouldn't have a great deal to worry about as she's won at a higher level than this and looks to have more in the tank.
04 December 2024
20:00 Race 6 Tampa Bay Downs

Gods Timing

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.90

Win

45

God's Timing is without question the quality horse in this field. I was actually expecting him to be a shorter price tonight, but I only see him getting shorter over the course of the evening because this is a proven winner in this sort of class.
03 December 2024
15:32 3:32 Perry Barr

Tyrap Dream

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Tyrap Dream will be helped today by a drop-down in class. If he gets his usual solid start, then I am expecting him to go well today in what is a wide-open field.
03:05 Tasmania vs Queensland One Day Match

JJ Peirson (Queensland)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Peirson didn't play well in the last couple of matches, but he's a quality player capable of some devastating scoring matches and has a good record against the Tasmanian side. I think this is a generous price.
02 December 2024
17:56 5:56 Sunderland

Junction Liz

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Liz isn't a great starter, but with a win, a second, and a third in the last three, she looks to be running pretty well. This is a wide-open field, so I'm happy to be on board at this price.
01 December 2024
19:38 Race 6 Aqueduct

Iron Man Ira

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Win

175

Iron Man Ira faces a decent front runner today, but he's more than capable of stepping up to the challenge. This is a horse with a proven winning record and one who should be several points shorter.
18:00 ARZ Cardinals @ MIN Vikings

Justin Jefferson (MIN Vikings)

First Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Jefferson is playing well, but it's the team he's in that convinces me about this bet today because they'll create so many chances. I think Jones is too short.
18:00 TEN Titans @ WAS Commanders

Tony Pollard (TEN Titans)

First Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Pollard is in superb form and has a decent historic record against the Commanders. So I see him being a big feature this afternoon, and if they're to win, he'll need to go well.
14:40 Cyclo Cross WC Dublin 2024

Michael Vanthourenhout

Win Outright

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Michael, he's overpriced in my view because, although there is a lot of competition ahead of him, I think 5.5 is a massive price on a man who is a proven winner and doesn't need much to return to form.
11:15 Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze

Draw

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

These are in very solid form at the moment and are rarely being beaten. Historically, they have ground out a lot of draws, and I think I cannot separate these two.
10:30 Umraniyespor v Genclerbirligi

Draw

50 WIN

@3.20

Win

110

I really can't separate these two sides. Both are in pretty dismal form, and the home side in particular has taken some heavy defeats in recent weeks. But the away side will probably take a draw as well, so 3.2 looks like a good price.
30 November 2024
22:48 Race 11 Churchill Downs

Jonathans Way

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Jonathan's Way looks like a superb bet tonight at a much bigger price than expected. He isn't being respected enough by the bookies, even though luck hasn't been on his side in his rare defeats. So, in a mixed field, he stands every chance.
18:47 Race 4 Gulfstream Park

Bubbly Champagne

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.40

Lose

-50

Bubbly Champagne is very short here but may go off shorter. He is simply classing his field, and I can't see any of this opposition getting anywhere close in what is quite a shallow field in terms of quality.
29 November 2024
17:20 Race 1 Gulfstream Park

Cosmo Prime

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 0.73 on 29/11 at 13:33 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 1 used instead of 0.73 taken BOG

@2.00

Win

50

Cosmo Prime looks like the pick of the bunch today at a price which is slightly longer than I expected. He perhaps hasn't won as much as I thought he might, but he's been a little unlucky with the ground and some strategic mistakes.
28 November 2024
18:42 Race 6 Gulfstream Park

With Kindness

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Void

0

With Kindness seems to be the pick of the bunch here in what I'm expecting to be a pretty comprehensive win. There is perhaps one decent opponent, but even he hasn't proven himself to be a regular winner yet, so this looks like a big price.
27 November 2024
21:30 Joinville Volei vs Guarulhos

Joinville Volei to win 3-0

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Joinville. Look, a huge price to win this one three-nil. They are simply too good for a weak away side, and the win-only bet also looks pretty attractive at 1.44 given the sort of form they're in.
20:55 Race 7 Churchill Downs

Barnes

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 0.25 on 27/11 at 17:38 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 0.33 used instead of 0.25 taken BOG

@1.33

Win

16

Barnes has bags of ability and is frankly far too good for this field with not an awful lot to worry about. He isn't the most consistent starter but has blistering speed which is likely to result in a comprehensive victory today.
19:00 Menorca Women vs La Laguna Women

Menorca Women to win 3-0

Set Score

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

The Menorca women's team should have a big advantage over La Laguna today. They're in really good form and have a couple of star names who, when they produce, are usually decisive.
18:00 Tent Obrenovac Women vs Schweriner Women

Schweriner Women to win 3-0

Set Score

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

Schweriner have a really good women's team, and even away from home, I cannot see Tent getting close to them. When they win the first set, they tend to go on and whitewash, and will do so today.

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