lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

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lutonboy's Tips History

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04 February 2025
19:30 7:30 Newcastle

Monsieur Fantaisie

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

There was only a nose separating this one and Elettaria last time out over c/d. I think it will be close again with not much to spare. This selection is in good consistent form at the moment and can reverse the placings this evening.
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Streak Lightning

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

Not far behind Tasever over C/D latest run. Has been running well as of late and looks to have the ability to get ahead of the favorite today. Its odds are much more favorable value-wise and get my each-way vote.
03 February 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Porfin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Arrives here in some cracking form, a win and 3 frame finishes in its last 4 outings. Is a previous C/D winner as well and looks set for another frame finish at least.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Khutulun

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Probably needed the run latest after a longish break. That was over the mile trip and will be better suited by the return to 7 furlongs today. Has won over the trip and finished runner-up over C/D as well.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Kaleidoscope Eyes

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

Made virtually all to win over c/d last time out. Obviously gone up in the ratings for that victory, but does go well over this 7 furlong trip and is a reliable sort as well.
02 February 2025
13:00 1:00 Lingfield

Forever Proud

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Consistent sort who won last time out over 7 furlongs but won't mind the step up to the mile today. Goes on any of the all-weather surfaces and could add to its win tally this afternoon.
01 February 2025
20:10 8:10 Wolverhampton

Split Elevens

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

Judging by its two recent outings over C/D when finishing in the frame in both, it is poised to strike off this winnable rating. A C/D winner three times and nearly always runs well here.
18:55 6:55 Newcastle

Swiss Ace

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

I think I am going to have to go along with the majority vote for this one. A runner-up spot over C/D latest to one who has since gone on and won again, is on a mark that can win from this evening and goes well over C/D.
31 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Southwell

Legal Reform

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 31/01 at 09:410.15 deduction for Justcallmepete@6.50 withdrawn at 11:270.00 deduction for Three Yorkshiremen @67.000 withdrawn at 18:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.15) = 4.82

@4.83

Win

114

Just favoring this one after its two impressive-looking outings over C/D as of late. Only up a lb, so it should cope with that easily and stands a good shout of adding to its win tally tonight.
15:58 3:58 Newcastle

Target Man

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

This step up to 7 furlongs could be in its favor today. It has run 5 times, but all over shorter distances. Its better performances came on the Tapeta surfaces. Looks assured of another frame finish at least.
14:58 2:58 Newcastle

Yaahobby

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

I find myself unable to go against this one, who is a very reliable sort over this C/D. Nearly always makes the frame and has won over C/D from 2 lbs higher. At the odds on show, it looks very good each way value.
30 January 2025
17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Nubough

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

It is worth noting that this one's better runs as of late have both come at this course, and the runner-up outing in October did take my eye, enough to warrant an each-way bet this afternoon at good odds.
16:12 4:12 Southwell

Soames Forsyte

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Lose

-50

Impressed with its C/D win last time out. Won the race with authority and looked to have a bit in hand. Has naturally gone up 4 lbs for that win, but not enough to stop this one from having a chance of a follow-up win.
15:42 3:42 Southwell

Shaw Park

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Surely, from this low rating, it must be in with a shout today. Not so good last time out, but if it puts in a run like last October when finishing a close 2nd, then this one will be the one to give the short-priced favorite a race.
15:12 3:12 Southwell

Hawajes

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Win

120

Finished ahead of the favorite for this race, Porfin, when they last met on the Tapeta surface. I think this fact will give this one the edge. Always performed better on these conditions, and also at much better value odds, and gets my vote.
14:42 2:42 Southwell

Evoluir

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

Not far behind Van Zant when they met over C/D last time out. With a clearer run, would probably have finished ahead. So at today's terms, I believe this one can turn around the placings this afternoon.
29 January 2025
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Al Ameen

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

The last two C/D outings as of late have seen this one finish 4th. Both times, though, it has been short of room when challenging. Looks very good each way value to me, and with four places on offer, a frame finish is assured.
28 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Packetofbiscuits

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

With the favorite for this race being at short odds, the alternative value bet is this one. It was badly hampered and did not recover last time out when making good headway over this course/distance. I take this horse to make amends this evening at decent odds.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Blue Secret

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Not won a race yet, but has always been thereabouts and never beaten by far. Its best effort came over this C/D last October. The stable is in form, having had a winner last week, and this one can break its maiden tag this evening.
27 January 2025
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Kranjcar

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG

@4.50

Lose

-8

I think I will have to plump for the favorite here, who is still lightly raced and unexposed. It ran well over 7 furlongs at Newcastle 2 runs ago, suggesting that this trip is its best.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Galileo Glass

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@4.50

Lose

-8

Back on track now after a break through injury. Has won over C/D from a lb less previously and ran well here when 3rd the last visit. So looks like the Tapeta surface suits and could add to its win tally this evening.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Phrygia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

With the first two in the betting being at unbackable odds for me anyhow, this does look like the alternative value bet. Not beaten by far on debut over C/D, I take this one to improve today and make the frame at least.
25 January 2025
18:35 6:35 Newcastle

Believe Me Now

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

Only two horses in with a shout here to me, and this one just edges it with its C/D form. A C/D winner last time out and has only gone up 2 lbs for that and is still lightly raced for a 5-year-old.
18:20 6:20 Wolverhampton

Follow Your Heart

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 25/01 at 06:050.10 deduction for Lir Speciale@9.00 withdrawn at 07:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.90

@10.90

Win

24

Competitive-looking handicap, but this previous C/D winner has dropped to a useful rating. Unlucky last time out over C/D when not getting the clearest of runs. Finished well when clear and can make amends this evening.
17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Brewing

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

135

Now dropped to its last winning mark, and with the jockey's 3 lbs claim, looks to be well in here this afternoon. A previous C/D winner and drops in class of race as well, which will also aid this one's chances.
14:25 2:25 Cheltenham

Chantry House

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

I would say with the favorite for the race at such short odds that this one is worth an each-way bet, judging by its impressive C/D win last time out. Obviously, this is a better race, but at the odds on offer, it is a good choice to make the frame at least.
24 January 2025
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Rich Rhythm

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 24/01 at 09:200.30 deduction for Soames Forsyte@3.25 withdrawn at 11:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.30) = 5.55

@5.55

Win

136

Was 3rd over C/D last time out and races in Class 6 Standard for the first time. Dropped to a mark which looks capable of winning from today. Still lightly raced for a 6 y/o and there could be improvement to come.
15:25 3:25 Lingfield

Regal Glory

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

Not been beaten by far on all of its last 3 C/D outings, including last time out. Is 2lbs to the good this afternoon and is a previous C/D winner. At the odds on offer, looks good each way value.
15:13 3:13 Doncaster

Finn Lough

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

This really does look like the one to be on. Winner over C/D latest and has only gone up 3 lbs for that win, which should not stop this consistent sort from a follow-up win this afternoon.
14:50 2:50 Lingfield

Neptune Legend

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@3.25

Lose

-14

Out of all the runners who have had a run over C/D, this one probably looks the most convincing. A close 4th in August off 3lbs higher and has been a previous C/D winner as well. Notable that Hollie Doyle rides this afternoon, having ridden a winner on this one before.
23 January 2025
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Portoro

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.00

Lose

-15

Looks the one to beat in this race, coming here in good form. Is suited better by the 7 furlong trip as proven when winning at Kempton 2 runs ago. A well-worthy favorite for this race.
18:00 6:00 Southwell

King Of York

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Last 2 runs over C/D have both produced frame finishes. Goes off the same mark this evening, which should once again give a good chance of making the frame or even better.
22 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Master Technician

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

Has an edge over most of these, having run on the polytrack previously and winning over this trip last time out. Has also won in a class 2 race last November and off the same rating as the latest race, looks a good bet to follow up.
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Mammy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

Won last time out over this trip at Chelmsford. Has only gone up 2 lbs for that win and does look more suited to the 7 furlongs than most of these. Has a good chance of a follow-up win.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Chemical

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@5.50

Lose

-3

Another who looks exposed compared with the other runners, but ran well over C/D twice in August when finishing 3rd in both. A return to the polytrack could finally see this one off the mark.
14:08 2:08 Catterick

Super Citizen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

Consistent sort who has made the frame in all of its last 5 outings and has slipped to a rating that can win from today. At the odds on offer, it does look a good value each way bet.
12:55 12:55 Lingfield

Mister Mcgregor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-50

Although still a maiden after 10 outings and a bit exposed to the others, I was impressed with its C/D run latest when finishing a close runner-up. It goes off the same mark today, and Hayley Turner rides again as well.
21 January 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Streak Lightning

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.50

Lose

-50

With the favorite for this race being at short odds, this Newcastle regular looks very good each-way value at the odds on offer. Made the frame in all its last 4 C/D outings, so makes this the ideal each-way bet.
18:45 6:45 Newcastle

Bantz

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Win

171

I should get on quick and back this one each way, as there is a doubt whether the short-priced favorite will run today. The odds will shorten, improving this one's chances.
15:40 3:40 Ayr

Ruby Island

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG

@5.00

Lose

-5

The step up in distance should suit this one fine. Runner-up over C/D previously off a higher mark, and the jockey's claim will also come in handy this afternoon. Looks set for a frame finish at least.
14:00 2:00 Ayr

Cold Sobar

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.75

Void

0

Ran well on its chase debut last time out when finishing 3rd after a longish break. It is still lightly raced and unexposed, so there should be more to come from this one this afternoon.
20 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Desert Master

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Winner last time out and escapes a penalty, so going off the same mark must give this one a good chance of a follow-up win. But it should at least make the frame.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Beauzon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Although below par over C/D the last 2 outings, I would never dismiss this one's chances at this course. Has won 7 times previously and is on a competitive rating at the moment and could add to its win tally.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Virtual Hug

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@11.00

Lose

-50

Runner-up over C/D latest and has won here previously off a mark of 2 lbs higher. The odds here being offered are, to me, on the generous side, and with 4 places on offer, it looks very good each-way value.
16:15 4:15 Kempton

McCauleys Tavern

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.12

Lose

-50

A winner over C/D and does tend to run better at this course. Is 2 lbs to the good this afternoon from its last C/D win, and was runner-up here latest and top jockey on board today.
15:05 3:05 Kempton

Sold The Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.50

Void

0

Interesting, this one has run well over C/D in the last two outings, going very close in the latest when just beaten by a nose last November. Yet to win a race, but a repeat of the latest could see it go close, if not win.
14:00 2:00 Kempton

Just A Spark

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

A drop down to this class at Kempton should work in this one's favor today. A previous C/D winner from 2 lbs higher must bring this one in contention, and a top jockey takes over the reins as well.
13:35 1:35 Warwick

Southoftheborder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Been brought along nice and steadily, still unexposed and apart from one blip has looked a good prospect. Goes chasing for the first time today but should take to this well and continue its improvement.
19 January 2025
15:40 3:40 Windsor

Fortunate Man

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Still lightly raced, this one is a winner last time out. Looks an out-and-out stayer, so this extra few furlongs should not be a problem and can follow up.
15:05 3:05 Windsor

Protektorat

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

104

Behind the favorite for this race last time out, but write this one off at your peril. It has the ability to turn things around this afternoon and add to its win tally.
14:45 2:45 Fakenham

Game Colours

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

Not much to choose between this one and the favorite for this race when they last met. That's why I find it a bit mystifying that the odds for this one are so high. It has the ability to reverse the placings at decent odds.
13:55 1:55 Windsor

Martator

Daily Racing

25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

0

If this one runs after having a race only yesterday, the drop back to 2 miles will suit. The odds on offer are generous, so get on if running.
13:40 1:40 Fakenham

Annie Nail

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Had a run out over hurdles latest after a longish break. Back over the fences will suit better and should be a lot fitter for its recent outing. Looks good each way value at these odds.
12:30 12:30 Fakenham

Awesome Foursome

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.60 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@4.60

Lose

-7

It's hard to go against the favorite for this race, but this one is at least reliable. The step up in trip will suit this afternoon. Ran well here twice previously and has a good each-way shout.

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