lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

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lutonboy's Tips History

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11 March 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Kaleidoscope Eyes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

This previous C/D winner nearly always runs well at this course. Looks to have the ability in this grade to win again, and with 4 places up for grabs, is at good value each way odds.
20:15 8:15 Southwell

Straight A

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

10

Drops back down in class of race after competing in a grade higher lately. This should suit better and make this one more competitive in the last race of the day.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Coconut Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@5.00

Lose

-5

Once again, I have to side with the favorite for this race. It won over C/D last time out in a similar sort of race, running on well at the finish. A repeat of that run should see this one follow up tonight.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Hawajes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

If this one gets the start right and does not blow its chances like in the last two outings, then it will be right up there amongst them at the finish. Good each-way shout if things fall right.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Seas Of Elzaam

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Push

0

Brings some good form to the table. Made the frame in its last two outings, including one here over C/D in a similar sort of race as today's. Looks like it may have the class for this to get its head in front this evening.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Manton Road

Daily Racing

25 EW

@2.38

Lose

-50

Looks like a two-horse race judging by the betting for this race. This one, for me, just edges it on its consistent performance and, despite carrying a penalty, should once again be there at the finish.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Powdering

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Win

125

There may be question marks about this one over the 6 furlongs, but I am willing to take a shot that it will have enough speed to see this one out.
10 March 2025
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Commanding Prince

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

187

Ran well on debut latest when only just getting beaten on the line. A step up to the mile trip could suit, and a repeat of its last run should see this one go close again.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Elettaria

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Competitive handicap, but this one's last two outings have caught the eye, finishing well in both. A previous C/D winner and looks a reliable sort who should once again make the frame at least.
08 March 2025
20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Kitaro Kich

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

In fantastic form at the moment, and I can't really see anything in this field to trouble this one and stop its hat-trick bid. I don't normally back on the nose, but I will make an exception here.
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Match Anthem

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.00

Win

5

A competitive-looking 7-furlong race with a few in with a shout. This one is a consistent performer and a previous C/D winner who should once more make the frame at least.
18:15 6:15 Wolverhampton

Shahbaz

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

This step up in trip could work in this one's favor, judging by its last two outings when it's been staying on well at the finish. A bit of a shot in the dark, but could sneak into a place at decent odds.
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Follow Your Heart

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 08/03 at 09:040.10 deduction for Vibrato@10.00 withdrawn at 13:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.95

@5.95

Win

148

In the main, it is a reliable performer and acts on both codes of the all-weather. A previous C/D winner is at value odds and looks like a good each-way bet.
15:55 3:55 Wolverhampton

Miami Matrix

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG

@2.88

Lose

-16

I am not a big fan of backing short-priced favorites, but sometimes it's got to be done. A C/D winner last time out, and unless one of the newcomers is special, I can see this one following up today.
15:20 3:20 Wolverhampton

Royal Zabeel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

171

A lot of the runners are having their first run on Tapeta, so I've gone for one who is proven on the track and was a C/D winner in January. There has also been a lot of each-way money for this one as well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Wolverhampton

Farasi Lane

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

Has dropped to a mark that can be more competitive this afternoon, and with 4 places on offer, looks to be at good each-way value at the odds on offer.
1 member found this comment useful
07 March 2025
20:15 8:15 Newcastle

Tasever

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@5.00

Push

0

A competitive last race of the day with a few in with a shout. I am going along with this one as it seems to be the most reliable choice. It rarely runs a bad race here and can add to its win tally tonight.
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Yaahobby

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

If this one gets a good start from the stalls, then its chances will be enhanced. Had 2 C/D wins last year and looks to be on a mark that can be involved from this evening.
06 March 2025
20:00 8:00 Newcastle

Cloch Nua

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Win

120

Won twice over C/D in January, and this is its favorite track. It is 7lbs higher than the last winning mark but looks capable of making the frame at least this evening.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Overnight Oats

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Has won over this mile trip previously and found the extended mile a bit too much lately. Is on a high rating but looks good each way value at the odds on offer.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Aurora Majesty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

70

With the favorite for this race being at odds on, it is of no interest to me. So I'm banking on one of the newcomers pulling off a surprise debut win, and this trainer/jockey combo normally does well here.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Concert Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Very consistent as of late, and I think this 7 furlongs is probably its best trip. A previous C/D winner in February is still on a reasonable mark and can add to its win tally this evening.
05 March 2025
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Enpassant

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

Unlucky last time out when short of room when making a challenge. Did well to finish 3rd, has been proving me wrong about this trip, and I expect another frame finish at least again this evening.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Ernies Valentine

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Winner at Lingfield over this trip on latest outing back in December, so has had a nice break to come back refreshed. That win came in a class 4 race, so back in this company should give this one an edge.
18:00 6:00 Kempton

This Farh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Very competitive race with most in with a shout. This one, though, has been very consistent as of late and gets my vote. It looks like it has taken a liking to the polytrack surface.
17:30 5:30 Kempton

Montrachet Girl

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@2.88

Lose

-50

I am going along with the flow, and although a bit short in price for my liking, I was impressed with this one's win last time out, winning with a bit more in hand than the official distance suggests.
16:55 4:55 Kempton

Blue Anthem

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

The drop back down to 6 furlongs today could work in this one's favor. Did not stay the mile latest, so that run can be ignored. With 4 places available, it looks good each way value at the odds on offer.
16:12 4:12 Lingfield

Split Elevens

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

A very reliable sort who goes well on either of the codes of all-weather. Has also won over C/D and is still capable of running well from its present rating. With 4 places on offer, I would expect this one to be amongst them.
15:42 3:42 Lingfield

Cabelleroso

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Might be a tough ask for this one in a top race, but well worth a crack after winning in good style over this trip at Chelmsford last time out and at value odds. So, a chance of a surprise.
04 March 2025
18:00 6:00 Southwell

Rich Rhythm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

An open-looking race as the betting suggests, and that's why I'm surprised this one is at generous odds. Considering it was a C/D winner last time out, and despite a rise in the ratings and with 4 places on offer, it looks like a good each-way bet.
16:52 4:52 Newcastle

Pallas Lord

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.00

Win

120

Moving up to the mile trip could be a good move by the trainer. Been running well at 7 but finishing like a horse that needs just a touch further and has won over C/D previously as well.
15:22 3:22 Newcastle

Brewing

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

Another one who won its latest C/D outing with a lot more to spare than the winning distance suggests. Justifies its fav tag, and I think it can follow up with a win today.
14:22 2:22 Newcastle

Manton Road

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

90

Won with a bit more in hand lately than the winning margin suggests. Despite a 6 lbs penalty, I think this 7 furlongs is its best trip and can see a follow-up win this afternoon.
03 March 2025
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Wise Stars

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 03/03 at 10:080.25 deduction for Magna Grecia Star@3.50 withdrawn at 10:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.25) = 8.50

@8.50

Win

12

This one took my eye on its debut run over 7 furlongs at Kempton. It was a close beaten 3rd and made a promising start. I'm a bit baffled why its odds are so generous, but I'm not complaining. It's my only bet of the day.
01 March 2025
19:30 7:30 Southwell

Vixey

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

270

Steady improvement over the last 3 c/d outings, not being beaten by far in all of them. If it continues this trait, I can see this one going very close again and at least making the frame at good each-way odds.
19:00 7:00 Southwell

Lions Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.00

Lose

-50

Not far behind the favorite for this race when they last met over C/D 2 outings ago. Has since run another good race here when making the frame. So with that in mind, I think this one can finish ahead on this evening's terms.
18:45 6:45 Newcastle

Saisons DOr

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Although it is coming back from a longish break and is fit and raring to go, this one should give a good account of itself. Very reliable last season and could easily make the frame at decent odds.
18:30 6:30 Southwell

Match Anthem

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 01/03 at 09:490.25 deduction for King Of York@3.75 withdrawn at 18:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.25) = 6.25Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.25 BOG

@7.00

Win

5

Generally a consistent sort, this one normally makes the frame at least. A winner over this trip previously, and at the odds offered, looks very good each way value to me.
28 February 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Bomb Squad

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Don't believe the odds being offered for this one. Very generous if you take into account it won very nicely over C/D last time out. Although a 4lb rise was expected, I still think it has a good each-way shout.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Soames Forsyte

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

I think when this one is racing at Southwell, you have to be interested. It rarely runs a bad race here. A previous C/D winner who should once again be involved at the finish.
17:45 5:45 Southwell

Mullwarchar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

With the favorite being at too short odds for me to be interested in, this one could be a good each-way value bet at these generous prices. Both its outings so far were not beaten by far and should improve again and make the frame at least.
17:15 5:15 Southwell

City Of God

Daily Racing

25 EW

@2.62

Lose

-15

Steps back up to the mile trip today, which was a C/D winner 2 runs ago. So this does look like a good move by the trainer and should add to its C/D win tally today.
14:25 2:25 Lingfield

Viennoise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced, so still unexposed. Has changed stables since being last seen, but was a C/D winner last April. With 4 places on offer, I'm willing to take a gamble with an each way punt on this one.
27 February 2025
18:00 6:00 Chelmsford City

Bint Havana Gold

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Push

0

A consistent performer over 7 furlongs and has won its last 2 outings over this trip. It ran well on the polytrack previously, so looks to be at good value and could make it the hat trick of wins.
17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Longhaired General

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Arrives here in very good form. Has not finished out of the frame in its last 5 outings, winning here the last 2 runs over the mile, but has won over this trip as well, so it should not be a problem.
15:55 3:55 Newcastle

Go Out

Daily Racing

25 EW

@2.88

Lose

-50

The two newcomers in this race look better quality breeding-wise than those that have already had a run, none of which have shown much. With the favorite being at short odds, this one is the alternative bet.
26 February 2025
18:00 6:00 Kempton

Hieronymus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

300

I may regret going against the favorite here, but this one was not far behind in 2nd when they met over C/D 14 days ago. I find it a bit strange that it is being offered at such generous odds.
17:30 5:30 Kempton

Rumba Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.50

Lose

-3

Won last time out in an impressive style, winning easier than the official distance suggests. A repeat of that sort of run should see this one follow up, and top jockey Rossa Ryan rides again.
16:55 4:55 Kempton

No Release

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

Made an encouraging start over 7 furlongs last time out when runner-up at Chelmsford, proving us all wrong. To me, this one looks the obvious winner as the rest don't look too much, and my NAP of the day.
25 February 2025
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Porfin

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has this one got the sprinting pace to cope with 6 furlongs? Latest outing suggested no, but willing to give one more shot at this trip. With 4 places on offer, it could make the frame.

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