lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

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lutonboy's Tips History

20 December 2024

20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Charmaine

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.00

Lose

-5

Lightly raced this one and not beaten by far latest on handicap debut. The stable's horses are running to form, and with 4 places on offer, I can't see this one being out of the frame.

14:40 2:40 Uttoxeter

Emma Hamilton

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 20/12 at 09:200.15 deduction for Lets Go Joe@6.00 withdrawn at 12:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.95

@6.95

Win

178

Ran well last time when in 3rd spot, and this was after a longish break, so probably needed that run. Will be fitter this time around, and with 4 places on offer, looks good each-way value.

14:30 2:30 Ascot

Byron Hill

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

I like the look of this one's form. It has only finished out of the frame once in its last 6 outings. Very consistent and has traveled a fair way to run in this race, and I don't think it's here just to make the numbers up.

14:05 2:05 Uttoxeter

Try The Money

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Did well to finish 4th on chasing debut when badly hampered by a faller. This was an encouraging sign, and barring any mishaps, I would expect this one to be thereabouts at the finish.

13:42 1:42 Southwell

Sectarius

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

Still lightly raced and an unexposed sort. Has done well in its 2 outings so far since joining this trainer: a first and runner-up last time out over this trip. Looks like there is more to come and gets my vote.

13:20 1:20 Ascot

Not So Woolly

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

Making steady progress, this unexposed sort has finished 3rd in both its last 2 outings and is at much more attractive odds than the short-priced favorite. More improvement could come again today.

12:45 12:45 Ascot

Double Powerful

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.00

Lose

-10

Can this one keep on improving after winning its last 6 outings? I would say there is every chance of making it 7 in a row. With 4 places on offer as well, it's sure to be among them at least.

11:30 11:30 Southwell

Tenyatta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Finished runner-up in November here over 7 furlongs when running on well at the end of the race, only beaten by a neck. With 4 places to aim at, I think this one will be involved at the business end again.

11:00 11:00 Southwell

Fiery Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Behind two of these last time out when finishing third over 7 furlongs here. Was unlucky in running when denied a clear run. Ran on well last 110 yards to suggest the extra furlong today should suit fine.

19 December 2024

20:10 8:10 Chelmsford City

Southbank

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 19/12 at 09:570.10 deduction for Big Bard@8.50 withdrawn at 10:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.10) = 5.50

@5.50

Win

135

May be worth taking a chance on this one in the last race of the day. Judging by its 2 C/D wins previously here off higher ratings, it is strongly fancied and looks in with a great shout with 4 places on offer.

19:10 7:10 Chelmsford City

How Impressive

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Well beaten last 2 outings, but is better on the polytrack as its c/d win does prove. There is some good each-way money for this one this morning, and I would not write this one's chances off.

17:40 5:40 Chelmsford City

English Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Won here in convincing fashion on debut. Up to a mile today, but that should not be a problem, and I fancy this one to make the frame at least at decent odds.

17:10 5:10 Chelmsford City

Brightandbeautiful

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Has made steady progress so far in all 3 of its outings, finishing 3rd last time out over this trip. Now in a handicap nursery, it should once again make some more improvement this afternoon.

16:40 4:40 Chelmsford City

Antalya

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.00

Win

Made a good start on debut when finishing 3rd here. The drop back to 6 furlongs does look like a shrewd move from the trainer, and with the favorite being at very short odds, the value is with this one.

14:55 2:55 Southwell

Chola Empire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Good value to be had in this race and at this course. This particular one does go well here, has 2 C/D wins to its name, and the stable's runners are in good form. With 4 places on offer, it looks like a good value each-way punt.

13:55 1:55 Exeter

Regarde

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Apart from one blip, this one is a very reliable sort. Won 2 and placed 3 times in the other outings he has completed in, and with 4 places to aim at, this should be an easy task for this one to fill one of those.

13:45 1:45 Southwell

Switchel

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 19/12 at 09:130.10 deduction for Tortured Soul@9.00 withdrawn at 10:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.10) = 3.48Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.20 used instead of 3.48 BOG

@4.20

Lose

-9

Another one who arrives here in cracking form, having won 1 and placed in the other 3 from 4 outings as of late. The stable's horses are running to a good standard, and this one must be on everyone's shortlist.

13:10 1:10 Southwell

Turner Girl

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

Has been placed in the last 4 outings, including a C/D run last time out. Probably does not win as much as it should, but at these odds offered, it looks like a very good each-way bet to me.

11:30 11:30 Southwell

Midnight City

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 19/12 at 06:230.40 deduction for Megaphone@2.50 withdrawn at 11:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.40) = 2.65Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.65 BOG

@3.25

Lose

-14

Shaped well last time out when finishing runner-up over C/D. Having a run on this surface could give it an edge over today's rivals and should at least finish in the frame again.

18 December 2024

20:10 8:10 Kempton

Beauld As Brass

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

Stepping up in trip could be the answer to this one, having blown the start numerous times over shorter distances. Well worth an each-way punt with 4 places to aim at.

19:10 7:10 Kempton

Fire Demon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Has always gone well or better on the all-weather and was a C/D winner last February and prior to that as well. Still lightly raced for a 3-year-old and should be refreshed after a break and raring to go.

18:40 6:40 Kempton

Kalamunda

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Very potent on the all-weather surfaces and twice a C/D winner. There's been some money come for this one this morning as it's shortening in the odds. So, with 4 places on offer, best get on this one while the price is still worthwhile.

18:10 6:10 Kempton

Unex Texas

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

Making racecourse debut, but don't let this put you off. Trainer and jockey have been amongst the winners over the last 2 weeks, so both are in form. At these odds, it does look like good each-way value.

17:10 5:10 Kempton

Rusheen Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Win

A return to the polytrack is definitely in this one's favor. It has a proven record of going well on this surface and has dropped to a competitive mark. With 4 places on offer, it could surprise a few at decent odds.

16:40 4:40 Kempton

Blue Laced

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

The trainer has sent 3 runners on this long trip to Kempton. Despite what the odds say for this one's chances, I would not discount it. It improved on its debut run last time out, and this longer trip looks like it will suit fine.

16:05 4:05 Kempton

The Glen Rovers

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@2.50

Win

Don't think you can get away from this one's excellent form over C/D as of late. 2 wins and a place in the last 3 outings. Has gone up 6 lbs, which is natural, but looks well capable of coping once again at this course.

15:45 3:45 Ludlow

Falco Des Pins

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Expect improvement this afternoon from its debut run for this stable. Latest has dropped down in class, and with the stable going well at the moment, looks good each way value to me.

15:00 3:00 Newbury

Densworth

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-50

The step up to this trip seemed to work out well when winning in convincing style last time out. Obviously, gone up in the ratings but does look well capable of coping with this fact, and a follow-up could be on the cards.

14:47 2:47 Lingfield

Jolie Baie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

Ran well latest when finishing runner-up, and the ground conditions are certainly in this one's favor this afternoon. Goes well on the soft going, top jockey on board, and looks a good each-way prospect.

14:25 2:25 Newbury

Primoz

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

The drop back down in trip will suit better today as this is its proven best distance, as was the case when winning on chase debut 2 outings ago. The going will suit this afternoon as well.

14:12 2:12 Lingfield

Galway Mahler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Very surprised to see this one trading at massive odds. If judging on the pulled-up run latest, have forgotten won 3 on the trot prior to that race. So to me, no forlorn hope and should make the frame at least.

13:37 1:37 Lingfield

Officer Of State

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Has impressed in the last 2 outings and won in style in one of these races and was runner-up in the other. Obviously, it has gone up in ratings and class of race, but those 2 runs should give this one confidence to cope with this today.

13:15 1:15 Newbury

Mt Fugi Park

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

A competitive-looking handicap chase, and this one makes its debut over the fences today. Still lightly raced, so there could be more improvement to come, and definitely looks the type to do better now chasing.

12:15 12:15 Ludlow

Of Course You Can

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.50 on 18/12 at 08:530.40 deduction for Queshi Bridge@2.50 withdrawn at 11:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.50 x (1-0.40) = 2.50

@2.50

Lose

-16

A C/D winner in October and has made the frame in 2 other runs at this course, so a proven record here. Don't think you can leave this one out of your calculations and it should add to its win tally today.

11:55 11:55 Lingfield

Rip Wheeler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Expect a big improvement from this one today. Stepped up in trip, which on previous evidence should suit fine. The stable is in good form, so could surprise at big odds.

17 December 2024

19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Captain Vallo

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.50

Lose

-3

Another runner being turned out again quickly, when only racing here 3 days ago finishing 3rd, is a reliable sort who arrives here in great form. I can see why the stable is trying to strike while the iron is hot.

18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Tickets

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Another one who goes well at this course. A close runner-up when running only 5 days ago. Being turned out quickly is always a good sign. The stable fancies its chances, and back up to 6 furlongs will also suit.

18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Paddys Day

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Does not win very often, but you can normally rely on this one making the frame, as its last 4 outings have proved. With the jockey's handy 5 lbs claim, this may be the case again this evening.

17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Drakeholes

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

Very consistent sort over C/D. Rarely runs a bad race here. A C/D winner 3 times this season who is still on a mark can be competitive from, and with 4 places on offer, will make the frame at least.

15:45 3:45 Wincanton

Linda Moon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Just got beat last time out over this trip, so I am a bit surprised it is being offered at such generous odds. With 4 places to aim for, it looks like a very good value each-way bet.

15:00 3:00 Catterick

Langton Wold

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

Reverts back to over the fences after two good runs over the smaller obstacles. Those two outings should have given this one's confidence a boost, and at the odds on offer, it is much better each-way value.

14:45 2:45 Wincanton

Another Folly

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

Placed in its last two outings, but the drop back in distance should suit better today, judging by the previous run over this trip. It is still very lightly raced for a 5-year-old, and there could be more improvement to come.

14:30 2:30 Catterick

Our Pink Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Won twice last season, and a drop back down in class of race will benefit this one having its first run of the season this term. The handy 5lbs claim by today's jockey will also aid its chances.

14:00 2:00 Catterick

Serious Chat

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 17/12 at 06:140.10 deduction for Frisby@7.50 withdrawn at 12:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.10) = 3.03Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.03 BOG

@4.50

Lose

-4

On the horses on show here, this looks like the one to give the short odds-on favorite something to worry about. Won in very convincing fashion last time out, and it's possible a follow-up win could be on the cards.

13:30 1:30 Catterick

Presenting Pete

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Has been running well in a higher grade of races without winning, and this drop down in class of race could be in this one's favor. Definitely not a forlorn hope at the good each-way odds available.

13:15 1:15 Wincanton

Garitsa Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

Very reliable over the hurdles, never finishing out of the frame in its last 6 outings, winning 2 of them. Now looks like the right time to have a try over the fences to see how good this one really is.

13:00 1:00 Catterick

Continuance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Pulled up last time out but is better judged on its debut run when running out a convincing winner. Ridden by the same jockey as today, and back down to this class of race should aid this one's efforts to add to its win tally.

12:45 12:45 Wincanton

Hobbs Delight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Ran well on chase debut when finishing a close 2nd but never really got into the race next time out. The ground conditions should be more to this one's liking this afternoon and looks a good each-way punt.

16 December 2024

19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Plumette

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Not won for a while but has been placed in its last 3 outings over C/D, so looks poised to strike tonight. It's interesting to note that a top jockey takes over the reins this evening.

16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Kyber Crystal

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

Would have been probably better than the 3rd place latest had it not been badly hampered at the start. Ran on well at the finish on its first Tapeta run, so could come in here at a decent price.

15:22 3:22 Southwell

My Gift To You

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Interesting that this one has been switched back to hurdles and goes off a lower rating over the smaller obstacles. Very consistent in both spheres, so looks a safe bet today.

14:22 2:22 Southwell

Jesuila Des Mottes

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

Does look the alternative bet to the short odds on favorite. Shaped well last time out when finishing 3rd to two useful types, and at these odds makes it the ideal each way bet.

12:40 12:40 Plumpton

Touquet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Back down in trip should suit better today, having won over this distance previously. With the front two in the betting market being too short in price to be interested in, this one does look a value bet.

11:52 11:52 Southwell

Jessmae

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-10

Judging by its PTP runs over this distance, this one should be well suited to this step up in trip. Runner-up last time out in its first try over fences, so looks like it is heading in the right direction.

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