Simbad007

Specialise in finding value in feature handicaps

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Simbad007's Tips History

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02 May 2024
19:40 7:40 Punchestown

Goldinthemountains

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Ran well here last year on bumper debut with LTO winning a decent bumper @Leopardstown at Christmas beating a useful looking yardstick Mywayofthinkin. Should enjoy the better ground here and looks a nice prospect.
18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Lucky Lyreen

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed and should relish this trip. Won a novice hurdle here in Feb over 2m 7f beating a progressive type who won next time out. LTO beat a progressive McManus type who was looking for the hattrick @Fairyhouse so a mark of 133 still looks very workable and the better ground may suit more.

Popova

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed as a stayer, 4th in the Pertemps qualifier here in Novemeber from this mark and was 8th in the Pertemps Final from 7lbs higher. With the jockey claiming 3lbs here looks sure to run a big race with better ground sure to suit.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Pinkerton

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

360

Totally unexposed over fences and looks well handicapped from a mark of 130 considering it was 10th in County hurdle last year from 11lbs higher. Won well @Tipperary LTO in a novice chase which should act as a good confidence booster.
16:13 4:13 Chantilly

Will Scarlet

Daily Racing

75 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.50

Void

0

Stable in form and relished the step up to this trip on the comeback winning a 3 year old conditions race with considerable ease. Looks a decent prospect.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Nara

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 01/05 at 22:320.00 deduction for Luminous Light@51.00 withdrawn at 09:310.10 deduction for Undeniable Alibi @8.500 withdrawn at 14:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.1) = 9.10

@9.10

Win

15

Was a decent 7th in the Boodles @Cheltenham on handicap debut. 5lbs lower here on better ground and there could be more to come. Harsh franked the Boodles form on Wednesday.
01 May 2024
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Miss Dolly Rocker

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

Won over C&D here in November and is now 5lbs higher. Had a clear comeback run @Bath at the start of April in a class 3 which should leave her spot on for this with good low draw.
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Jayyash

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-100

Looks chucked in here for the red hot Gosden team on handicap debut after a stylish novice win here on 3rd career start. The 7l debut run behind Guineas hopeful Ghostwriter makes an opening mark of 80 very appealing.
18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Speculatrix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Won on bumper debut here in Feb 23 with a now rated 135 horse 6l behind that day. Came back from a 400 day absence to run a credible 6th in the mares bumper @Aintree . Expect to be sharper here and offers good value.
18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Brideswell Lad

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

Won at this meeting last year over 3m on decent ground and even though 10lbs higher this year has a good weight to run well again and won @Leopardstown LTO in a listed handicap so coming to the boil at right time.
17:10 5:10 Ascot

Roarin Success

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Stable red hot and this horse won here first up last season from 1lb higher taking into account the jockey's 5lb claim here in a race that had more depth than this. This lightly raced Roaring Lion filly has likely more to give and may progress this season.
17:00 5:00 Pontefract

Condor Pasa

Daily Racing

50 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.88

Void

0

Has run 3rd in 2 decent maidens @Kempton and LTO looked to finish behind 2 decent prospects in Suspicion who has won since and Creative Story who went on to be 2nd @Newmarket in a decent maiden. Cut in the ground should be no problem and after being gelded should have too much for these rivals.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Better Days Ahead

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Showed great battling qualities to win the Martin Pipe which looks strong handicap form and has been likely crying out for this trip. The sire Milan relishes decent ground so this must have a great chance.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Don Chalant

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Ex Mullins horse who ran well here 2 years ago when 4th in the 2m 2f bumper. Came back from 600+ days off the track to run 3 times over hurdles this season for a new yard and has improved each start with LTO hacking up @Fairyhouse . Could have more to offer especially on better ground and looks good each way value.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown

Park Of Kings

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Won here earlier in season over 2m and is totally unexposed over this trip in handicaps. Last 2 runs in competitive handicaps @Leopardstown including 5th LTO in the 3m listed handicap @Dublin Racing Festival look strong levels of form.

Walk Away Harry

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

At the foot of the weights for the canny Byrnes team and this horse won a bumper at this festival last season and considering the novice hurdle run 7l behind Readin Tommy Wrong has to be chucked in here from a mark of 113 and the better ground will also likely spark more improvement.
13:10 1:10 Ascot

Rock Hunter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Has an eye catching pedigree being out of Expert Eye & Dutch Art, a good mix of speed and stamina and was impressive when winning easily on debut in France. Has fancy entries and this stiff track should be ideal and stable in form.
30 April 2024
20:25 8:25 Catterick

Trilby

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.50

Void

0

5lb penalty for win LTO @Haydock when travelling powerfully and winning with authority. Won here first up this season and with jockey claiming 7lbs here well in big time running from the comeback mark of 67 against modest rivals.
18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Sutherland

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

100,000 euro gelding related to a bumper winner and 130 rated hurdler Thanksforthehelp. Top connections and the sire Flemensfirth has decent strike rate in bumpers.
18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Montys Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Has the best form finishing behind Corbetts Cross @Fairyhouse before thrashing Three Card Brag here and then a strong effort behind the talented Fact To File in the RSA.
17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Dinoblue

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Will appreciate this better ground and won the 2m handicap chase here last season. High class mare rated 160 who was 2nd to Limerick Lace @Cheltenham and 8l behind El Fabiolo @Dublin racing festival. That's the strongest form and getting 7lbs from the boys will also help.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Nusret

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

75

90 rated on the flat and has plenty of scope in handicap hurdles now on better ground and last year was 8l behind Lossiemouth here. Has won a 3 year old hurdle here and should improve on the 7th in a handicap hurdle @Leopardstown at Christmas on testing ground.

Toto Too

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed on 2nd start for Cromwell and looks well handicapped based on novice and bumper form. On winning debut for Cromwell LTO had recent easy Perth winner Stoke the Fire 2l behind. The strong gallop here and better ground should suit this horse perfectly with plenty of gears.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Slade Steel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Supreme novice winner which is the best form in this race with Mystical Power franking the form @Aintree. Hasn't run since Cheltenham so fresher than main rivals here and has winning bumper form here.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Montregard

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced improving sort at the foot of the weights for the Lacey team who will enjoy the decent ground and improved massively from the comeback to win a competitive handicap LTO @Wetherby over 2m 5f beating 2 LTO winners. Just 2lbs higher here and surely more in locker.

Morricone

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

25

Only raced here this season and has shown progressive form winning last 2 even with the saddle slipping LTO. Just 5th start for current yard who have had a recent winner and the 8lb rise should be manageable and being out of Shantou may improve further for the better ground.
29 April 2024
18:20 6:20 Naas

Ocean Quest

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Stable flying and this horse had a good level of form including a dominant Group 3 win here last August. Has also run 2nd to The Antarctic here. Goes well fresh.
16:34 4:34 Windsor

Dark Dreamer

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

5lbs higher for cosy win @Kempton LTO on handicap debut shaping like a horse who may be progressive. Marquand booked so they mean business.
28 April 2024
16:50 4:50 Southwell

Billboa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Progressive Irish raider at the right end of weights with good draw who should relish surface. Been winning over 5f recently but has won over 6f and there is likely more to come over this trip.
16:15 4:15 Southwell

Blue Day

Daily Racing

65 WINNB

@2.37

Win

89

Stable red hot and this horse at the right end of weights looks well handicapped from a mark of 77 considering the debut run behind 90+ rated horses James Delight and Mister Sketch.
15:55 3:55 Bath

Ciara Pearl

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

125

Ran well here on debut and is unbeaten in 2 handicap starts and should relish the return to 10f and the pedigree suggests cut in the ground should be no problem. More to come in winnable race.
27 April 2024
17:20 5:20 Sandown

Gold Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

0

Could be chucked in here from a mark of 130 for Willie Mullins when we have no idea how good this horse is after 2 novice runs behind Ballyburn and then Captain Cody. May relish this better ground.
17:15 5:15 Ripon

Clear Angel

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.33

Void

0

4th in the Spring mile LTO on the comeback when drawn low and not getting a perfect run through. Same mark here in weaker race. Big chance.
17:10 5:10 Navan

Almuhit

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

Has had 2 hurdle races for Emmet Mullins since switching yards and showed a lot more LTO when beaten 6l in a class 2 pertemps hurdle qualifier. Could be interesting now back on the flat with that fitness edge and a good jockey booked in Ben Coen.
16:35 4:35 Navan

Bay Of Sanibel

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 27/04 at 10:550.00 deduction for Sandyman@21.00 withdrawn at 11:050.00 deduction for Glyde Ranger @13.000 withdrawn at 11:070.10 deduction for Narlita @8.500 withdrawn at 15:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.1) = 7.30

@7.30

Win

6

Stable in form and this maiden winner could be well handicapped from a mark of 75 with the horse he beat last time having a novice rating of 78.
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Le Milos

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Looks interesting back over fences after a season over hurdles. 3lbs lower than when 10th in Grand National last year and has won @Sandown previously. Prefers better ground and surely will run big from Skelton team who may have had this race as plan all season.
14:52 2:52 Navan

Purple Lily

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-100

Unbeaten in 2 starts and looks a class filly easily beating a 108 rated Ballydoyle colt @Naas on the comeback. Has a fitness edge here also and should have no problems with 10f
14:05 2:05 Leicester

Al Mubhir

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Won this race last year from 7lbs lower but has shown he can still be competitive from this mark with respectable runs in the Golden Mile and Balmoral handicaps. Been gelded over winter which could unlock more.
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Court In The Act

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Looks off a nice weight here for the in form Derham team and will appreciate the drying ground. Won a class 2 maiden @Kempton at Christmas which was likely decent form before a prep LTO to qualify behind the progressive Go To War @Ludlow on soft ground.

Fiercely Proud

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Looks to have been aimed at this after qualifying early and will appreciate the drying ground. Won 2 novices easily going right handed before 2 placed efforts in Grade 2 novice races behind Jeriko Reponet & Lump Sum when the ground was softer. Stable had terrific season.
26 April 2024
18:20 6:20 Downpatrick

Peaches And Cream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Had a light season with this race in mind after a good 3rd 2 years ago before dotting up in the staying handicap @Punchestown festival. With jockey claim here running from 1lb lower than that mark. The runs in England this season in competitive handicaps have been respectable from a higher English mark including 4th in the Edinburgh National. Drying ground imperative.
17:50 5:50 Downpatrick

Surf Club

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

Looks well in here back over hurdles after winning a novice chase over this trip on decent ground LTO. Staying looks the key for this horse and this handicap shouldn't take much winning. The horse he beat over fences and giving 5lbs to is rated 102 over hurdles so this mark of 98 looks a shoe in.
17:35 5:35 Cork

Take Heart

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Likely will improve from the 10th in the Irish Lincoln which was over a mile on testing ground. Stable in better form now and this horse looked progressive last season and back to 10f on better ground here should be ideal from same mark.
15:50 3:50 Perth

Chasing Fire

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Classy novice hurdler who had winning form right handed and is yet to set world alight over fences but stable in blistering form @Perth and this new trip could unlock the potential and see off these modest rivals from the same mark as when 2nd LTO @Kelso.
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Arabian Crown

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.00

Win

100

The class act in this race who has won a maiden here. Won the Stonehedge stakes @Salisbury before powering away @Newmarket in the Zetland Stakes over this trip. Near the top of the Derby market.
14:50 2:50 Cork

Countess Of Tyrone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

This looks like another smart prospect for the Twomey stable after winning on debut @Galway last season over this trip. Well bred and is likely to contest decent races this season even though the maiden form looks average on the face of it.
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Hand Of God

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 25/04 at 19:230.00 deduction for Nellie Leylax@15.00 withdrawn at 09:050.10 deduction for Cogitate @9.000 withdrawn at 12:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.1) = 2.69

@2.69

Win

84

Stable in form and this horse could be a big improver this year after winning a Newmarket maiden last October in good fashion. That was likely decent form and should progress from this mark of 88.

Royal Supremacy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Won on debut here last season and needed every yard of 7f so this 1m trip looks ideal. Was 8l behind Bracken's Laugh on 2nd start who was an impressive winner @Newmarket's April meeting recently to frank form. Won on handicap debut @Kempton in the Autumn beating a decent Gosden horse and a 4lb rise looks manageable from bottom weight here.
25 April 2024
18:45 6:45 Huntingdon

Call The Dance

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

Kayf Tara mare who requires decent ground and looks well handicapped from a mark of 109 considering the bumper win beating Sunday Soldier who is rated 120 over hurdles after a number of wins. The win LTO @Wincanton in a novice was a straightforward success.
16:20 4:20 Warwick

Take No Chances

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 24/04 at 22:510.00 deduction for Flight Deck@29.00 withdrawn at 13:570.20 deduction for Saint Davy @5.000 withdrawn at 14:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.2) = 3.40

@3.40

Win

120

Unexposed at the trip and was unlucky not to get the verdict LTO @Newbury when just being denied by Zain Nights. That horse franked the form when winning @Cheltenham last week and based on bumper form Take No Chances will rank higher than this 121 rating.
15:10 3:10 Warwick

Kintail

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.33

Void

0

Win his novice hurdle here at start of the season and will appreciate the dryer ground now on 2nd handicap start after a decent run 20l behind the 130 rated Inthewaterside @Lingfield on handicap debut.

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