Denostin
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
Denostin's Tips History
27 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Ripon
Clear Angel
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@4.33
Void
0
Clear Angel a 6yo gelding trained by Susan Corbett (9/51 wins 26/51 placed in last 90 days so clearly a talented trainer) is 3/12 wins on turf and his programme is mapped out with precision like 2023 - in 2023 finished 6/23 in the Doncaster Spring mile then won next two starts off 70-76 and this year made reappearance in Doncaster Spring mile and run a blinder finishing 4/18 off today's mark of 79 and Clear Angel looks primed and ready to make it 4/13 wins today under Harry Russell
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16:45 4:45 Sandown
Outlaw Peter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Outlaw Peter a 8yo gelding trained by Paul Nicholls comes here in good form 2-3-1-1 and was beaten by Blow Your Wad (rated 135 in that race) three starts back at Kempton by 1.5l Blow Your Wad has since won posting a career high RPR of 151 - Outlaw Peter 8/19 wins 3/6 chasing is a three time winner on today's good ground and looks very progressive and can make it three in row under Freddie Gingell of 139 with his 5lb claim having posted a career high RPR of 148 at Ayr under Harry Cobden last time out and provide some consolation for Paul Nicholls and team
16:35 4:35 Navan
St Faz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
St Faz is a 4yo gelding trained by E J O'Grady has scope for further improvement having only had four starts and comes here off a mark of 73 just 3lb higher than last run and win at Down Royal under Shane Foley - the trainer books another top jockey today in the shape of Billy Lee and his yard couldnt be in better form on the flat running only two runners this campaign and winning with Ecureuil Secret 15-2 and Rumi 16-1 - St Faz offers us some value at 10-1
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15:00 3:00 Sandown
Nube Negra
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Nube Negra is a class act trained by Dan Skelton 5/17 wins as a chaser posting a career high RPR of 168 which is no mean feat and feel with today's good ground which he loves he could take advantage of any mistakes by Jonbon (career high RPR of 172) and El Fabiolo (career high RPR of 179) but has questions to ask having been pulled up after a bad mistake at Cheltenham (has this race come to soon) - there are worse 50-1 shots than Nube Negra and trained by a top class team
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14:25 2:25 Sandown
Fantastic Lady
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
420
Fantastic Lady a 9yo mare trained by Nicky Henderson comes here having finished 6/22 in the Topham and finished runner up in the Topham in 2023 beaten 1.75l and looks to have been aimed at this contest having finished third in 2023 - Nicky Henderson didn't have a great Cheltenham but he's too good a trainer not to finish the season with a flourish and Fantastic Lady offers excellent each way value
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Secret Squirrel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Secret Squirrel a 5yo gelding trained by Hughie Morrison is 4/7 wins and comes here with a right profile - the last five winners of this race had won their last race and won it no later the 24th March of that year so coming here fit and in form is a big factor - a likely pacesetter and can add to his tally on handicap hurdle debut under David Bass who gets on with this horse very well
13:10 1:10 Navan
Art Of Unity
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
Art Of Unity is a 9yo gelding trained by Muredach Kelly and is 5/61 wins two of who which have come at this track over CD and has placed a further seven times at Navan - last win come off 76 and runs off 53 so arguably regressive but did finish 3/20 three starts back beaten a length behind Rathbranchurch (runs today 6-1) and is 5lb better off today with Rathbranchurch then finished runner up on next start than disappointed as 5-2f over CD last start - has a 192 day break to over come but has run well fresh finish 2-1 after 100+ day breaks - will relish today's good ground and offers some value at 22-1 given course form handicap mark of 46 under Mr T R Costello 7lb claim
Rathbranchurch
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Rathbranchurch is a 4yo gelding trained by Michael Mulvany and has a lovely affair with Navan finishing 3-2-1-2 in four starts at this track - being a 4yo has more scope for improvement than most of his rivals and arrives off the back of a promising reappearance finishing 5/20 at the Curragh after a 168 day break - must have a big chance with normal improvement from a pleasing comeback last Saturday and given he's turned out so quickly indicates his wellbeing - put in a combination forecast with Art Of Unity and Distillate
Subtotal120
26 April 2024
18:20 6:20 Downpatrick
Regina Dracones
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Regina Dracones a 9yo mare trained by Thomas Gibneyis 5/30 wins and looks on a decent mark on 117 having posted a career high RPR of 130 and has the expertise of jockey Darragh O'Keeffe who rides this track well landing 13 winners in recent years
Tullybeg
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
Tullybeg a 9yo gelding trained by Gordon Elliott is the class act in this race with 9/25 wins and should appreciate this stamina test and will relish ground conditions and jockey Danny Gilligan won on him in May last year in a listed handicap chase at Bellewestown and is definitely one to consider despite top weight
17:35 5:35 Cork
Cristal Clere
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Cristal Clere is a 6yo gelding owned and trained by John J Nallen is 3/9 on turf and has won over todays trip and yielding ground - come to hand this time last year winning twice in April and seemingly is again this year posting a near career high RPR of 99 when beaten just 3l in a listed race last time out - drops in class today and returns to grass today for a trainer in hot form - his last two flat runners have run well - Mercurial won by 3l and was bet into 9-1 from an early 35-1 (I tipped it up on here) and his last flat runner Firebrand finished 4/12 beaten 2.5l went odds on in running on the betting exchanges having led inside the final furlong and Cristal Clere can go close today with conditions to suit at a time of year where he seemingly thrives under Sean D Bowen and his 5lb claim a jockey gets on well with Cristal Clere having won on him all four occasions once on the All Weather
16:45 4:45 Sandown
Spaceport
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Two against the field here with a 3yo colt in the shape of Spaceport trained by William Muir & Chris Grassick - has experience over today's trip and acts on good and soft going - should have strengthened up from 2 to 3 after a 184 days absence - last run in a class 2 nursery at Newmarket beaten 3l (14-1 into 8-1) but kept on well behind High Point who was making it two wins in a row - today's drop in class off 77 looks doable given he is a half brother to four winners who performed best over todays trip and further and William Muir & Chris Grassick won the last running of this race in 2022 and have picked up 5 handicaps at Sandown in the last four years
Tipsy Tiger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Tipsy Tiger a 3yo filly trained by William Stone could prove to be a fly in the ointment here at 33-1 and off bottom weight on just 8st 9lb - a winner on penultimate start beating Roman Secret (won next time out at 25-1) over 8.5f on heavy ground - Stone steps his charge up to 10f today on seasonal reappearance and encounters good ground for the first time since debut but this should suit being out of a dam Tigerfish (IRE) coincidentally trained by William Stone who improved with racing winning 9 times five of which come over 10f+and she loved to hear her feet rattle winning five times on good and good to firm ground - William Stone also does well at Sandown sending 11 runners here in recent years and entered the winners enclosure on 4 occasions and his filly could prove to be a lively outsider at 33-1 under the useful Pierre-Louis Jamin
15:40 3:40 Doncaster
Too Bossy For Us
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@3.50
Void
0
Too Bossy For Us a 3yo colt sired by Golden Horn trained by Kevin Philippart De Foy posted a career high RPR of 77 at Kempton over a mile back in March and did well in the circumstances to be beaten 1.5l Towards rear, switched right and headway under 2f out, went third 1f out - Kevin Philippart De Foy steps his colt up to 1m 2f on handicap debut which could see Too Bossy For Us to better effect being a third foal and half brother to winners Cloud Guidance and Activist who performed best over 1m 2f and Too Bossy For Us is my short priced banker of the day
14:15 2:15 Cork
Pinball Wizard
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
35
Pinball Wizard a 6yo gelding owned and trained by John J Nallen is 4/34 wins and runs today off a mark of 62 and has posted a career high RPR of 76 on turf - finished 4/14 at Dundalk earlier thid month and didnt go unfancied 16-1 in to 10-1 - returns to grass today for a trainer in hot form his last two flat runners Mercurial won by 3l and was bet into 9-1 from an early 35-1 (I tipped it up on here) and his last flat runner Firebrand finished 4/12 beaten 2.5l went odds on in running on the betting exchanges having led inside the final furlong - Pinball Wizard could add to that tally off just 57 with Sean D Bowen 5lb claim particularly if today's yielding ground dries out during the day as has a liking for good ground
13:15 1:15 Sandown
Hedge Fund
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Hedge Fund a 3yo gelding trained by William Muir & Chris Grassick is 2/8 wins and made a very encouraging seasonal reappearance as a 3yo after a 171 day absence on heavy ground (prefers today good ground) when beaten 2.5l by Adaay In Devon - Led, went clear going best 2f out, ridden and much reduced lead inside final furlong, headed inside final 110yds, weakened towards finish, no match for winner - Hedge Fund showed a lot of speed in that contest will come on leaps and bounds for the run - the winner Adaay In Devon has franked the form since winning a listed race at Bath and looks highly progressive - Hedge Fund should put up a bold showing under Lewis Edmunds
Subtotal-265
25 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City
Overnight Oats
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Overnight Oats trained by Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole is a 4yo gelding who looks open to progress - runs off 74 and this two time winner showed he's capable of winning off inflated mark when finishing runner up at Epsom off 75 beaten 1/2l posting a RPR of 80 and finished runner up at Ffos Las beaten 1.25l posting a RPR of 81 last August and looks capable of making an impression on second start after a 186 day absence for an in form stable
19:22 7:22 Wexford
Twentyfourcarrot
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Win
75
Twentyfourcarrot a 4yo filly trained by Declan Queally has a lovely pedigree dam bumper/hurdle winner winning a bumper on debut at 25-1 at Market Rasen and is owned by S O'Neill who has tasted success with the Declan Queally trained Western Victory 8/22 wins RPR 147 hurdling and 145 chasing and S O'Neillmay have recruited another nice prospect in Twentyfourcarrot - trainer has also landed a couple of big priced winners with Rocky's Diamond 22-1 Diamond Nora 22-1 and Twentyfourcarrot has to be considered on debut
18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City
Respectable Jack
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 81.00 used instead of 67.00 takenBOG
@81.00
Win
375
This maiden won't take a lot of winning with the top recorded RPR being only 70 and it might be worth taking a chance with Matt Crawley's Respectable Jack who whilst finishing 9/9 on debut represents an in form yard having won Taxus Baccata 12-1 and Local Music 6-1 (today's owners) with 2 of last 3 starters - a first foal out of a dam 4-2-4 whom posted a RPR of 79 - Respectable Jack makes debut as a 3yo afted a 301 day break and could have strengthened up over recent months now gelded and the booking of Callum Shepherd also appeals
17:15 5:15 Wexford
Donkey Years
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
Donkey Years is a 10yo gelding trained by E McNamara who is 3/20 wins but not won since April 22 off a mark of 128 posting a career high RPR of 133 under Mark Walsh in a handicap chase but hasnt cut any ice since in good quality races - reverts to hurdles today 1/2 wins off a much reduced mark of 116 (won on hurdles debut) and is dropped in class today having run in a listed race last start and this could bring about some improvement for E McNamara and connections a trainer who landed a 25-1 winner yesterday with Killinure Lass so it could be a good time to catch Donkey Years who stays trip and is ground versatile
Mick Charlie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
Mick Charlie a 12yo gelding has been in great form of late and should be difficult to keep out of the frame a winner of 3 of last 6 races and Paul Townend rides and is competing for jockeys title - Mick Charlie beat Dutch Schultz on penultimate start by 2.25l in a chase and Dutch Schultz has finished runner up twice since posting a career high RPR of 125 on last start and Mick Charlie should be competitive in this contest now back hurdling 4/15 wins
15:20 3:20 Beverley
Dambuster
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.50 on 25/04 at 07:510.15 deduction for Spirit Of Acklam@5.50 withdrawn at 10:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.50 x (1-0.15) = 2.28
@2.27
Win
63
Oisin Murphy is a rare visitor to Beverley having had just 21 rides in the last 10 years but rarely leaves empty handed riding 9 winners and today he rides Dambuster who made a favourable impression winning on 2yo debut at Sandown (both #2 and #3 have won since) and Andrew Balding thought Dambuster was good enough to contend a Group 3 on next start but finished 4/4 and swiftly put away for the winter - Oisin Murphy has ridden five times for Andre Balding at Beverley and when combined they are 1-2-1-2-4-1 and as such Dambuster is my short priced banker of the day
14:10 2:10 Beverley
Stat Goddess
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Stat Goddess a 2yo filly trained by Craig Lidster is a half sister to 5 individual winners who performed best over 5/6f posting career high RPR ranging from 78-92 so comes from a speedy pedigree and dam whilst unraced was related to three decent sorts Campbeltown RPR of 98 and Rigolleto RPR of 94 who both placed in listed races as 2yo - Lidster send of his better 2yo prospects to Beverley being 5/16 wins with 2yo if entering contest with a reasonable chance being 25-1 or less and Stat Goddess could prove to be a surprise package particularly with William Pyles 5lb claim with such a precocious pedigree
Subtotal313
24 April 2024
20:14 8:14 Bellewstown
Withabitofluk
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.50
Win
375
Withabitofluk a 5yo gelding sired by Yorgunnabelucky (USA) (14/97 wins in bumpers) makes debut for Henry De Bromhead (6/17 wins with recent runners) and he is a full brother to Spread Boss 3/7 wins including a bumper RPR 142 (Willie Mullins) Aslukwoodhavit 2/10 wins RPR 132 trained by Henry De Bromhead and Aslukgoes 3/4 wins in bumpers RPR of 120 all owned by todays owner R S Brookhouse and any favourable market interest would speak volumes
19:40 7:40 Bellewstown
Malton Groove
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Malton Groove a 7yo gelding trained by one of my go to trainers Dermot A McLoughlin has been disappointing the last twice but should be best looked at on three starts back beaten 2.25l Midfield, smooth headway 7th, outpaced home turn, kept on approaching last, stayed on run-in, nearest finish (jockey said gelding hung left throughout over 2m 4.5f and the step up to 3m today with a more experienced jockey on board in the shape of Conor Maxwell bodes well - out of top sire Kayf Tara and a half brother (fifth foal) to four individual winners notably Minella Times RPR 162 and Black Gerry a six time winner with a RPR of 139 and Malton Groove could defy current odds of 16-1
19:25 7:25 Gowran Park
Junot
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Junot is 0-0-0 on flat but remains unexposed and has taken a big step forward over hurdles of late finishing 4-3-4-2-3 before disappointment last time out when sent off 4-1f at Cork in March - posted a career high RPR of 96 when beaten a shd at Fairyhouse three starts back and comes here race fit and looks like a good bet now back on the flat off a basement mark of 46 and could potentially be 10+ pounds ahead of the handicapper - will stay and will handle todays ground
19:05 7:05 Bellewstown
OFaolains Glory
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-50
O'Faolains Glory a 7yo gelding trained by Ian Patrick Donoghue won by a comfortable 6l last time out in first time cheekpieces under Carl Millar posting a career high RPR of 93 - there looks more in the locker and it bodes well that Keith Donahue takes the reigns and O'Faolains Glory can go close to doubling his win tally for a trainer in hot form winning with his last three runners O'Faolains Glory Tankardstown Diva and Brownstone and O'Faolains Glory is my short priced banker of the day over same trip and ground as breakthrough win
17:45 5:45 Ludlow
Little Dipper
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Little Dipper a 4yo gelding makes bumper debut for Mel Rowley ( won with 3 of last 6 starters and placed a 250-1 in a bumper) is a half brother to three individual winners two from top yards notably Diamond Gait trained by Kim Bailey RPR of 127 and won on bumper debut and Gaitway trained by Nicky Henderson RPR of 127 who also won on bumper debut - therefore Little Dipper is of significant interest at 22-1
17:20 5:20 Bellewstown
So They Tell Me
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
So They Tell Me a 5yo gelding trained by Padraig Roche and owned by J P McManus and bred by Noreen McManus has to enter calculations on handicap hurdle debut - run well in deep maidens and last run finished 5/22 behing the Willie Mullins trained It's For Me RPR 141 Caldwell Potter now with Paul Nicholls won last two RPR 151 and is out of a three time winning dam who posted a career high RPR of 134 trained by C Roche so Padraig will know what he has and is probably a better horse than what has been shown to date and the opening mark of 106 could prove to be lenient and if fit after a break and attracts some market interest then all the stars will align and So They Tell Me coukd be one of the bets of the day under Mark Walsh
15:47 3:47 Catterick
Stellarmasterpiece
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Stellarmasterpiece a 4yo filly makes stable debut for Micky Hammond and is very difficult to assess as is an ex Polish filly but could possibly be have given a doable opening mark of 55 and 50 with Aiden Brookes 5lb claim - a third foal and half sister to horses which posted career high of 68-108 - another reason for optimism is the form that the stable brings to the table winning with their last two runners on the flat Thursdays Child 8-1 and Irv 20-1 thus it good being a good time to catch Stellarmasterpiece - probably been bought for a hurdles campaign but worth chancing on UK debut for an in form trainer off a lowly 50
14:35 2:35 Ludlow
Planet Legend
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 23/04 at 20:190.15 deduction for Fortunate Man@6.00 withdrawn at 09:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.15) = 16.30Best Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 16.30 BOG
@19.00
Win
64
Planet Legend a 5yo gelding trained by the in form duo of Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole (8/27 wins) is 2/8 wins over hurdles and runs off a career low handicap mark - last win at Kelso the form has worked out well the third Freddy Robinson won in his last race posting a career high RPR of 112 Duyfken 8l behind has won twice since posting a career high RPR of 113 - previous win beat Elogio (RPR 91) by an easy 15l at Huntingdons good ground and has since won posting a career high RPR of 121 and Allihies (RPR 78) finished third has won twice since and has posted a career high RPR of 116 - Planet Legend only issue is a step up in trip but looks well handicapped on 112 for a horse who likes the ground and runs for an in form trainer
14:20 2:20 Perth
Carrigeen Castle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Carrigeen Castle a 8yo gelding trained by Micky Hammond has been a revelation since sent chasing winning 3/6 rising some 25lb (all on today's soft ground) and currently sits on 119 - disappointing last time out in a better race than todays fair but had excuses having lost both hind shoes on April 7th and the fact that Hammond turns Carrigeen Castle out so quickly indicates Carrigeen Castles potential well being - Brian Hughes rides which is also an added bonus and the yard are in scintillating form winning with their last two starters Thursdays Child 8-1 and with Irv yesterday at 20-1 - despite being the outsider of the field Carrigeen Castle warrants a bet
Subtotal89
23 April 2024
19:15 7:15 Gowran Park
Firebrand
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Firebrand could hold each way prospects for John J Nallen 4-4-1 landing a gamble with Mercurial 25-1 into 9-1 (I tipped up) Handled testing conditions when second over hurdles recently, fair placed form in France and is a half brother to four individual winners and has the benefit of 5lb apprentice Sean D Bowen
18:15 6:15 Gowran Park
Quantum Light
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Quantum Light a 4yo filly trained by Andrew Slattery best run for new stable (was with Ralph Beckett) was a 1.5l defeat on heavy ground at Galway over 7f last July posting a career high RPR of 80 and should figure today on heavy ground and upped in trip after a promising reappearance at Dundalk after a 100+ day absence and is one to definitely enter today's staking plan
16:45 4:45 Tipperary
Nazine
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 23/04 at 08:230.00 deduction for Joes Turn@21.00 withdrawn at 10:570.00 deduction for Greenhill Damsel @12.000 withdrawn at 11:090.10 deduction for Weihnachts @9.000 withdrawn at 14:430.00 deduction for Made In Muckross @51.000 withdrawn at 15:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.1) = 9.10
@9.10
Win
15
Nazine is a 7yo gelding owned and trained by Michael J McDonagh is a winning hurdler early in his career but hasn't tasted success since - opened on a handicap mark of 115 and looked to have a bright future - been sent chasing and is 0-5 but has fallen to a winnable mark of 93 and 88 with Cian Quirke 5lb conditional claim - further cause for optimism is Nazine finished a close 5/8 at Leopardstown last time beaten 7.5l and done well in the circumstances as didnt always jump with fluency and hit the second fence - that was a much better race than todays fair with the top weight being rated 111 - Michael J McDonagh won this corresponding race last year with Positive Thinker and his Nazine looks capable of putting in a good shift today if he eliminates the mistakes
15:00 3:00 Tipperary
Golden Temple
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@SP
Lose
-50
Golden Temple a 4yo gelding trained by Noel Meade makes handicap hurdle debut off 104 and whilst not setting the world alight in qualifying runs as a 3yo hurdler he wasnt sent off bigger than 5-1 in three juvenile starts - expectations are quite high given form on flat posting a career high RPR of 86 over staying trips and could potentially be 124+ rated hurdler and warrants respect off 104 under Sam Ewing
14:25 2:25 Tipperary
Misty Milan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Misty Milan a 5yo mare trained by Declan Queally (16-1 and 22-1 winners in recent days) makes handicap hurdle debut off a lowly 91 and hasn't shown a great deal in qualifying yet there is a some hope - a fourth foal and half sister to a winning hurdler Grange Road RPR 120 (Paul Nicholls) and a full sister to both More Than A Memory 0-3 with a RPR of 123 and Thegingrin 0-4 with a RPR of 99 both trained by Gordon Elliott - the fact that Elliott and Nicholls trained those suggests connections see something in the breeding and Misty Milan could make her mark now handicapping and is worthy of a small each way interest at 20-1
Moulane West
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
Sometimes recent form doesn't tell the whole story 15-10-UR-17 last four starts for Moulane West 1/23 but never won over hurdles - this is a 80-95 handicap hurdle and Moulane West has posted a career high RPR of 115 and I like thr booking of Phillip Enright who is also in a drought 0-21 but he's to good a jockey not to land a winner sooner rather than later and Moulane West runs off a career low handicap mark of 91 today and could well surprise albeit a speculative bet this 8yo gelding has plenty of handicap hurdle experience
Subtotal-235
22 April 2024
19:50 7:50 Windsor
Quickfire
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Quickfire makes stable debut for Mark Loughnane and owner Laurence Bellman (take heed when his horses are punted) is a 3yo gelding who is 1/9 wins (today's good to firm ground over 7f) opening on a mark of 79 and has dropped to a lowly 63 and that combined with a return to turf after two spins on AW makes Quickfire of significant interest for a trainer who's yard seem to be in tip top form 1-1-5-2 winning with a 33-1 chance Mbappe and 7-1 chance Macauleys Tavern
18:50 6:50 Windsor
Spartan Warrior
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Spartan Warrior a 3yo gelding trained by Ollie Sangster makes second start after a 109 day absence - finished 7/13 last time out beaten 9.75l over 7f (should strip fitter today) - raced towards rear, some headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never dangerous and is stepped up to 1m 3f today which should suit being out of a thrice raced dam who won over 1m 2f - trainer is also in good form winning with 2 of his last 3 Per Contra 9-2 and Fondest Dream 11-1 with his last runner
18:40 6:40 Tramore
Double Windsor
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 29.00 on 22/04 at 10:340.00 deduction for Out Of The Park@34.00 withdrawn at 11:090.20 deduction for Erigmoor @4.500 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Larkfield Legacy @21.000 withdrawn at 15:310.00 deduction for Ennemi Public @17.000 withdrawn at 17:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 28.00 x (1-0.2) = 23.40
@23.40
Win
87
Double Windsor a 12yo gelding trained by David M O'Brien runs off a career low handicap mark of 62 with Cian Quirke taking off 5lb off just 9st 9lb - a five time winner and loves good ground winning four times and once on good to firm - finished 15l behind Kilmurry Jj 9-2 today in a handicap hurdle (chase today) and is 16lb better off and also finished a good 4/14 over CD three starts back beaten 7l behind stablemate Elegant Dan (runs today 12-1) and is 11lb better off - Double Windsor may probably need run but has run well at Tramore and holds weight reversals with a couple of more fancied rivals and has optimal ground conditions
17:25 5:25 Kempton
Uncle Arthur
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Uncle Arthur a 6yo gelding trained by James Owen hasn't cut much ice since leaving Fergal O'Briens yard but opened on 97 and runs off 85 today - this two time winner on good and soft ground sports first time cheekpieces and James Owen horses do well in this headgear 15/67 wins and last horse won Hecouldbetheone 10-1 into 100-30 - if Uncle Arthur can replicate the 3.25l defeat at Newcastle on stable debut (led until being headed on run in over 2m 1f) off 91 Uncle Arthur coukd have a big say on ground he likes off a 6lb lower mark over todays 2m
16:55 4:55 Kempton
Ronaldoreturns
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.50
Lose
-50
Ronaldoreturns a 6yo gelding trained by James Owens heads the weights on 12st off a mark of 97 on handicap hurdle debut and hasn't finished closer than 13l of the winner in three starts over hurdles which doesn't say much about all those below him in the handicap so trainer form combined with a promising 4/14 on hurdles debut could give him an edge - Mr Alex Chadwick takes off a useful 7lb and he and James Owens when combined on horses sent off 15-2 or less are 10/26 wins - James Owens has his yard in good form winning on the gambled on Hecouldbetheone 10-1 into 100-30 at Fontwell and winning with 14-1 chance Destinado at Musselburgh yesterday on the flat - Ronaldoreturns has to enter today's staking plan at 15-2
14:30 2:30 Hexham
Five Dollar Fine
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Five Dollar Fine is still a maiden but has been running with credit - beaten a 1l behind Breeze Of Wind on penultimate start and that horse was making it three wins in a row and has since won and has risen from 84 to 107 so Five Dollar Fine clearly bumped into a progressive horse - that was over 3m 1/2f and whilst disappointing at Carlise last time out 7-2 is dropped significantly in trip today but did run well over 2m 1f in May last year when beaten a neck at Newcastle off 101 - recently been ridden by conditionals Danny McMenamin takes over today which bodes well - trained by the excellent Anne Hamilton a trainer who places her horses well 40/168 wins in recent years and last runner Tommy's Oscar won on Saturday so stable clearly in good heart and Five Dollar Fine is my short priced banker of the day
Subtotal187
21 April 2024
16:37 4:37 Wincanton
Dark Material
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Dark Material trained by Anthony Honeyball is a 4yo gelding who was quietly fancied on debut at Wincanton where Honeyball sent out three in that race Crest Of Fortune 11-2 and won and the 3/9 Oakley's Way was 15-8f so he had three fancied horses and Honeyball is a bumper specialist winning 30/151 in such races in recent years - Dark Material is a likely improver being a second foal and a half brother to The Kemble Brewery 2/3 wins 2/2 in bumpers for Kim Bailey winning a class 2 bumper at Cheltenham and Dark Material should have more to offer today under 5lb conditional Freddie Gingell off just 10st 5lb
15:30 3:30 Curragh
Spanish Tenor
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-50
Spanish Tenor is a grand old 10yo gelding trained by Adrian McGuinness and is 8/70 wins on turf - logic tells us to stay away 0-9 wins at the Curragh and Adrian McGuinness is 0-14 wins with his recent runners but logic doesn't always win the day - Spanish Tenor makes third start after 140 day break resuming in March - on third start in March after a 140 day break in 2023 Spanish Tenor hit form 3-2-2 in April to June in much better races than today's fair and later won two races off 83 (made all) and 85 (made all) under todays jockey Cian MacRedmond (won on him last four times so knows this horse well) - last win he was beating horses rated 98 and lower so today's race is a huge drop in class - runs off 84 today and is a likely front runner - loves soft and heavy ground and has won over a mile and Spanish Tenor if on song can lead his rivals a merry dance given he is certain to stay down in class and looks well handicapped
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15:02 3:02 Wincanton
Baltic Voyage
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
Baltic Voyage trained by Anthony Honeyball (recruited from Ralph Beckett) is out of a dam who posted a RPR of 104 on the flat and was a half sister to six others who all won with three posting a RPR of 104-110-113 so basically a flat based pedigree but one went hurdling Baltic Storm 2/4 wins RPR of 121 so Baltic Voyage is impeccably bred and has a winning hurdler in the family -Baltic Voyage (RPR of 91 on flat) who pulled up on hurdles debut should be capable of landing a blow at some point of hurdles and can put in an improved performance today after a 3 month break under Sam Twiston-Davies
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13:57 1:57 Wincanton
Sabrina
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Win
600
Sabrina a four time winner trained by Paul Nicholls made seasonal reappearance over CD but flopped on soft ground (trainers rep said Sabrina would prefer better ground and today gets good ground tick number one ) - last win come on good to soft winning easily over CD under Harry Cobden off 120 in a class 2 (today's race a class 3) and today runs off 119 with Freddie Gingell 5lb conditional claim (tick number two) - Sabrina offers great value at 20-1 given she is a CD winner looking fairly treated on track and going she likes under a talented conditional
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Subtotal450
20 April 2024
17:55 5:55 Nottingham
Clipsham Noble
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Clipsham Noble trained by 2yo specialist Alice Haynes (55 2yo winners in recent years) and is a second foal and half brother to a moderate Thatsthefinest but he did win three races for John Butler and Clipsham Noble could make a winning debut for an owner who has won with Clipsham Gold and Clipsham La Habana
17:05 5:05 Curragh
Mercurial
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@36.00
Win
1050
Mercurial a 5yo gelding owned and trained by John J Nallen disappointed on reappearance after a 139 day absence over CD finishing 9/20 and was sent off as short as 5-1 - has run a further twice over CD 4/19 last August on good when beaten a length and finished 2/19 on penultimate start beaten a length on today's heavy ground - Mercurial may have needed last run but looks crazily overpriced at 35-1 given he goes on the ground and likes the track and has to enter today's staking plan under 5lb apprentice Robert Whearty
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Brighton
Oakley Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Oakley Boy trained by Stuart Williams and ridden by 5lb claimer Luke Catton (6/17 wins at Brighton in last rides) makes debut but is a colt and half brother to three winning sprinter (all won on AW so a potential issue) notablly Bring On A Spinner 4/15 trained by Stuart Williams so he will know what he has and Oakley Boy could be a surprise package
16:35 4:35 Bangor on Dee
Mythical Moon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
A small saver on the Alan King trained Mythical Moon who made bumper debut in the Kempton Winter meeting in February (class 3) being sent off 5-1 and will benefit from that experience as took a keen hold and eventually weaked - Mythical Moon is a half sister to the Alan King trained Gitche Gumee who won at Kempton Winter meeting in March 2922 on bumper debut (same progression path) then King sold Gitche Gumee to J P McManus who then duly obliged on hurdles debut and opened on a mark of 125 - Mythical Moon could be better much better than debut run if has learned to settle in much calmer waters in a class 4 at Bangor under a notable jockey booking in Brian Hughes
Saffin Storm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Saffin Storm is a 4yo gelding trained by Alistair Ralph and a 29,000 euros 3yo; first foal; unraced dam half-sister to useful hurdler Western Honour - trainer Alistair Ralph targets this meeting and comes to Bangor On Dee mob handed with 5 runners - he is 15/88 wins and has done exceptionally well with his bumper entries at Bangor 4/12 wins showing a LSP of £83.50 winnimg with Move Above 33-1 Iontach Cheval 40-1 Gentle River 14-1 and Magical Maggie 9-2 and Saffin Storm is another lively outsider at 16-1
16:30 4:30 Curragh
Northern Sonas
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 81.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG
@81.00
Win
375
Northern Sonas makes seasonal reappearance as a 3yo after a gelding operation - trained by A Oliver (won this in 2022 with Glory Daze) finished 9/10 on debut at Leopardstown over 7f which I feel is an inadequate trip - stepped up 3f today over 1m 2f and should suit being out of a RPR dam of 107 3/8 wins and one over 10f and 12f and handled soft ground - he is also a half brother to the John Gosden trained Taqleed 4/10 wins who performed best over todays trip RPR 108 - Northern Sonas also holds an entry next Tuesday which also suggests the gelding can put his best foot forward and the 33-1 appeals
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15:50 3:50 Newbury
Clove Hitch
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
Clove Hitch trained by Andrew Balding was sent off 5/6f on 2yo debut over 6f at this track in July but disappointed but 6f was never his trip - out of an unraced dam who is a half sister to five individual winners who performed best over today's mile and further notably Lillie Langtry 5/11 wins RPR of 127 and Count Of Limonade 5/14 RPR 110 - Andrew Balding record with horses making second start is also compelling 173 wins from 1003 runners and shows a healthy LSP particularly when David Robert or today's jockey Oisin Murphy ride - Murphy is 36/163 wins on horses making second start and 90/163 placed - Clove Hitch has to enter today's staking plan
15:47 3:45 Thirsk
Innocent Settler
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Innocent Settler a 2yo filly who makes debut for Alice Haynes who also saddles Naana's Diamond who also makes debut and this presents us with a bit of a dilemma as Alice Haynes has sent 5 2yo to Thirsk and all have won so 5/5! Innocent Settler is my decision being out of a dam owned and trained by Jim Bolger and whilst she never won she opened on a official rating of 84 and if Innocent Settler achieved anything near that form this race would be well within her grasp and Innocent Settler is my short priced banker of the day
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Anglers Crag
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
In the last five runnings of this race the form of last run read 1-1-2 (Mighty Thunder Midlands National) -1 ( Win My Wings Tote Eider Chase) -1 ( Kitty's Light Tote Eider Chase) and all had won in last two starts in February or March so recent form in class staying handicap chases seems to be a decisive factor - interestingly 2 of 5 last winners won on bumper debut Win My Wings and Joe Farrell and Anglers Crag a 9yo gelding trained by Brian Ellison (4/4 wins since joining yard) won the Tote Eider in February and won on bumper debut and comes here in great form having won Tote Eider posting a career high RPR of 140 on heavy ground in February and has to hold every chance off just 10st 4lb
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Inis Oirr
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Inis Oirr a 7yo gelding trained by Lucinda Russell showed some early promise when winning a novice hurdle at Musselburgh over 3m (RPR of 120) when beating Outlaw Pete trained by Paul Nicholls and Outlaw Pete has since won 5 times posting a career high RPR of 144 and won today possibly posting a much higher rating - Inis Oirr is 1/5 chasing but improved significantly when stepped up to 3m 7.5f at Musselburgh last time out posting a career high RPR of 137 trotting up by 21l in the Edinburgh National in a first time visor and today's mark of 133 should be very doable and it's also interesting that Lucinda Russell withdrew Inis Oirr from the Midlands National - this horse jumps for fun and today's trip with retained visor off just 10st 3lb are credentials hard to ignore
15:15 3:15 Newbury
Dashing Roger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
4 of the last 5 winners of this corresponding race had all benefitted from a recent run either in March/April and they had all won at Headquarters at Newmarket in their careers - Dashing Roger a 7yo gelding trained by William Stone (sent out a 33-1 winner with his last runner so yard could be hitting form) and has won at Newmarket - runs off 86 with Mia Nicholls 5lb claim and this horse who has won 2 of his last races is hardly regressive and given hes posted a career high of 106 he could present a good bet at 40-1 may have preferred heavy 3/3 but is ground versatile winning on good to soft soft and good to firm
14:50 2:50 Bangor on Dee
Jazz King
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
The are risks attached in picking Jazz King who makes second start for Alistair Ralph after being pulled up on stable debut at Doncaster after a 335 day absence but is unexposed as a chaser winning on chasing debut posting a career high RPR of 124 when beating Cartonne by a comfortable 12l a horse who is now 4/9 wins as a chaser having won twice since for Donald McCain - Jazz King is fitted with a first time tongue tie cheekpieces combo and could go well off just 113 if Ralph has resolved any underlying niggles with Jazz King
Subtotal1010
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