Tips History

AdamCox13579's Tips History

02 May 2024

18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Della Casa Lunga

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Della Casa Lunga has appeared to take her form to a new level the last twice. Readily making all in a pair of mares handicap hurdles at Ludlow. She runs here off a career high mark as a result but the form of her latest win has been franked with the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all winning. The horse also has previous smart form here (having been previously trained in Ireland) finishing 2nd to Sandor Clegane over 2m4f here in 2023 and plenty of the UK raiders have ran well this week in competitive handicaps.

01 May 2024

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Lecky Watson

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

The Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham saw several fancied runners underperform. Stellar Story ran down The Jukebox Man with Dancing City doing the best of those sent off single figure odds in 3rd. Form that was fairly comfortably reversed at Aintree. That level of form makes Dancing City the one to beat but a 3rd tough race in a short period may be reason enough to take him on. Stablemate Lecky Watson only managed 5th in the Albert Bartlett but he finished less than a length behind Dancing City in 3rd and arrives here fresher. The selection may also benefit from the less demanding stamina test, having finished a close up 2nd behind Slade Steel in a 2m4f G2 in December (when finishing ahead of Stellar Story and Better Days Ahead).

02:30 IND Pacers @ MIL Bucks

MIL Bucks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.55

Win

Milwaukee were already up against it without Giannis and loosing Lillard looked like the final nail but they played well to push Indiana to OT in their penultimate meeting and I wouldn't expect Indiana to repeat their 22/43 from 3 shooting in the last game - averaged 12.3 makes per game at 29.8% in the other 3 games). The Bucks now return to home court facing an elimination game and despite the missing stars, look value at a odds-against price.

01:00 ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers

ORL Magic

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.87

Lose

-50

The first 4 games of the series have been split 2-2 but none of the games have been closer than 10 points. The Cavaliers won the first two by 14 & 10 then the Magic won the next two by 38 & 23. There is a chance that home court advantage is key, which is likely why they are favourites here despite back to back blow-out losses but I think the Magic have been the better team across the series so far and look a more than fair price to make it 3 wins in a row back in Cleveland.

00:00 PHI 76ers @ NY Knicks

Over 204.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Both teams struggled for offence in the most recent game even with Jalen Brunson dropping 47 on his own, as a result the total fell way under, finishing at 189 but the previous 3 games finished with 215, 205 and 239 points. A big reason for the drop off in the last game was poor shooting more than any other factor (highlighted by them going a combined 16/60 from 3 point range - They'd previous made 28, 24 & 28 3-pointers at a 40% rate).

20 April 2024

15:35 3:35 Ayr

Mr Vango

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

I have a lot of respect for Stay Away Fay and although he is unlikely to have much in hand off a mark of 158, he is clearly better than he showed last time out and looks overpriced as a result but the similarly lightly raced Mr Vango will be the pick here. The selection has been raised 3lb for his NH chase 3 latest but that seems fair considering the winner Corbetts Cross is now rated 165, runner-up Embassy Gardens 150 and Kilbeg King (who finished just mid-field at Aintree) rated 138. That was only Mr Vango's 3rd chase start, having finished 3rd at Wincanton in December and bolted up by 60l at Exeter on his first start at extreme distances.

14:40 2:40 Newbury

Son

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Son was consistent without improving last year but he was competiting in good races (5th in 3 G2s & 3rd in a listed race) as a result he comes in to this with the 2nd highest OR behind Army Ethos (who gained his for finishing 2nd to River Tiber at Ascot - but was beat on seasonal reappearance at 2/9f). Pat Dobbs/Richard Hannon had a double in these silks here yesterday and Richard Hannon has had a good week sending out Haatem (similar profile to Son) to bolt up in the Craven Stakes.

14:25 2:25 Ayr

Afadil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

L'Eau du Sud deserves to get his head in front after a pair of cracking efforts in defeat in both the Betfair hurdle and the County but this maybe a slight after thought and he would prefer more testing conditions. Afadil finished 3 1/2l behind the favourite in the County but he gets a 3lbs pull in the weights and he continued in good form, finishing 3rd in a big field handicap at Aintree (probably helped by being held up in a race which rather fell apart). Obviously he has had a busier schedule than the aforementioned L'Eau du Sud but he had a similar campaign last season (placed at Ascot instead of Aintree) and that culminated in a going away win here over C&D (1-1 at Ayr). All ground comes alike to Afadil and he has proven tactically versatile

14:05 2:05 Newbury

Star Music

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

I'd be keen to oppose Relief Rally who looked an exception 2yo unlikely to improve at 3 but which rival to go for is difficult with so many unexposed runners. Folgaria probably has achieved the most and has looked good slamming her rivals in Italy but that's hard form to quantify, so i'll stick with the proven form of Star Music. The selection, showed the benefit for the step up to 7f when easily making all at Kempton in September and then ran with huge credit upped to G3 level in the Oh So Sharp stakes. The winner Dance Sequence got beat in the Neil Gwyn earlier this week but shaped like the best horse to me and the 4th home Chic Colombine has won her only subsequent start by 6l (at listed level in France). Trainer Richard Hughes has booked William Buick for the ride and has been in excellent form of late (6 wins from 18 in the last 14 days with runners sent off 4/1 or shorter finishing: 431213111)

13:50 1:50 Ayr

Marble Sands

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Sharjah could simply be too good if at his best but he was below form last season, is unproven at the trip and having been ridden to pick up the pieces, it's hard to judge how good his form behind the likes of Il Etait temps and Found a Fifty is. Marble Sands shares top weight with Sharjah here and has a very similar profile, having never won beyond 2m4f (3m form: 6P) but as an 8yo and only 4 chase starts, he is open to improvement. The selection has won his only start here, producing his 2nd highest RPR, that came over 2m off a 9lb lower mark but the 3rd Traprain Law has franked the form (now 18lbs higher) and 5lb claimer Nick Slatter was in the saddle, as he was when Marble Sands won at Musselburgh (jockey 2-2 on the horse) over 2m4f, the 3rd and 4th have both won since (although 1 reverted to hurdles and the other didn't need to improve to win). A 6th of 12 at Southwell over 1m4f last month should mean he is race fit.

1 member found this comment useful

13:30 1:30 Newbury

Al Qareem

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

I've never really got the hype for Arrest and as much as i am a fan of Hamish both runners would likely need better ground to be at their best, which could leave them vulnerable to Al Qareem. The selection only has a few lbs to find at the weight and confirmed this finishing just under 2l 2nd to Hamish at Newmarket (hvy) at the end of last season. Al Qareem has gone well off a break previously winning at Chester off a 175 day layoff and a G2 at Longchamp off a 65 day layoff. Trainer Karl Burke is hardly redhot but 2 winners from his last 9 (4-37) is fair and similar comments apply to the Gosden (2-21 including 3 odds-on favs beaten), Haggas (2-13) and Crisford (0-8) yards (last 14days form)

19 April 2024

17:45 5:45 Bath

Rage Of Bamby

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Plenty of these could have done with softer ground but that certainly won't be a disadvantage for Rage Of Bamby who three times been withdrawn on account of soft ground. She was a dual winner and G2 placed as a 2yo but came up short last season but I wouldn't be too put off by that as 3yo sprinters often struggle taking on open company for the first time and her 2nd to Designer in a handicap at York in August certainly suggests her handicap mark of 101 is justified.

16:15 4:15 Newbury

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Dashing Darcey has been well supported early and could be well handicapped but having ran exclusively in maidens and novices on the AW, also has a bit to prove. Al Shabab Storm was progressive on his first 3 starts, proving capable over 6f/7f and on all types of ground. His form dipped slightly on his final start (per RPRs) but the fact he was sent off joint-favourite with the 104 rated Ballymount Boy (off level-weights) show that he is thought to be more capable than his current mark of 86 suggests. He has been gelded in the off-season.

15:45 3:45 Newbury

Beamish

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Beamish may need the run off the back of a 544 day layoff but he is relatively unexposed to compared to many of his rivals and having placed in a pair of G3s in 2022, he has some useful form (indeed he was sent off 5/4f to beat Emily Dickinson & Baron Samedi on his most recent start). Soft ground should be fine and although he has stamina to prove, he did win over 1m6f on soft ground previously.

14:50 2:50 Ayr

Outlaw Peter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Win

135

Im quite a fan of Nells Son but he looks harshly handicapped having been upped 7lbs for his latest win (he did it easily but had been beat from mid-130s marks previously). Outlaw Peter runs here off the same mark, having been put up 5lbs for his win latest but his back form has more substance to it. The selection was strongly fancied in the market last time out and although Flegmatik did little for the form in the Topham, he is a Kempton specialist (the pair pulled 10l clear of the rest). Prior to that Outlaw Peter finished 3rd behind Corrigeen Rock and subsequent winner Thunder Rock at Musselburgh and his 2nd behind Blow Your Wad in December has been franked with that horse winning at graded level,

14:12 2:12 Newbury

Gisburn

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Gisburn was below form (not totally disgraced) when last seen on new years day but he has been freshened up since, which has to be taken as a positive (last two runs off a 100+ day break: 4th/19 at Doncaster and 1st/11 at Goodwood). Recent course form is a slight concern, given he finished last in this race 12 months ago and his 2 runs prior to that here, resulted in a last of 6 and a 12th of 15 but he did win a handicap off this mark, on his only other start at Newbury (producing his 3rd best RPR of his career) so i'm happy to give him another chance.

18 April 2024

15:50 3:50 Cheltenham

Golden Ace

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.57

Win

Golden Ace was a NR at Aintree last week on account of the soft conditions but that shouldn't be an issue here and if she is the same form as Cheltenham, she'll likely take the world of beating. The selection was undoubtedly well suited to the way the race played out at Cheltenham where she got the better of the smart Brighterdaysahead (slow pace probably compromised the favourites chance, given she needed a long trip anyway) as a result she has upwards of 11lbs in hand on her rivals here today (even accounting for her carrying a 5lb penalty).

17 April 2024

15:50 3:50 Cheltenham

Gyenyame

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Gowel Road was my pick for the Pertemps and he ran really well for 6th but that looked a weak renewal and Monmiral and Cuthbert Dibble did little for the form last week, so i'll look elsewhere this time. Gyeneyame is the one i came down in favour of, he has good previous course form, having finished 2nd here in November behind Springwell Bay and 4th behind White Rhino in December. The selection was behind Zain Nights at Newbury last time out but he does get a 6lb swing in the weights today.

15:15 3:15 Cheltenham

Bretney

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Plenty of these arrive in good form, none more so than favourite Haston Clermont who has won 3 of his last 4 but he is now 19lbs higher than for the first of those and although he is a horse who only does enough, i'd be keen to oppose him. Bretney struggled in this race 12 months ago on his only previous start here but he arrives in better form, having won his penultimate start at Sandown by 8l and having been hampered was maybe a little unlucky in defeat latest (beaten a nose with 26l back to the 3rd).

15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Ottoman Fleet

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 17/04 at 02:400.20 deduction for Royal Rhyme@5.00 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.20) = 3.20

@3.20

Win

Ottoman Fleet has to bounce back from a poor effort as an 11/10f last time out at Meydan but he'd previously been in good form. Indeed that was only the 2nd time in his 15 race career that he'd failed to finish in the first 3. The selection won this race 12 months ago as a 6/4f and although this race is stronger on paper, several of his rivals have questions to answer in regards to form especially at group race level.

14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Sail Away

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Sail Away has ran well without looking like winning this season and as such has only dropped a couple of lbs in the weights but he bolted up in a novice handicap at this time 12 months ago, off a 6lb lower mark. The runner-up (Forward Plan) has franked the form this season in various handicap chases (now rated a stone higher). Last time out the selection finished last of 4 in the Ascot Chase (4 3/4l behind L'Homme Presse & 3/4l behind Ahoy Senor), it may have been that he was flattered by this proximity but he was mixing it with horses rated between 20lbs and 28lbs superior and has been left on an unchanged mark.

14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Narkez

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Several unexposed profiles in here and Narkez isn't a confident selection but I really haven't been impressed with El Cordobes in two AW starts, obviously he has a big price tag (2m gns) and is exceptionally bred but he has to improve a chunk on the bare form (his last time out RPR of 83 is 20 points below what Narkez achieved on his last start). I'm also not keen on Gasper De Lemos, Aidan O'Brien generally struggles at this meeting and several Justify progeny have been struggling on 3yo debut. Narkez is somewhat of an unknown quantity coming from France but Andre Fabre doesn't sent runners here just for the day out, he has won his last 2 starts by a combined 12l and has a race fitness advantage over most. Ground is a slight unknown as it dries out but Siyouni's generally go on good ground.

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14:05 2:05 Cheltenham

Titan Discovery

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Titan Discovery is up 3lbs for his latest effort in defeat but that form can probably be upgraded as he didn't get the clearest of runs and the form looks strong with 4th Kateira winning last week, 5th Harbour Lake favourite for the 3m hurdle later on the card and 6th West Balboa running well in defeat behind a stablemate also last week. Trainer Robbie Llewellyn is also in redhot form with his last 5 runners finishing 1st @ 11/4, 2nd @ 40/1, 1st @ 3/1, 1st @ 14/1 and 1st @ 2/1.

13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Raatea

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Raatea wasn't disgraced on his latest start when finishing 3rd behind Baradar in a competitive Doncaster handicap. He resumes here off a mark 2lbs higher than his last win (Haydock in June) and at a track he has a good record at. The selection has form of: 31375 at Newmarket, the win coming at the July course but his 3 most recent starts have come over C&D (2 on seasonal reappearance)

13:30 1:30 Cheltenham

Diamond Ri

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 17/04 at 00:310.40 deduction for Encanto Bruno@2.20 withdrawn at 12:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.40) = 7.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 BOG

@7.50

Win

Encanto Bruno has 14lbs upwards in hand over his rivals with ORs but 3 of his last 4 starts read: PU, Last and 9th bt 14l. Peaky Boy has an unexposed profile and his last time out win, has produced winner (albeit those horses are rated just 131 & 119). Diamond Ri is the selection, as he looks to provide a bit of value here. He was well beaten last of 4 on his most recent start but that was a fair race with the winner unbeaten prior to losing to Ballyburn at the festvial, runner-up Jango Baie is rated 146 after a pair of narrow subsequent defeats and the 3rd Bugise Seagull was 3rd behind Brighterdaysahead last week (finishing ahead of Jimmy Du Seuil and Ile Atlantique). There is a suggestion that Diamond Ri was below par there and having produced a higher RPR previously (in a weaker race) better can be expected.

1 member found this comment useful

13 April 2024

16:00 4:00 Aintree

Mahler Mission

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Mahler Mission hasn't been seen since finishing 2nd in the Coral Gold Cup (travelled well, led going to the last and finished 6 clear of the 3rd) but that was a good effort and a 7lb mark although not ideal, shouldn't prevent him running another good race. The selection handles all ground, having won on soft/heavy and good previously. Stamina is another question mark that applies to most of the field but Mahler Mission definitely stays as far as 3m2f and was infront when falling 2 out in the 3m6f NH chase last season. The selection also fits the age trend (7 of last 8 won by 8/9yos).

3 members found this comment useful

15:05 3:05 Aintree

Crambo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Sire Du Berlais has a tremendous record in this race, having won the last two renewals and Flooring Porter looked back to something like his best at Cheltenham but i'll afford Crambo another chance, having disappointed in the Stayers Hurdle. The selection had looked progressive previously and is the only horse in this field to have won a G1 this season, when defeating Paisley Park in the Long Walk.

1 member found this comment useful

13:20 1:20 Aintree

Black Bamboo

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@12.00

Win

Black Bamboo was my selection in the Coral Cup off the back of a good run over this trip at Leopardstown previously and he ran a good race, xoming from off the pace to finish 6th behind the well handicapped Langer Dan. He gets in here off the same mark and he could benefit from the step back up 3m in what looks a weaker race.

1 member found this comment useful

12 April 2024

16:05 4:05 Aintree

James Du Berlais

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

James Du Berlais is a triple G1 runner-up and was better than his finishing position at Cheltenham last time out (2nd jumping the last),his tendancy to finish weakly was on show previously in the Paddy Power at Christmas but he's ran to a good level of form and this course could suit his racing style. The selection has to carry more weight that most recent winners of this race (only 2 of the last 10 winners of this have carried more than 11-2 but the trainer/jockey combination did have Haut En Couleurs place carrying 12-0 in this race 12 months ago. That enhanced a good combination record in the race, having won the race in 2019 with Cadmium (8/1) and trainer Willie Mullins won this race in 2021 with his first string when Livelovelaugh obliged under Patrick Mullins (15/2).

1 member found this comment useful

11 April 2024

16:05 4:05 Aintree

Cat Tiger

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

Cat Tiger hasn't won since January 2022 and he was beaten 26l by Bennys King last time out but his RPR of 104 there suggests he was clearly below form (previous 4 RPRs recorded (145-125-112-128). Prior to that he was sent off 8/11f to beat Time Leader at Hereford and it was far too early to say what would have happened when he ran out at the 8th. His previous 2 runs both came at Auteuil (including a G2) and were far from disgraceful. He also has course form having finished 2nd in this race 2 years ago behind Latenightpass (with Cheltenham winner Porlock Bay 3rd and a 26l gap back to the rest) he was also 3rd in 2021 and finished 5th in a Sefton over these fences. Owner/Jockey David Maxwell gets plenty of stick but a 19% strike-rate in the last 5 seasons is rock-solid and his previous record in this race reads: F3563332 (at odds of 40/1, 11/1, 25/1, 8/1, 20/1, 3/1, 11/2 & 8/1).

06 April 2024

15:00 3:00 Kelso

Elvis Mail

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Void

Elvis Mail was well beaten returned to hurdles last time out but he was a 33/1 outsider and finishing 7th of 17 (12 finishers) was expected. He returns to fences here, which isn't a major positive (has a near identical hurdle/chase record - Hurdles: 15 starts 4 wins and 5 2nd/3rd. Chase: 14 starts 4 wins and 4 2nd/3rd) but he has won 2 of his last 4 chase starts and runs here off his last winning mark (143) having been dropped 3lbs for his latest chase efforts. Course form is the main positive, the selection returns to Kelso where he has form figures of: 4131122243113. Better ground would be favourable (good to soft or soft rather than heavy) but he won over this C&D on soft at the start of the season and is a previous heavy ground winner.

1 member found this comment useful

30 March 2024

16:35 4:35 Meydan

Derma Sotogake

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Somehow Ushba Tesoro managed to come from last to first, under a near perfect ride and still get beat in the Saudi Cup latest when narrowly denied by Senor Buscador with Derma Sotogake in 5th but I quite like that horses chance of reversing form here. As he did when finished ahead of both those rivals in the BC Classic. My main reasoning is that the track will tip the race in favour of Derma Sotogake who ran away with the UAE Derby here 12 months ago and who will almost certainly get first run on the defending Dubai World Cup and Saudi Cup holders. Kabirkhan could be a big rival and I've been impressed but his bare form still leaves him with a bit to find.

1 member found this comment useful

16:00 4:00 Meydan

Stars On Earth

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Plenty of stars on show here and the big 2 Liberty Island and Auguste Rodin deserve massive respect but Stars On Earth looks massively overlooked. The selection finished 1/2l behind Do Deuce latest (but ahead of Justin Palace and Shahryar) and only 1l behind Liberty Island (ahead of Do Deuce) when they all trailed Equinox in the Japan Cup. Stars On Earth remains quite lightly raced for her age and has never finished out of the first 3, despite running all of her races in 16+ runner fields. Christophe Lemaire is a good jockey who knows how to win here and I struggle to see her not finishing in the frame.

1 member found this comment useful

15:35 3:35 Musselburgh

Faylaq

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Void

Faylaq has always been a strong traveller who has flattered to decieve once asked for an effort but he is impecably bred as a son of Dubawi out of Danedream and is becoming increasingly well handicapped, having been rated as highly as 107 in his peak (runs here off 93) and although Jim Goldie is yet to get a win out of him, he has finished in the money on several occasions, including placed efforts at 12/1 (twice) and looked in decent form, in finishing 4th on seasonal reappearance (Dwelt, going easily but plenty to do 2f out, did well in the circumstances reads the race report) and at a big price, may be worth chancing.

1 member found this comment useful

15:10 3:10 Meydan

Nashwa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Lord North goes for a four-timer here for the Gosdens but I wasn't taken by him on his comeback, even accounting for it coming over the wrong trip and personally think they have a stronger chance with Nashwa. The selection seems likely to relish the 1m1f trip and I know the draw hasn't been kind to her but the prices on offer seem big considering she was beat just 1/2l by Auguste Rodin & 1l by Mostahdaf last season and is a multiple G1 winner in her own right.

14:25 2:25 Meydan

Igniter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Just over a length covered Remake, Sibelius and Hopkins in this race 12 months ago and with Nakatomi finishing a close up 3rd behind Sibelius on his latest start, it's clear that there is little seperating the top 4 or 5 in the betting, as such i'll chance Igniter who has bagged a plum draw in stall 1. The selection didn't cut much ice latest in a Dirt G1 over 1m but he'd previously beaten Remake in the JBC Sprint.

1 member found this comment useful

13:50 1:50 Meydan

Forever Young

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

Connections of Forever Young have their sights on the Kentucky Derby and he'd have to win this in good style to justify his place there, the wide draw is far from ideal but as he showed when narrowly winning the Saudi Derby last time out he has ability and a turn of foot to get out of trouble.

1 member found this comment useful

13:15 1:15 Meydan

Casa Creed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Casa Creed could only manage 5th in this race in 2022 but he has taken his form to a new level since (mostly over 1m) but like HK raider California Spangle, could appreciate the step back in trip to a testing 6f here. The selection does have recent form over this sort of trip too, finishing 3rd behind previous BC Turf Sprint winner Caravel in a G1 in June and he was narrowly denied by Bathrat Leon in the Saudi Sprint 12 months ago.

1 member found this comment useful

12:05 12:05 Meydan

Saudi Crown

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Saudi Crown has been weaker in the market than I expected for this race, currently available at 6/5 in places but he looks to have very strong claims, dropping back to the 1m, having finished 3rd in the Saudi Cup latest. The selection has lots of early speed, and appeared to resent not dictating his own fractions in the Breeders Cup Classic (probably not his trip either tbf) so the wide draw is a negative here but he looks to have a class advantage over his main rivals.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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