MonthlyJoyride
There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.
6
Estimated Prizes
this month
£35
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonthlyJoyride's Tips History
04 February 2025
19:45 Alfreton Town v Southport
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Southport have 3 draws in their last 5 league games played, and neither of these sides are winning much of late. So, I like the draw between them here tonight.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Southport have seen 6 of their last 8 league games played end with less than 2.5 goals scored, so the under looks like a safe play here in this one.
19:45 Chorley v Buxton
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Chorley have drawn 4 of their last 5 league games played as they continue their patch of being tough to beat. But at the same time, they struggle to put sides away themselves.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Chorley's league games of late have been all or nothing in terms of goals. Three of their last five have not only ended under 2.5 goals but have ended goalless overall.
Draw #0-0
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Chorley have drawn 3 of their last 5 and 2 of their last 3 home league games 0-0, so I like the chance of yet another dull draw here this evening.
19:45 Halifax v AFC Fylde
Halifax
50 WIN
@1.48
Lose
-50
Halifax are on a good run of late with 3 league wins in a row and will feel confident of adding to that here with home advantage.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
AFC Fylde have seen 5 of their last 7 league games end with more than 2.5 goals scored, so I like the over this evening.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
BTTS YES has been a winning selection in 5 of the last 7 league games involving this AFC Fylde side.
Halifax & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
AFC Fylde have lost 12 of their 14 away league games so far this season, but of late have been scoring more frequently. Two of their last three away defeats have been in BTTS YES games, so I like the home win here in a game where both sides score.
Halifax #3-1
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
AFC Fylde have lost their last 3 away league games by an aggregate score of 10-2, so I think the 3-1 defeat for them here this evening looks like value.
19:45 Newport County v Morecambe
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Newport have only won 1 of their last 7 league games played and host a Morecambe side who have 1 win in their last 4 league games. So, it looks like a draw could be on the cards.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Morecambe league games have not been incredibly entertaining of late, 8 of their last 9 have seen 2 or fewer goals so going with the under here.
19:45 QPR v Blackburn
Over 2.50
Total Goals
I like the look of the over here at odds against, as 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with more than 2.5 goals scored.
19:45 Salford City v Bromley
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Salford City have seen 5 of their last 7 league games end with less than 2.5 goals scored. So, going with the under here this evening.
05:30 Ankita Raina vs Vaishnavi Adkar
Under 20.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Vaishnavi Adkar's games have tended to be on the shorter side in terms of distance of late. Nine of her last ten have been wrapped up in straight sets, so I like the under here.
05:30 Nao Hibino vs Mai Hontama
Under 20.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Nao Hibino has seen 8 of her last 10 matches played end in straight sets. So, I think the under looks like the sensible play here, with a high likelihood of landing should this one go a similar path.
Nao Hibino
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@1.55
Lose
-50
Nao Hibino gets off to good starts more often than not and has won the opening set in 4 of her last 5 matches played.
05:30 Simona Waltert vs Leolia Jeanjean
Under 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@2.00
Void
0
There has been one previous head to head meeting between these two and it saw a total of 18 games played so I like the under here in this one.
Subtotal-387
03 February 2025
20:00 Chelsea v West Ham
Draw
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Chelsea have been very unreliable of late, and I think they will struggle up against the back three/back five of West Ham under Potter. I think this could be yet more dropped home points for the Blues.
20:00 Defensa y Justicia v Central Cordoba SdE
Draw
Both sides are coming into this one in reasonable form, and I can see them canceling each other out in a hard-fought battle, making the draw look like the pick of the bunch.
20:00 Girona v Las Palmas
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Girona have seen 5 of their last 6 league games played end with more than 2.5 goals scored, so I am liking the look of the over here.
19:30 Levante v Racing Ferrol
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
The last two league meetings between these sides have both ended in a sharing of the spoils, so I like the look of another draw this evening between them.
19:00 AZ Reserves v VVV
AZ Reserves
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
AZ Reserves look good for the home win here this evening. They have won 6 of the last 7 competitive meetings between these sides.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 league meetings between these sides, so the YES looks good to me here.
AZ Reserves & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
AZ Reserves & Yes for the home win here in a game where they concede but outscore their visitors looks good to me. They have won 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between the sides, and 3 of the 4 most recent wins have been via the BTTS YES route.
AZ Reserves #2-1
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
I like the home win here by the odd goal in three as their attacking players are more reliable in front of goal, and the home advantage is a factor as well. They have had the better of this fixture in recent times too.
19:00 De Graafschap v ADO Den Haag
Draw
5 of the last 10 head to head meetings between these sides have ended all square so the draw looks like a good value option this evening.
18:45 Moreirense v Braga
Moreirense (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.08
Lose
-50
Moreirense +0.25 at odds against looks good to me here in this one. They have been very solid at home in the league this season with just 1 defeat from their 9 played to this point.
18:00 Farul Constanta v Petrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.82
Lose
-50
Petrolul Ploiesti have been in good form of late and have only been beaten in 1 of their last 6 league games played. So I like them with a quarter ball start here.
17:00 Sigma Olomouc v Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen
50 WIN
@1.70
Lose
-50
Viktoria Plzen have had the better of it when it comes to head-to-head meetings between these sides of late, with them winning the last 5 in a row.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Each of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen goals at both ends of the pitch so I like the BTTS YES option here.
Viktoria Plzen & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Viktoria Plzen & Yes for the away win in a game where both sides score looks like the play to me in this one. This has been the formula for their wins in each of the last 4 clashes between these sides.
Viktoria Plzen #2-1
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Viktoria Plzen to win this one by the odd goal in three here as the away side. This was the score in their most recent meeting in which they took all three points as well.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
Beautiful Chaos
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@34.00
Lose
-50
Beautiful Chaos has been putting in very consistent performances of late: 3rd, 4th, 4th, and 4th in the last four outings. It looks generously priced here to place and might not be too far-fetched to actually land the win in the right circumstances.
Drusilla
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@15.00
Win
700
Drusilla looked much improved when finishing 4th of 16 runners at Naas in the first outing of the year at the back end of January. That was with a few jumping errors still in the mix, so second time up here, I expect further improvement and to be firmly in the mix.
Subtotal172
02 February 2025
18:50 Ironi Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Ironi Ramat Gan 7.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Ironi Ramat Gan +7.5 points on the handicap start looks good to me here. They would have won each of the last 3 meetings between these sides with this much of a start on each occasion.
18:15 Eisbaren Berlin vs Nurnberg Ice Tigers
Eisbaren Berlin
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.47
Win
23
Eisbären Berlin have been dominant in recent times when it comes to clashes between these sides, with them winning each of the last 8 in a row.
Under 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with 5 or fewer goals scored, so I like the under here at even money.
18:00 Cisterna vs Modena
Modena to win 3-2
Set Score
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Modena to win 3-2 is the play for me here in this one. The last 9 head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen the away side win on 6 occasions, and 4 of those 6 wins have come in 5th and final set deciders.
18:00 Gtk Gliwice vs King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Under 172.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
King Wilki Morskie Szczecin games totals across their last 10 matches played is standing at 163.6, so the line set here looks on the high side to me. Unders it is.
17:00 Grottazzolina vs Milano
Milano to win 3-2
Set Score
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Grottazzolina are big underdogs here, but they are a battling and stubborn side. Three of their last four matches played have gone to a 5th and deciding set, so I think the value lies in them taking Milan all the way here before ultimately succumbing.
17:00 Hapoel Galil Elyon vs Ironi Nes Ziona
Under 158.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
151.66 is the average of total points in the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides, so I like the look of the under here today.
17:00 Ludwigsburg vs Ratiopharm Ulm
Over 158.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I like the look of the over here in this one as 4 of the last 6 clashes between these sides have ended with a higher points tally than this particular line.
17:00 Perugia vs Taranto
Perugia to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
I like Perugia to win 3-1 here today. They have won each of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides, with 4 of them ending 3-0, but the other 3 ending in a 3-1 scoreline. So, almost an even split, thus making the 3-1 the value here at generous odds.
16:30 Arsenal v Man City
Man City
Man City look in much better condition than they did a month ago as they get players back from injury as well and some new signings to reinvigorate the squad. They have largely fond memories of visiting here, having gone away with all 3 points on 6 of their last 7 visits in the league. I think they look far too big of a price here to beat an Arsenal side that have not been flowing in any way since the Saka injury.
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16:30 Dziki Warszawa vs Anwil Wloclawek
Over 155.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Anwil Wloclawek games have been on the higher end of scoring of late. Across their last 10 matches played, their games are seeing an average of 169.5 points, so the over looks the play here.
16:00 CEZ Motor Ceske Budejovice vs HC Olomouc
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Ceske Budejovice have seen 4 of their last 7 matches played end with a total higher than the line set here. So getting the over at a good chunk of odds against looks good value.
16:00 HC Kometa Brno vs Rytiri Kladno
Rytiri Kladno 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.78
Win
39
Rytiri Kladno +1.5 goals on the handicap start looks good to me here. They would have won each of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these sides if given this much of a start on each occasion.
16:00 Monza vs Padova
Monza to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Monza to win 3-0 in straight sets looks the value to me here. They have won this fixture in straight sets on each of the last 3 occasions when playing as the home side.
15:30 Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin
Over 168.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Each of the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with a higher points total than the line set here.
15:30 Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs Iserlohn Roosters
Grizzlys Wolfsburg
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Grizzlys Wolfsburg have come out on the winning side in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides. So I like them with home advantage here in this one.
14:00 Brentford v Tottenham
Brentford
Brentford have been impressive at home in the league this season, winning 7 of their 12 to this point. Here they host a Spurs side who not only have been poor away from home with 7 defeats in their 11 away league games this season, but they also have a lot of injury absentees and doubts. With their biggest game of the season coming in midweek against Liverpool in the 2nd leg of the Carabao Cup semi-finals, where they hold a narrow lead, I think they could have more than one eye on that one and be mentally bypassing this one. Home win.
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Under 4.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Jarred Gillett is the referee in charge, and he is averaging 4 yellow cards per game in his Premier League career. With not a great deal on the line for either side here today, and Spurs perhaps playing at half intensity with a big cup game on the horizon in midweek, I think he may be given very few reasons to go above this average here today.
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14:00 Man Utd v Crystal Palace
Over 4.50
Total Cards
With both sides playing mirroring systems of 3-4-2-1, there is going to be a lot of congestion in the middle of the pitch. The battle for that, coupled with the runners isolating wide on switches of play, makes me think the over for cards is the play here. Even if all things are equal, the referee in charge, John Brooks, is over this line on average in his PL career with 4.6 yellows per game alone.
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13:00 Barcelona v CD Alaves
Barcelona
12:30 Bahrain Championship
David Puig
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
David Puig is ranked 87th in the world despite playing on LIV Golf, which shows the level of performance he is putting in when given spots in events with ranking points. He has three finishes of 4th or better inside his last 6 events played and looks a very likely winner soon.
11:40 Bahrain Championship
Hamish Brown
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Hamish Brown finished T8 last week on a similarly set up course and showed he has quickly found his feet at this new level, having graduated fully from the Challenge Tour. Expect another good week for the Dane here.
Jack Senior
25 EW
@151.00
Lose
-50
Jack Senior had a very solid and good opening week of his year last week when he finished T27. His game looked in overall great condition. Another week sharper here, especially with the short game, and I think he can get into the mix come Sunday.
Jason Scrivener
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Jason Scrivener has finished T4, T21, and 4th in his last 3 events played. He is one of the most reliable players on the tour when it comes to iron play and approach. This could be a key element this week.
Joel Girrbach
25 EW
@201.00
Lose
-50
Joel Girrbach made the cut last weekend and ended in T57 position with no real flaws in his game. It's just a matter of not scoring as well as he played, and he will have positive memories arriving here this week, having finished T8 here last year. I think he can do similar, if not better, this time around.
Subtotal-282
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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