MonthlyJoyride
There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonthlyJoyride's Tips History
20 December 2024
19:45 Cambridge Utd v Huddersfield
Cambridge Utd (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Lose
-50
Cambridge Utd +0.5 on the handicap start looks good to me here. They have been more reliable at home of late, now unbeaten in their last 5 on their own patch with 3 wins and a couple of draws in that run.
19:45 Stockport v Peterborough
Stockport (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.05
Push
0
Peterborough have lost their last 5 away league games in a row and have conceded 14 goals in their last 6 away trips in the league. So at a touch over evens here, I like Stockport -1.
Stockport #3-1
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Stockport to win this one by a couple of goals, but I do think they will concede as Peterborough rarely blank. They are just leaking too many goals of late, especially away from home.
18:00 Nice v Grenoble
Over 46.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Grenoble away games have been on the more entertaining side of things in recent times, with each of their last 6 away games played seeing a points total higher than the line set here.
17:00 NK Osijek v Istra 1961
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Win
140
NK Osijek look very short in odds to me here in this one for a side who have only won 1 of their last 5 league games played. They host an Istra side who have beaten them in the last 3 meetings between the sides. They are at home though, so a lean more towards the draw than the away win in a tight contest between 5th and 7th in the league.
Subtotal85
17 December 2024
20:30 Ryan Meikle vs Fallon Sherrock
Ryan Meikle -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.61
Lose
-50
Ryan Meikle -1.5 sets looks good value to me here in a race to 3. Fallon Sherrock is not playing at the same levels as she was a few years ago and has now only averaged north of 90 in 1 of her last 19 televised matches.
Under 3.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
The under in sets looks the value here as I think Sherrock may struggle to get into the game. She is only averaging 83.04 for the year to date, and that is playing against a much lower standard of opposition on the ladies' circuit. I expect Meikle to have too much here.
Ryan Meikle to win 3-0
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Ryan Meikle to win 3-0 for me in this one. His first 9 scoring average so far this year is a more than respectable 98.47, and he is usually a reliable finisher with better statistics in that regard in every category this year compared to Sherrock. On 1 dart finishes, he is 73.02% to her 66.67%. On 2 dart finishes, he is 48.77% to her 40.78%. On 3 dart finishes, he dwarfs her on 10.29% to her 5.83%.
15:29 3:29 Catterick
Ballynoe Boy
Daily Racing
Nicky Richards' stable has been in fine form of late with 4 winners from the last 15 runners for an impressive 27% hit rate inside the last couple of weeks. A very interesting debutant here in Ballynoe Boy, whose pedigree is another factor considered, makes it worthy of getting onside here.
15:00 3:00 Catterick
Pittsburg
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
12 previous chase outings for Pittsburgh have resulted in 6 podium finishes with an impressive and almost ideal breakdown of 3 wins, 2 runner-ups, and a 3rd.
14:30 2:30 Catterick
Our Pink Lady
Daily Racing
No less than 5 podium finishes, including 2 wins over hurdles for Our Pink Lady. Both wins have come inside the last 4 outings. Can go well here and looks the strongest contender in my eyes.
14:00 2:00 Catterick
Kiss Me Dex
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@126.00
Lose
-50
Kiss Me Dex has good pedigree with a win and a runner-up in just 4 outings in France. While the ultimate finish last time out on debut for both stable and over hurdles doesn't look great on paper, the showing made much more of an impression. I think it can surprise and get in the mix here.
Wise Eagle
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.50 on 17/12 at 08:470.10 deduction for Frisby@7.50 withdrawn at 12:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.50 x (1-0.10) = 1.45AThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@1.45
Win
22
13:30 1:30 Catterick
Hazard Collonges
Daily Racing
Hazard Collonges finished 4th of 4 here over course and distance less than a month ago but looked the winner from the off right until the closing stages. So I think lessons learnt and will go even better here today.
13:15 Kevin Doets vs Noa Lynn Van Leuven
Kevin Doets
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
Kevin Doets has played two games on this stage previously and has averaged 91.79 and 99.46 in them. Anything near that region will be too much for Noa Lynn Van Leuven to cope with under normal circumstances, without even adding the pressure of it being a PDC World Championship debut.
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Kevin Doets -2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Noa Lynn Van Leuven has appeared on TV in 4 games so far this year and for an average of 82.14 across those 24 legs. Under the pressure of an Ally Pally debut here, I struggle to see enough of an improvement to trouble Doets.
Under 3.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@2.37
Lose
-50
I like the under in terms of sets here. Doets returns to make his second Ally Pally appearance, and last year he won through his opening round game with little problems as he won in straight sets against Stowe Buntz, who I think is a higher calibre player than Noa Lynn Van Leuven.
Kevin Doets
Win 1st Set
50 WIN
@1.36
Lose
-50
Kevin Doets to win the opening set here for me as I expect Noa Lynn Van Leuven to be at peak nervousness at the beginning of the game directly after the walk-ons and to take a while to settle into the game. Doets is as laid back as they come and will settle a lot quicker and easier.
Kevin Doets to win 3-0
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Kevin Doets to win 3-0 looks good value to me in this one. Noa Lynn Van Leuven has a 19-5 losing record in terms of legs played on the TV stage so far this year and has struggled under the pressure, especially when it comes to finishing.
Subtotal-568
16 December 2024
20:00 Fleetwood Town v Accrington Stanley
Fleetwood Town
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Accrington Stanley have been beaten in 6 of their 9 away league games so far this season. So I like taking them on here with a Fleetwood side who have taken 5 points from their last 4 home league games, with their only blemish being a defeat to high-flying Doncaster.
19:45 Dunkerque v Caen
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Three of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended in a draw. So, I can see yet another sharing of the spoils in this one tonight.
Draw #2-2
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
The most recent head-to-head clash between these two sides back in May ended with them sharing 4 goals equally in a 2-2 draw. With little to call between them again, I like a repeat score in this.
14:45 Alan Soutar vs Kai Gotthardt
Alan Soutar
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Soutar has a good record on this stage where he has won 6 of his 8 previous matches played and has won through his opening round match on both previous appearances. Only Callan Rydz and Gabriel Clemens have beaten him on this stage, and I expect he will have too much for debutant Gotthardt, who scraped through the European Super League route to qualify.
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Alan Soutar -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
I like the look of Alan Soutar -1.5 sets here in a race to 3. He has the experience advantage over Gotthardt, who is making his World Championship debut, and Soutar is the more reliable of the two, both in terms of consistent scoring and finishing. This year, he has finished close to 73% of his legs inside 6 visits, while Gotthardt has done so in just over 60% of his legs.
13:45 Luke Woodhouse vs Lourence Ilagan
Luke Woodhouse
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
Luke Woodhouse has had yet another good progressive year with multiple quarter and semi-final runs on both the Pro Tour and the European Tour. At the back end of this season, he made his TV breakthrough with a run to the semi-finals of the European Championships. So, I think he will have too much for the entertaining but often flattering to deceive Ilagan.
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Under 3.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
Luke Woodhouse has a good record in this opening round/last 96 of the World Championships in games in which he is heavily favored, having won all three. In 2 of the 3, he managed to win in straight sets against Paul Lim and Vladyslav Omelchenko.
Luke Woodhouse to win 3-1
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Luke Woodhouse to win 3-1 in sets looks good value to me in this one. He is the more reliable scorer, but the only question mark around him is his tendency to at times miss doubles in bunches and get flustered and annoyed at himself. So, I think there is a risk he does allow Ilagan to get a set on the board. Woodhouse is the worthy favorite, and I expect him to win by a couple of sets at least. The 3-1 in case of an off set or indeed a spell of magic for 5 minutes like Ilagan is capable of looks value.
12:45 Wesley Plaisier vs Ryusei Azemoto
Ryusei Azemoto
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
Ryusei Azemoto looks a big price for the win here in my eyes. He has been the most consistent player on the Asian Tour this year with multiple event wins and finals to his name. He is a really dangerous player when it comes to taking his chances, and I don't think Plaisier is an explosive enough scorer to stop him from getting his fair share. Once he does, I back him to take them.
Ryusei Azemoto 2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Ryusei Azemoto +2.5 sets looks valuable here to me. He is not a player to be taken lightly as a multiple PDC Asian Tour title winner this year. We have seen a steady improvement in the showings of the Asian qualifiers in the last couple of years. I think he can take a set at least here.
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Over 3.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
I like the over in terms of sets here as I don't think either player is very likely to run straight through this and win 3-0. Plaisier is averaging just a little over 90 for the year so far, and Azemoto is at a more than credible 84.3 for the year. So, close enough in standard to think both register a set, and this one goes at least to a fourth.
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Ryusei Azemoto to win 3-2
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
I like Ryusei Azemoto to win 3-2 here in this opening contest of the day. Plaisier has his tour card locked up for next year no matter what, but he does still have pressure on him on his debut here as he needs 1 or maybe 2 wins to move inside the top 64. This would mean he gets to keep all of his ranking money accumulated so far this year, which would almost certainly see him qualify for the World Matchplay in July, which is worth another £10k+ minimum. Azemoto is a cool customer, and if this goes to a deciding set, he will be the one playing pressure-free with little to no expectations, and I like him to come through it for that reason.
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01:20 GB Packers @ SEA Seahawks
GB Packers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
GB Packers is the play for the win here. They have won the last two head-to-head meetings between these sides and are in great form of late.
GB Packers -2.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
GB Packers -2.5 points looks good to me here in this one. They have won 7 of their last 9 matches played and overall are a more reliable and solid side compared to the Seahawks.
Subtotal-148
15 December 2024
22:45 PGA Tour Q School
Austin Cook
25 EW
@301.00
Lose
-50
Austin Cook is here as he has been struggling for form, but I like his ceiling and am taking a shot on him at gigantic odds here. Not many in the field can boast an actual win at PGA Tour level, and his battling spirit is just the type to arrive here and, through sheer determination, get himself back on tour.
Hayden Buckley
25 EW
@101.00
Win
600
Hayden Buckley had some good finishes on the main tour this year, having finished T5 at the Charles Schwab and 7th at the Barracuda. He has the power in his game to dominate a field at this level of play. His B game can let him down, but if he is on it, he is in the handful of most talented in this field.
Nicolo Galletti
25 EW
@176.00
Lose
-50
Nicolo Galletti has 6 top 5 finishes inside the last couple of years across the DP World Tour, Canadian Tour, and the South American Tour as he looks to grind his way onto the PGA Tour. He may lack the game to win this one outright, but he is steady enough to place and earn a spot that way here and looks good value on the each-way terms.
Pierceson Coody
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
Pierceson Coody looks outstanding value to come through and win this one outright. A player who has made 11 of his last 15 professional cuts, including finishes as high as a T5 at the Charles Schwab and a T2 at the ISCO. He has more experience at the business end than most and is playing with less pressure as he already has some starts locked up no matter what and is simply trying to improve his status rather than needing to earn any playing rights.
Scott Piercy
25 EW
@126.00
Lose
-50
Scott Piercy has only missed 1 of his last 7 cuts, with a couple of WDs in the mix dirtying the copybook. But I like him as value here this week. Not the most popular player on tour, but that has always led to him being underrated in my eyes. His ball striking can carry him back to full status this week, I think.
22:30 Velez Sarsfield v Huracan
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
This is a tough match to call between two of the top sides. It is 1st hosting 4th, and Velez Sarsfield have seen a lot of draws of late. Six of their last nine league games played have ended all square, so I see a draw as being a likely outcome tonight.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Velez Sarsfield have seen each of their last 10 league games end with less than 2.5 goals scored. That includes each of their last 6 in a row at home in the league.
20:00 CA Platense v Gimnasia LP
CA Platense (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
CA Platense are unbeaten in their last 6 home league games, winning 4 of those. So, I like the look of them to keep their good run going here this evening.
20:00 Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe
Draw
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
Defensa y Justicia are struggling down in 22nd in the league but have been on a good run , unbeaten in their last 8. However, 3 of the last 4 of those have been draws, so I think this could be another as they host a side on paper better than them.
19:45 Jermaine Wattimena vs Stefan Bellmont
Jermaine Wattimena
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
Jermaine Wattimena is one of the most in-form players coming into this event. He has won 8 of his last 11 matches played, with only defeats in that run to Dirk van Duijvenbode, Luke Littler, and Jonny Clayton. I think his explosive scoring proves too much for Bellmont here.
Jermaine Wattimena -2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
I like Jermaine Wattimena -2.5 sets here, coming in off the back of his best year of his career to date. He made the final of the European Championships and then backed it up with a quarter-final run at the Grand Slam, where he did little wrong in defeat to Littler. He has a lot of experience on this stage and has competed well even against the likes of Gary Anderson deep into last set matches. So, I think he proves far too strong for his Swiss opponent tonight.
Jermaine Wattimena to win 3-1
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Jermaine Wattimena to win 3-1 in sets looks good to me here. He is 3rd in terms of average for the year of all the Pro Tour qualifiers for the event, and he has far more stage and TV experience than Bellmont, who is making his televised debut. His only previous stage experience came on the European tour, and this is quite the step up. But he does have game, so I can certainly see him being capable of taking a set here.
19:00 Thibault Tricole vs Joe Comito
Thibault Tricole
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
Thibault Tricole will have been relatively pleased with his opening round draw here, even knowing that a tough match against the reigning World Champion awaits later in the evening. He is the more experienced on the big stage of these two, with Comito making his World Championship debut at age 43. While he has had a good year down under on the circuit, this is a big step up in level of both opposition and occasion.
Thibault Tricole -2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Thibault Tricole -2.5 sets in a race to 3 looks good value at these odds. "The French Touch" has had a good end to the year with recent wins over the likes of Gerwyn Price, Jelle Klaasen, and Andy Baetens to his name. His overall more reliable scoring should earn him enough chances in most legs compared to Comito, who is more of a plodder.
Thibault Tricole to win 3-1
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
Thibault Tricole to win 3-1 looks a tad overpriced to me here as I think the 3-0 and 3-1 are about equally as likely. This is almost half a point higher than the straight sets win, so an opportunity to profit either direction as long as you are of the opinion that Tricole is very likely to win, which I am. Tricole is averaging 90.24 for the year and has big stage experience, including here at the World Championship, while Comito is on debut and has never played a game of this magnitude. His year-to-date average is significantly lower at 83.61, and that is playing a generally much lower level of opposition where he would be a big favorite for the majority of his matches.
Subtotal641
14 December 2024
19:00 Annecy v Metz
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Win
115
5th plays host to 3rd here this evening, and home side Annecy have only lost 1 of their last 6 league games played. Visitors Metz are in good form themselves, unbeaten in their last 4 with 3 wins in that period. Tough to see much between them here, so I like the look of the draw.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Annecy have seen 5 of their last 6 league games played, and each of their last 5 at home end with less than 2.5 goals scored. So the under looks like the side to be on here.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Neither of these sides are laden with goals, and neither leak very many at the other end either. So, I like the look of a single goal each and a 1-1 draw in this one. It should be very tightly contested.
15:00 Arsenal v Everton
Everton
50 WIN
@14.00
Lose
-50
Everton have enjoyed this fixture more than most other sides in recent years. They have won 4 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these sides, and Arsenal have not looked at their fluent best of late. So, good chunk of value on the Toffees here in my eyes.
Iliman Cheikh Ndiaye
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Ndiaye to score anytime for me here in this one. He has underwhelmed with just 2 league goals to his name this season, but both have come away from home. He is a player who thrives with more space on offer to run into, and I think he gets some joy here today.
Iliman Cheikh Ndiaye
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
Iliman Ndiaye will be the key off-the-ball runner for his Everton side here today as they look to expose Arsenal on the counter-attack. Him playing off the shoulder of Calvert-Lewin could get some joy against an Arsenal defense that has been out of sorts of late, with a lot of chopping and changing in the makeup of the defense.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Arsenal have seen each of their last 7 league games end with more cards shown than the line set here, so the over looks the side to be on in this one.
15:00 Liverpool v Fulham
Fulham
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Fulham have arguably been the surprise package of the season so far. They have only been beaten in 1 of their last 7 league games played, and that includes a win and a couple of draws in their last 3, which was a tough run of Brighton, Spurs, and Arsenal. So, I think they look overpriced here with Liverpool's home record looking unsustainable, as impressive as it has been thus far.
15:00 Newcastle v Leicester
Leicester
50 WIN
@10.50
Lose
-50
There has been a marked improvement in this Leicester side of late with a good win over West Ham followed up by a superb comeback draw against Brighton. I think they could get some joy on the counter-attack here against a vulnerable Newcastle side who seem to drop their levels when not playing the elite sides.
Jamie Vardy
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-50
Jamie Vardy to score anytime looks a good play here. He has scored in back-to-back league games coming into this and has scored in 4 of his last 7 dating back further.
Jamie Vardy
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Jamie Vardy looks a value shout to open the scoring here today. He is in red-hot form and is the clever type of striker to take full advantage early of a cold and recently untested reserve keeper in Dubravka in goal, with Nick Pope out with injury.
00:15 Banfield v Sarmiento
Draw
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Banfield are without a win in their last 7 league games played, and visitors Sarmiento have only won 1 of their last 10 league games and are winless in their last 10 away league games. To add to that, 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended all square. Looks like a draw to me.
Subtotal-198
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