MonthlyJoyride
There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£75
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonthlyJoyride's Tips History
24 April 2024
20:00 Man Utd v Sheff Utd
Man Utd (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.05
Win+Push
26
Man Utd will be keen to out in a performance in front of their own fans here tonight after a backlash from their near collapse at the weekend and up against the worst defence in the elague I think they can get the win by 2 or 3 goals.
Subtotal26
23 April 2024
20:00 Arsenal v Chelsea
Arsenal (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.99
Win
50
A fair few key injuries for this Chelsea side coming into this and off the back of a tough FA Cup semi-final against Man City where they spent large periods of the game chasing the ball means I think they will be quite leggy here tonight and get beat by 2 or 3 by an Arsenal side who are now in full focus mode on hunting down a elague title.
Subtotal50
22 April 2024
21:45 RBC Heritage
Cam Davis
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Cam Davis has 4 finishes of 21st or better inside his last 6 events played and the best of the lot came last week at The Masters where he ended in a tie for 12th and this is a course with small greens that suits his game to a tee.
Collin Morikawa
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
Collin Morikawa found his iron game last week at Augusta of all plces but that is the cornerstone to his game and with it back under control I expect him to contend deep for the second week running.
Justin Rose
25 EW
@151.00
Lose
-50
3 missed cuts in a row but that is why we are getting insanne value on a proven winner in Jutin Rose who will have grinded like no other coming into this week and has shown as recently as last year when winning at Pebble Beach he can spring from nowhere and elevate his game to winning on tour.
Matthieu Pavon
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
After exploding out of the games in the first handful of events of the season including a win that saw him leading the FedEx Cup, Matthieu Pavon had a dip for a few weeks but was back in form with a T12 finish last week at Augusta and his accuracy first game should serve him well this week on a tight track.
Nick Taylor
25 EW
@151.00
Lose
-50
Nick Taylor is forever underrated as a player but when he gets int he mix he is a closer and already has a win under his belt this season winning in Phoenix, one of 4 wins on tour already in his career.
Subtotal-250
21 April 2024
21:45 Corales Puntacana Championship
Aaron Rai
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
Aaron Rai has as is the basis of his game been pretty solid so far this season making 7 of 10 cuts, converting them into 3 top 25's and 1 top 10 this far but in stronger fields than this and I think his consistency will mean he is there or thereabouts come Sunday.
Adam Long
25 EW
@251.00
Lose
-50
Adam Long finished 5th here in 2021 and while he has a lot of missec cuts this seaosn in main tour events he hasn't been that far away with a lot of rounds between 71 and 73 so in a lower field event I think he could thrive.
Carl Yuan
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Carl Yuan has had his best two weeks of the season when playing in fields that are on the weaker side for full field events so an opposite event like this could see him in the mix like he was in Hawaii and at Valspar where he finished T4 and T5 respectively.
M J Daffue
25 EW
@201.00
Lose
-50
M J Daffue had a solid T29 finish here on debut last year and returning this year wth that added course knowledge and the length to take advantage could be a factor come the weekend.
Thriston Lawrence
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Thriston Lawrence has a game that should travel well and he is one of the mkst winningest players in this field with multipe wins both on the Sunshine Tour and DP World Tour and has beaten fields of similar levels to this while doing so.
18:00 Tom Ford v Ricky Walden
Tom Ford
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Tom Ford's game looked in really good shape even in defeat to mark Williams at the Tour Championship and he did take that to a last leg decider so more posituves than negatives to bring with him in my eyes and his rolld royce action belongs at the Crucible.
Tom Ford -1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Ricky Walden was outplayed in almost all metrics bar the frame score of 10-9 when being the last man to book his place in the event defeating Mark Davis but he in truth came through two lowish quality qualifier games and think he comes short at the first hurdle now stepping up in opposition.
Tom Ford to win 10-8
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The game of Tom Ford looks in much better shape of the two right now but he deos have a tendency to make things more difficult than they need to be so I see this one being close and will take him to just about get over the line after a sweat by a couple of frames.
13:30 Allister Carter v Stephen Maguire
Stephen Maguire
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
It is incredibly 5 years since these two faced each other in a competitive setting and both are perennial dark horse mentions for all the big events so a tough draw for both ehre and think they are evenly matched. Carter holds the head to head advantage but Maguire has won each of the last 4 so looks the value.
Stephen Maguire 2.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
Stephen Maguire came through two high quality qualifier matches against Hugill and Sijun so will be the sharper of the two arriving into this one and he is well suited to these long formats where the odd lapse in concentration is not fatal.
Stephen Maguire to win 10-8
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Stephen Maguire to win 10-8 at double digit odds looks good to me here with in my eyes the match incredibly likely to go back and forth and deep into the possible full length and I just give the edge to Maguire in terms of recent competitive action coming through pressure qualifiers.
13:30 Judd Trump v Hossein Vafaei
Judd Trump
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
Judd Trump will be riding high in confidence coming in here fresh from winning the World Open and should have too much when it comes to big stage experience over the talented Vafei who he holds a positive head to head record against.
Judd Trump -3.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
These two took each other on in this eevnt and on this round in 2022 and on that occasion it was a 10-4 win fpr Trump, I think this one will be closer but at odds against Trump -3.5 looks good.
Judd Trump to win 10-7
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Hossein Vafaei will like his chances coming into this one woth a recent win over Ronnie under his belt and he no doubt has the game so think he does makes this one competitive but come the pressure moments in the second session Trump will step up and win by somewhere between 2 and 5 frames so splitting the middle for 10-7
Subtotal-122
20 April 2024
15:00 Sheff Utd v Burnley
Lyle Foster
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Lyle Foster leads the line for his Burnley side today and he showed earlier in the season that when he is the main focal point of his side then he is more than adequate at this level and up against a eaky Blades defence he should get some joy.
Subtotal-50
14 April 2024
21:45 US Masters
Austin Eckroat
25 EW
@251.00
Lose
-50
Austin Eckroat is a winner on tour this year and done so at a tough track at the Cognizant and while it's his first time around here he did show his major pedigree when finishing T10 in his professional major debut last yeat at the US Open.
Luke List
25 EW
@351.00
Lose
-50
Putting is what has tradionally held Luke List back but it has slightly improved this year and his ball striking is arguably in the top handful on tour so while he may be low on win equity I make him a great value shot to tee to green his way to the first page of the leaderboard this week and getting 70/1 on him placing is generous.
Taylor Moore
25 EW
@251.00
Lose
-50
Taylor Moore had a good ebut year here last year finishing T39 and will come in with that knowledge now in the bank and his game has been trending hot in the lead up with his last three finishes being a T31 followed by a T12 and in his most recent start a T2 in Texas.
Brooks Koepka
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Brooks Koepka has rarely arrived here in full fitness but he does this year and the last two times he did so he carded opening rounds of 66 in 2019 and a 65 to open his account last year.
Jon Rahm
1st Round Leader
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
Jon Rahm comes in as the defending champion and his win last year was built on an opening round of 65 and he was tough to chase down from there. i think he comes in with a point to prove that he is still the man to beat this week and gets off to a flying start yet again.
Jordan Spieth
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Jordan Spieth has history for going low in opening rounds at Augusta having previously opened with a 64 and has also twice done so with rounds of 66, his boom or bust style lends itself to high variance making him a great FRL option.
Sam Burns
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Sam Burns has shot in the 60's in 5 of his 8 opening rounds to this point in 2024 and had an opening round of 68 here last year, rooming with Scheffler is bound to have picked up more course knowledge too.
Xander Schauffele
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Xander Schauffele is averaging opneing round scores of 68.4 across his last 7 major starts including a 68 here last year and as is known how he starts tournaments has not been the issue for the impressively consistent grinder.
20:15 US Masters
Jon Rahm
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
A course where taking advantage of par 5's as the key to success could not be better suited to Jon Rahm and his record ehre shows that with not only the win last year bul multiple finishes inside the top 10 to add and he likes playing with a chip on his shoulder and is almost coming in as an under the radar defending champion after his move to LIV, Back to back for the fiery Spaniard.
Ryo Hisatsune
25 EW
@401.00
Lose
-50
Ryo Hisatsune is a live shot for a spot deep on the leaderboard this week in my eyes, even making his major debut his ball striking is going to be very well suited to this course and he will no doubt have great inspiration from fellow Japanese green jacket winner Matsuyama. Has won on tough courses like Le Golf National so his game can travel.
15:30 Cameron Menzies vs Ross Smith
Cameron Menzies
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Very little between these two going on form so far this year, Ross Smith is averaging 95.52 for the year while Menzies is right there with him at 95.26 and his on stage antics mean he is constantly overlooked for his ability. Ross Smith was let off the hook yesterday when trailing 5-2 to O'Connor who should have out him away and if performing at anything close to the same level I think Menzies will do just that.
14:30 Rob Cross vs Ritchie Edhouse
Ritchie Edhouse
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@4.33
Win
166
Ritchie Edhouse continued his good form yesterday when averaging 100.53 in beating Michael Smith to make ot now a run of 10 wins from his last 11 matches played and still looks to be being disrespected here by the odds makers. he was over 50% on his finishing too yesterday and could have wrapped it up earlier as he missed the double on two or three big 3 dart finishes.
Ritchie Edhouse 2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Taking Ritchie Edhouse +2.5 legs here as Rob Cross was visibly struggling with the heat on stage yesterday only just scraping past an also out of sorts Gian van Veen. 5 previous meetings between Cross and Edhouse with Cross leading 3-2 but a more than credible tally for Edhouse and importantly knows he can get the better of the former World Champion having already done so.
12:00 European Tour 3
Gian van Veen
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Gian van Veen is still looking for his first senior PDC title but he is a proven winner with 9 titles across the Challenge and Development Tour and with a few big names missing this week i think he could make a break through given his current form where he was only stopped by making a floor final in a last leg decider by Luke Humphries at the beginning of the week.
Martin Schindler
25 EW
@41.00
Win
1500
Martin Schindler is due for a title soon and it could arrive this week. In the most recent Euro Tour he made the semi-finals beating along the way very established players like Heta, Dobey and Aspinall before falling short against van Gerwen but he will have taken a lot from that run and could well go one or two better this weekend.
Subtotal1106
13 April 2024
21:30 Rob Cross vs Gian van Veen
Gian van Veen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-50
Gian van Veen has a 75% win rate against Rob Cross from their 4 previous meetings and is in good form having recently made a semi-final on the Pro Tour at the beginning of the week.
20:00 Josh Rock vs Cameron Menzies
Cameron Menzies
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Cameron Menzies is running at a 68% win rate for the season and again averaged more than 100 in his opening round win yesterday. He also leads the head to head record versus Josh Rock 2-1.
19:00 Joe Cullen vs Martin Schindler
Martin Schindler
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Martin Schindler was very impressive in his opening round win yesterday averaging over 97 and that was with nothing coming back at him and a fair few missed doubles as he was only 28% on his finishing but his scoring was tremendous including 5 180's so think he will edge this one and the fact it is a pick'em shows how much progress he is making.
15:30 Michael Smith vs Ritchie Edhouse
Ritchie Edhouse
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
Ritchie Edhouse was in good form again yesterday averaging just a shade under 96 and has now won 9 of his last 10 matches played so think at these odds he looks good value.
Ritchie Edhouse 2.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Going with Ritchie Edhouse +2.5 legs here in the race to 6 with the recent form of Smith very in and out especially on his usually reliable scoring so can see it going close to full distance.
15:00 Jonny Clayton vs Nathan Aspinall
Jonny Clayton
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Jonny Clayton is just starting to find some form again and there has been little between these two in previous meetings with 1 draw between them and 6 wins each in their 13 previous meetings so at a decent clip of odds against I like the value side of Clayton.
15:00 Man City v Luton
Luton
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
Man City have made 6 changes from their midweek clash with Real Madrid which speaks both to how tired the squad is right now after a fair few injuries and possibly that they already have one eye on the return leg in a few days so Luton could spring a suprise here with them possessing a few dangerous counter attacking players.
12:30 Damon Heta vs Callan Rydz
Damon Heta
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Callan Rydz laboured through a terrible quality opening round game eysterday avergaing just 82.55 and that is not far off his average of late with him at 87.33 over his last 10 matches played which on most days is not going to be anywhere close to Heta.
Damon Heta -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Damon Heta -1.5 is the pick here with the current struggles of Rydz who was aagin in the low 80's average yesterday meaning he has now averaged less than 83 in 5 of his last 6 matches played so think the steady and lethal Heta beats him by a few.
12:00 Ross Smith vs William OConnor
Ross Smith
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
William O' Connor was steady in his win over King yesterday averaging just a shade under 93 but knows he will have to step up a couple of gears here against a Ross Smith who is 14th for year to date averages and who he has a pooor record against of 7 losses in their 9 previous meetings and I think this one goes the way of Smith as well.
Subtotal246
12 April 2024
20:00 Cameron Menzies vs Simon Whitlock
Cameron Menzies
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Simon Whitlock has lost 5 of his last 7 matches played and has a poor head to head record against Menzies having lost 3 of their 4 previous meetings and I would argue Menzies has never been better than he is now so could spell trouble for the Aussie.
19:30 Mike De Decker vs James Wade
Mike De Decker
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Mike De Decker holds a 3-2 head to head advantage over James Wade and is playing much the better of the two of late, he's won 5 of his last 7 matches and his two losses have been to near 100 averages a level of which Wade is rarely reaching in the last few years.
15:30 Michael Unterbuchner vs Luke Woodhouse
Luke Woodhouse
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Luke Woodhouse is a player on the rise and is upping his game both on the floor and on the stage. A recent semi-finalist on the Pro Tour he will be looking at this as a favourable draw and fresh from qualifying for another ET will now be eyeing up a spot in the European Championships and looking to bank some more rankings towards it here.
14:30 Callan Rydz vs Lee Evans
Lee Evans
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
After being beaten to nil by van Gerwen in PC6, Callan Rydz is now on a run of 5 straight defeats and he is a player who can get stuck in a negative mindframe and get down on himself so happy to take him on here at generous odds with a very capable Evans who showed his quality at the World Championships.
13:30 Richard Veenstra vs Andrew Gilding
Andrew Gilding
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
4 previous head to head encounters between these two and the record stands at 2 wins each. I'm going with Gilding for the win off the back of his deep run just a few days ago in PC8 where on his way he beat elite level players like van Gerwen and Clayton and think he'll have taken a lot from that.
12:30 Kai Gotthardt vs Brendan Dolan
Brendan Dolan
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.29
Win
14
After a slow start to the year Brendan Dolan has began to pick up a bit of steam lately now only losing at the first hurdle in 1 of his last 5 events and won through two rounds in the most recent Players Championship event where he was then only beaten in a last leg decider by World Champion Humphries.
12:00 Jitse van der Wal vs Ritchie Edhouse
Ritchie Edhouse
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Two previous head to head meetings between these two and both have been won by Ritchie Edhouse and his more vast stage experience should be an advantage here in this one too.
Ritchie Edhouse -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Ritchie Edhouse is averaging a shade over 92 so far for the year compared to 87 for his opponent van der Wal and has had some good wins of late over in-form players like de Sousa and Joyce so i think can get the job done inside 10 legs here.
Subtotal-96
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