MonthlyJoyride
There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.
7
Estimated Prizes
this month
£35
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonthlyJoyride's Tips History
24 April 2025
10:50 Brisbane Broncos v Canterbury Bulldogs
Brisbane Broncos 4.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Brisbane Broncos +4.5 looks more than reasonable here to me. They have a very good record in the recent head-to-head battles between these sides, winning 6 of the last 7 outright.
Under 41.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Canterbury Bulldogs have seen each of their last 4 matches played end with a lower points total than the line set here. So the under looks to be the side to be on.
Subtotal-4
14 April 2025
12:00 Players Championship 13
Dom Taylor
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
Dom Taylor has lost in the opening round in the last couple of Players Championship events. However, he has averaged 99.35 and 100.01 in doing so against two quality players, Wade and Van Duijvenbode. I prefer to focus on the performances he put in rather than the outcome, especially as he has already shown he can go deep into these events with two semi-final runs already under his belt this year.
Krzysztof Ratajski
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
Krzysztof Ratajski has a couple of quarter-final runs to his name this season so far as his best showing in these floor events. But he sits 7th in terms of first 9 scoring average, which is a great indication of where his game is at, as power scoring is not what he is known for. I think the Polish Eagle will do something good in the next couple of months, and I'm happy to be on early with the price onside here.
Subtotal-100
13 April 2025
22:45 US Masters
Harris English
25 EW
@176.00
Lose
-50
Harris English is a lively outsider here in my eyes and certainly a highly valuable each-way play. He is from Georgia, so he knows the course and conditions better than most. While his record in the event is nothing to write home about, he has been troubled with injuries on most occasions prior to this. This year, he seems fit, and his play would back that up with him already having a big win under his belt, having won at Farmers.
Justin Thomas
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
Justin Thomas has been playing a lot more consistently so far this calendar year and has been knocking on the door of breaking his winning drought with a couple of runner-up finishes inside his last 8 starts, including in his most recent outing at the Valspar. He's got two previous inside the top 10 finishes here, and his putting has picked up in recent weeks, which is a great sign to add to his impressive ball striking.
Harris English
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
Harris English has a nice tee time in a little sweet spot early in the day and a nice grouping too. His veteran Couples and another amiable player in Pendrith should make for a comfortable setting and allow his on-point iron play he has showcased so far this season to shine on what is very much a second shot golf course. At triple digits, he looks a great FRL play with even the each-way price looking juicy.
Justin Thomas
1st Round Leader
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
In his previous best Masters appearance, where he finished 4th, Justin Thomas opened with a 66 that year. So he knows how to get off to fast starts around these parts. He's also coming in hot after weekend rounds of 66 and 65 in his last outing at Valspar. I like him to ride that momentum into this week and make him a good FRL play.
Russell Henley
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Few players arrive here in better form than Russell Henley, who has bagged a win in a signature event already this season. Inside his last 6 starts, he has carded opening rounds of 66, 64, and 63, so he is no stranger to making a fast start and getting himself on leaderboards early.
Sepp Straka
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Sepp Straka has shot in the 60s in 5 of his 10 opening rounds so far this calendar year and has only shot higher than 70 on one occasion in opening rounds. He clearly has his preparation dialed in and, having attended university around these parts, knows the course more than his few appearances in the tournament would suggest.
Shane Lowry
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Shane Lowry has a first round scoring average of 69.5 across his last 6 events played, with the low end of those being a couple of 66's. So he looks an ideal first round leader candidate here at generous looking odds for the Irishman.
21:45 US Masters
Russell Henley
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Freshly off a career peak win at the Arnold Palmer at the beginning of last month, I like Russell Henley, who is playing relatively close to home, to get in contention here. He has form for doing so, having finished T4 in 2023, as well as a couple of other finishes inside the top 20.
Sepp Straka
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
An adopted Georgia resident, having attended university there, Sepp Straka had his best Masters finish to this point last year when finishing T16. I like him to get in the mix this week, coming in playing really good solid golf this year with a win at The American Express and a slew of other top 10 and top 20 finishes.
Shane Lowry
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Shane Lowry has a more than credible record at Augusta with finishes of T25, T21, T16, and T3 inside the last handful of years here. His elite short game can give big rewards around the green here, and his iron play has been on point of late. This is a combination that leads to the conclusion that if his putter gets hot, he could land yet another big title here this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick
Top European
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Matt Fitzpatrick looks great value to be in the mix as top European here, in my opinion. He has recently split from long-term caddie Billy Foster, and usually after events like this, players feel a sense of rebirth or freedom just hearing a new voice. He has a good record here too, with finishes of T22, T10, and T14 in the last three years.
Nicolai Hojgaard
Top European
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Nicolai Hojgaard has adjusted well to playing on the other side of the pond and was an impressive T6 on debut here last year. Looks a great value shot to be leading European here with little to call between any of them outside of McIlroy in my eyes.
Rasmus Hojgaard
Top European
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
It was a more than welcome return to form last time out for Rasmus Hojgaard to show positive signs after a couple of missed cuts. Three of his four rounds were in the 60s, and while he is a debutant here this week, he has twin brother Nicolai as one of the more reliable informants and knowledge to gain from. This is a course which suits his game to a tee.
Subtotal-650
12 April 2025
17:30 Arsenal v Brentford
Brentford
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
This game being sandwiched in between Arsenal's two quarter-final legs in the Champions League looks too perfectly set for this high-energy and in-your-face Brentford side to come and cause an upset in what, in truth, is a game of little significance for Arsenal's season.
Brentford & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
I like Brentford & Yes for the away win here in a game where both sides score. While Arsenal hold a good lead in their Champions League tie, I think all that does is draw their attention even more, with them mentally one giant step closer to the ultimate prize. I think Brentford will take full advantage here and perform a classic smash and grab away win with their counter-attacking proficiency.
15:00 Brighton v Leicester
Brighton
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Leicester have lost their last 8 league games in a row and done so without even scoring in any of those defeats. It's tough to see them troubling a Brighton side with the quality on offer.
Carlos Baleba
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Carlos Baleba is not one to shy away from putting the tackles in normally. Today, he is playing out of position in defense, so even more opportunity than normal for his tackling to be called upon.
Onyinye Ndidi
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-50
Onyinye Ndidi has been booked 3 times in his last 5 appearances for club and country, including in Leicester's most recent league game. He will have his hands full with the Brighton midfield overload here today.
15:00 Bristol Rovers v Exeter
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Bristol Rovers are winless in their last 5 league games played and host an Exeter side who have just 1 win in their last 6 in the league. Neither side is reliable to convert games to wins, so I like the draw.
15:00 Cardiff v Stoke
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Four of the last six clashes between these sides have ended in a draw, three in the league and a cup game that went beyond the 90 minutes. This will be a tense affair with them both in need of points. I think it leads to a game of few risks and few chances, and ultimately leads to a draw.
15:00 Chesterfield v Fleetwood Town
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Chesterfield have drawn 2 of their last 5 league games played, and they host a Fleetwood side who have drawn 3 of their last 8 league games played. So, I like the look of a sharing of the spoils here today between them.
15:00 Ebbsfleet United v Sutton Utd
Draw
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Sutton Utd being such strong odds-on favourites here doesn't sit right with me considering they have only won 2 of their last 7 league games. So, I like the value of the draw to oppose them here.
15:00 Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons
Draw
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Gillingham are on an incredible run of 6 straight draws in the league. In a game between two sides with little to play for, I like the value of this one ending and that run being extended.
15:00 Harrogate Town v Grimsby
Harrogate Town
50 WIN
@4.10
Lose
-50
Grimsby have come away on the losing side on each of their last three visits here. So I like the value of a home win here for Harrogate.
15:00 Morecambe v Carlisle
Draw
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Neither of these sides win very many games. Morecambe have 2 wins in their last 6 league games, and visitors Carlisle have just 2 wins in their last 8 in the league. With that said, I think the draw looks the value here.
15:00 Nottm Forest v Everton
Nicolas Dominguez
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Nicolas Dominguez starts right in the heart of the engine room here today for his Forest side, and he has been booked in 2 of his last 4 league games played.
15:00 Portsmouth v Derby
Draw
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
There has been very little between these sides in the last few years, with them even moving divisions with each other on more than one occasion. Four of their last five head-to-head meetings have ended in a draw, and I like the look of another here today.
15:00 Southampton v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 league games played to put themselves in with a great chance of yet again qualifying for the Champions League. While they may falter at some stage, I don't see it being today given Southampton's poor form and lack of any real motivation.
Amadou Onana
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Amadou Onana gets a rare start of late for a slightly rotated Villa side. He is tasked with the enforcer role in the middle of the park, something which he is not completely natural at as he prefers a more advanced role. So, I like the chances of him picking up a booking here.
Lesley Ugochukwu
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Lesley Ugochukwu is a combative and imposing midfield enforcer, and that has seen him booked in 2 of his last 5 league appearances for Saints.
Matty Cash
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
Matty Cash has always been more comfortable going forward than defending. He will have his hands full here dealing with tricky and pacey winger Sulemana down his wing for Southampton. Good chance of being forced into a booking.
15:00 Yeovil v Oldham
Draw
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Oldham have seen 4 of their last 9 league games end in a draw, so the same again looks generously priced here as they sit comfortably in the playoff spots with very little realistic hope of catching 3rd.
13:10 1:10 Ayr
Malystic
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
Malystic is a previous course and distance winner who has no less than 12 podium finishes in 24 previous chase outings, including 5 wins. He showed some encouraging signs of a return to form last time out in the first outing of the year. Hopefully, he kicks on here and can deliver again around this track.
12:30 Doncaster v AFC Wimbledon
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Doncaster have drawn 3 of their last 5 league games and host a Wimbledon side who have drawn 2 of their last 4. Both sides have started to drop points as the finish line approaches for their respective goals. Draw for me.
12:30 Itzulia Basque Country 2025 Stage 6
Enric Mas Nicolau
Win Outright
25 EW
@11.00
Win
38
Bit of a home advantage play here for Enric Mas, who after a substandard couple of opening stages to the series, has really picked up in the last 3 days and looks primed for a run at the win here today. The competition at the top of the field is fierce, but he can more than hold his own in that company.
Florian Lipowitz
Win Outright
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Florian Lipowitz finished 3rd in the opening stage in this series and 8th in stage 3. He's been visibly holding a bit back in the last couple of stages, I think, with an eye firmly on today, which is better suited to him. I think he is deserving of being at the head of the market, so I'm happily taking the extra couple of points on him here.
12:30 Man City v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-50
Crystal Palace have caused trouble for Man City in recent times, with 3 of their last 6 head-to-head meetings ending in a draw.
12:30 Plymouth v Sheff Utd
Sheff Utd
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Sheff Utd have lost back-to-back league games, so the pressure is really on them here to keep up with the automatic promotion race. The opposition should suit them down to the ground here as they visit a Plymouth side who are bottom of the league. For them, only a win will really do to give themselves any chance of survival. So it should be a more open game than it normally would be visiting a struggling side who would more often than not play for a draw.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The over looks the side to be on here as Plymouth have seen 5 of their last 6 league games end with more than 2.5 goals scored.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Plymouth have had little choice but to be a bit more gung-ho of late given their position in the league, and that has seen 3 of their last 5 league games end as BTTS YES games.
12:00 Qingdao Hainiu v Chengdu Rongcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Qingdao Hainiu look a big price here to me, playing at home where they have only been beaten in 1 of their last 4 eLeague games played. They have definitely developed more of a stubborn side and resilience of late.
Qingdao Hainiu & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Qingdao Hainiu & Yes was the result and formula for the win for them on the second to last occasion they played host to Chengdu. It looks a big price for a repeat of that here today with them improving at home of late.
Qingdao Hainiu #3-2
50 WIN
@71.00
Lose
-50
A 3-2 home win was the result for Qingdao Hainiu as the home side in the league meeting between them in 2023. They will be looking for a result more on that side here today than the defeat they suffered in the same fixture last season. Their recent home form of just 1 defeat in the last 4 gives hope they can pull it off.
11:30 Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators T20
Quetta Gladiators
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
I like the look of Quetta Gladiators for the win here at even money as they have come out as the winning side in 2 of the last 3 clashes between these sides.
10:35 Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with more than 2.5 goals scored. So, going with the over in this one.
10:35 Parramatta Eels v Canberra Raiders
Under 47.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Parramatta Eels have seen each of their last 4 matches played end with a lower points total than the line set here, so the under looks like a good play at even money.
08:30 Dalian Young Boy v Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Dalian Young Boy have drawn 2 of their last 5 league games played. Here they host a Tianjin Jinmen Tigers side who have drawn 3 of their last 5. So I can see them sharing the spoils here today.
08:05 Highlanders v Fijian Drua
Under 59.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Two of the four previous meetings between these sides have ended with a points total lower than this line here, with the most recent of them seeing just 42 points scored.
06:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama (AH) 1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Fagiano Okayama +1.0 on the handicap start looks generous to me here. They have been improving of late and have only been beaten in 2 of their last 7 league games played.
06:00 Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
I like Wellington Phoenix & Yes for the home win here in a game where both sides score. They have won 2 of the last 3 clashes between these sides when playing at home and had a good win via this BTTS YES outcome in their most recently played match against Newcastle Jets.
Wellington Phoenix (AH) 0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose+Push
-25
Melbourne Victory have not particularly enjoyed their visits here in recent times, with them winning just 1 of the last 4 and losing 2 of the others. So, I like siding with Wellington Phoenix +0.75 here.
Kazuki Nagasawa
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Kazuki Nagasawa was the star of the show last time out for his Wellington Phoenix side in their win, which was aided by him grabbing a goal and an assist. I like him to be the one to lead the way here again today.
Wellington Phoenix #2-1
50 WIN
@14.00
Lose
-50
Wellington Phoenix to win this one by the odd goal in three looks a bit of value here to me. They won their last game by this scoreline in another tough fixture in which they upset the odds, and I like them to repeat the formula here.
Subtotal-844
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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