c4stle
National Hunt follower who is more profitable on the flat…
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c4stle's Tips History
27 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Southwell
Dixieland Blues
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG
@2.50
Win
75
The form of his 2nd last time is stacking up well with multiple winners in behind. This looks an easier contest and he can finally get his nose in front.
16:15 4:15 Southwell
Pretending
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@13.00
Lose
-50
Pretending has been a model of consistency over hurdles and posted another strong effort when 3rd at Cheltenham's April meeting last time. Has run on the Tapeta for Mark Prescott as a 3-year-old, winning here over 11f. Should have race fitness on her side and a mark of 79 seems workable under these conditions.
15:15 3:15 Southwell
Chola Empire
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
Three times a winner over C&D from 7 visits (2 places), he's high in the weights but the yard are in flying form and can make all from stall 1.
Subtotal-25
26 April 2025
17:25 5:25 Haydock
Boston Run
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Handicap debut today having run with plenty of promise as a juvenile and been gelded over the summer. A mark of 76 looks more than workable.
16:10 4:10 Sandown
Olympic Man
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
Sent off favourite for the Scottish National LTO, Olympic Man jumped right and seemed to do away with his chances of winning. Sandown may therefore suit better and the hood goes on which his trainer has used to good effect so many times in the past. A mark of 142 is 5lbs higher than his Irish mark but still sees him get plenty of weight from his stablemates towards the top of the market, and Johnny Burke jumps ship having been on board Klark Kent last time.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Le Patron
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
Gaelic Warrior is class but unpredictable, and I can't get away from the thinking Pic D'Orhy is suited by flat tracks, so happy to pass both over. Le Patron has saved his best for Sandown, making all to win a novice handicap here by 10L and then following up by claiming the Grade 1 Henry VIII Novice Chase on heavy ground. Rhythm is so vital around here as the jumping can really be tested, and with the cheekpieces fitted, I wouldn't be surprised to see him bounce off from the front to put the rest under pressure. The yard is in good form, and he seems unlikely to be inconvenienced by the quick ground, having won a handicap earlier this season by 7L on good to soft from a mark of 146. Bare form leaves him plenty to find with the market principals, but unlike them, he's proven at the track and can spring a small surprise.
2 members found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Pic Roc
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
The Pauling yard have always held Pic Roc in high regard and went to Cheltenham with high hopes he would put in a strong display, but he ultimately disappointed. Stepped up in trip last time out at Ayr, he never jumped or travelled and needs to put two poor runs behind him. Reasons to be positive are his two previous runs at Sandown have seen him finish 2nd both times at this trip, and the handicapper has dropped him 2 lbs, taking him to a mark of 135. The trainer reached for cheekpieces, and if they sharpen him up, he's well handicapped in this company.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
25 April 2025
17:35 5:35 Chepstow
Ukantango
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Switched back to hurdles having disappointed over fences, following what had been a promising novice hurdle campaign. Finished close behind Fennors Cross, who won an Aintree handicap that season from a mark of 133, and in front of future graded horse Springwell Bay. Ukantango disappointed at Aintree himself when finishing down the field in his own handicap hurdle, but that came from a mark of 128, and it's easy to suggest he's more at home in a smaller field. He's dropped to a mark of 116 now and enlists the help of a 3 lbs claimer in the saddle, making him look seriously well handicapped for a yard who had a 4-timer yesterday and is clearly in fine fettle.
15:52 3:52 Perth
Dinons
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Pulled up last time when sent off 50/1 at the Aintree meeting, but prior to that, he was in good form at a lower level, winning a pair of handicap hurdles before just being touched off by a nose from today's mark of 130. Although now a 12-year-old, this is a big drop in class, and he absolutely bolted up on his own previous start here, albeit he was long odds-on to do so. Will enjoy the quicker ground and looks still well handicapped if on a going day.
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Cash
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
Cash looks overpriced in this field having run really well over C&D in a Listed contest when last seen, finishing strongly to finish 3rd. Seems to go well here having also finished a neck 2nd to Irish Derby winner Westover as a juvenile and the race conditions should suit his hold up style. Stable are in good form, with 3 winners from their last 9, and he's gone well fresh in the past.
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Thunder Wonder
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
Thunder Wonder has to carry a 6 lbs penalty for his win LTO, but that still leaves him 4 lbs well in on his new rating, having bolted up when switched back to turf at Musselburgh. The yard won this three years ago with a similar sort, and theirs tend to hold their racing well, meaning the 6-day turnaround is no issue.
Subtotal-200
24 April 2025
17:36 5:36 Perth
Brindley
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Handicap debut today after a good run in a novice two weeks ago. 93 looks potentially lenient on his flat form.
17:05 5:05 Perth
El Jefe
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
El Jefe has been disappointing this season but showed last year that when he puts it all together, he's got plenty of ability. He won at the Aintree meeting from a mark of 109 and subsequently missed 9 months, returning in December 2024. Happy to forgive his first few runs after a break as he tends to improve for his racing, and the hood he's worn in all his victories so far was missing the last twice. Hood back on today, he's dropped back to a mark of 105 and has run well here three times over C&D.
15:59 3:59 Perth
Della Casa Lunga
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
Della Casa Lunga drops in grade here after finishing down the field in a Grade 2 hurdle at Doncaster LTO. Prior to that she won well at Kempton when making all from a mark of 134 - that race saw next time out winners in 3rd and 4th so looks plenty strong. Seems at her best on right handed tracks and should appreciate conditions, she can get her nose in front in this Class 3 handicap from just 4lbs higher (138) than her Kempton win.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Beverley
Burning Cash
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
A drop in class on seasonal debut can pay dividends for Burning Cash. Off since July but had been running well at a higher level and won last May on his last effort at this level from a mark of 81. Same mark here today and looks well drawn in stall 2 with front runners in 1 and 3. Went well on reappearance last year, finishing a close 2nd, and the yard had their first winner in a while yesterday so could be hitting some form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
22 April 2025
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs
Sean
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
Undoubtedly has quality but is yet to win in the UK for his new stable, having joined in the winter of 2023. Ran well enough that his mark never really dropped from the opening 107 and showed in Meydan three starts back that ability is still there as an 8-year-old. However, his mark has now dropped to 103, which allows him into this lower grade handicap compared to those he was running in last year. Ground versatile, so conditions will be fine, and he can make his class pay.
Subtotal0
21 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse
Bushmans Pass
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Two big-priced selections against the field, not having a similar profile in that they boast winning course form and will be ridden prominently, if not leading. Bushman's Pass ran well to finish 5th in the Thyestes from 128 on reappearance behind the future Grand National winner and then missed the break next time when PU having been sent off fav for the Irish National Trial at Punchestown. Cheekpieces added last time saw a renewal in fortunes from a mark of 127 when making most on soft ground. Raised 6 lbs for that effort but will relish the slow ground, and although he didn't win by far last time, he fought back well and may have plenty more in hand up again in trip.
Lord Lariat
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
There's a profile I like for the Irish National which has seen good results over the past few years: Fairyhouse form; front-running style; good racing weight. There are a few that catch the eye, including Noble Birth and Bushman's Pass, but I'm not mad on the jockey switch and slow ground for the former, and the latter may not be particularly well handicapped after scraping home LTO in first-time headgear. No such concerns over Lord Lariat, who won this race three years ago from a mark of 137 and finished a respectable 6th over C&D two starts later from 146. He has been campaigned with this in mind, having had a couple of spins over hurdles since the turn of the year after over 700 days off the track. His mark has dropped to 138, and although he's now a 10yo, his reappearance 4th showed there's still ability there. His run LTO can be excused after the quick turnaround off a break, and the stable knows how to win this, having claimed the prize twice in the last 4 years.
16:05 4:05 Kempton
Tiger Crusade
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@19.00
Lose
-50
Tiger Crusade's form has dipped the last twice, but with the yard having had a couple of big-priced winners in the last few days (2 winners from the last 5 runners), a chance is taken that he can bounce back. He has 1 win and 2 places from 4 races over C&D, including a head 2nd in a Class 4 handicap from the same mark (85) three starts back. Reunited with Calum Shephard, who has won on him 4 times, he can outrun his odds.
Subtotal-150
20 April 2025
15:41 3:41 Bath
Pepsi Cat
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
Her 5th in this race last year can be upgraded as met trouble towards the finish, and her course record of 5-5-1-2-5-2 means she can outrun her odds and get in the mix again. Winners have come from wide draws three of the last four years, and there looks plenty of pace on offer which should suit her hold up style. Good reappearance last time should put her spot on.
Subtotal-50
19 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Musselburgh
Align The Stars
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The Johnston stable have a good record in this at their local track, winning two of the last four runnings. They have three in the field today, but Align The Stars is the pick, having been impressive in handicap company as a 3-year-old, thriving when upped to staying trips. Won 2 from 2 at 14f from marks of 92 and 99 before being put into Group company. Well beaten in the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup at York and in a French Group 1, but showed more on reappearance when a 0.75L 3rd in a Listed contest behind Al Qareem. Seemed to thrive for this racing last year, but as a 3-year-old, no surprise to see his season peter out. Having been freshened up over the winter, there's surely more improvement to come this season, and he could yet be the Group performer connections hope, in which case a mark of 101 should be within reach.
2 members found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Le Milos
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
Le Milos won easily on his first start in veteran company, winning by 6L from a mark of 139, and has since been thrown back into a higher grade where he's run with credit. He finished 6th in the Greatwood Gold Cup and then 7th at the Aintree Festival LTO. The drop in grade is key to his chances for a stable still clinging onto the trainer's championship lead and looking to profit while Mullins' attention is elsewhere. A mark of 141 is just 2 lbs above his last winning mark, and he's got decent form on quick ground, albeit any rain wouldn't be an issue. The stable, as you'd expect, is in strong form.
2 members found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Musselburgh
Wiltshire Lad
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
Wiltshire Lad had some strong juvenile form including finishing a close 4th behind New Century and Field Of Gold on debut. His 2nd to Seagolazo next time also reads well, with that rival getting the run of things at Chester and now rated 96 - Wiltshire Lad beaten 1.75L off level weights. He signed off his juvenile campaign with a win in an AW nursery for Stoute from a mark of 78 and has been raised 5lbs but a mark of 83 still looks potentially lenient on the pick of his 2yo form. Has joined the Balding yard and with their runners in peak form on first start, including a number of stable switchers, he has to be taken seriously under Oisin Murphy.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
18 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Newcastle
Golden Mind
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@34.00
Lose
-50
There looks to be a real lack of pace here with only two prominent racers who are separated by almost the full width of the track - We Never Stop (stall 2) and Golden Mind (stall 15). 6f at Newcastle tends to favour those ridden prominently, whilst high draws also come out best. So preference is for Golden Mind, who drops back to 6f having found 7f stretching the last twice. His record at this trip is 1-5-1, with the 5th coming in a Listed contest over C&D last autumn, and he's still unexposed at sprinting trips having been campaigned over further. Blinkers go on today, suggesting they aren't going to hang around, and a mark of 99 is just 1lb higher than when winning over this trip three starts back. Every chance he can blast his rivals away from the front.
14:05 2:05 Lingfield
Cephalus
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.50
Lose
-50
Cephalus won on this day last year, following up his C&D win 7 days earlier by beating Dingle over 8f under a 5lbs penalty from a mark of 81. Blinkers went back on two starts back with instant results, finishing 2nd at Chelmsford at this 10f trip before winning back down at 8f LTO. Raised 5lbs for that, he's up to a mark of 83, which is just 2lbs higher than last year. With the stable in good form, he can win again on AW finals day.
Subtotal-100
17 April 2025
13:35 1:35 Cheltenham
Sainte Lucie
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.75
Lose
-50
Sent off favourite for the Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle at the DRF, Saint Lucie bombed out and finished last of the 8 runners. She was put into the Grade 1 Triumph off the back of that run and finished mid-division, never really in the race. Into handicap company today from a mark of 131, I'd be shocked if she wasn't better than that if coming on for her runs in the spring festivals. No surprise to see her ridden more prominently down in grade as she was when winning her maiden by 11L, comfortably beating two rivals now rated 122. She's had just the four career starts and is entitled to be improving at a rate. She can outclass her rivals, and I'd be surprised to see her anywhere near 11/4 near the off.
Subtotal-50
16 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
The Waco Kid
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
A bit of a flier, but we've seen shocks in this in the past. With the rain falling, I wouldn't be surprised to see the ground riding on the softer side. The Waco Kid won the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes here in September, making all on soft ground to win by 2.75L over 7f. The 2nd almost won a Listed contest next time (neck 2nd), and the 5th has won twice as a 3yo, so there's some substance there (rest unraced since). I can forgive him being run off his feet on rattling quick ground at Del Mar next time. This looks a pretty strong contest on paper, but with conditions potentially to suit and with plenty of experience under his belt, I can see a shock on the cards, with others maybe having bigger targets later in the season.
15:15 3:15 Cheltenham
Planned Paradise
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
As is so often the case Christian Williams has his string in fine form this time of year, winning 4 of his last 7. Planned Paradise ran well here in November, finishing 3rd from a mark of 109 before winning at Windsor two starts later when upped in trip to 28.5f. That was from a mark of 107 and he's now 5lbs higher but has gone well twice at Exeter over similar trips, possibly being undone by the heavy ground two starts back and bouncing back on a quicker surface last time to finish 2nd in a small field. Quicker ground here will suit and he's 4lbs better off with the winner Yes Man at a track he's run well at before and with the stable flying.
Subtotal-100
15 April 2025
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Ottoman Fleet
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-50
Ottoman Fleet has won this the last two years, winning cosily enough on both occasions after a few spins in the Middle East. Same prep this year and doesn't look an overly strong renewal, with doubts over Ambiente Friendly, whose form petered off towards the end of the season.
Subtotal-50
13 April 2025
18:45 6:45 Musselburgh
Gweedore
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
Gweedore has 4 wins and 4 placed efforts from 9 spins over C&D, including twice off the back of a break. Has had two spins on the AW over the winter without success, and he's clearly had issues after just one turf start last year but a mark of 90 leaves him well handicapped having won 3 times from higher marks in the past. Track and conditions are ideal and the set up of the race should suit.
Subtotal-50
12 April 2025
16:35 4:35 Curragh
Crystal Black
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Always happy to take on the AOB horses first time out as they often carry plenty of condition with bigger targets later in the season. The favorite drops back in trip after winning the St Leger, and although he's won at this trip, he seemed to get better when going further. Crystal Black is now a 7-year-old but kept improving through last season, progressing through handicaps and winning a Group 3 on his final start. Won on reappearance and the trip will be grand. The yard is in good form, and I expect he might be primed for this Group 3 prize with the ground to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Ayr
Jump Allen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Jump Allen won cosily on handicap debut last time from a mark of 114, winning by 4.5L with the same distance back to the 3rd. He's effectively 14lbs higher here but won readily and steps up in trip today for his superstar yard that won this last year. Jockey retained in the saddle and with UK prize money on offer he'll be primed to follow up from a mark of 128.
1 member found this comment useful
15:12 3:12 Newbury
Metal Merchant
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Metal Merchant won this on seasonal reappearance last year from a mark of 91 before almost following up with a 2nd placed finish from 5 lbs higher over the same C&D. That takes his Newbury C&D record to 2-1-2, and his win in this last year has substance, having beaten the 2025 Lincoln winner (94) Godwinson when giving him 3 lbs. He held his form well last season, and as a result, he goes this year from a mark of 97. But at this track, I fancy he can defy the weight with the yard having had a couple of recent winners and conditions no issue.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Rashabar
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
Rashabar sets the standard the rest have to reach with his 5 starts as a juvenile, including winning the Group 2 Coventry before being touched off in a pair of Group 1s. The latest of which was having been stepped up to 7f. His yard won this two years ago with Isaac Shelby - also the class horse in the field - and conditions will be fine, having won at Royal Ascot on good to firm, but his two G1 2nds have had a bit more cut in the ground.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Ayr
Ethical Diamond
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.00
Lose
-50
I think the County Hurdle form will prove to be strong, and Ethical Diamond was giving weight to the top two. Carries top weight here but just 1 lb higher than Cheltenham, and I'd expect him to prove to be closer to a 150 horse than today's rating of 144. Penny took a while to drop and showed really good flat form on quick ground in the summer before breaking his maiden on heavy ground two starts back, winning by 10L. One of four bullets for Mullins but looks to be on a steep upwards curve who can help him edge closer to retaining his UK trainer's title.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
05 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Aintree
Leau Du Sud
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@2.88
Lose
-50
L'Eau Du Sud weakened at the business end of the Arkle, having been delivered too early for his challenge. I think he's better than that and can turn the tables on Only The Night with first-time cheekpieces, which should be good enough to win this.
16:00 4:00 Aintree
I Am Maximus
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
Last year's winner, I Am Maximus, fairly bolted up from a mark of 159, winning by 7.5L. He's 8lbs higher this year after two below-par efforts this season but will have been aimed at this race for 12 months by his master trainer, who has farmed the big prizes at this meeting. I've no doubt he would have won from this mark last year, and being just a 9-year-old, there's no reason to suggest he can't repeat the feat.
2 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Strong Leader
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
There has to be a concern over the quick turnaround for Teahupoo, despite showing better form on the good ground at Cheltenham last time. Kitzbuhel has a massive step up in trip to address, so again cannot be treated with any confidence. The solid option looks to be last year's winner, Strong Leader, who isn't a Cheltenham horse but posted a good effort LTO on his first start after wind surgery. He won this race cosily last year, albeit only beating Buddy One, which took his Aintree record to 1-2-1, and he'll be suited by the quicker ground. The stable is in strong form (25% last 14 days), and with doubts over the market principals, he's the solid choice.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Imperial Saint
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The presence of Sam Brown means Imperial Saint has a nice racing weight from a mark of 144, with 11st2lbs on his back. This often goes to the classy horses, with 4 of the last 5 winners rated at least 147, and Imperial Saint has won three times from three visits to the track. Steps up in trip today but being a former P2P winner and with ground conditions pretty quick I don't see that being an issue, and his stable have won this three times since 2010. Ran pretty well in a Grade 2 novice last time and if stamina holds out that offers more scope for improvement for this upwardly mobile chaser.
1 member found this comment useful
Sam Brown
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
He's now 13yo but his win LTO showed he retains plenty of ability and his Aintree form suggests he has another big performance in the bag. Has finished 1st (147) and 2nd (154) in two runs in this contest and clearly enjoys Aintree. 7lbs claimer retained after his win last time and the yard are in fine form.
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Bo Zenith
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
Bo Zenith posted arguably his best effort when a close 2nd in the Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle here in April 2023, and returned from a 610 break for his new yard last December. Caught the eye that day when rattling home to finish 3rd from a mark of 135 under James Bowen. Hasn't built on that in two starts since, including when disappointing in the Imperial Cup last time, but steps up significantly in trip today which looks a positive based on his running style. Aintree suits those ridden with a bit of patience and the stable reach for cheekpieces to sharpen him up. Reunited with James Bowen from a mark of 136 he should have plenty of scope with conditions to suit.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Cormier
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@67.00
Void
0
Cormier showed something of a resurgence last time out in first-time cheekpieces, running well under today's jockey to finish 6th in the Morebattle Hurdle. That was just his 2nd start off a 500+ day break, and he seemed to fade at the business end. But with that behind him, he should come on plenty and has been dropped a further 3 lbs. That takes him to a mark of 121, which is 18 lbs below his peak, and he's got plenty of big field handicap form in these conditions, including 4th in a Welsh Champion Hurdle, 7th in a County Hurdle, and 2nd in a Swindon. With headgear retained and the in-form jockey (3 wins in last 11) taking off a further 5 lbs, he's dangerously weighted to outrun his odds.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Romeo Coolio
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Romeo Coolio sets the standard and went up in my estimations with his 3rd in the Supreme last time out, as I'd previously thought he wouldn't have the speed for this trip. The two in front of him that day look smart, and I don't think the form of Tripoli Flyer is anywhere near that level - he's next best in the market. Won his maiden by 18L on good ground and the Grade 1 Future Champions Hurdle by 9L on good-yielding, so ground shouldn't be an issue, and he sets a clear form standard having comfortably dispatched Salvador Mundi LTO.
2 members found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Brentford Hope
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@34.00
Void
0
A typically tricky contest, and there are a few of interest that would have been primed for Cheltenham and may struggle to post their best efforts just three weeks later. Brentford Hope skipped Cheltenham and has been running in Graded company the last twice, first when behind Constitution Hill and then LTO last of four in the Kingwell. He was disappointing when last seen in handicap company, finishing down the field at Windsor, but that's a bit of a funny track, so I'm happy to forgive him that effort. He's undoubtedly well handicapped on the evidence of his Punchestown run last spring when finishing 2nd to Daddy Long Legs when giving that rival 8lbs, who has since won a Grade 3 and is now rated 151. I like spring festival form and big field handicap form, with Brentford Hope bringing both to the table, and a mark of 141 is 2lbs lower than his Punchestown run. He steps up in trip for the first time but seemed to see out 17f up the Cheltenham hill well enough in the Unibet Hurdle, and if the extra distance finds any improvement, he should be right in the mix.
1 member found this comment useful
Wade Out
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
Wade Out could be chucked in from a mark of 128 based on his novice form, having split Celtic Dino (132) and Joyeuse (142) earlier in the season. His form since has been harder to gauge, having won two small field novice hurdles without any fuss either side of blowing out in the Grade 2 novice at Cheltenham on Trials Day. Ground and trip won't be a problem and his yard are in red hot form (35% last 14 days) and connections love to target this meeting.
2 members found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Dancing City
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Happy to draw a line through his poor effort LTO at Cheltenham when finishing 6th of 7, having been asked to make the running under Danny Mullins, which was his only bad run of his career. Prior to that, he had shown ability over the larger obstacles, winning twice at odds on. Seemed to improve for his racing last term and excelled in the spring, with his win here in the Grand Sefton his most impressive performance when he beat The Jukebox Man by 5.5L. I'm still minded to take a view that the Irish hold a stronger hand than the British in Graded races, and 11/2 looks a big price with Paul Townend back in the saddle.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
03 April 2025
16:40 4:40 Aintree
The Folkes Tiara
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
The form of The Folkes Tiara's 2nd last time has plenty of substance, with the winner following up at the DRF from 6lbs higher (now rated 18lbs higher) and the 3rd winning a Grade 3 handicap next time from the same mark. TFT has had a hike himself and is 7lbs higher here and without the claimer in the saddle but the yard have won this twice in the last five years, with another 2nd in that time, and clearly know how to target this valuable race. His prominent running style should suit in a race without loads of obvious pace and ground conditions will be ideal.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Percussion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Percussion looks a solid each way bet, with an outstanding record in top handicaps over these National fences - form figures 3-3-2-3-7. He hasn't threatened on either start in the hunter chase sphere so far, but a return to this C&D can see him regain his best form, which should see him in the frame. Presentandcounting looks another that can outrun his odds under Derek O'Connor, with the step back in trip and his forward-going style both likely to suit in a race where so many have nicked it off the front.
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Lossiemouth
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.62
Win
81
I fancied Lossiemouth to turn the tables on Constitution Hill in the Champion Hurdle, given she was only 2L behind when totally unsuited by the track at Kempton near Christmas. Connections took the easy option, and she bolted up in the Mares over this 20f trip. Constitution Hill, on the other hand, blotted his copybook and comes in on the back of a silly fall, at a trip where he arguably put up his least impressive victory to date when only beating Sharjah by 3L here two years ago.
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Stage Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Stage Star has run poorly on two visits to Aintree, first when sent off as favorite for the Grade 1 Manifesto Chase after claiming the Turners at Cheltenham and then in the Old Roan at the start of this season. I'm not certain the track is the issue though, as he had viable excuses both times (quick turnaround and seasonal reappearance), and I think in what looks a weak enough renewal, he's being overlooked. The ground will be fine, and he ran really well behind L'Homme Presse when upped in trip to 25f for the first time last time out, going down by 0.75L giving that rival 4lbs. Kept fresh since, I think a similarly positive ride at a sharper track can see him hit the frame with more than a fair chance of getting his nose in front.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Puturhandstogether
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.00
Lose
-50
This normally goes to a Triumph horse, winning here after competing in the Grade 1 at Cheltenham. With the defection of Lulamba, this lacks any horse coming in with meaningful Grade 1 form. While the Skelton horse is respected, he may not be suited by the quicker ground, having shown his best form on a softer surface. Puturhandstogether bolted up from a mark of 130 in the Fred Winter on a fair surface, having seemingly been campaigned with that handicap in mind. The handbrake can now come off, and he already looks to set the standard if repeating his win last time.
Subtotal-119
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