twfaulkner

I always think you've got to go for players who are proven at Augusta, and then you look at recent form. There are quite a few who meet that criteria in the field but none are as good value as Sergio Garcia. His second place (oe joint first) last week wasn't a fluke as he was also runner-up in February, and while you should probably take LIV tour stats with a pinch of salt due to low tournaments, 73.3% greens in regulation looks pretty good for me (that would be third best on the PGA tour). So 125-1 for a previous champion in good form looks good value.

Has form in the tournament, having won it once before, has been in great form this year, he hasn't finished outside the top 12 in the last 4 tournaments, so he seems to have overcome the injury concerns. Near the top of most of the important metrics e.g. strokes gained. So has everything I would look for in a Masters winner, he's the one who can take on Sheffler and the best value of the top picks.