dmburgess85
Living The Dream, I give my opinion for any race. Follow me on twitter @dmburgess85 or at http://dmburgess85.wordpress.com. Cheltenham Festival Competition winner 2019, Aintree Competition winner 2021, Royal Ascot Competition winner 2023. Please Gamble Responsibly. #UnitedAgainstDementia #BHF
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dmburgess85's Tips History
27 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Sandown
Kinondo Kwetu
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Weveallbeencaught
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
15:00 3:00 Sandown
El Fabiolo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
EL FABIOLO is hard to fault, despite fluffing his lines for the first time (over fences) when pulling up after a bad mistake in the Grade 1 Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham 6½ weeks ago. Jockey Paul Townend has placed eight times in nine rides (88.89%) when aboard, winning seven (77.78%) & El Fabiolo has placed nine times in ten runs (90%) for trainer Willie Mullins, winning eight (80%). Every chance.
Nube Negra
Daily Racing
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
The first-time cheekpieces may have a dramatic positive effect on NUBE NEGRA, who has comprehensively been outpointed by several of these rivals already this season. Jockey Harry Skelton has placed fourteen times in twenty-four rides (58.33%) when aboard, winning seven (29.17%) & Nube Negra has placed nine times in seventeen runs (52.94%) on good or similar going, winning five (29.41%). Lively outsider.
14:45 2:45 Haydock
Sparks Fly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Tacarib Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
14:25 2:25 Sandown
Easy Game
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Hitman
Daily Racing
25 EW
@4.00
Lose
-10
The change of headgear could see HITMAN bounce back on these terms, after struggling when 8th to Protektorat in the Grade 1 Festival Trophy at Cheltenham 6 weeks ago. Jockey Harry Cobden has placed nine times in thirteen rides (69.23%) when aboard, winning twice (15.38%) & Hitman has placed eleven times in nineteen runs (57.89%) for trainer Paul Nicholls, winning three (15.79%). Every chance.
14:05 2:05 Leicester
Big Bear Hug
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
Miss Cantik
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
660
MISS CANTIK is now hooded for her handicap debut, after finishing midfield to Lady Boba in the Listed Grand Prix at Fontainebleau 5 months ago. She has won twice in two runs (100%) over 1 mile & has won once in one run (100%) on soft or similar going. One to watch.
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Act Of Authority
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Despite his opening mark looking tough, ACT OF AUTHORITY dominated his opposition when beating Billy Boi Blue & Tommy Time at Wetherby 5½ weeks ago. Jockey Sean Bowen has placed five times in six rides (83.33%) when aboard, winning three (50%) & Act Of Authority has placed six times in seven runs (85.71%) for trainer Olly Murphy, winning three (42.86%). One to watch.
Goonhilly
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
Despite Harry being on the yard's other runner, GOONHILLY is a great second choice who acquitted himself well when 6th to Go Dante in the Imperial Cup here prior to running 2nd to Denemethy at Wincanton 4 weeks ago. Jockey Tristan Durrell has placed once in one ride (100%) when aboard & Goonhilly has placed once in two runs (50%) on good or similar going. One to watch.
Subtotal150
20 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Egbert
Daily Racing
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
The yard has winning form in this, so EGBERT is very intriguing after advancing his form in the first-time blinkers when 2nd to Slipway at Kempton 5 weeks ago. He has placed four times in seven runs (57.14%) on soft or similar going, winning twice (28.57%) & has placed seven times in eleven runs (63.64%) for trainer Alan King, winning three (27.27%). Lively outsider.
Klarc Kent
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
From a top stable, KLARC KENT is another unexposed one who now travels over a much longer trip after just failing when a close 2nd to So Des Flos at Fairyhouse 3 weeks ago. He has placed three times in nine runs (33.33%) on soft or similar going, winning once (11.11%) & has also placed three times in nine runs (33.33%) for trainer Willie Mullins, winning once (11.11%). One to watch.
15:15 3:15 Newbury
City Of York
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
With a run under his belt, CITY OF YORK is no forlorn hope after resuming with a creditable 6th to Hiromichi at Lingfield 2 weeks ago. He has won twice in three runs (66.67%) on soft or similar going & has won once in one run (100%) here at Newbury. Lively outsider.
Hieronymus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@67.00
Lose
-50
HIERONYMUS is one for the shortlist, after posting another good effort when running a close 3rd to Farasi Lane at Kempton 3 weeks ago. He has placed five times in twelve runs (41.67%) over 1 mile, winning twice (16.67%) & has placed thirteen times in twenty-eight runs (46.43%) for trainer George Baker, winning five (17.86%). Lively outsider.
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Coco Mademoiselle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Push
0
COCO MADEMOISELLE's opening mark looks very fair, who made the most of a good opportunity when making it back-to-back wins at Chepstow 5 weeks ago. Jockey Harry Skelton has placed five times in six rides (83.33%) when aboard, winning three (50%) & Coco Mademoiselle has also placed five times in six runs (83.33%) on soft or similar going, winning three (50%). Every chance.
Flower Of Scotland
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
FLOWER OF SCOTLAND’s stamina is assured now back hurdling, who has eased back into it (the last twice) following a setback at Carlisle 5 months ago. Jockey Danny McMenamin has placed three times in four rides (75%) when aboard, winning once (25%) & Flower Of Scotland has placed five times in seventeen runs (29.41%) for trainer Sandy Thomson, winning three (17.65%). One to watch.
14:40 2:40 Newbury
El Bodon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Win
140
Connections have high hopes for EL BODON, who may surprise after going one better when readily beating Commander Of Life at Lingfield 10 months ago. He has placed twice in two runs (100%) for trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam, winning once (50%). Lively outsider.
Zoum Zoum
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
ZOUM ZOUM can make it 4 in 4, who should have more to offer after ending the year with Listed success when beating Princess Child in the Herod Stakes at Saint-Cloud 5 months ago. Jockey Rob Hornby has won three times in three rides (100%) when aboard & Zoum Zoum has also won three times in three runs (100%) over 7 furlongs. Every chance.
14:25 2:25 Ayr
Cracking Rhapsody
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
CRACKING RHAPSODY has a big shout who should still have more to offer, after beating Ginger Mail & bagging the Morebattle Hurdle at Kelso 7 weeks ago. He has won four times in six runs (66.67%) over 2 miles & has placed five times in seven runs (71.43%) on soft or similar going, winning four (57.14%). One to watch.
Salsada
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
SALSADA is weighted to go well off the same mark, after taking a big step back in the right direction when 3rd to Brentford Hope at Haydock 3 weeks ago. She has placed three times in seven runs (42.86%) on soft or similar going, winning twice (28.57%) & has won once in two runs (50%) here at Ayr. One to watch.
14:05 2:05 Newbury
Relief Rally
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
RELIEF RALLY has strong claims on return, after bagging the Group 2 Lowther Stakes when beating Cherry Blossom at York 8 months ago. She has won twice in two runs (100%) on soft or similar going & has won once in one run (100%) here at Newbury. Every chance.
Star Music
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
STAR MUSIC may make a better 3-year-old, who backed up previous run/win when finishing a good 3rd to Dance Sequence in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket 6 months ago. She has won once in two runs (50%) over 7 furlongs & has placed three times in four runs (75%) for trainer Richard Hughes, winning once (25%). Lively outsider.
13:50 1:50 Ayr
Donny Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Headgear is now applied on intriguing DONNY BOY, who steps-up in class after failing to build on his close 2nd to Jet Lags at Newcastle 4 months ago. He has won once in three runs (33.33%) over 3 miles & has placed three times in ten runs (30%) on soft or similar going, winning twice (20%). Lively outsider.
Montgomery
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
MONTGOMERY could well have more to give, after finishing well on top when beating Ballycamus at Bangor 4 weeks ago. Jockey Charlie Deutsch has won three times in three rides (100%) when aboard & Montgomery has also won three times in three runs (100%) for trainer Venetia Williams. Every chance.
13:30 1:30 Newbury
Alsakib
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
It will be no shock to see ALSAKIB make an impact at this level this term, who despite being a tad disappointing in Qatar latest bagged a couple of valuable handicaps late last season. Jockey James Doyle has won once in one ride (100%) when aboard & Alsakib has won twice in two runs (100%) over 1 mile 4 furlongs. One to watch.
Max Vega
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
MAX VEGA cannot be completely ruled out of making the frame here, after having very little go his way when 8th to Prydwen at Newcastle 3 weeks ago. Jockey Rossa Ryan has placed three times in five rides (60%) when aboard, winning twice (40%) & Max Vega has placed four times in six runs (66.67%) here at Newbury, winning twice (33.33%). One to watch.
13:15 1:15 Ayr
Persian Time
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
PERSIAN TIME has only been nudged up 3lb so is hard to discount, after getting back on the up when beating Soul Icon at Kempton 5 weeks ago. Jockey Nico de Boinville has placed three times in three rides (100%) when aboard, winning twice (66.67%) & Persian Time has placed twice in two runs (100%) over 2 miles, winning once (50%). Lively outsider.
Sans Bruit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Bidding to follow up, SANS BRUIT makes plenty of appeal who is very much the type to go on improving after beating Saint Roi in the Red Rum Premier Handicap at Aintree 1½ weeks ago. Jockey Bryony Frost has won once in two rides (50%) when aboard & Sans Bruit has won once in one run (100%) within this sphere (class 1). Every chance.
Subtotal-555
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree
Im A Lumberjack
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Despite others having more potential, I’M A LUMBERJACK put in an excellent effort when 3rd to Royal Infantry in the Listed Beacons 2 months ago. Jockey Tom Cannon has placed three times in four rides (75%) when aboard & I’m A Lumberjack has also placed three times in four runs (75%) on soft or similar going. One to watch.
Mister Meggit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
MISTER MEGGIT will take all beating, after not coming off the bridle & making a great impression when beating De Kingpin at Doncaster 6 weeks ago. Jockey Jonjo O’Neill has won twice in two rides (100%) when aboard & Mister Meggit has also won twice in two runs (100%) over 2 miles 1 furlong. Every chance.
17:00 5:00 Aintree
Etalon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
ETALON can make his presence felt at this level & looks capable, after putting in a dominating performance when beating Gunsight Ridge at Sandown 2 months ago. Jockey Harry Skelton has placed eight times in eight rides (100%) when aboard, winning four (50%) & Etalon has placed four times in four runs (100%) over 2 miles, winning three (75%). Every chance.
Matata
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
MATATA is turning into a smart novice chaser, who could get into the mix after running a creditable 4th to Gaelic Warrior in the Grade 1 Arkle at Cheltenham 4½ weeks ago. He has placed seven times in nine runs (77.78%) over 2 miles, winning three (33.33%) & has placed seven times in ten runs (70%) for trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, winning three (30%). One to watch.
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Limerick Lace
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Interesting LIMERICK LACE could become the first mare since Nickel Coin 73 years ago to win this, who boasts a serious threat after beating Dinoblue in the Grade 2 Liberthine at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. Jockey Mark Walsh has placed three times in four rides (75%) when aboard, winning twice (50%) & Limerick Lace has placed eleven times in seventeen runs (64.71%) on heavy or similar going, winning seven (41.18%). One to watch.
1 member found this comment useful
Run Wild Fred
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@51.00
Void
0
Despite others being more persuasive, RUN WILD FRED could bounce back to form in a big way after pulling up in the Ultima at Cheltenham 4½ weeks ago. He has placed eleven times in twenty-five runs (44%) on heavy or similar going, winning three (12%) & has placed thirteen times in twenty-seven runs (48.15%) for trainer Gordon Elliott, winning five (18.52%). Lively outsider.
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Hewick
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Despite others appealing more over hurdles, HEWICK picked up the pieces when beating Bravemansgame in the Grade 1 King George VI at Kempton 4 months ago. Jockey Jordon Gainford has placed four times in seven runs (57.14%) when aboard, winning three (42.86%) & Hewick has placed twice in four runs (50%) over 3 miles 1 furlong, winning once (25%). One to watch.
Hiddenvalley Lake
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Unexposed HIDDENVALLEY LAKE is interesting back-up in trip, after settling things quickly when beating Beacon Edge in the Grade 2 Boyne at Navan 2 months ago. He has placed four times in six runs (66.67%) on soft or similar going, winning three (50%) & has also placed four times in six runs (66.67%) for trainer Henry de Bromhead, winning three (50%). One to watch.
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Kilbeg King
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Despite being not so good at Cheltenham latest, KILBEG KING was narrowly denied by Henry’s Friend in the Grade 2 Reynoldstown at Ascot 2 months ago. He has placed six times in nine runs (66.67%) on soft or similar going, winning three (33.33%) & has placed seven times in eleven runs (63.64%) for trainer Anthony Honeyball, winning four (36.36%). One to watch.
Kinondo Kwetu
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
100
Despite being well held at Cheltenham latest, KINONDO KWETU was denied a clear run at a crucial stage when finishing a close 3rd to Twig in the Summer Cup at Uttoxeter 9 months ago. He has placed three times in four runs (75%) over 3 miles 1 furlong, winning twice (50%) & has placed three times in three runs (100%) here at Aintree, winning twice (66.67%). One to watch.
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Brighterdaysahead
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 12/04 at 17:400.25 deduction for Caldwell Potter@4.00 withdrawn at 19:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.25) = 2.41
@2.41
Win
70
The stable is seeking a third successive win in this, so BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD is a player after running a creditable 2nd to Golden Ace in the Grade 2 Dawn Run at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. She has placed six times in six runs (100%) on soft or similar going, winning five (83.33%) & has also placed six times in six runs (100%) for trainer Gordon Elliott, winning five (83.33%). Every chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Mahons Way
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
The step back-up in trip should suit MAHON’S WAY, who posted his best effort to date when 2nd to Fun Fun Fun in the Grade 3 Kingsfurze at Naas 34 days ago. Jockey Rachael Blackmore has placed twice in four rides (50%) when aboard, winning once (25%) & Mahon’s Way has also placed twice in four runs (50%) within this sphere (class 1), winning once (25%). One to watch.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Fine Margin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
FINE MARGIN could get back on track & is capable, after shaping as if something was amiss when pulling up on return in a Listed Handicap at Leopardstown 2 months ago. Jockey Brian Hayes has placed once in two rides (50%) when aboard & Fine Margin has also placed once in two runs (50%) within this sphere (class 1). One to watch.
Monmiral
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@12.00
Win
30
MONMIRAL must enter calculations, after bouncing back to form when seeing off 21 rivals in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival 4 weeks ago. He has placed eight times in sixteen runs (50%) on soft or similar going, winning six (37.5%) & has placed twice in three runs (66.67%) here at Aintree, winning once (33.33%). One to watch.
Subtotal-300
12 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Ballee
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
85
BALLEE may bounce back on handicap bow & make a challenge, after unseating Micheal Nolan early at Chepstow 11 days ago. He has placed three times in five runs (60%) over 2 miles, winning twice (40%) & has placed three times in four runs (75%) for trainers Phillip Hobbs & Johnson White, winning twice (50%). One to watch.
1 member found this comment useful
Your Honor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
The newly added cheekpieces may work out well for YOUR HONOR, who has been underwhelming to say the least the last twice at Musselburgh & Fairyhouse respectively. He has placed three times in eleven runs (27.27%) over 2 miles, winning twice (18.18%) & has placed six times in twenty-two runs (27.27%) on soft or similar going, winning four (18.18%). Lively outsider.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Kyntara
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
KYNTARA should give his running once again, after posting an excellent 2nd to Monmiral in the Pertemps Network Final at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. Jockey Charlie Deutsch has placed five times in five rides (100%) when aboard, winning twice (40%) & Kyntara has won once in one run (100%) here at Aintree. One to watch.
Shanagh Bob
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
These testing conditions should bring SHANAGH BOB’s stamina into play, who boasts loads of potential after forging away in the Grade 2 Bristol Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham 4 months ago. He has won twice in two runs (100%) on soft or similar going & has also won twice in two runs (100%) for trainer Nicky Henderson. Every chance.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Arizona Cardinal
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@21.00
Win
600
ARIZONA CARDINAL cannot be dismissed in his current mood, after making it back-to-back wins in commanding fashion when beating One True King at Ludlow 6 weeks ago. He has placed seven times in thirteen runs (53.85%) on soft or similar going, winning five (38.46%) & has placed eight times in fifteen runs (53.33%) for trainer Stuart Edmunds, winning six (40%). One to watch.
Shantreusse
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
SHANTREUSSE is one for the shortlist, after posting a good 2nd to Battle It out in the Listed Nas Na Riogh at Naas 7 weeks ago. He has placed eight times in thirteen runs (61.54%) on soft or similar going, winning three (23.08%) & has placed three times in five runs (60%) within this sphere (class 1). One to watch.
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Conflated
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
It’s interesting to see CONFLATED & connections opting for this than the national, after running an easy 3rd to Protektorat in the Grade 1 Festival Trophy at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. Jockey Jack Kennedy has placed six times in fifteen rides (40%) when aboard, winning four (26.67%) & Conflated has placed four times in seven runs (57.14%) over 2 miles 4 furlongs, winning three (42.86%). One to watch.
1 member found this comment useful
Jonbon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
JONBON can regain the winning thread, after getting narrowly beaten by Elixir De Nutz in the Grade 1 Clarence House at Cheltenham 3 months ago. Jockey Nico de Boinville has won three times in three rides (100%) when aboard & Jonbon has won twice in two runs (100%) here at Aintree. Every chance.
1 member found this comment useful
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Dysart Enos
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.00
Void
0
DYSART ENOS is well worth her place here, after completing a simple task when beating Justus & 7 others at Doncaster 3 months ago. Jockey Paddy Brennan has won five times in five rides (100%) when aboard & Dysart Enos has won six times in six runs (100%) for trainer Fergal O’Brien. Every chance.
Mistergif
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
MISTERGIF has most likely not proven his limit yet, after acquitting himself with plenty of credit when 5th to Slade Steel in the Grade 1 Supreme at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. He has won once in runs (50%) over 2 miles & has also won once in two runs (50%) for trainer Willie Mullins. One to watch.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Might I
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Others maybe preferred but MIGHT I, who finished mid-field to Langer Dan in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham may return to form back here at Aintree. Jockey Jonathon Burke has won once in four rides (25%) when aboard & Might I has placed seven times in fourteen runs (50%) on soft or similar going. One to watch.
Spirit Daunou
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 67.00 used instead of 34.00 takenBOG
@67.00
Win
305
The step-up in trip should help SPIRIT D'AUNOU & his progressive thread, after coming to a halt somewhat in both the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury & Imperial Cup at Sandown the last twice respectively. Jockey Niall Houlihan has won twice in two rides (100%) when aboard & Spirit D'Aunou has placed five times in seven runs (71.43%) on soft or similar going, winning four (57.14%). Lively outsider.
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Chianti Classico
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
CHIANTI CLASSICO has the potential to offer even more over fences, after putting in an assured display when beating Twig & 19 others in the Ultima at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. Jockey David Bass has placed eight times in ten rides (80%) when aboard, winning seven (70%) & Chianti Classico has won once in one run (100%) over 3 miles 1 furlong. Every chance.
Inothewayurthinkin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@3.50
Win
78
There should be further progression still to come from INOTHEWAYUTHINKIN, who is a major player after opening his chase account under a confident ride in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham 4 weeks ago. Jockey Mark Walsh has placed four times in four rides (100%) when aboard, winning twice (50%) & Inothewayuthinkin has placed five times in ten runs (50%) on soft or similar going, winning three (30%). Every chance.
Subtotal865
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
