JamPizza
I'm a sports and betting enthusiast and love trying to solve the puzzle of big handicaps both on the flat and over the jumps. The majority of my tips are double figure prices and I rarely back the favourites. I'm always looking for value and try to post the tips the evening before to get the early prices. Twitter @JamPizza
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
JamPizza's Tips History
25 April 2024
14:25 2:25 Perth
Maillot Blanc
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
This trainer/jockey combo had been a profitable one to follow in recent times and this horse looks overpriced after getting the rustiness out iof his system on his debut run for the new stable last time out. That was his first run in a year and he's sure to strip fitter today. His only previous run over c&d was an excellent 2nd when beaten less than a length off a 1lb higher mark for a very inexperienced jockey. This looks like a great opportunity with a stronger jockey on board and he looks good e/w value.
Subtotal0
24 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Taunton
Bella Civena
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
It would have been a profitable system backing Harry Derham's lightly raced horses this season since he really does have them fit and raring to go in these handicaps. Her win at Market Rasen has seen several of those beaten horses run well (and win) since off marks higher than Bellsa Civena races off here and she looks on a very decent mark to me. The same jockey from that win is rebooked again after 2 runs without him which is another clue in itself that the horse could go close.
17:27 5:25 Catterick
Jesmond Dawn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
This horse makes his handicap debut here off a mark of 60 for a trainer that does well when he send his horses handicapping. The horse has shown early speed in his short career and that will be an advantage from his high draw here which is often favoured for those horses that get a fasr start in bad ground at the track. Catterick is one of the courses where the trainer performs best at and is would be no surprise to see him improve for the switch to handicapping here.
Subtotal-35
23 April 2024
15:10 3:10 Yarmouth
Show Me A Hero
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.50
Win
2
Jamie Spencer isn't everyones cup of tea, but the trainers strike rate shoots up when he books him and Spencer is choosing his rides more selectively these days. The horse is unexposed and looks certain to appreciate this step up in trip on the evidence we have seen thus far. The Churchill gelding gets his first run on turf here on handicap debut and could well step up on previous efforts here.
Subtotal2
22 April 2024
19:20 7:20 Windsor
Auric
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Auric is friendless in the market but looks the most obvious winner to me after showing a great attitude to win on the AW last time out. The well bred colt makes his turf debut here on his third run and the ground is riding fast judging by the time of the earlier races, which should certainly suit on breeding. Oisin Murphy retains the ride and he's just the man for this horses hold up tactics. Hopefully he'll be nudging this one ahead late on.
Subtotal-50
21 April 2024
17:15 5:15 Musselburgh
Soowaih
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
This unexposed horse looks sure to appreciate this step up in trip and the trainer could well have acquired a good one here from the Roger Varian yard. The new trainer often improves horses, and the run last time out gave enough strong clues that the horse could well be worth following when tackling a longer trip. I like the jockey booking too and this horse looks the most likely one in the field to be ahead of their current mark.
Subtotal-50
20 April 2024
19:40 7:40 Thirsk
Smalleytime
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@9.00
Void
0
Smalleytime had been in freefall down the handicap until winning on the AW last time out. He's only been put up 3lb for this win and is still 19lb lower than the mark he started off in handicaps. The trainer is in red hot form too and even the jockey has been upgraded so there's a lot to like about his chances. A look at the breeding too also boost confidence since the sires progeny are much better on soft/heavy ground.
1 member found this comment useful
18:35 6:35 Thirsk
Harrys Halo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
6 furlongs on soft ground is clearly this horses forte and he gets the first time booking of Cieren Fallon here which is interesting since he has a very good record at this course. He's slipped to his lowest mark now since when making his handicap debut and winning a strong nursery which was also over a heavy ground 5 furlongs. That form has been strongly franked since and he should go close with his ideal conditions here.
1 member found this comment useful
18:25 6:25 Nottingham
Realised
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
The trainer is going well at the moment and he does well with getting his races running off decent marks. This one makes her handicap debut here off 62 and the run on soft when 5th of 14 gives a few clues that she could be well in here since she was close up to horses racing in excess of 10lb above the mark she races off here. The horse is also well bred and has a decent draw so we might see the horse step up for the switch to handicaps here.
1 member found this comment useful
17:27 5:25 Nottingham
Harry With Style
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
The last time this horse had a race over 5 furlongs on soft ground was a dead heated winner off a 4lb higher mark for an inexperienced jockey where the 2nd has since won off a 3lb higher mark. There's one of the best around now booked in this Apprentice race where the horse once again gets his conditions for the first time since that effort. The falling handicap mark is an obvious plus and he looks on a very winnable mark now.
16:20 4:20 Thirsk
Due For Luck
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
I'm a little baffled by the price on this one. The trainer is in form, he is using his stable jockey (which is crucial), and the horse has shown that he had put in some of his best efforts when fresh. as is the case here. He was a head 2nd over similarly soft ground at Chester off the same mark and many horses from that race have franked the form in one way or another. There's certainly enough evidence to suggest that he shouldn't be anywhere near a 25/1 outsider.
1 member found this comment useful
16:06 4:06 Brighton
Faustus
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@8.50
Lose
-50
The price on this one is going quickly which is no surprise given how well he won on his only previous run over c&d He's well drawn and the visor is back on again now. The horse also has a history of coming on for a run and he should be primed and raring to go now. The ground when he won here was even a little quicker than he likes to he has to have a major chance on this slightly softer ground which he prefers.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Surrey Quest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
It used to be that 7yos were too young to win a National of any type but that trend is changing (3 have won this in the last 11 years) and this horses best run was when trying the longest trip he has tried this far on soft ground. He showed great character to win that race where the front 2 pulled well clear and there's no way he should be as big as 40/1 to go in again off this 5lb higher mark. The ground was too quick for him last time out and he's been given a break since then but the wind op prior to that soft ground win looks to have improved the horse. The trainer has a terrific 25% strike rate with his chasers and also a 25% strike rate when booking this jockey so there's a lot of positives for such a big outsider.
15:15 3:15 Newbury
Godwinson
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
The Haggas/Marquand combo had a nice winner at the meeting on Friday and this unexposed 4yo could well be the answer here. The owners of this one have some really strong horses and they have a terrific record with those trainer by Haggas. The horses only run on softish ground was when travelling well and cruising to an easy win so he should be right at home on this slightly softer ground I'd suggest. A mark of 88 is almost certainly a lenient one since this horse could potentially be much better than that. Would be no surprise to see him go off much shorter than the current 11/1.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-75
19 April 2024
17:45 5:45 Bath
Electric Storm
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@12.00
Win
30
This horse is 2 from 2 and the trainer has his horses fit enough even after a break at the moment. The time of that latest win and the subsequent races of some of those beaten horses point to this horse being capable of mixing in this company and despite having something to find on official figures, there's only been 2 races in which to assess the horse, and she's undoubtedly the surprise package in this race. Certainly should be a single figure price I'd say.
16:10 4:10 Bath
Motasaleeta
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-50
The owners have one other horse with this small stable which won at the start of the month meaning the trainer has had 2 winners from just 3 runners in April and this unexposed one off 47 at the bottom of the handicap could well outun her odds of 40/1 here. If you watch the replay of this horses only run here when staying on into third (also at 40/1) , it looks for all the world like this extra half mile is exactly what she needs. The trainer has persisted with running her at around a mile since that effort but she finally gets the step up in trip now having dropped 11lb since that 3rd place finish here. The trainer has also booked an excellent jockey in this Apprentice race and there's a lot to like about this 40/1 shot now that she'll not get outpaced like she has been over the shorter trips.
14:12 2:12 Newbury
Gisburn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
This horses last run in a 6 furlong sprint on soft ground resulted in a win at Goodwood off a 4lb lower mark as a 4yo. Those Goodwood handicaps are tricky to win at the best of time and I can see him going very close off this mark with conditions once again in his favour. That was after a break, just as he gets here and the Hannon stable is starting to crank into gear now so I can see this one going very close.
13:20 1:20 Ayr
Bluegrass
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Bluegrass hacked up in a maiden hurdle last time out when supported into odds on and it's fairly easy to suggest that he's ahead of the handicapper here having been brought along quietly by a yard that are expert at lining their horses up on decent marks. Now that he's shown what he's capable of, there could be an awful lot more to come and I expected him to be much shorter than this to be honest.
Subtotal-120
18 April 2024
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Suviana
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
French trainer has a terrific record when bringing his horse to Newmarket and this one has to be worth a second look since they are usually better than handicapper horses. She beat a couple of very well fancied horses in France last time out and is well worth taking a chance with here. The horse has won both her races when racing after a break and she will no doubt be fit enough here with the trainer making the effort to get her over from France.
16:17 4:17 Ripon
Remarkable Force
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
This horse is making his debut for a trainer who is really hot at the moment and has 4 wins from his last 7 runners when booking this jockey which suggests he has the horse ready and raring to go. The horse has only encountered softish ground once (when placed at big price) but a look at the breeding shows the sires progeny has a good record on heavy ground. The horse even raced in Listed and Group company for his previous trainer so this lowest evert handicap mark of 80 could well be exploited if as expected, the new trainer has improved the horse.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Cajetan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
I'm a little baffled by the price of this one to say the least. He is fit after winning on the AW last time out, has a favoured high draw, and has a piece of form when 2nd on turf as a 2yo which gives him a serious chance here. That form has been franked in no uncertain terms since and he's likely to be better than an 81 handicapper if that form is taken literally. The first has since hacked up off 4lb higher mark than Cajetan races off here (he only beat Cajetan a nose too). The third has won off a 5lb higher mark and the 4th has won since too. Great first time jockey booking too and this horse should be much shorter in my opinion.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
17 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Mleiha
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
The owner has a 24% strike rate for his horses with the powerful Archie Watson stable and whenever Hollie Doyle is booked, that record improves further. The horse has been campaigned with handicaps in mind, but her opening run when racing too keenly provides more than enough clues that she's better than a 60 rated handicapper. Breeding would also back up that theory and she could go very close and step up on previous efforts in her first handicap.
15:50 3:50 Cheltenham
Moon Dorange
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The horse that this one beat in a novice hurdle last time out has since won well off a 1lb lower mark than Moor Dorange races off here and that was his first run for the yard to it certainly looks like Fergal O'Brien has worked his magic. He has 3 in the race and this is the first string which is making his handicap debut. Clearly that run last time out would strongly suggest he's capable of winning off this mark and he's even been placed over c&d for his previous trainer on ground that would've been too soft so he looks to have a really solid chance here.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Ottoman Fleet
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 16/04 at 17:110.20 deduction for Royal Rhyme@5.00 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.20) = 3.80
@3.80
Win
140
I think the favourite Royal Rhyme is better on slower ground than this and Ottoman Fleet looks great value at 7/2 to follow up his win in this race last year. He's wintered in Dubai and his trainer's horses are flying at the moment. He also has the best record of all these horses in this class of race and conditions are ideal. He loves it here too with 3 wins and a second from 4 runs at the course and I don't see him getting any bigger than 7/2 for sure.
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham
Doyen Quest
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.50
Win
225
This unexposed horse near the bottom of the handicap could be the answer here especially since I think the step up in trip is a huge positive. He's a strong traveller and looks for all the world like he needs this 2 and a half mile trip. There are several horses that have finished in and around this one that have since performed creditably off higher marks than Doyen Quest races off here.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Wallop
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@23.00
Lose
-50
Richard Hannon has booked his very talented 3lb claimer on this one who actually has a better strike rate for the stable now than his main jockey (Sean Levey). His debut run was a very promising effort when third and beaten just over a length. Crucially that effort gives him more of a chance than his winning effort on the AW last time out since the first 2 have won a Group 2 and a Group 3 between them and are rated 10lb and more above Wallop's handicap mark here. Trip and ground are similar too and the jockey's claim is certainly useful so despite the weakness in the early market, this horse ticks a lot of boxes I feel.
Subtotal215
16 April 2024
14:20 2:20 Newmarket
Broadway Act
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.33
Lose
-50
The trainer couldn't be in better form, and this horse has been gelded since last season. His runs on decent ground all have collateral form which is strong enough to suggest he's on a winnable mark of 85. There's plenty of evidence that show him to be in and around (or beating) 90-95 rated horses and he'll no doubt have physically improved since last year so it seems fairly likely that he should arguably be a shorter price here.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Prince Of Pillo
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
This is one of the few in the field to have beaten a genuine 100 rated horse and that makes him hugely appealing here in a handicap off a mark of just 89. The trainer had been fairly quiet but there are signs that things are about to take off and he's perennially one to follow in these early season races. The horse was placed in a Group 3 here when beaten just over a length (rated 105) so his chances are there for all to see and after a couple of starts for his new stable last year, it could be all systems go now.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
15 April 2024
15:50 3:50 Windsor
Dear Daphne
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
The trainers runners are going really well at the moment, including his seasonal debutantes so hopefully this one will be fit and raring to go. She was only beaten a short head on seasonal debut last year and there is a strong jockey booking who does well for the stable. Her last win on turf was an easy one and has seen the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all come out and win since to frank that form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
14 April 2024
14:05 2:05 Plumpton
Townhill
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 14/04 at 09:140.15 deduction for Kick Up A Storm@6.00 withdrawn at 12:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.15) = 3.34
@3.34
Win
116
This has to be the best bet of the day for me at 11/4 with the horse guaranteed to stay this trip (unlike many I suspect) and the ground will be ideal too. The horse has improved for the application of cheekpieces and the key piece of form is his win just 2 starts ago. The horse showed a great attitude when winning the race with the front 2 pulling well clear. Crucially the horse in 2nd has since won off a 13lb higher mark, and Townhill only has to defy a 5lb rise here so that looks well within his scope.
Subtotal116
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree
Ma Shantou
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Some of the previous winners of the Huntingdon race which this one won easily last time out on debut for the stable have been really recent horse (even 130+ winners) so you'd have to give this horse every chance here given how easy he won and how well supported he was too. The stable do really well with these types and unlike some of the perceived "bigger stables", her runners don't get overbet. If this was trained my one of the bigger yards, it would arguably be half the price. The 9/1 looks terrific value.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Chepstow
River Voyage
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
P2P is notoriously hard to evaluate but this horses win in a PTP gives serious clues that he could be well in here off a mark of 95. That PTP win was easy and a couple of those well beaten horses have raced in handicaps since off marks of 111 and 107. The horse makes his handicap debut here and the in form trainer does well at this course so it would be no surprise if the horse went close off this mark after gaining course experience when racing here last time out.
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Vanillier
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Vanillier was given too much to do by the jockey last year when staying on into 2nd but at least he proved he has the required stamina and he gets a 7lb swing with the winner Corach Rambler. Partly the reason for this one racing off a nice weight here, is that his whole season has been campaigned around this race and clearly all the connections have had redemption in mind after that terrific effort last year. He's still only a 9yo too so arguably could have given the 10yo Corach Rambler plenty to think about anyway and at the prices, he has to be the main bet.
2 members found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Newcastle
Adveram
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Win
30
This lightly raced horse has raced on soft/heavy ground in his short career and the trainer is still working out his best trip. It seems like an obvious thing to do to drop him back in trip after finding it too far last time out, and the cheekpieces go on now in just his 2nd handicap to squeeze out further improvement. He's well bred and should go close.
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Forward Plan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
If you look at this horses last 10 runs on a flat track, it reads 212112 6121. There's every chance therefore that this first visit to Aintree could bring out the best in him . He's also won in this class before, unlike some of his rivals here and has a progressive looking profile. The trainer has kept faith in the 3lb conditional who has been riding him so well and the horse has been kept fresher than many of these.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Ile Atlantique
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
This was the jockey's pick of his Dads pair when they chased home Ballyburn last time out and despite this one being much more fancied, he finished behind his 66/1 stablemate but there's a strong suspicion that the track might not have suited. A return to a flat track could be what he needs and in any event, he only has 2lb to find of official ratings against the mare Brighterdaysahead which is odds on. Clearly this race is more open than that and at 4/1, this one looks the clear value to me.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree
West Balboa
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
Last years winner is 2 from 2 here now with both successes being very impressive. She has more on her plate now but course form counts for a lot here and she doesn't have many miles at all on the clock for an 8yo so is still likely to be progressive. The shrewd trainer has managed to get the horse here on her lowest mark in 4 runs and the stable jockey is back in the saddle who has an excellent record on the horse.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-270
12 April 2024
20:00 8:00 Southwell
Sir Gabrial
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
There's some interesting form lines here which give this horse a huge chance off this mark of 75 when sent off a well supported favourite in his last race. The horse is really well bred and that win was from a horse back in third that has since gone down by just a length in a Group 3 when rated 103. The trainer has her stable flying at the moment and their main jockey is booked, the form is there for all to see and I'd expect him to be quite a bit shorter than 8/1 at the off.
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Kintaro
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
Considering that David Pipe has a better strike rate on the flat than he has over NH in the last year means that his flat horses are worth a 2nd look. The fact that he's booked a decent jockey and is putting the blinkers on the horse for the first time also suggests he might be lining this one up for an improved performance here. This is the horses first run for the stable which was rated as high as 82 for his previous trainer so the fact he's down to just 61 suggests he has to be worth a little interest at a generous looking price.
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Maidenstreetprince
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
This Irish raider could be the real fly in the ointment here is we take the horses latest run on face value. He was giving horses of a higher calibre than these a real scare before coming down and it's hard to know what the outcome would have been but there's certainly enough evidence to suggest that he could well be on a decent mark here. The market support suggests as much and a big run looks on the cards.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
James Du Berlais
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Horses as high in the handicap as this one don't often win this race but then again, not many of them were rated as high a hurdler as this one and he's had a couple of places since in very big field chases so could well be at home here. There's also been clues that he needs a flat track to show his best and the biggest factor of all could be the switch in jockey which is a major plus in my opinion. Should go close with the 33/1 outsider Killer Kane at the other end of the handicap, perhaps another option if there is to be a surprise.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Pic DOrhy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.33
Lose
-50
Last years winner came here last year off the back of a defeat at Ascot when bypassing Cheltenham and has been given exactly the same prep here except this year he won his race at Ascot in impressive style. The history of this race is littered by horses that win this race back to back and having shown himself to be as good as ever in that Ascot race last time out, you'd have to say that 10/3 is more than generous with questions marks against his 2 main market rivals too.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Inthewaterside
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
This unexposed 6yo and c&d winner from the Nicholls stable could well be the answer here at a generous looking 10/1. He also gets the first time hood and this French bred will certainly appreciate this deep ground. He bypassed some of the bigger meetings and arrives here fresher than most and there's clearly some form lines which suggest he's more than capable of winning off this mark.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-225
11 April 2024
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Tea Clipper
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
100
Tea Clipper has ran 2 really good races here when 3rd in a hurdles race off 142 and then when 4th of 14 over fences off 144 and quite simply, that level of form gives him every chance here. All his wins have been over shorter trips but he's been running over further lately and I think the drop back in trip on a flat track could well suit. The jockey (which is all important in these Hunter chases) has a good record here of 2 wins and a place from just 6 rides and the 20/1 looks way too big, should be nearer half that in my opinion.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Kargese
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.00
Lose
-50
This horse has a similar profile to last years winner for this stable and can pick up the pieces here with those who are backing Sir Gino doing so more in hope than anything else since there's no real evidence that Hendo's stable have gotten over their troubles. Kargese on the other hand ran a cracker when 2nd in the Triumph (actually traded 1/7 in running) and that's good enough form to arguably scare even a fully fit Sir Gino. It's also highly likely that Henderson would rather the ground wasn't as bad as this for SG and the 3/1 looks great value on Kargese when all these factors are considered.
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Grey Dawning
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.00
Lose
-50
This race has been going to horses that have bypassed Cheltenham in recent years but Blow Your Wad has quite a bit to find on the book and I'm siding with this Cheltenham winner which arguably wasn't given as hard a race at Cheltenham as some of his rivals here. It was noticeable at Cheltenham just how slick his jumping has become which is encouraging since he fell over hurdles here on his last visit. Like many of the stables horses though, he's been a revelation since sent jumping the bigger obstacles and there was plenty of confidence behind him at Cheltenham. Should be going off an odds on shot for this I'd say.
Subtotal0
10 April 2024
17:50 5:50 Wolverhampton
My Kind Of Girl
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
The horse is yet to place in 9 races and is 2lb out of the handicap but I'm going to give her another chance off this basement mark with a very useful 7lb claimer booked for the first time. The key for me is that the closest this horse has ever come is when beaten only just over 2 lengths in a couple of races which were over c&d. She's dropped further down the handicap since then and the jockey booking means she'll never get a better chance to get in the shake up. Good draw too and all the jockeys wins have been provided by this stable.
Subtotal-50
09 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Southwell
Ring Of Gold
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Jim Crowley is picking and choosing his rides very carefully at the moment and his booking looks significant here since he's got a win and 2 places from just 3 rides on the horse. The win was off 67 and the places were off 72 so this mark of 63 certainly catches the eye. The trainer is in great form too and the 10/1 looks great value in the e/w market.
16:15 4:15 Thirsk
Never This Way
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@15.00
Lose
-50
This one comes with the caveat that there would need to be money for this horse since the stable can have some big drifters especially on seasonal debut where the writing is on the wall before the stalls open. The horse is 14/1 and on the weak side at the moment, but I'll put the horse up in the hope the money comes. The trainer and jockey couldn't be in better form, and the horses draw should also be favourable. The horse is the least exposed in the field and hasn't raced on soft ground yet, but a look at the breeding suggests it'll be a major positive. Progeny of his sire over 5 furlongs on soft ground have a terrific record of 41100110034163314120201105 which is 9 wins from just 26 runs. His 2nd at Chelmsford and 3rd in a novice race on debut both give even clues that he's on a winnable mark here.
15:15 3:15 Thirsk
Stormy Pearl
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Win
175
This horse is well worth a second look with a trainer who has saddled 5 winners from his last 16 runners and he's booked one of the best 3lb claimers around. This alone wouldn't be enough to back the horse, but there' s an interesting form line on good to soft last year when beating Impressor by a nose off a 3lb higher mark. Crucially Impressor then went on to win 3 of his next 4 (the latest off a 14lb higher mark) and he's a real mudlark so that form where Stormy Pearl beat him can be upgraded. The horses new trainer has only had her for 2 runs which were on the AW but she didn't like the AW on 2 runs for her previous trainer either so hopefully a return to turf (and soft ground in particular) will see the horse back in form again.
14:45 2:45 Thirsk
A Gift Of Love
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@4.50
Void
0
Enochdhu is all the rage here, but as a result, we're getting a very nice inflated price in this 2nd fav which is the much more unexposed and likely progressive horse. It's no surprise to see the hood go on this daughter of Frankel now having raced too keenly in her short career. The soft ground should also suit on breeding and the 2nd to Franberri gives confidence that she could be on a decent mark of 73 here. Prior to that she was disappointing on debut but was sent off fav for a race that usually has 85+ rated horses filling the frame so that's another clue that she could well be better than her current mark.
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Subtotal75
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