Crofty11

I do mainly one a day and look for double figured horses and do them EW. This has been going quite well over the last 6 months or so. I try to find races where short priced fav’s look vulnerable.

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Crofty11's Tips History

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26 April 2024
14:40 2:40 Perth

Jingle Du Gouet

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@23.00

Lose

-100

Looks like the others are running for place money and this one looks like it will compete for third place, it ran just 16 days ago and will be better for that run 22/1 EW looks value.
13:15 1:15 Sandown

Dark Vintage

Daily Racing

50 EW

@26.00

Lose

-100

Hard to know what this one has under the tank, but it has been running well in America with a win and three places, he could go well.
25 April 2024
18:15 6:15 Huntingdon

Nothinelsematters

Daily Racing

50 EW

@21.00

Lose

-100

Nothin else matters takes his first run into handicap company and he is running off a very light weight , that given becuase of his poor runs to date, howver his last run wasn't a disater and the horse in front came out and finished 3rd could surprise. 
16:35 4:35 Huntingdon

Roxboro Road

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 67.00 used instead of 51.00 takenBOG

@67.00

Win

610

On a very low mark now off 82 with a claimer up, has PU twice in the last two runs but the return to good ground might see a better run today.
15:10 3:10 Warwick

Halondo

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 51.00 on 25/04 at 11:560.00 deduction for Leylak@51.00 withdrawn at 13:550.30 deduction for Kintail @3.000 withdrawn at 13:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 50.00 x (1-0.3) = 36.00

@36.00

Win

300

New yard for this previous winner that has a top rating of 122, that makes him very competitive and if the new yard proves to be a pick me up the horse can go well.
24 April 2024
16:42 4:42 Taunton

Backinaction

Daily Racing

50 EW

@67.00

Lose

-100

Back in action has had a decent enough pointing career, first run for this stable was PU on heavy going, today's going should suit a bit better and the extra 4 furlongs might see a decent run.
14:35 2:35 Ludlow

Ubetya

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

This one has been out of form but saying that he seems to prefer good going , he won on that ground on his only run on it for some considerable time, the trainer has C deautsch on board and the horse can go well. 
23 April 2024
14:53 2:53 Southwell

Presenting Jeremy

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-100

Last time hew as on this ground he finished 3rd and that was off 117 he is 10lb better off today and has a very good jockey up, EW chances
22 April 2024
14:00 2:00 Hexham

Fosters Fortune

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@126.00

Lose

-100

Perhaps fosters can show a bit more today, he was eased on the run in last time out but todays course is more of a stamina test and perhaps he can stay on for a place
21 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Wincanton

Bbold

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Goes well on better ground and is coming dwon the weights not getting better at 10yo but he can go well today .
20 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Whacker Clan

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

H De Bromehead and R Blackmore team up with Whacker for this one, Whacker won two starts ago and can run well here today, he was 3rd at Cheltenham and that reads well
19 April 2024
15:00 3:00 Fontwell

Through The Ages

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

50

Disappointed last time out jumping poorly and weakening away quickly, the trainer had no explanation and the horse was 4/1 perhaps he can do better today.
14:30 2:30 Fontwell

Rays The One

Daily Racing

50 EW

@29.00

Lose

-100

Rays is better than recent runs, and he has been dropping down the weights, the trainer doesn't win that many but perhaps ray can be in the money.
18 April 2024
16:25 4:25 Cheltenham

Sacre Coeur

Daily Racing

50 EW

@17.00

Win

110

This one has been running up through the weights as it has won three times this season, last time out wasn't so good, but he can go well today and perhaps place.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Mitbaahy

Daily Racing

50 EW

@26.00

Win

200

Won on its last start which was 240 days ago and over 6 furlongs, it depends how he has come on for the break but can go well if fully ready.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Georgi Girl

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-100

This one was going for a hat trick when arguably the next race came too quickly, she has had a 40 day and I think we will see a big run.
17 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Gushing Gold

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-100

The trainer is in good enough form and gushing has to improve to figure, but that may be possible in a difficult race to look for placed horses.
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham

Uggy Uggy Uggy

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@34.00

Win

280

Gone very well since going over hurdles and returns from a 6-month break and a new trainer, the trainer will be hoping for a big run today as am I.
16 April 2024
16:50 4:50 Ffos Las

Thunderclap

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

A winner on the heavy and has more experience than most runners, it will be a war of attrition and I think that Thunderclap might be able to last home.
15:05 3:05 Ffos Las

Inchagoill Lady

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

This one is coming out again quickly trying to take advantage of some decent form, last time out she was 3rd of 11 at Exeter and could have been closer bar a late mistake.
15 April 2024
14:03 2:00 Kelso

Wainwright

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-100

The trainer has his string in decent enough form, and this horse ran reasonably on debut but flopped next time on heavy, back to soft going and an extra two furlongs he could compete.
14 April 2024
15:50 3:50 Plumpton

Minella Buster

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Can go well today best when fresh and the young apprentice takes off a useful 5lb, trainer form a bit of a query but worth the chance
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree

Small Town Hero

Daily Racing

50 EW

@101.00

Lose

-100

Won a small PTP and comes here with apparently little chance, but the trainer brings him to this classy race and so I think he might do better than 100/1,.
17:00 5:00 Aintree

Djelo

Daily Racing

50 EW

@17.00

Lose

-100

V Williams hasn't had the best of it this week, but perhaps Djelo can help things 3rd last time and returning to 2 miles EW possibilities.
16:00 4:00 Aintree

The Goffer

Daily Racing

50 EW

@67.00

Lose

-100

Elliot runner that hasn't hit the frame in his last 5 runs, but he is a decent horse and if he can recapture his best form can compete for a place today.
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Monkfish

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 13/04 at 12:070.10 deduction for Sire Du Berlais@7.00 withdrawn at 12:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

40

A last hurrah for Monkfish one would imagine, he needs to return to his best form when he was a very promising type, EW chance if going at his best. 
14:30 2:30 Aintree

Sam Brown

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

150

Sam is a 10yo now but still shows loads of enthusiasm and talent, winner last time out he can run well and perhaps nick a place
13:55 1:55 Aintree

Esprit Du Potier

Daily Racing

50 EW

@26.00

Lose

-100

L Russel has her runners going very well and this one might improve again, it's likely to finish out of the frame but if one of the key players runs poorly this one can pick up the pieces.
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13:20 1:20 Aintree

Johnsons Blue

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@29.00

Lose

-100

Johnsons seems to be on the upward track, last time out he won last time out and although this is tougher he should have come on for that run EW chances
12 April 2024
16:55 4:53 Fakenham

Icefire

Daily Racing

50 EW

@81.00

Lose

-100

The trainer has very few runners but can get a winner now and again, this one has a comment worth a look, it is related to a flat winner, 80/1 seems too big.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Pinot Rouge

Daily Racing

50 EW

@51.00

Lose

-100

50/1 and on form has little chance but this 6yo has had only two races and last time stepped up markedly to win a 3-mile listed race, needs to imrove and show his worth, a big outsider with a small chance
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Frero Banbou

Daily Racing

50 EW

@15.00

Lose

-100

An EW shout for one of V Williams she doesn't bring horses to these meetings without a chance and frero can run well but place claims only.
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Pic DOrhy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Nicholls in fine form, and he saddles last year's winner today, Pic looks strong, but he has some stiff competition a good race and it will be hard to win.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Mistergif

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Second string for the powerful Mullins stable, but he might do a little better than expected given that this course will suit a bit better than Cheltenham.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Inthewaterside

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Nicholls horse where , it was first two starts ago then  2nd after getting restless at the start last time, he needs to settle but with a big field that is possible can go close. 
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Broadway Boy

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-100

It looks like this has been his target for the season, he won two starts ago at Cheltenham then was a good third, he will need one or two of the others to falter but he can have a chance EW
11 April 2024
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Black Gerry

Daily Racing

50 EW

@13.00

Lose

-100

Having trouble getting going this year apart from last time when he finished second, he had gone up in the weights and is now back to a competitive one, and he can go well EW
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Gaboriot

Daily Racing

50 EW

@13.00

Lose

-100

This one has found some form from somehwere this season and has been hitting the winning enclosure , today will need a step up but who knows when a horse improves he can keep going. EW 
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Maries Rock

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

Henderson might be getting back to form, and he runs 4 here today, Maries rock is a very sound and consistent performer and if the stable is back to its best then she can go well.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Ahoy Senor

Daily Racing

50 EW

@17.00

Win

110

We are going on past record at the meeting rather than current form, Ahoy is very talented but seems to run very well only occasionally and usually here. EW chances
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Kalif Du Berlais

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

If there are no surprises the first two in the betting will go very well, but the third Fav is an imrover from Nichols and it could be dangerous to discount . EW
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Blow Your Wad

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-100

Sometimes horses that run at Cheltenham don't go so well at this meeting particulary if the going has been soft , the one that catches the eye is Blow , he missed Chelenham and could be an imroving horse EW 
10 April 2024
16:35 4:35 Market Rasen

Not So Sobers

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@19.00

Win

129

The trainers have had one runner which won in the last couple of weeks and this runner is out of a nice enough dam, perhaps it will show at 18/1.
09 April 2024
15:00 3:00 Hereford

Princess Of Mercia

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@81.00

Lose

-100

First run for new trainer M Scudamore upped in trip I am hoping that the change of stable and new trip will bring about a change of fortune EW.
08 April 2024
14:38 2:38 Wincanton

Meraki Mist

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-100

Ran a bit better than in the past last time out finishing 5th here, the trainer is going a bit better than some and this one can come on a bit for the run. EW
07 April 2024
15:48 3:43 Bath

Punchbowl Flyer

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@19.00

Lose

-100

This one goes in the ground all his best runs have been on SFT and deeper, he was 2nd of 8 in this grade last time out but that was in Oct last year, he could go well but risky. EW
06 April 2024
14:45 2:45 Uttoxeter

Tilly Toughnut

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-100

She won a race nicely by 8 lengths two starts ago but didn't fire in a class 3 next time, back to a class 4 we will find out if the win was a flash in the pan, or she can go well.
05 April 2024
17:05 5:05 Musselburgh

Spot On Soph

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@21.00

Win

150

Rising in the weight and second run back from a short break, 3lb claimer up helps a bit and could run into a place at decent odds.
04 April 2024
16:45 4:45 Southwell

Brandt 0.00

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-100

The race that he was 4th in last time out has thrown up plenty of winners, but of course he has been off the track for some time. With a decent run if fit he can go close. EW chances
03 April 2024
15:55 3:55 Catterick

Camacho Star

Daily Racing

50 EW

@12.00

Lose

-100

Claimer up for the first time taking 3lb off makes this one competitive, has won on soft in the past and given a tentative EW.
14:25 2:25 Catterick

Stash The Cash

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 9.50 on 03/04 at 11:090.10 deduction for Lady Of The Garr@7.50 withdrawn at 14:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.50 x (1-0.10) = 8.65

@8.65

Win

459

Stash the cash is one of three entered by the trainer, form on soft going and a handicap debutante we might see a decent run I will go EW.

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