saddlerman
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
01 May 2024
20:00 Borussia Dortmund v PSG
PSG
50 WIN
@2.38
Open
0
Second Champions League semi final tonight and last nights was a cracker ending 2-2, not sure this match will reach the heights of last night and on current form I have to go with the visitors to edge this match tonight.
18:10 David Gilbert v Stephen Maguire
Stephen Maguire
Win Match
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
What has happened to Maguire after some great play in the quailifiers and beating the likes of Murphy in the competition proper. He trails 7-1, surely he will be better in this session and if he does hit that form again I can see him fighting back and if he does he might still pull off the win.
David Gilbert -6.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Just in case I've got this totally wrong and Maguire has reverted the the old Maguire and completely lost the plot and we won't see any signs of an epic co eback then I am adding this selection.
18:10 Judd Trump v Jak Jones
Jak Jones
Win Match
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Jones started this match in superb form taking. 4-1 lead but just noticed the first session finished all square, so we have amatch in here and I am taking a chance in the outsider to do the unthinkable and beat Trump.
Jak Jones 3.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Obviously after I have decided to go with the outsider here, I will need the extra insurance of the +3.5 frames in Jones favour as he has proved in the first session he has a chance of edging it.
Jak Jones to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
A final tip in this match with me already tipping a massive upset and Jones winning the match, it looked good at one stage when he was leading 4-1 but we are all square after the first session. If Jones is to win we might well go the distance.
18:00 David Gilbert v Stephen Maguire
Stephen Maguire to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Well trailing 7-1 and I have taken a chance on Maguire fighting back after his break he has nothing to lose and if he can get back to his early competition form he might well pull it off but it will more than likely go the distance.
13:30 Kyren Wilson v John Higgins
John Higgins
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Have to stick with Higgins here as I picked him to beat Allen last night and he looks in the mid to win the title and he can’t edge this.
13:30 Stuart Bingham v Ronnie OSullivan
Stuart Bingham
Win Match
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Bingham has been well above his best this last week and a half to reach the quarter finals and Ronnie has not always been at his best and Day had plenty of chances to beat him but blew them. I am going for a big upset here.
Stuart Bingham 5.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
I would have liked a bigger handicap here for Bingham but thenway he is playing I think he will give Ronnie a big test his toughest of the competition yet.
Stuart Bingham to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
I have to throw this selection into the ring as I have already put my tipsmon Bingham pulling off the biggest shock of the tournament.
09:00 Kyren Wilson v John Higgins
John Higgins 1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
I have to add this positive handicap tip to go with my match winner pick where Imhave gone with Higgins but he is currently trailing Wilson 5-3 but never underestimate Higgins as we have seen all week from him.
John Higgins to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
I tipped Higgins to beat Mark Allen in the last round and I also went for a 13-12 win, which is what happened. He is up against it again here trailing Wilson 5-3 but that won't phase him one bit and a repeat scoreline would not surprise me.
Subtotal241
30 April 2024
20:00 Bayern Munich v Real Madrid
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
It might be a risky pick for overs tonight but I expect the hosts to have a real go at tournament favourites Real tonight to try and take a lead to the second leg. Real are in great form and we should hopefully see plenty of goals.
20:00 Coventry v Ipswich
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
Not much at sale for Coventry other than pride and I expect a performance from them. Ipswich can make Saturday's final game a bit easier if they win here tonight and it would make them favourites to grab the second automatic promotion spot. They somehow drew 3-3 at Hull on Saturday and are seeing plenty of goals and I am expecting overs tonight.
19:45 Pacos Ferreira v AVS
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Big game for the visitors tonight who sit third but second place would see them move back up to the top league. They have been out ofmform ofmlate but I expect them to be better tonight but I am not expecting many goals as both sides have seen lots of low score games recently.
Subtotal8
29 April 2024
20:00 Barcelona v Valencia
Valencia
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
I think the visitors tonight will really fancy their chances of winning here, with the hosts having an awful season which has gone off the rails recently and they crashed out of the CL and surrendered their Spanish title to Real Madrid last weekend. Valencia have struggled to see many goals in their games but it only takes one to win if the hosts are not near their best.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Nice odds for unders here and with the hosts in poor form with them gone off the rails completely in last few weeks. Valencia will fancyntheir chances of taking three points tonight and don’t see many goals in their games and this might well be low scoring tonight.
20:00 Preston v Leicester
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
Big game for back in form Leicester tonight who can confirm automatic promotion tonight which would avoid a nervy final weekend of the season. The hosts have very little to play for with being safe from relegation and no chance of the play offs. But at fancy goals tonight with both sides having leaky defences and the last two meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.
Leicester (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
Leicester appear to have their mojo back again and there will be a huge away following tonight hoping for a big party as the Foxes will be promoted back to the PL if they beat out of form Preston tonight.
20:00 Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United
Drogheda United (AH) 1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
The visitors are very close to us these days with our American owners buying them and we have already signed a couple of players from them one is back on loan with them and they are much stronger now than last October when these town,last met and Shamrock won 5-0 this might be much closer tonight with the visitors unbeaten in five and it's a positive handicap for me.
19:45 Dunkerque v Auxerre
Auxerre (AH) -0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
The visitors sit nicely at the top of the table as they look to move back to Ligue One next season and a win here at lowly hosts will see them four points clear at the top of the table and they should win against a poor side fighting to stay up just a place above the bottom three.
19:45 Genoa v Cagliari
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
No e odds for overs here and with the hosts having little to play for and in bad form and the visitors looking to move further clear of relegation danger tonight. They have drawn their last two games 2-2 against Inter and Juventus and might win convincingly tonight.
Cagliari (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.86
Lose
-50
I m going with the visitors here tonight as they are in good form currently and the hosts are not in any decent form. The visitors have had two very good 2-2 draws recently with two sides in the top side and can go one better tonight and move further away from the bottom three.
19:30 Racing Ferrol v Mirandes
Racing Ferrol (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Huge game affecting promotion and relegation tonight's get with the hosts sitting 10th but a win will see them move up four places and into the play off places. Won't be easy though as thenvisitors sit a place above the bottom four relegation places and they will fight hard for a result.
19:00 FC Utrecht Reserves v ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Going for an away win here tonight as the visitors sit sixth and in good form, while the hosts are bottom of the table nine points behind the team above and winless in five. Visitors should be too strong.
13:30 Jack Lisowski v Stuart Bingham
Jack Lisowski
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Bingham s made a much better start than I thought he would gainst Lisowski and leads 5-3 at the interval, but I think Lisowski was not near his best yesterday and am hopeful he will be better today.
Jack Lisowski 1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
I have just tipped Lisowski to fight back from 5-3 behind today so adding the positive ha disco in case he just falls short at the end of the match.
Jack Lisowski to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
I have to add this selection as I have gone for a Lisowski co e back whilst currently trailing 5-3 if he is to win I think it will go the distance to do so.
13:30 John Higgins v Mark Allen
John Higgins
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Big match here between two of the worlds best players and their mate tings tend to be close and this should be no different. Higgins looked in good form yesterday and I think he can edge this match.
John Higgins 1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
As I have gone with the slight outsider in this top 16 meeting with bothnolayers looking in very good form and it’s likely to be close so the positive handicap is cover.
John Higgins to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@12.00
Win
550
May as well add this final selection with me already going with the slight outsider Higgins and a positive handicap in his advantage. Would not surprise me if this match goes the distance.
Subtotal523
28 April 2024
18:00 Judd Trump v Tom Ford
Tom Ford
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
I think Trump will be tested tonight against one of the most improved players this last year and Trump is beatable and at big odds Ford will be going at him from the off and is worth a go.
Tom Ford 5.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
This is a nice big handicap for Ford tin this match and as I have gone with a big upset I am adding this selection formsome cover, but Ford has a chance here.
Tom Ford to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
I can resist not having a go at this frame score as I have gone with the outsider to edge this battle and Ford has have his best season ever I think.
17:00 FC Copenhagen v AGF Aarhus
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Going with overs here as the hosts have seen four of their last five go over and three of the last four meetings have done so too. The visitors have seen overs in their last two losing 7-2 last time out.
FC Copenhagen (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose+Push
-25
The hosts are 11 points higher than the visitors as they try to keep hold of their EL place and are in much better form than the visitors and I expect a comfortable afternoon for them.
16:30 Mainz v Cologne
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
This relegation six pointer today is likely to be a very tight game and neither will take any chances somnot expecting goals, as Koln have seeinnjust one ofntheirmlsst four go over.
Mainz (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
The hosts are very strong favourites here today and are the better side of the two and in decent enough form added to home advantage. Have to go withnthe bookies odds here.
16:30 Nottm Forest v Man City
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Huge game for both sides here with Forest in real trouble after Everton and Burnley have found some form and they will be up for this match today against City. Yes City might well win as they should but the PL can throw up thenoccasional upset and aim hoping for one here.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Short odds for overs here but with Both sides needing a win we could see an exciting game and goals. City’s games usually see plenty mainly scored bynthemselves but I fancy Forest to score too.
13:30 Stephen Maguire v Shaun Murphy
Stephen Maguire
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Maguire looks like the Maguire of old when he used to win tournaments. It's been a long time since he has looked as good. He has a good record against Murphy and I think he can win this match.
Stephen Maguire 2.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
As I have gone for the outsider to win it makes sense to take advantage of the positive handicap as I can see this being a cracking match that might even go the distance.
Stephen Maguire to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
A final selection in this match which might be a Crucible cracker with Maguire looking back to his old self of a few years back when he used to win tournaments and has a good record against Murphy, good chance of going the distance.
Subtotal-151
27 April 2024
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
The hosts have seen four of their last five go over but this match tonight might be tightnwith a battle for the final CL place and games recently between them tend to go under.
Atletico Madrid (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Fourth hosts fifth here with just three points between them which is difference between a CL place or EL place. The hosts have lost twoin the bounce and the visitors are winless in three so a good chance for the hosts to get back on track tonight.
20:00 Hull v Ipswich
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Huge game for both sides tonight with Ipswich possibly taking a huge step to finishing in the top two promotion spots, but the hosts can golevel,on points with sixth place Baggies if they win, so I am expecting a good match and goals tonight.
Hull (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.09
Push
0
I am taking a chance on this being very close tonight with both sides needing the win in this promotion battle. Ipswich's recent form has not been good but Hull are in good form and with home advantage so going positive handicap here, in case we see a tight draw.
20:00 PSG v Le Havre
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
The hosts are closing in on clinching the title again and have been in very good form recently and especially here, they face a struggling side not yet safe from relegation and we should see thenhosts scoring a few goals again tonight.
PSG (AH) -1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.01
Lose
-50
Le Havre have spent most of the season fighting relegation and still are and will be tryingmto frustrate the leaders tonight but PSG appear to be in title winning mood as they move closer to winning the title each week and should win tonight.
19:45 Lazio v Verona
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
This might be a tight affair tonight with the hosts looking to move into a EL place but the visitors also needing something as they are hovering over the bottom three. The last three meetings all went under.
Lazio (AH) -0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.90
Win+Push
22
Lazio have won their last theee matches and they can move up a place into the EL places with a win here tonight against a side sitting just three points above the bottom three, so going with a home win.
15:00 Barrow v Mansfield
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Another final day game in this league that promises goals. Barrows play off place is under real pressure after some poor results and three of their last four matches have seen overs. Mansfield can relax today and enjoy their final day with promotion secured, four of theirnlast five have also gone over.
15:00 Bradford v Newport County
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
I am with the bookies here and goals in this match. Bradford beat us at home last week 3-2 and there should have been more goals. They are overs in their last three games and a win at Barrow has given them an outside chance of finishing seventh. Newport are overs in four ofntheirnlast six matches.
15:00 Crawley Town v Grimsby
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Another game that smacks of goals this afternoon with Crawley still in with a chance of getting into the play offs on this final day. Five of their last six games have gone over. The visitors are overs in two of their last four too.
15:00 Fulham v Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
London Derby game here with just a place and three points between them. Fulham's recent form has been poor while Palce have been much better since the new manager took over and I think they could win again today.
15:00 Man Utd v Burnley
Burnley
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
It's been a poor season for Unitedand they were very lucky to reach the fa cup final last weekend. They face another tricky game today with Burton having a real gomofmlate tomescape thembottommthree and on current form theynmignt just domit and win here today.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Another match which looks like we will see plenty of goals today, with in form Burnley visiting and still with a chance of saving themselves. United have seen plenty of goals lately, with a 3-3 draw at Wembley last week and in mid week beating Sheff Utd here 4-2.
15:00 Newcastle v Sheff Utd
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.29
Win
14
I am with the bookies here and goals in this match, Newcastle have hit form again and the almost relegated Sheff Utd have been shipping lots of goals lately and Newcastle won the reverse meeting scoring 8 goals.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Luton
Luton
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
Wolves have little to play for and their recent form has not been good. Luton desperately need a win sitting third bottom with one win and four defeats in their last five. I am taking a handed on them getting a much needed three points today which would see them move above Forest and out of the bottom three.
13:00 Las Palmas v Girona
Girona (AH) -0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
The visitors have been the surprise package this season for a long time going too to toe with Real at the top. They are out of that challenge now but are looking good for a top four finish and visit a poor side today who are in awful form and the visitors have a very good record here.
12:30 Barnsley v Northampton
Barnsley (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Lose
-50
Barnsley are a place above Lincoln in fifth place but like Lincoln failure to win today could see them lose their play off spot. At home and against a side with nothing to play for which has shown recently, has to be a home win.
12:30 Derby v Carlisle
Derby (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Win+Push
20
Derby only need a point to be sure of second place on this final day match, but with Carlisle sitting bottom of the league and a full house it should be a massive promotion party and I expect them to win promotion in style.
12:30 Fleetwood Town v Burton Albion
Burton Albion (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Again here we have the visitors needing a minimum of a draw to stay up but might need a win too, depending on other results and I can't see them losing at already relegated hosts.
12:30 Lincoln City v Portsmouth
Lincoln City (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Lose
-50
Huge game for the hosts today who sit in the final play off spot on goal difference with twomsides behind whomcould both jump ahead of them if they don’t win. The visitors are already champions so not sure how they will,play today, so taking a chance on a home win.
12:30 Port Vale v Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Win+Push
20
The visitors could still finish in the final relegation spot if they lose today and other teams win whichnis likely. Vale are already down so it’s gonna be a miserable game formthe hosts and their fans and I can see thevisitors avoiding defeat.
12:30 Stevenage v Cheltenham
Cheltenham (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
Huge game for the visitors who sit in the final relegation place but are fighting like mad to stay up and can save themselves with a win and one of the two sides above done win and I don’t think the hosts will provide much opposition today.
12:30 West Ham v Liverpool
Liverpool (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Lose
-50
I really don't know what's happened with Liverpool of late with some very poor results and defeats at home to Palace and this week losing at Everton, they are not yet out of the title race but realistically they are, but they really need a win urgently and they might be visiting the Hammers at just the right time as they are in worse form than Liverpool and got hammered 5-2 last game.
09:00 Jak Jones v Si Jiahui
Jak Jones
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
Both players have had three good wins and Jones is the lower ranked of the two but his opponent somehow beat Mark William when trailing by a long way winning the final frame. I am going with Jones to edge this match
Jak Jones 2.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
As I have gone with the slight outsider here I am adding this selection for some cover but I do think Jones can edge this match but there’s a good chance it might go the distance.
Jak Jones to win 13-12
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
A final tip in this match and in line with my other two tips, not much between them in rankings or form, both have had great first round scalps too. Likely to be close and Jiahui has to go the distance to beat Williams in the last round. But it might be the other way round in this match.
Subtotal-264
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