lecceseadublino

Italian living in Dublin since 2004, passionate about football, Lecce supporter (my roots, my +20 yy in the stadiums). I follow also European leagues, particularly French (I lived in Nantes and still follow "les canaris"). I like watching Argentinian and Brazilian football. In my teens, I've been charmed by the Boston Celtics. I re-discovered NBA and I am appreciating again (still watching close the Celtics _ what else, since I am in the Celtic Country! _ but also Lakers of giant Kobe Bryant _ RIP).

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

lecceseadublino's Tips History

12 March 2025

23:40 PHI 76ers @ TOR Raptors

TOR Raptors

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.64

Win

TOR Raptors -3.50

Pointspread

164 WIN

@1.91

Win

149

NBA tonight: A very even game, so the line of demarcation is thin. Toronto Raptors (22-43) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (22-42). I think Toronto will win because they're 4-1 in their last 5 games, while the 76ers have lost 4 of 5.

20:00 Arsenal v PSV

Over 2.50

Total Goals

341 WIN

@1.80

Win

273

I go for OVER. Three of the last 4 precedents between these two teams ended with more than 2 goals. PSV has 6 matches that ended with an Over 2.5 result. In this edition of the Champions League, Arsenal at home has an average goal of 2.5 per game.

00:10 LA Clippers @ NO Pelicans

NO Pelicans 7.00

Pointspread

400 WIN

@1.91

Win

364

NBA: New Orleans Pelicans (17-48) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (35-29). Los Angeles won the first game 116-113, but 2024 has seen a total of two games for each team. Also, the home team has won all of LA's last six games. I think they can still win, but maybe only by +4 / +5?

11 March 2025

23:30 MIL Bucks @ IND Pacers

MIL Bucks

Money Line

200 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-200

NBA: A close match between the Indiana Pacers (35-28) and the Milwaukee Bucks (36-27). It's hard to separate them, but the Bucks are a little better defensively and need to bounce back from two straight losses. Also, both Antetokounmpo and Lillard are listed as probable for this contest, so it will be well-paced and the Bucks are slightly better too.

MIL Bucks -1.00

Pointspread

250 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-250

NBA: A close match between the Indiana Pacers (35-28) and the Milwaukee Bucks (36-27). Honestly, it's hard to separate them, but given that Indiana recently lost to Chicago and the Bucks are a little better defensively and need to bounce back from two straight losses (they've never lost more than two in a row in over a month), I'm taking the Bucks -3/-4, so of course -1.

23:10 BKN Nets @ CLE Cavaliers

CLE Cavaliers

Money Line

150 WIN

@1.09

Win

BKN Nets 15.00

Pointspread

130 WIN

@1.91

Win

118

A very decent spread for a Brooklyn team that won yesterday after 4 losses in a row. I don't say it's another win, but Cleveland got some recent wins with only +4 / +6 spread, so I take +15 for the underdog.

23:10 WAS Wizards @ DET Pistons

DET Pistons

Money Line

150 WIN

@1.10

Win

Over 235.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

This is a match that is realistically possible to have a lot of points, considering that Detroit has an offensive average of 114.7 PPG (12th in 30 NBA teams) and Washington is bad in defense (30th) and attack (28/30).

00:10 DEN Nuggets @ OKC Thunder

OKC Thunder

Money Line

100 WIN

@1.29

Lose

-100

The Nuggets lost yesterday against the same OKC (103-127). It's hard to replay a game and not sure the same result will occur. Nikola Jokic has an extraordinary average this year: 28.9 points, 12.8 rebounds, 10.6 assists. And he brought Denver to the title and, in 2025, to 13 wins out of 17. But OKC is the best overall team (53-11 vs 41-23) with 16 wins from their last 18 games and aiming at an eighth straight victory.

Under 238.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

00:10 IND Pacers @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.10

Win

105

Indiana Pacers play at Chicago against the Bulls tonight. The Bulls have won 2 games in a row and are looking for a nice 3rd win. Indiana matches are over with the home team winning in the last 6 games!

CHI Bulls 5.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Indiana Pacers play at Chicago against the Bulls tonight. Bulls, who have won 2 games in a row, are looking for a nice 3rd win. Indiana matches are over with the home team winning in the last 6 games! I propose Handicap -2 Chicago, so the line is covered easily.

Over 241.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

10 March 2025

23:40 CHA Hornets @ MIA Heat

MIA Heat

Money Line

179 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-179

Miami has lost 3 of the last 4 games, but the last one was «only» 112-107 vs. Cleveland Cavs! I believe, and the odds clearly show it, that they should win. But there are always stats in the NBA to prove the opposite. For example, in 4 of Charlotte's last games, the 'ROAD' team won. Anyway, I put my 5 cents on Miami!

CHA Hornets 9.50

Pointspread

150 WIN

@1.92

Win

138

Some absurd odds around! 1.710/1.72 for Charlotte +11.5 against Miami is huge! Trust me and put half of your salary (I'm kidding :-) ). Now, Miami has much better potential, but they haven't managed (often: 15-14 SU record at home and a 28-34-1 ATS record overall...) to close out games properly this season, so I think Charlotte handicap can pass.

23:40 LA Lakers @ BKN Nets

LA Lakers

Money Line

250 WIN

@1.48

Lose

-250

My Lakers (from King James) are playing in a few minutes against the Nets. Lakers winning is not very well paid, so I'm going to propose also a small handicap: but only -4.5 because it's true that the Nets have only 105.6 PPG, but sometimes the Lakers are not very efficient. Lakers to win but -5/-6 max, so less than the line.

Under 216.00

Game Totals

150 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-150

My Lakers (from King James) are playing in a few minutes against the Nets. Lakers win is not very well paid. In addition, Brooklyn has lost 7 games in a row, so it can happen (statistically!) that they will interrupt that. The Nets are walking at an average of only 105.6 PPG, and in the last game, they managed to miss 36 /50 of 3-point shots: Not efficient. Sometimes, on their side, the Lakers also mark time. So, I propose an UNDER here.

23:40 WAS Wizards @ TOR Raptors

TOR Raptors

Money Line

150 WIN

@1.36

Win

WAS Wizards 6.50

Pointspread

150 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-150

Another new week of NBA. This match between Toronto Raptors (20-42) and Washington Wizards (12-49) is interesting, and the odds are not well distributed because Washington has a chance even to win, in my opinion. The Canadians have won 3 of the last 4 games but with +8 / +2 / +1 only. I propose +7.5 or even the line +6.5.

Under 231.50

Game Totals

250 WIN

@1.95

Win

237

Toronto and Washington faced each other two days ago. The Raptors lost 117-118. But they are stronger and tonight they are playing at home, so they'd win. However, 1.38 is too low, so I propose 228/230 points because both teams score quite a bit but also concede. Therefore, it is just below the line.

20:00 Espanyol v Girona

Espanyol

200 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-200

Espanyol's odds are very valuable because they have lost only once in the last 7, while Girona has lost 5 out of 7. Espanyol is in a 'etat de grace' state: 7 games with only 1 loss (R Sociedad) and 3 wins (so 1-0 to Real Madrid). They have taken 12 points in this spell (out of 27 in the whole LIGA this year). I believe they can win, but I would put the DRAW NO BET because it is always a closer game in the relegation area. Here in OLBG I don't have any more DRAW NO BET, so we go for a 1!

Over 2.50

Total Goals

135 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-135

Really good odds for OVER 2.5GG in this meeting tomorrow night between Espanyol, Barcelona, and Girona. Girona has seen 6 times in the last 7 games an OVER 2.5GG. Espanyol only 2 times. But I believe a 2-1 score is possible. I won't put the last penny you have, since it's risky!

19:45 Lazio v Udinese

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-100

Lazio vs. Udinese match is delayed in the Serie A tonight. Lazio is 5th, Udinese 10th. They are well placed for the assumed ranking at the beginning of the season. I want to try an OVER 2.5GG: - The last matches between these teams finished with at least 2 goals. - Lazio scored over 2 goals in their 8 matches in Rome. - Udinese away, last 5 matches: 3 OVER 2.5 goals.

Udinese - Draw

Half Time / Full Time

80 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-80

Lazio and Udinese face each other tonight in Rome. Lazio is 5th but has lost some momentum: in the last 5 matches, 4W, 4D, 2L. Udinese is in 10th but with 3 wins in a row; in the last 10, they have also lost only 2 times, 4D and 4 wins. I want to try Udinese before the first half: they have scored first 4 times in the last 5 matches, and I think Lazio will draw.

19:30 Burgos v Albacete Balompie

Under 2.50

Total Goals

53 WIN

@1.50

Win

Liga Adelante, second competition in Spain: Burgos 17th with 36 points, Albacete 16th with 37. I propose UNDER 2.5 goals because it will be a match played with a deposit. Albacete has recorded 5 OVER 2.5 goals and 7 UNDER in the last 12 games, Burgos only 3 OVER (and 9 UNDER, of course).

01:07 NY Islanders @ ANA Ducks

NY Islanders

Money Line

150 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-150

I find myself, from time to time, doing commentary in sports other than football or basketball. In this case, we will go to the 'National Hockey League' in the USA. A close match: out of 45 times, New York won 23, while the Ducks won 18. Last year, 2 games: the Ducks won one game 3-1, and New York mastered a perfect match: 1-6. In 2023, 2 wins for New York.

00:30 Newells v Belgrano

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.55

Win

Primera L in Argentina: Tigre and Argentinos Jn are first with 21 points. Newells has 6 points (13th) and Belgrano 8 (12th place). Tight match, so less chances in my opinion. Belgrano saw 4 Over 2.5 goals in 8 matches, Newells 3 times out of 8. I think to follow the stats: UNDER.

09 March 2025

13:00 Tenerife v Huesca

Huesca

94 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-94

Liga Adelante in Spain. Huesca is 4th while Tenerife is second to last. Tenerife has lost the last 4 and 5 out of 7. Huesca has not lost in 14 (!) matches. In the first leg, Huesca won with a small 1-0, which I think they can repeat.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

500 WIN

@1.36

Win

180

This looks like a very tight game with LIGA (Huesca is 4th at 3 points from the summit) and relegation (Tenerife second last) at stake! I bet 0-0/0-1 as result and so UNDER too. Tenerife recorded 3 OVER 2.5GG only in 8 games (2 in 7). Huesca 3 OVER in 11 games. Therefore, I see a large predominance of UNDER (as the odd 1.36 says too, honestly). Max stake, VAMOS ;-)

Huesca #1-0

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Huesca is 4th while Tenerife is second last. Huesca has not lost in 14 (!) matches and had four 1-0 wins (most common result for them). In the first leg, Huesca won with a small 1-0, which I think they can repeat.

01:40 LA Lakers @ BOS Celtics

LA Lakers

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

LA Lakers 7.00

Pointspread

500 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-500

The Los Angeles Lakers (40-21) are looking for an 8th straight win, but they play the Boston Celtics (45-18). Note: these are the teams that I have followed with the most interest in the NBA for years. Boston has covered the spread 5 times out of 6. The Lakers can, in my opinion, cover the line, even if I do not see as impossible that they lose by a measure against the 2nd team in the East.

01:10 CHI Bulls @ MIA Heat

CHI Bulls

Money Line

150 WIN

@2.70

Win

255

At these prices/odds, I want to give the Chicago Bulls a chance in this confrontation with Miami. Both teams come from 2 wins out of the last 4 (they lost against the Cavs... it doesn't count as a defeat) and average numbers of points, pretty much, but Chicago sits in 10th place vs Miami 7th. The Bulls won 133-124 in their first game of this NBA season against the Heat, so why not again?

01:10 ORL Magic @ MIL Bucks

MIL Bucks

Money Line

500 WIN

@1.38

Lose

-500

MIL Bucks -7.00

Pointspread

500 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-500

Orlando Magic (29-35) who hope for a huge night by Banchero, but the Bucks (36-25) are too superior and in shape in the last games. The Bucks won 114-109 / 109-106 against the Magic (in Dec and early Jan) but in the last game they destroyed them: 122-93. I think -8/-10 should pass, so the line of this spread is more than OK.

08 March 2025

19:00 Caroline Garcia vs Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.07

Win

14:30 Bayer Leverkusen v Werder Bremen

Bayer Leverkusen

300 WIN

@1.27

Lose

-300

Bayer Leverkusen, reigning champion but already too far from Bayern Munich, who has just inflicted a 3-0 defeat also in Champions League. Obviously, they will have to win this match to recover at least in the Bundesliga. Werder Bremen has lost the last 4 matches in a row.

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayer Leverkusen

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

14:30 Wolfsburg v St Pauli

Wolfsburg

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

Bundesliga 2, the second division in Germany. Wolfsburg (7th with 37 points) plays vs St Pauli (15th with only 21 points). The Wolfsburg team has not lost any game in the last 6, so I pick them. But I want to offer a double chance here too, if you are scared of a straight win.

14:00 Salernitana v Modena

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.60

Win

Serie B in Italy: Both teams need the points, and the match is looking very tight in my opinion. I propose UNDER 2.5 Goals, even UNDER 1.5 Goals if you have courage: - the average of the previous ones among these teams is 1.6 goals per match; - this year the 'Granata' have an average home scoring performance of 1.15 goals and Modena away 0.95.

Salernitana #1-0

50 WIN

@7.00

Win

300

Serie B in Italy: Salernitana - Modena will be a very tight game in my opinion. I propose UNDER 2.5 GG, because this year the Granata have an average of 1.15 GG and Modena away 0.95. I believe 0-0 or 1-0 as score. Salernitana's last 3 home games: 1-1 / 1-0 / 2-1 and they need a win!

11:35 Jiangsu Dragons vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

02:00 Varvara Gracheva vs Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

02:00 Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

01:00 Arthur Fils vs Gabriel Diallo

Gabriel Diallo

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Gabriel Diallo to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

58 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-58

Over 23.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

00:40 UTA Jazz @ TOR Raptors

TOR Raptors

Money Line

250 WIN

@1.50

Win

125

TOR Raptors -5.50

Pointspread

150 WIN

@1.91

Win

137

Toronto Raptors (13th in East with 20-42) vs Utah Jazz (15th in West, 15-47). Toronto started well, getting lost along the way this year. I think they left with 2 wins against the Orlando Magic??"back-to-back??"and 3 out of 6 games. Utah has lost 5 of the last 6 and 3 in a row. I suggest -4 handicap because Utah has lost with better than -4 only 2 times out of their last 10 losses. But the line says -5.5, so we take it.

Under 228.00

Game Totals

200 WIN

@1.91

Win

182

Last 5 games under this number for the Raptors, while Utah went OVER in 4/5. I suppose the Canadians are not strong enough to score very high but enough to keep Utah in low score, just around the triple digits. I would go with a 116-108 win for Toronto.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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lecceseadublino

lecceseadublino's Tips History

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