Defiance1982
I research football, horse racing and golf
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19th May 2024
08:45 Kansai Open Golf Championship
Kazuki Higa
25 EW
Decent 10th place back in 2021 and followed that up by winning the trophy here in 2022 by one shot. Did not come here last year to defend his title but definitely has the tournament form to go again at a decent price.
Kensei Hirata
25 EW
Finished 11th in 2022 when starting strongly but unable to maintain that level. Much improved last year when tied 6th and hit the lowest round of 63 for the whole tournament. Finished 21st in recent Japan Tour which was a slight drop from The Crowns the previous week when 12th but still quite strong form.
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15:00 Amundi German Masters
Carmen Alonso
25 EW
13th in 2022 which was let down by a poor last round, otherwise a potential top five position that time round. Came back last year with an improved sixth with just her first round letting her down. Could definitely improve on that again here. Well worth an each-way punt at those high odds.
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Johanna Gustavsson
25 EW
11th in 2022 and improved by a fair bit last year when tied 6th despite leading after the first two rounds. Joint second best score in that tournament which was matched the year prior, so there is definitely a element of skill here for her.
16:00 Arsenal v Everton
Arsenal #2-0
50 WIN
Getting the job done is all Arsenal will be interested in to give them a chance of winning the league. Goal difference is no longer an issue so I don't feel Arsenal will take too many risks here.
16:00 Brighton v Man Utd
Brighton #2-1
50 WIN
Manchester United haven't beaten Brighton in the last four Premier League attempts and their defence is still an issue here. Brighton have nothing to play for, but they will still potentially want a scalp here whilst their opponents struggle to put a team out.
16:00 Burnley v Nottm Forest
Burnley #2-1
50 WIN
Burnley have not been beaten at home by Forest in the last eight meetings going back to 2003. Forest are technically safe and that might be good enough for them mentally to take the foot off the gas. Burnley might want to go out on a high, and they could potentially go up a place with a win here.
16:00 Chelsea v Bournemouth
Chelsea #2-0
50 WIN
Chelsea have kept clean sheets in their last three matches and still hoping to finish as high as possible in the league for a chance of Europe. Bournemouth have nothing to play for and have lost two games on the bounce. Looks like a standard strategic win here for the Blues.
16:00 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa
Crystal Palace #1-0
50 WIN
Aston Villa have lost two in their last three away games and I don't think they will be too bothered about losing another here after cementing a place in the Champions League this season. Palace is on a run of form and have not been beaten here by Villa in their last five meetings. This will be a low-key affair that I think Palace will pinch.
16:00 Liverpool v Wolverhampton
Liverpool #3-0
50 WIN
Jurgen Klopp's last game for Liverpool as they will look to finish the season on a bow and potentially keep a clean sheet. I can't see Wolves offering up much of a threat here.
16:00 Luton v Fulham
Draw #2-2
50 WIN
Luton haven't beaten Fulham since 1998 and there has been eight meetings since that win. They know their chances of survival are impossible, so I expect them to just play their football and have a good game here. Fulham will probably maintain that record a bit longer here and make it three draws on the bounce at Kenilworth Road.
16:00 Man City v West Ham
Man City #2-0
50 WIN
Manchester City played it cautious against Tottenham and felt 1-0 was all they needed to get that result over the line. I expect a similar approach here, but with home advantage and with West Ham not so good on form it could be two or three goals.
16:00 Sheff Utd v Tottenham
Tottenham #3-2
50 WIN
Both these sides have racked up 11 defeats in the last 12 matches between them and both have nothing to play for. Sheffield United maybe looking to go out with a bow as they finish bottom of the league and they have been scoring more goals of late. Spurs are consigned to 5th, but I'm sure they don't want to add another defeat to the end of their season.
21:45 PGA Championship
Brooks Koepka
25 EW
Completely off form in this back in 2022 but otherwise, a genuinely good record in this tournament. Came 2nd back in 2021 when two shots off the leader, but that was driven by a two over round on the last day which left him down overall in an otherwise good performance. Bounced back in 2023 to win by two clear shots despite starting the first day two over par. Expect another good weekend for Koepka here.
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