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Best Odds

Won on Mostly Sunny @15.00 on Monday

Annual
Profit
44
Annual
Strike Rate
25%
30 Days
Profit
44
7 Days
Profit
95

12 Months Profit TrendApr 25 - Apr 24

Highest Profit Apr 24
0
Lowest Profit Apr 25
-4

Daily ProfitLast 23 days

Highest Profit Apr 08
12.1
Lowest Profit Apr 12
95

    Today's Tips

    SELECTION
    WIN
    EW
    NAP
    VALUE RATING
    ODDS
    HorseQuant9‘s tips
  • 5 Jack To Bat

    Daily Racing

    Form: 34
    6  11-6
    T: Jonjo & A J O'Neill J: Richie McLernon
    4/9 Win Tips
    44%
    1 comment
    0/1 EW Tips
    0%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Jack To Bat can win this ahead of Buckna in second and Rock On Cowboy in third. This result has largely been driven by Jack To Bat having the highest RPR of the field and the second highest OR. Every runner here is carrying the same weight.

  • 2 Mongibello

    Daily Racing

    Form: 0-1252
    7  11-7
    T: S R B Crawford J: J J Slevin
    6/14 Win Tips
    43%
    1 comment
    1/5 EW Tips
    20%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run simulates this race and suggests Mongibello can come in first, ahead of Magic McColgan in second and Visual Impact in third. This result has been largely driven by Mongibello having the highest RPR of the field, the highest official rating in the field, but only having to carry the same weight as Magic McColgan. Mongibello has prior course and distance history under his belt and JJ Slevin picks up the reins.

  • 7 Ballygelly

    Daily Racing

    Form: 08-7P1
    7  10-8
    T: Emma-Jane Bishop J: James Best
    2/15 Win Tips
    13%
    2 comments
    3/9 EW Tips
    33%
    1/1 NAPs
    100%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Ballygelly can win this one ahead of Jukebox d'Eddy and Ceolwulf in second and third respectively. This race simulation result has largely been driven by Ballygelly having the joint highest RPR of the field and the joint lowest official rating. This leaves Ballygelly with the least weight to carry of the entire field over the 3m round trip. A weight advantage of approximately 20 lbs to the top of the market might be significant over that distance.

  • 10 Magnolia

    Daily Racing

    Form: 896532
    6  10-12
    T: Micky Hammond J: Joshua Thompson
    3/23 Win Tips
    13%
    1 comment
    1/13 EW Tips
    8%
    0/2 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Magnolia can win this one. This price is pretty big, so it offers an each way opportunity if preferable. The jockey on board is Joshua Thompson and takes a further 7 lbs off. This makes the weight difference from the top of the market a total of 23 lbs, which is considerable over a 2m 4f distance trip.

  • 9 Six And Out

    Daily Racing

    Form: -1U169
    7  11-0
    T: David Weston J: James Davies
    1/15 Win Tips
    7%
    1 comment
    0/10 EW Tips
    0%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    the model I run suggests Six And Out can win this one. There are plenty of options in what looks like a tight race but at 23s this feels like the value bet. There are 3 places on offer so each way might be appealing depending on your betting style. Six And Out has the second highest RPR of the field but steps out with a massive weight advantage, carrying c. 15 lbs less than the top of the market. This race also represents a drop in trip from Class 3 to Class 4.

  • 8 The Jewellers Pet

    Daily Racing

    Form: 0311P3
    6  11-3
    T: Ian Duncan J: Alan Doyle
    2/25 Win Tips
    8%
    2 comments
    3/11 EW Tips
    27%
    0/1 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run simulates this race and has The Jewellers Pet coming in first. He's the youngest of the field, and Alan Doyle on board is claiming a further 3 lbs weight relief. The weight gap between top and bottom is nearly 15 lbs in total.

  • 6 Gwennie May Jem

    Daily Racing

    Form: 434242
    5  10-8
    T: Dan Skelton J: Tristan Durrell
    9/15 Win Tips
    60%
    2 comments
    0/7 EW Tips
    0%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run simulates this race and has Gwennie May Jem to come in first ahead of Superstylin in second and El Rojo Grande in third. This result has largely been driven by Gwennie May Jem having the joint highest RPR of the field, but a mid-range official rating which leaves her with a decent weight to carry. This horse has placed plenty but is yet to get over the line first in recent races, and maybe this can be the right opportunity to do that. Tristan Durrell on board also takes off 3 lbs.

  • 5 Travail DOrfevre

    Daily Racing

    Form: -3318P
    9  11-8
    T: N W Alexander J: Dominic Hislop
    3/11 Win Tips
    27%
    1 expert 2 comments
    3/11 EW Tips
    27%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests this race can be won by Travail d'Orfevre. He steps out for this 12-runner race as the highest RPR of the entire field, but a very mid-range OR, meaning he will be carrying less weight compared to the top of the market. Dominic Hislop is on board and claims a further 10 lbs here, which can be a large difference over what is essentially 3 miles.

  • 4 Ikarak

    Daily Racing

    Form: 8-1P15
    7  11-1
    T: Olly Murphy J: Kevin Brogan
    7/15 Win Tips
    47%
    2 comments
    0/5 EW Tips
    0%
    2/3 NAPs
    67%

    WIN @

    The model I run simulates this race and has Ikarak coming first ahead of Land Genie in second and Doyen Quest in third. This race looks pretty open and there are plenty of opportunities. The simulated result has been largely driven by Ikarak having the highest RPR of the field, a very mid range Official ranking score and therefore a reasonable weight to carry. Ikarak is also a previous course and distance winner here.

  • 7 Hidden History

    Daily Racing

    Form: 31-721
    7  10-12
    T: Dan Skelton J: Harry Skelton
    17/22 Win Tips
    77%
    1 expert 5 comments
    0/5 EW Tips
    0%
    3/4 NAPs
    75%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Hidden History can win this race ahead of Rambo T in second and Florida Dreams in third. Hidden History steps out for this 8-runner race with the highest RPR of the field and the second lowest official ranking. Carries the second lowest amount of weight, and the Skeltons are in good form. Previous first at Uttoxeter last time out in mid-March.

  • 7 Kayce Dutton

    Daily Racing

    Form: 522722
    7  11-11
    T: Charles & Adam Pogson J: Robert Dunne
    4/15 Win Tips
    27%
    1 comment
    3/10 EW Tips
    30%
    0/1 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Kayce Dutton can get over the line first here. This horse has the second highest RPR of the field, and a comparable official ranking to the top of the market. Has come second 4 times in the last 5 races so plenty of form.

  • 7 Walk On Quest

    Daily Racing

    Form: 21111P
    6  10-3
    T: Lucinda Russell J: Patrick Wadge
    1/14 Win Tips
    7%
    1 comment
    1/5 EW Tips
    20%
    0/2 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Walk On Quest can win this race ahead of Statuario in second and Doctor Ken in third. Walk On Quest has the third highest RPR of the field, but steps out with by far the least weight to carry over the 2m 4f trip. Got pulled last time at Uttoxeter, but if you're willing to overlook that, had prior form figures of 21111.

  • 7 Pioneer Pete

    Daily Racing

    Form: 2
    5  11-3
    T: Jonjo & A J O'Neill J: Richie McLernon
    1/7 Win Tips
    14%
    1 comment
    3/7 EW Tips
    43%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Pioneer Pete can win this race. Steps out with the second highest RPR of the field, but most horses here at the top of the market are carrying the same weight over this 2m NHF. Prior Warwick 2m run came second and looks to get the nose in front first here this time.

  • 12 Cuban Cigar

    Daily Racing

    Form: 474874
    7  10-12
    T: Lucinda Russell J: Conner McCann
    4/12 Win Tips
    33%
    1 expert 4 comments
    1/14 EW Tips
    7%
    1/1 NAPs
    100%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Cuban Cigar can win and get over the line first in this race. Steps out here with an RPR at the higher end of the field and an OR that is joint second lowest. Conner McCann is on board and relieves a further 7 lbs on this 2m round trip. This is a drop in class compared to the previous couple of runs and might go well here today.

  • 6 Belle Of Annandale

    Daily Racing

    Form: 344745
    6  11-9
    T: R Mike Smith J: Sean Bowen
    1/12 Win Tips
    8%
    1 comment
    1/13 EW Tips
    8%
    0/0 NAPs
    0%

    WIN @

    The model I run suggests Belle Of Annandale can win this large field race of 16 runners. Sean Bowen picks up the reins. This horse has by far the highest RPR of the field and a pretty mid-range official ranking, meaning weights being carried are 5-7 lbs shy of the top of the market.

Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.

Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.

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