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In profit on Aussie Rules for 5 of the previous 6 months
WIN @ / -6.50 hcap
Adelaide have not won enough quarters this season and have not won enough games either just once they won, so will be left behind by Port Adelaide
WIN @
Port Adelaide had a big lead against Collingwood to then go on and lose the game, will be more focused in the next few games, and should see them control more of the quarters in their games.
WIN @
Collingwood have lost their first few games of the season, they have looked better recently but not at their best just yet, Carlton are playing a bit better and converting inside 50 better
WIN @ / -1.50 hcap
Carlton have had more inside 50s recently and converting well, with Collingwood having some bad quarters at times this could go carltons way.
WIN @
Greater Western Sydney will left exposed by Carlton and Sydney are team which play like Carlton so could leave the same exposure in this game.
WIN @ / -2.50 hcap
Sydney gain a lot of inside 50s and this should be enough to break the game open to score enough against Wstern Sydney same was Carlton recently did
WIN @ / -36.50 hcap
North Melbourne have not looked like a team which will score about average points, like they are finding goals hard to get, St Kilda have been able to attack well in some quarters to make margins bigger
WIN @
Geelong are making their wins better this season and have beat some good teams already, including the win at Brisbane in hard conditions
WIN @ / -2.50 hcap
Geelong are the more trusted team here, the midfield and forward line has been performing well for this team and are very attacking team compared to Melbourne
WIN @
Fremantle recently lost to west coast eagles which are well down the ladder, so will not want to lose another game to lower side, also they setup more defensive compared to Richmond
WIN @ / 20.50 hcap
It would be good to see Hawthorn try to get some closer games, they have been well below their best, but some fight on this fast ground, some turn overs might keep this within the handicap
WIN @
Hawthorn have not showed any big scoring this season so far, so Bulldogs midfield should get on top in this game and cause concern for the defence of Hawthorn again
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.