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- Caleb Williams, last year's winner, is the favorite to repeat at +600.
- Carson Beck is replacing two-time national champion Stetson Bennett at quarterback in Athens. His odds to win the Heisman sit at +2200.
- Marvin Harrison Jr. has the shortest odds of any non-QB at +3000.
The Heisman Trophy remains the most prestigious individual honor in American sports. The only two-time winner of the Heisman puts the magnitude of winning into perspective. "My name is not only Archie Griffin, it's two-time Heisman Trophy winner Archie Griffin. Once you win the award it's with you for the rest of your life and I realize that and I'm proud of that. It changed my life." Griffin is the only member of the exclusive two-time Heisman-winning fraternity. This fall, Caleb Williams will become the fifth Heisman winner to return to college for another season in the past decade, joining Johnny Manziel, Jameis Winston, Lamar Jackson, and Bryce Young. Manziel finished fifth in the Heisman race during his encore performance. Winston and Young both finished sixth and Jackson third the year after winning their Heismans. It's a tough act to follow, but sportsbooks have installed Williams as the preseason Heisman favorite. Who else has a reasonable shot at the hardware?
Heisman Trophy Odds 2023
Player | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Caleb Williams (USC) | +600 | 14.29% |
Jayden Daniels (LSU) | +1400 | 6.67% |
Quinn Ewers (Texas) | +1400 | 6.67% |
Michael Penix Jr. (Washington) | +1600 | 5.88% |
Jordan Travis (Florida State) | +1800 | 5.26% |
Bo Nix (Oregon) | +1800 | 5.26% |
Drake Maye (North Carolina) | +1800 | 5.26% |
Sam Hartman (Notre Dame) | +2000 | 4.76% |
J.J. McCarthy (Michigan) | +2000 | 4.76% |
Cade Klubnik (Clemson) | +2200 | 4.35% |
Carson Beck (Georgia) | +2200 | 4.35% |
Kyle McCord (Ohio State) | +2500 | 3.85% |
Joe Milton III (Tennessee) | +2500 | 3.85% |
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State) | +3000 | 3.23% |
Drew Allar (Penn State) | +3500 | 2.78% |
Dillon Gabriel (Oklahoma) | +4000 | 2.44% |
Blake Corum (Michigan) | +5000 | 1.96% |
Tyler Buchner (Alabama) | +6000 | 1.64% |
Ty Simpson (Alabama) | +6000 | 1.64% |
TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State) | +6500 | 1.52% |
Conner Weigman (Texas A&M) | +6600 | 1.49% |
Spencer Rattler (South Carolina) | +6600 | 1.49% |
Nick Singleton (Penn State) | +6600 | 1.49% |
Quinshon Judkins (Ole Miss) | +8000 | 1.23% |
Will Shipley (Clemson) | +8000 | 1.23% |
KJ Jefferson (Arkansas) | +8000 | 1.23% |
Braelon Allen (Wisconsin) | +8000 | 1.23% |
Brock Bowers (Georgia) | +8000 | 1.23% |
Brock Vandagriff (Georgia) | +10000 | 0.99% |
Cam Rising (Utah) | +10000 | 0.99% |
Devin Brown (Ohio State) | +10000 | 0.99% |
Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) | +10000 | 0.99% |
The first 13 players on the board are all quarterbacks, which makes sense given Heisman history. Since 2010, there have been 13 separate winners (11 QBs, 1 RB, 1 WR). The first non-QB on the futures board this year is Marvin Harrison Jr. from Ohio State. The wide receiver is the favorite to win the Biletnikoff and is considered a top ten NFL Draft talent. Michigan's Blake Corum is the top RB in the futures market at +5000 after an impressive campaign last fall that saw him reach the end zone 19 times. The other storyline of note comes in the form of quarterback battles. Ohio State, Georgia and LSU will all enter camp without their QB1 set in stone. The favorites for the jobs have short Heisman odds. Daniels is the second favorite at +1400, while his backup Garrett Nussmeier is +10000. Nussmeier played well at the end of last season against Georgia and Purdue in their bowl game and has an outside shot at stealing the starting role from Daniels. Georgia's open competition currently favors Carson Beck (+2200), but I wouldn't rule out Brock Vandagriff (+10000) just yet. And finally, Devin Brown (+10000) was injured during the spring so he'll get his first real shot at securing the job over current favorite Kyle McCord (+2500) this August.
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