MonthlyJoyride

There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.

8

Estimated Prizes
this month

£60

Estimated Prize money
this month

23 May 2025
11:00 Parramatta Eels v Manly Sea Eagles

Manly Sea Eagles

To Win

50 WIN

@1.47

Lose

-50

Manly Sea Eagles look good for the win here, arriving having won their last couple of away games played. They have also won the last two head-to-head meetings between these sides.

Manly Sea Eagles -6.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Manly Sea Eagles -6.5 points looks favorable to me here on the handicap start. They have won both of the most recent battles between these sides, and on both occasions, the winning margin was the same, 14 points.
22 May 2025
20:15 Gerwyn Price vs Chris Dobey

Chris Dobey

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Gerwyn Price has a dominant head-to-head record between these two. But of late, Chris Dobey has seemingly gotten to grips with how to battle the Welshman and has now won 2 of their last 5 meetings, which is a marked improvement on his previous record against him. So I like that trend to continue here and side with him at odds against.

Chris Dobey 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Gerwyn Price is already assured of his spot in the playoffs, and he is not the type to fear anybody. So potentially falling to 4th place and thus playing Littler in the semi-finals will not phase him in the slightest. He may not be overly concerned with his showings tonight. On that basis, I like taking Chris Dobey +1.5 legs here.
20:08 8:08 Limerick

Fairyhill Run

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Fairyhill Run has 8 podium finishes from just 26 previous chase outings, including 3 wins, and looks disrespected in the market here to me. Has shown reasonably well of late with a couple of 4th placed finishes in most recent outings and is a previous winner here on course.
19:15 Luke Littler vs Stephen Bunting

Stephen Bunting

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Stephen Bunting has a more than respectable 3-5 losing record in his previous head-to-head meetings with Littler. So, he looks very good value here over a short format to pick up another win against the teenage sensation.

Stephen Bunting 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Stephen Bunting +2.5 legs in a race to 6 looks good value here to me as he is arguably the more motivated of the two. With this being for now his final Premier League appearance, unless he either forces his way back in next year or does enough to earn another invite, a good showing to end his campaign here could start the ball rolling on that front. Littler, meanwhile, is already assured of both his spot in the playoffs as well as having 1st place in the league locked up, so may not be at full motivation.
16:00 Levadiakos v Volos NFC

Levadiakos (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.88

Win+Push

22

Levadiakos have found their scoring boots of late, and that has seen them win 4 of their last 6 matches played. So I like siding with them here today.
16:00 Panetolikos v Panserraikos

Panetolikos (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.80

Win+Push

20

Panetolikos -0.75 on the handicap start looks good to me here. They have won each of the last 4 meetings between these sides when playing as the home side, and 3 of those 4 wins were by a 2 or more goal winning margin.
15:30 Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings T20

Karachi Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Karachi Kings look good value here at a shade of odds against as they have actually won 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
15:00 Gujarat Titans vs Lucknow Super Giants T20

Gujarat Titans

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Gujarat Titans have been in great form of late and come into this having won 5 of their last 6 matches played. So they look the side to be on here.
13:20 Jin Aoi v Chang Min Yoon

Jin Aoi

Win Fight

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Jin Aoi looks great value for the win here against a Chang Min Yoon who only has a single fight inside the last couple of years. That was a very uninspiring split decision draw, which will have held no fear upon review from Aoi's camp coming into this.
13:00 Aziz Khaydarov v Mansher Khera

Mansher Khera

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Mansher Khera is the more compact and bulky of the two fighters here, with them being the same weight but him being 10 cm smaller. That size disadvantage he often faces has taught him to fight smart, and that will be the pivotal advantage here in my eyes. I back him to earn victory tactically.
12:30 Baergeng Jieleyisi v Sebastian Szalay

Sebastian Szalay

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Sebastian Szalay is a very difficult customer to get the better of and is on a current 5-bout winning streak. The fact he has taken 4 of those wins by decision shows just how tough and gritty a competitor he is, with a great engine.
12:20 Keiichiro Nakamura v Eoh Jin Park

Eoh Jin Park

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Eoh Jin Park has a significant size and reach advantage here in this one. I like 'Young Boss' to keep his winning run going here today in this one and earn his way into the next round on this road to UFC bout.
12:15 Giro dItalia 2025 Stage 12

Gerben Thijssen

Win Outright

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Gerben Thijssen has been a lot closer in terms of form than his bare results suggest so far this year. He has a couple of top finishes with a 3rd and 4th to his name but also has another near handful of finishes in the 10th to 15th range where some crucial moments going the other way could have painted a very different picture of his season to date.

Matteo Moschetti

Win Outright

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Recent form hasn't been great for Matteo Moschetti, but with 4 wins already this year, he is a rider never to be discounted from the reckoning.
12:00 Xiaocan Feng v Arisa Matsuda

Arisa Matsuda

Win Fight

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Arisa Matsuda is the more experienced fighter of the two here and is coming in off the back of 5 straight wins. She faces an opponent in Xiaocan Feng who was defeated by knockout when last seen.
11:20 Vuelta a Burgos Feminas 2025 Stage 1

Ally Wollaston

Win Outright

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Ally Wollaston already has 3 wins under her belt so far this year, adding a win in Almeria to a couple of early wins back home in New Zealand, and looks a generous price for the win here today.

Chiara Consonni

Win Outright

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Chiara Consonni can be hit and miss in terms of her form and performances. But she does already have 4 podium finishes to her name this year, with 2 each in terms of 2nd and 3rd placed finishes. So if the leaders are to falter, I think she is in the handful of outsiders who could capitalize.
10:50 Canterbury Bulldogs v Dolphins

Dolphins

To Win

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Dolphins have shown well in their last couple of matches, played with a win over Eels and then a very spirited defeat to Warriors. So I like them at a juicy price for the win here.

Dolphins 7.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Dolphins +7.5 points on the handicap start looks good to me here as they would have won 5 of their last 7 matches played if given this much of a start on each occasion.

Over 40.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

The last couple of head-to-head meetings between these sides have both finished with a higher points total than the line set here, with ending totals of 40 and 45 points scored.
10:00 Chiba Lotte Marines @ Orix Buffaloes

Under 7.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Orix Buffaloes games have been on the lower end of the scoring scale of late, with 5 of their last 7 coming in under this line. The other two were a push at exactly 7 runs scored, so going with the under looks like the play here.
10:00 Yakult Swallows @ Hiroshima Carp

Hiroshima Carp

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.64

Push

0

Hiroshima Carp have won each of the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides. With home advantage here, they will feel confident of extending that run.

Over 6.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Hiroshima Carp have seen 3 of their last 4 matches played end with a run total higher than the line set here. So look for that to continue with another overs game here.
09:30 Chunichi Dragons @ Yokohama Bay Stars

Over 7.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Yokohama Bay Stars have seen each of their last 5 matches played end with a run total of more than 7. So, I like siding with the over here in this one.
21 May 2025
19:45 Forest Green v Southend

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Win

115

Both league meetings between these sides ended in a draw this season, so I like the look of another draw at the end of the 90 minutes here this evening.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Each of the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with more than 2.5 goals scored, so going with the over here in this one.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

I like the draw and yes here for an equal game in which both sides score, just as the scenario was in the two league meetings between these sides already this season.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

2-2 was the score in both league meetings between the sides this season, and with little to call between them, I like the chances of the trilogy of 2-2's between them.
17:10 5:10 Gowran Park

Comfort Line

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

Comfort Line is a 9-time winner overall, and recent form has been good with 1 win and a couple of runner-up finishes inside the last handful of outings. Course and distance winner here too, and definitely looks the one to beat.
20 May 2025
19:45 York v Oldham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Both sides come into this playoff contest in good form. I think there will not be much between them this evening, and the recent head-to-head battles between the sides would tally with that, as 2 of their last 3 contests have ended in a draw.
19 May 2025
19:40 7:40 Roscommon

Ozark Daze

Daily Racing

Ozark Daze is still left searching for that maiden win, but not for the lack of effort. With 2 runner-up finishes as well as another couple of 3rd placed finishes inside the last handful of outings, showing a consistency of performance that will be rewarded sooner rather than later.
18:40 6:40 Roscommon

Mocking

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-50

17:10 5:10 Roscommon

No Such Thing

Daily Racing

16:00 4:00 Carlisle

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

14:30 2:30 Carlisle

Venetian Sun

Daily Racing

10:30 Kristina Dmitruk vs Sijia Wei

Kristina Dmitruk

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Kristina Dmitruk looks good value here to me. Even though her own form is patchy of late, she can feel confident of a result here against an out-of-form Sijia Wei, who has lost her last 6 matches in a row.
10:30 Lola Radivojevic vs Jessika Ponchet

Jessika Ponchet

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Jessika Ponchet put in a great showing recently at Saint-Gaudens, where she won through 3 rounds and was then beaten in a high-quality and well-contested match against Boisson. She was beaten in straight sets, but they went 7-6 and 6-4, so no shame there. Anything like that level of performance should be good here.
09:00 Lauren Davis vs Marina Stakusic

Marina Stakusic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Marina Stakusic looked in good form when winning through a couple of rounds when last seen at Parma. I like her to get the better of Davis here, who retired from competition last time out, so there are question marks over fitness and sharpness.
18 May 2025
22:45 AdventHealth Championship

Chandler Blanchet

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

Chandler Blanchet has been one of the most consistent players on the KFT of late with 1 missed cut inside his last 7 events. Apart from that, his worst finish in that run has been a T31 while also having 5 finishes of T18 or better. This is a level of consistency that is unusual in players of this level and stands to his quality.

Cole Sherwood

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Cole Sherwood is currently the best version of himself and ever improving. Now at a near career peak of 347th in the world rankings and has finishes of T2 and T3 inside his last 6 events played. So, he's been knocking on the door when having good weeks of late.

Davis Chatfield

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

A hit or miss player like most still plying their trade at this level, Davis Chatfield has finishes of T7, T6, 2nd, and T10 inside his last 9 events played. While he does miss the odd cut, he looks like a player who will break his Korn Ferry Tour duck very soon.

Ryan McCormick

25 EW

@61.00

Lose

-50

Ryan McCormick is inexplicably still in search of his maiden KFT win despite now having no fewer than 13 finishes of T10 or better in recent seasons. His erratic form is exemplified by him going T8, missed cut, T10 in his last 3 events played. But the ceiling is certainly there and generously priced at these odds.

Wilson Furr

25 EW

@111.00

Lose

-50

Wilson Furr is one of those players now stuck between bouncing up and down levels. He had a great 2023 on the KFT, which earned him his PGA Tour card, but he ultimately lost it. After a slowish start to his campaign to earn it back directly, he is now starting to show the game that got him there in the first place. His T12 finish last time out showed enough signs of encouragement to side with him here.
12:00 Everton v Southampton

Everton

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

With little of substance on the line in this one, it boils down to motivation. In that case, there is a big edge in favor of Everton. With it being the last game at Goodison Park, they will be pulling out all the stops to end their time at a historic stadium with a final 3-point haul.
16 May 2025
20:30 Alverca v Portimonense

Alverca

20:15 Chelsea v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Chelsea have struggled against both low blocks and back 5/wing-back systems all season. I think United going stronger than expected in their lineup this evening will cause further problems, with United playing pressure-free while for Chelsea it is a must-win game.

Man Utd & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Man Utd & Yes for the away win in a game where both sides score looks the value to me here. With them set up to counter-attack this Chelsea side and also offering a more physical and aerial presence than their hosts do, I think they can cause problems and perform a classic smash and grab away win with goals at both ends.

Noussair Mazraoui

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Noussair Mazraoui to score anytime looks like a value shout here with him given license to get forward a lot in this system. He has shown a keen eye for a shot once in position.

Harry Maguire

First Goalscorer

Harry Maguire looks a big price here to open the scoring against a Chelsea side who have struggled with defending set pieces this season, and he is one of the most aerially dangerous players in the opposing box.

Victor Lindelof

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Victor Lindelof is a generous price to get booked here for a defender who has not played a great deal this season. So likely comes rustiness there, and he is up against a rotating bunch in the likes of Neto, Palmer, and Madueke, who can all cause problems.
19:45 Livingston v Partick

Livingston

19:30 Aston Villa v Tottenham

Aston Villa

Aston Villa are in desperate need of the points here and, roared on by a rampant Villa Park crowd, should be able to overcome a heavily rotated Spurs side with their eyes on their upcoming final.

Marco Asensio

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

Marco Asensio will be keen to leave an impression on what for now is his final start at Villa Park. But with rumors of him signing permanently, he will be equally keen to show well and leave them wanting more.

Marco Asensio

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Marco Asensio could get some joy this evening up against a heavily rotated and thus unfamiliar with each other Spurs backline. Given his movement and eye for goal, it could be a problematic combination for them.

Antonin Kinsky

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Antonin Kinsky starts in goal for Spurs, and he has looked edgy in his performances thus far. He is a bit over-eager to fill the boots of Vicario, who is an adept sweeper-keeper, which Kinsky is not. I think there is a reasonable chance he gets caught out of position here and ends up needing to take a yellow card.

Emiliano Martinez

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Emiliano Martinez is no stranger to a yellow card, and with 3 points being a near necessity for his Villa side this evening, it would be no surprise if they are in a leading position late on for the time-wasting antics to come into play and to see him happily take a booking for doing so.
18:30 6:30 Kilbeggan

Final Orders

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Final Orders has been knocking on the door of late with a runner-up finish and a couple of 3rd placed finishes inside the last 4 outings. He has previously shown winning pedigree with 3 wins over hurdles. Looks a cut above the majority of the field here.
12:35 Zhejiang v Henan

Henan (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

24

Henan +0.25 on the handicap start looks nice to me here as they have 3 wins and a draw in the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
12:00 4 Jours de Dunkerque 2025 Stage 3

Alberto Bettiol

Win Outright

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Alberto Bettiol has been trending in the right direction with his most recent showing a big improvement on what went just before it. He did perform well with a couple of good finishes of 3rd and 5th in Switzerland at the beginning of the month. He is hit or miss, but that is why he is generously priced.
11:50 Giro dItalia 2025 Stage 7

Lorenzo Fortunato

Win Outright

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Trying to find some value here outside of the two prohibitively short favorites and landing on Lorenzo Fortunato, who does have winning pedigree with 6 wins to his name and has a good record when competing on home soil.
11:00 Tour of Hungary 2025 Stage 3

Urko Berrade

Win Outright

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Urko Berrade started the year off in hot form and picked up a win on home soil. He has tailed off since then but is a lively outsider here should the main protagonists falter.
10:35 Waratahs v Crusaders

Waratahs 3.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Crusaders were really disappointing in their defeat to Chiefs last week. So I like opposing them here, and getting Waratahs +3.5 points looks a fine way to do just that.

Under -53.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Waratahs games have been on the lower end of the scoring scale of late, with 3 of their last 4 matches played coming in under this total.

Waratahs

Match Result

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Waratahs look great value for the win here as they have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides. So, happy taking their side here at these odds.
10:35 Western United FC v Melbourne City

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Each of the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with less than 2.5 goals scored. So, I like siding with the under at odds against here.

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

Melbourne City have seen 5 of their last 9 matches played end as BTTS NO games, so these odds look on the generous side to me here.

Western United FC (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Western United FC +0.25 here looks good to me with home advantage. In what should be a rather cagey affair, being the first leg of the tie, neither side will want to give much away early on in proceedings.

No Goalscorer

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

The 0-0 draw looks like good value here to me as both sides, I think, will prioritize not giving anything away with it being a two-legged tie. That makes the No Goalscorer good value, with any own goal also covered as a base in case of a single goal via that route.

Draw #0-0

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Opening legs of ties can often play out very cautiously as both sides know that staying in the tie is the main objective. So, I think the 0-0 is value as a result here.
08:31 Itzulia Women 2025 Stage 1

Anna Van Der Breggen

Win Outright

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Anna Van Der Breggen has been in good form of late with 1 win and a couple of 3rd placed finishes inside her last 4 outings.
08:05 Hurricanes v Highlanders

Highlanders 21.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Highlanders have been doing a better job of sticking in games of late, so I like siding with them here +21.5 points on the handicap start, even if there is a very limited chance of them actually winning the game outright.

Under -58.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Each of the last 6 head-to-head battles between these sides have ended with a lower points total than the line set here, so going with the under.

Hurricanes

Match Result

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

3

Hurricanes have been near dominant in the most recent head-to-head battles between these sides, with them winning each of the last 8 in a row.

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