News: Politics & Current Affairs

The UK’s warmest-ever start to May has caused a surge in weather betting interest, with odds now 2/1 that the 40.3°C temperature record set in 2022 will fall in 2025.

Cardinal Robert Prevost has been elected as the new Pope, stunning betting markets as a 66/1 outsider. See how the Conclave unfolded and what this unexpected result means for the Church.

Betting odds suggest a 50% chance the US will enter recession in 2025, with evens offered amid rising concern. We break down the market signals, historical context, and expert warnings.

Bookmakers have Anne Carson, Can Xue, and Haruki Murakami as 6/1 co-favourites for the 2025 Nobel Literature Prize. See the full shortlist and betting breakdown ahead of October’s announcement.

The Conclave to choose the next Pope begins today with 133 cardinals from six continents. Pietro Parolin is the 9/4 favourite, with bookies expecting a drawn-out election process.

Bitcoin is back on the rise and bookmakers now offer 1/3 odds that it will hit a new all-time high before 2026. See the latest crypto betting markets and expert outlook.

Hiromi Kawakami is 2/1 favourite for the 2025 International Booker Prize with Under The Eye Of The Big Bird. See the latest Booker odds and top contenders ahead of this year’s award.

Donald Trump is now 2/1 favourite for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize after a nomination by U.S. Congressman Darrell Issa. See the latest odds and betting movement on this year’s Peace Prize market.

Andrea Jenkyns heads into Thursday’s Greater Lincolnshire Mayoral Election as 2/7 favourite, with Rob Waltham trailing. We break down the latest odds and the key candidates vying for this new role.

Reform UK are 2/5 favourites to win Thursday’s Runcorn and North Helsby By-Election. Labour remain second in the market, with long odds on all other candidates. Full odds and expert analysis.