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- The 2025 Cannes Film Festival runs from May 13–24 with 20 films shortlisted for the Palme d’Or.
- Sound of Falling by Mascha Schilinski is the 5/1 favourite to win the prestigious award.
- Paddy Power offers odds across this year’s most anticipated international titles.
Cannes 2025: Palme d’Or Market Opens With Sound of Falling Leading
With the official Cannes Film Festival 2025 line-up now confirmed, attention turns to who will take home the industry’s most prestigious international film honour: the Palme d’Or.
German director Mascha Schilinski tops the early betting at 5/1 with her poetic drama Sound of Falling, which bookmakers expect to resonate strongly with the Cannes jury.
Also strongly backed are Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value (6/1) and Richard Linklater’s Nouvelle Vague (6/1), which represents the acclaimed U.S. director’s return to European co-production and Cannes competition.
Paddy Power's betting market gives an implied probability of 16.7% that Sound of Falling wins the prestigious award this year.
| 2025 Palme d’Or Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sound of Falling | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Sentimental Value | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Nouvelle Vague | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Alpha | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| The History of Sound | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| The Phoenician Scheme | 9/1 | 10.0% |
What the expert says...
What to Expect from Cannes 2025
The 2025 competition features a strong mix of festival veterans and rising international auteurs. Notable inclusions in the line-up:
- Julia Ducournau (Titane) returns with Alpha, expected to be another visually bold French-Belgian co-production.
- Wes Anderson is back with The Phoenician Scheme, bringing his signature whimsy in what many see as a spiritual cousin to The French Dispatch.
- Iranian voices are well-represented, with both Jafar Panahi and Saeed Roustayi returning to Cannes amid continued political tension at home.
With names like Ari Aster, Kelly Reichardt, and the Dardenne brothers also in competition, this year’s Palme d’Or race is wide open.
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Where to Bet on the Palme d’Or 2025
You can find Palme d’Or winner markets at select betting sites, with odds from Paddy Power leading the market.
For first-time punters, don’t miss the latest free bets offers.
You can also explore our guide to the best entertainment betting sites for coverage on more film, TV, and pop culture markets.
