Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Christmas Festival)

Explore the history of the Fort Leney Novice Chase, a race staged over 3m½f at Leopardstown during the Christmas Festival. We detail trainer and jockey achievements from previous renewals while highlighting statistical patterns that have emerged to influence the race's likely outcome.
Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Christmas Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview

This race is run in December at the Leopardstown Racecourse during the Christmas Festival. The Fort Leney Novice Chase is a Grade 1 that is run over three miles and a half furlong, during which the runners will face seventeen fences. The race was awarded Grade 1 status in 2003.

Fort Leney Novice Chase Information:

We also have a dedicated Leopardstown tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Fort Leney Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Fort Leney Novice Chase, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Fort Leney Novice Chase Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Fort Leney Novice Chase races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Delta Work (6:02.30) in 2018
  2. Our Duke (6:07.20) in 2016
  3. Croke Park (6:14.04) in 2024

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Fort Leney Novice Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +4.91. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:02.30 was set by Delta Work in 2018, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2015 when No More Heroes won in a time of 6:45.10 for trainer Gordon Elliott, who booked B J Cooper in the saddle.

What the expert says...
The Drinmore Novice Chase has provided ten of the last twenty winners of this race, and half of those (5) won both races. The last to do so was Croke Park in 2024.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Fort Leney Novice Chase Past Winners

Here are the Fort Leney Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Fort Leney Novice Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2024
6:14.04
Croke Park (IRE)
6yo 11-10 7/2
Sam Ewing
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2023
6:37.30
Grangeclare West (IRE)
7yo 11-10 4/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022
6:17.70
Gaillard Du Mesnil (FR)
6yo 11-10 5/6F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
6:19.90
Fury Road (IRE)
7yo 11-12 7/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2020
6:24.90
Monkfish (IRE)
6yo 11-12 1/2F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
6:15.70
Battleoverdoyen (IRE)
6yo 11-10 4/9F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
6:02.30
Delta Work (FR)
5yo 11-10 8/15F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
6:20.30
Shattered Love (IRE)
6yo 11-3 10/1
Mark Walsh
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
6:07.20
Our Duke (IRE)
6yo 11-10 4/1
Robbie Power
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2015
6:45.10
No More Heroes (IRE)
6yo 11-10 4/9F
B J Cooper
Gordon Elliott (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Fort Leney Novice Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 155 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Fort Leney Novice Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Fort Leney Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from No More Heroes (2015), Shattered Love (2017), Delta Work (2018), Battleoverdoyen (2019), Fury Road (2021) and Croke Park (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Fort Leney Novice Chase are W P Mullins (5 wins), Noel Meade (2 wins) and Mrs John Harrington (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Fort Leney Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Gordon Elliott24-6-8+3.91-2.65
W P Mullins17-5-9-2.92-1.31
Noel Meade15-2-5+13.38+11.26
Mrs John Harrington8-2-2+12.00+4.80
John E Kiely2-1-1+4.00+2.13
T M Walsh2-1-1+1.50+0.50
C Byrnes2-1-2+0.63+0.83
J T R Dreaper1-1-1+3.50+2.10
Philip Fenton1-1-1+2.75+1.65
Henry De Bromhead8-0-0-8.00-8.00

Fort Leney Novice Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Fort Leney Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Monkfish (2020), Gaillard Du Mesnil (2022) and Grangeclare West (2023).

Here are some of the top Fort Leney Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Paul Townend8-3-3+0.33-1.67
Mark Walsh6-1-3+5.00+4.08
Jack Kennedy5-1-1+3.00+0.20
Sam Ewing1-1-1+3.50+0.00
Keith Donoghue7-0-1-7.00-4.25
Rachael Blackmore4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Danny Mullins4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Sean Flanagan3-0-0-3.00-2.00
Jonathan Burke2-0-0-2.00-1.00
Jonathan Moore1-0-1-1.00+1.50

Fort Leney Novice Chase Trend Analysis

āœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.31, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out.

āŒ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 3, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Fort Leney Novice Chase is Fairyhouse; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Fairyhouse last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Punchestown; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 150 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 6 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Fort Leney Novice Chase:

  • Oscar (2 Wins)
  • Presenting (2 Wins)
  • Stowaway (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Fort Leney Novice Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Shantou (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Casey Jones I in 2008, winning for Noel Meade at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Paul Carberry. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Route to the Fort Leney Novice Chase

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Fort Leney Novice Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Croke Park
Fairyhouse - 1st of 5 (23/1)
Drinmore Novice Chase
2023 - Grangeclare West
Naas - 1st of 9 (7/4)
Mongey Communications Beginners Chase
2022 - Gaillard Du Mesnil
Fairyhouse - 2nd of 10 (6/1)
Drinmore Novice Chase
2021 - Fury Road
Fairyhouse - 3rd of 8 (19/2)
Drinmore Novice Chase
2020 - Monkfish
Fairyhouse - 1st of 11 (1/3)
Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Beginners Chase
2019 - Battleoverdoyen
Punchestown - 1st of 7 (2/5)
Liam & Valerie Brennan Memorial Florida Pearl Novice Chase
2018 - Delta Work
Fairyhouse - 1st of 11 (10/3)
Drinmore Novice Chase
2017 - Shattered Love
Cork - 1st of 5 (2/5)
Kerry Group Irish EBF Mares Novice Chase
2016 - Our Duke
Navan - 1st of 14 (4/1)
Mervyn Gray Construction Beginners Chase
2015 - No More Heroes
Fairyhouse - 1st of 7 (13/8)
Drinmore Novice Chase

Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival

Remember to head to the Leopardstown predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Fort Leney Novice Chase. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Irish Christmas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Friday
Racing Post Novice Chase
Found A Fifty (IRE)
6yo - 16/5
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
Saturday
Future Champions Novice Hurdle
Romeo Coolio (GB)
5yo - 7/4
Gordon Elliott
Sam Ewing
Saturday
Paddy Power Chase
Perceval Legallois (FR)
7yo - 17/2
Gavin Cromwell
Mark Walsh
Saturday
Paddy's Rewards Club Chase
Solness (FR)
6yo - 28/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J J Slevin
Sunday
Irish Christmas Hurdle
Home By The Lee (IRE)
9yo - 15/8
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J J Slevin
Sunday
Savills Chase
Galopin Des Champs (FR)
8yo - 5/6
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
Monday
December Festival Hurdle
Brighterdaysahead (FR)
5yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Sam Ewing
Monday
Fort Leney Novice Chase
Croke Park (IRE)
6yo - 7/2
Gordon Elliott
Sam Ewing

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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