
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youāre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview
This race is run in December at the Leopardstown Racecourse during the Christmas Festival. The Fort Leney Novice Chase is a Grade 1 that is run over three miles and a half furlong, during which the runners will face seventeen fences. The race was awarded Grade 1 status in 2003.
Fort Leney Novice Chase Information:
- Fort Leney Novice Chase Past Winners
- Fort Leney Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
- Fort Leney Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Leopardstown tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Fort Leney Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Fort Leney Novice Chase, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Fort Leney Novice Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Fort Leney Novice Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Delta Work (6:02.30) in 2018
- Our Duke (6:07.20) in 2016
- Croke Park (6:14.04) in 2024
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Fort Leney Novice Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +4.91. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:02.30 was set by Delta Work in 2018, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2015 when No More Heroes won in a time of 6:45.10 for trainer Gordon Elliott, who booked B J Cooper in the saddle.
Fort Leney Novice Chase Past Winners
Here are the Fort Leney Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Fort Leney Novice Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:14.04 | Croke Park (IRE) 6yo 11-10 7/2 | Sam Ewing Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2023 6:37.30 | Grangeclare West (IRE) 7yo 11-10 4/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 6:17.70 | Gaillard Du Mesnil (FR) 6yo 11-10 5/6F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 6:19.90 | Fury Road (IRE) 7yo 11-12 7/1 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2020 6:24.90 | Monkfish (IRE) 6yo 11-12 1/2F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 6:15.70 | Battleoverdoyen (IRE) 6yo 11-10 4/9F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2018 6:02.30 | Delta Work (FR) 5yo 11-10 8/15F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2017 6:20.30 | Shattered Love (IRE) 6yo 11-3 10/1 | Mark Walsh Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 6:07.20 | Our Duke (IRE) 6yo 11-10 4/1 | Robbie Power Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2015 6:45.10 | No More Heroes (IRE) 6yo 11-10 4/9F | B J Cooper Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Fort Leney Novice Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 155 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Fort Leney Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Fort Leney Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from No More Heroes (2015), Shattered Love (2017), Delta Work (2018), Battleoverdoyen (2019), Fury Road (2021) and Croke Park (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Fort Leney Novice Chase are W P Mullins (5 wins), Noel Meade (2 wins) and Mrs John Harrington (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Fort Leney Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 24-6-8 | +3.91 | -2.65 |
| W P Mullins | 17-5-9 | -2.92 | -1.31 |
| Noel Meade | 15-2-5 | +13.38 | +11.26 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 8-2-2 | +12.00 | +4.80 |
| John E Kiely | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.13 |
| T M Walsh | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.50 |
| C Byrnes | 2-1-2 | +0.63 | +0.83 |
| J T R Dreaper | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
| Philip Fenton | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
Fort Leney Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Fort Leney Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Monkfish (2020), Gaillard Du Mesnil (2022) and Grangeclare West (2023).
Here are some of the top Fort Leney Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend | 8-3-3 | +0.33 | -1.67 |
| Mark Walsh | 6-1-3 | +5.00 | +4.08 |
| Jack Kennedy | 5-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.20 |
| Sam Ewing | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -4.25 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Jonathan Moore | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +1.50 |
2025 Fort Leney Novice Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, UR), 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, F, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Ran over 2m½f - 2m6½f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 10 - 53 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 3 - 7 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl3/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 5 - 17 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 4 - 15 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -26l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 125+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No older than a 7yo
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest Won 2m4f - 3m½f
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a LST/Cl2/Cl5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Leopardstown racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Fort Leney Novice Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Fort Leney Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Fort Leney Novice Chase Trend Analysis
ā The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.31, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) last time out.
ā The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 3, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Fort Leney Novice Chase is Fairyhouse; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Fairyhouse last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Punchestown; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 150 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 6 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Fort Leney Novice Chase:
- Oscar (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
- Stowaway (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Fort Leney Novice Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Shantou (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Casey Jones I in 2008, winning for Noel Meade at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Paul Carberry. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Fort Leney Novice Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Fort Leney Novice Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Croke Park Fairyhouse - 1st of 5 (23/1) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2023 - Grangeclare West Naas - 1st of 9 (7/4) | Mongey Communications Beginners Chase |
| 2022 - Gaillard Du Mesnil Fairyhouse - 2nd of 10 (6/1) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2021 - Fury Road Fairyhouse - 3rd of 8 (19/2) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2020 - Monkfish Fairyhouse - 1st of 11 (1/3) | Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Beginners Chase |
| 2019 - Battleoverdoyen Punchestown - 1st of 7 (2/5) | Liam & Valerie Brennan Memorial Florida Pearl Novice Chase |
| 2018 - Delta Work Fairyhouse - 1st of 11 (10/3) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
| 2017 - Shattered Love Cork - 1st of 5 (2/5) | Kerry Group Irish EBF Mares Novice Chase |
| 2016 - Our Duke Navan - 1st of 14 (4/1) | Mervyn Gray Construction Beginners Chase |
| 2015 - No More Heroes Fairyhouse - 1st of 7 (13/8) | Drinmore Novice Chase |
Races Covered during the Irish Christmas Festival
Remember to head to the Leopardstown predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Fort Leney Novice Chase. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Irish Christmas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Friday Racing Post Novice Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 6yo - 16/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| Saturday Future Champions Novice Hurdle | Romeo Coolio (GB) 5yo - 7/4 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| Saturday Paddy Power Chase | Perceval Legallois (FR) 7yo - 17/2 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| Saturday Paddy's Rewards Club Chase | Solness (FR) 6yo - 28/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Sunday Irish Christmas Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 9yo - 15/8 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| Sunday Savills Chase | Galopin Des Champs (FR) 8yo - 5/6 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| Monday December Festival Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 5/2 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| Monday Fort Leney Novice Chase | Croke Park (IRE) 6yo - 7/2 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Fort Leney Novice Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.




