Venomspread3r

When you're Winning you're never as good as you think you are & when you're losing you're never as bad as you think you are! Novice Horse racing tipster that enjoys trying to crack the riddle that is Irish & French Handicap racing. Always on the Lookout for bigger priced outsiders. No odds on Favourites here.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£35

Estimated Prize money
this month

Venomspread3r's Tips History

18 May 2024

17:10 5:10 Wexford

Favori Logique

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

Ross O'Sullivan currently has his yard purring & I'm going to back his 9 year old French Gelding FAVORI LOGIQUE for the second consecutive time. This Son of DENHAM RED was rather unfortunate 12 days ago @Down Royal when starting to plot & move/making some headway before the jockeys reins completely snapped so certainly happy to put a line through that. Jockey Tom Harney remains in the saddle & has a 50% Place strike rate here @Wexford the past 5 years & 34.62% place strike rate whilst running for trainer Ross O'Sullivan the past year, Trainer has a 30% win strike rate the past fortnight & 66.67% place strike rate here @Wexford the past year. 5 places on offer here for a charge who deserves another chance.

1 member found this comment useful

15:05 3:05 Navan

Only Spoofing

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Another Veteran here in the shape of Kevin Coleman's 10 year old Gelding ONLY SPOOFING never tends to act when coming back from an extended break so it was no suprise when he failed to flatter 7 days ago @Naas after a 280 day sabbatical, This Son of APPROVE however DOES act when returning from a quick turnaround & has VERY impressive stats when doing so with a 41.67% win strike rate when doing so. This charge won a decent class 3 event @Musselburgh 3 runs back which is a track he performs well at another is here at @Navan where he has tasted victory twice. Jockey Joey Sheridan returns to the plate & knows how to get a tune out of this lad (1 win/1 place from 4 runs) & has a 36.67% place strike the past fortnight. This charge is a bit quirky and certainly likes routine (don't we all in our old age) - Ground has to be good nothing less (hopefully the expected sun should help) & certainly still has the appetite to contest these sprint events so with current 28/1 odds still available I'm happy to side with this charge who tends to run well when quickly turned around.

1 member found this comment useful

14:15 2:15 Wexford

Cobra Queen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Henry De Bromhead's 5 year old Mare COBRA QUEEN enters Handicap Company here & if her last run is anything to go by should appreciate the step back up in trip. This Daughter of MILAN is very unexposed but she ran well here @Wexford over 20f on testing Conditions she followed this up with a 4th in a race won by JADE DE GRUGY so certainly no shame in that run. Top Jockey Rachel Blackmore keeps her faith in this Charge with Jockey boasting a 50% place strike rate here @Wexford the past year. This charge could be very dangerous very unexposed here.

1 member found this comment useful

13:55 1:55 Navan

Stanhope

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 17/05 at 23:420.10 deduction for My Girl Sioux@8.00 withdrawn at 08:350.00 deduction for Step Back In Time @13.000 withdrawn at 10:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.1) = 13.60

@13.60

Win

378

John McConnell's 10 year old Veteran Gelding STANHOPE has been edging closer whilst dropping down the handicap (which is obviously a plus). This Son of EQUINAO's Penultimate here (5f Good) wasn't too bad 4½ lengths off keeping on & I was sure they would up him In trip next time out, They didn't! They gave him the same trip 1lb lower when finishing 2 lengths off again keeping on. This charge drops another 1lb and is finally sent over 6f. Jockey Keithan Kennedy has ridden this old boy the last two runs not really doing anything wrong & shaves 7lbs off giving this charge & real fighting chance now 4lbs lighter for his last win returning to a track where all his previous best form has come. 5 places on offer here for this old boy to try & hit very well weighted.

1 member found this comment useful

17 May 2024

17:55 5:55 Leopardstown

Marvellous Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Eamonn Delaney's 3 year old Filly MARVELLOUS LADY looks of interest especially at current odds (40/1) as she steps into Handicap Company for the first time. This lightly ridden Daughter of ADVERTISE's best run was on Debut with a decent run @Fairyhouse (6f Good) keeping on despite nearly being wiped out due to interference since then this charge has raced twice @The Curragh over testing conditions which probably didn't suit but back here on faster ground looks interesting. Jockey Joey Sheridan might not be grabbing all the headlines but he's still notched up a 42.31% place strike rate the past month & continues in the plate. 5 places on offer at big odds for a charge who's pedigree suggests 'should' act on this going.

17:25 5:25 Leopardstown

Zahee

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

John McConnell's 9 year old Gelding ZAHEE doesn't look too badly treated on his best turf form as he returns here to @Leopardstown which has been somewhat of a happy hunting ground in times past. This Son of IFFRAAJ has a 66.67% place strike rate here in County Dublin with a further 75% place strike record over today's trip. This charge now runs off his last winning mark of 67 (here @Leopardstown) so on that fact alone certainly shouldn't be so easily dismissed. Jockey Kiethen Kennedy has been a revelation for Trainer John McConnell & has a very impressive 75% place strike rate here the past year & his 7lb claim could prove to be very valuable. This charge gets his distance & going of course will need a little luck in running with his Run style but he's done it before & with 5 places available I'm happy to see if the County Dublin air can spark a revival now on a workable mark.

17:00 5:00 Kilbeggan

Dylan Oak

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

It could be me (it's most definitely me) but I'm struggling to find a reason why Frank Oakes 9 year old Gelding DYLAN OAK is currently trading at 25/1 he surely can be forgiven for his last run @Naas on ground he's never acted on & more importantly after a gargantuan 635 days off the track so I'm happy to forgive this, Prior to this was a Win @Roscommon over this trip & is now just 2lvs heavier. The booking of Jockey Ricky Doyle looks good with this Jockey Knowing the time of day around here @Killbeggan with a 46.15% Place strike rate here in County Westmeath the past year. Should this Son of DYLAN THOMAS strip fitter then hitting the frame here for Local trainer wouldn't be out the realms of possibility.

16 May 2024

18:30 6:30 Clonmel

Barbaha Queen

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@13.00

Void

Should John Ryan's 8 year old Mare BARBAHA QUEEN enter the fray here from the substitutes bench (1st Reserve) then she looks a decent little Each Way Hope. This Daughter of YEATS must have some kind of affinity for the County Tipperary air here @Clonmel for this is where she has shown her best form on various trips & going so much so that had you backed this charge blindly when running here you'd find yourself in profit. This charge didn't disgrace herself last time out here 28 days ago despite running from 7lbs out of the handicap & looks on a good mark & drops a further 7lbs thanks to Jockey Harry Sexton's claiming allowance. Current 12/1 looks more than fair for a charge that tends to enjoy herself here.

18:00 6:00 Clonmel

Princess Sophia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Terence O'Brien's newly acquired 7 year old Mare PRINCESS SOPHIA ran a little flat on her last 3 outings for previous trainer Ciaran Murphy but wouldn't have been thrilled with juice filled ground, But on to pastures new & this Daughter of ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL Certainly does like a fresh start with a 1st, 2nd & 3rd place finishes everytime she's had a 140+ day break, This charge also has experience here @Clonmel (which I personally think is vital) with a decent effort 6th (of 13) over 20f (could have possibly gotten a bit closer but jumped a little untidy come the finish). This charge drops 1lb for that run & gets an extra 7lbs from jockey Johnny Shinnick who has a great relationship with trainer Terence O'Brien with a 22.73 Win% the past year (Pair also had win/place this past fortnight) Trainer has some interesting stats also: 22% Win 40.74% place strike rate here @Clonmel the past 5 years & 20.59 Win% with his runners returning from layoffs. Very intriguing runner who loves running fresh.

14:05 2:05 Limerick

Linger For Longer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

I've pondered this contest for longer than is probably needed but I can't move off Augustine Leahy's 5 year old Mare LINGER FOR LONGER who returned from a 207 day break 10 days ago @The Curragh (Soft 6f) to finish 3rd 3½ in deeper company. This daughter of FULBRIGHT gets the assistance of top pilot Wayne Hassett who's 7lb claim could prove to be very helpful. The High draw in stall wouldn't put me off with this charge winning/Placing from higher stalls in the past (Including here @Limerick).

15 May 2024

20:00 8:00 Tipperary

Squire Ohara

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

Tony Martin's 6 year old Gelding SQUIRE OHARA 'Should' strip fitter for his pipe opener @Down Royal 31 days ago & being a Son of MILAN he certainly has the blood in his veins for this 3 mile assignment, Whilst trainer tends to do well with his 'Stayers' (34.38% Place strike rate) & 2nd time out Handicappers with a 31.03% place strike rate. The booking of Jockey Michael O'Sullivan is certainly a positive & whilst he hasn't been grabbing all the headlines hes steadily clocked up a 36.84% place strike rate the past fortnight. With 5 places on offer & now fresh it wouldn't be a total shock if shrewd trainer gets this charge in & amongst the minor money here.

18:30 6:30 Tipperary

Sovereign Duke

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Can lightning strike twice? I'm not an expert in fulminology so I really couldn't say but at current odds of 40/1 I'm happy to take that chance. Trainer Shark Hanlon will certainly be hoping that his 9 year old German Gelding SOVEREIGN DUKE can repeat (or go one better) his efforts in this very race last year when returning from a 143 day break to finish 2nd ½ a length off the winner outrunning today's odds of 40/1 under todays 7lb claiming Jockey Shane Fenton off a mark of 97 (Now 93). This Son of JUKEBOX JURY didn't exactly kick on from that run (and that's putting it mildly) but he now returns back to this trip 4lbs lighter. Trainer & jockey had a winner yesterday @Killarney. This could all blow up in my face & certainly won't be the first time (and won't be the last) I've eaten humble pie but these odds are too big to ignore so I'll play each way & prey for the lightning.

17:45 5:45 Sligo

Grand Citadel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

To make a case for Micky Fenton's 3 year old Filly GRAND CITIDEL we need to look past the surface and do some digging to be more specific we need to look at this charges pedigree. This Daughter of RIBCHESTER 'Should' (if the DNA in her veins aligns with the past) enjoy the sharp nature of this County Sligo track after all her sires progeny has a 60% Win strike rate here & 29% place strike rate at sharper tracks in general with a 27.96% place strike rate on the good ground & 28.86% place strike rate over this trip (6f) all the past 5 years. This Filly changes tact (from soft ground /straight galloping track) as she drops in class after her best run to date @The Curragh 24 days ago. Jockey Niall McCullagh retains the reins for his only ride today & has a very impressive 37.50% Win strike rate here @Sligo the past 5 years. If all of the above sounds like the ramblings of a mad man then of course stay clear, A bit (a lot!) of faith is needed here but I'm happy to tentatively dip my toe in here each way to appease my intrigue.

14 May 2024

19:20 7:20 Killarney

Angel On Fire

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

Should Paul McErney's 6 year old Gelding ANGEL ON FIRE get into this contest from the substitutes bench (1st Reserve) then I feel like this charge could be in the mix, This Son of DARK ANGEL wouldn't be put off by the rain here today in County Kerry & could benefit from dropping back to 8f (from 11f) after a 4th place (2 lengths) @Sligo 9 days ago & has win/place form on testing ground. Trainer has a 100% place strike rate here the past year with 5lb claiming Jockey Cian MacRedmond who has win/place form (1 win/1 place from 5 runs) with this charge retaining the reigns.

1 member found this comment useful

18:50 6:50 Killarney

Apollo Prince

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

In a contest full of uncertainty (Handicap debuts/ Turf debuts) I'm happy to side with Eddie & Patrick Harty's 3 year old Colt APOLLO PRINCE who gets into this contest off 1st Reserve & would be one of the few here that have ran well in testing conditions & with more forecast Rain to fall from the County Kerry Sky it certainly doesn't look like it would bother this Son of KODIAK who would certainly be entitled to strip fitter for his 4th 3¾ finish @Naas (7f Heavy) which came off a 146 day break, The return to a sharp track could bring further improvement from two good runs @Galway (the first being a 2nd place finish keeping on (7f) in much deeper company Yielding/Soft) aswell as the bump up to 8f. The Yard is going well this past month with a 16.67% Win 41.67% Place strike rate. I've certainly seen much worse 16/1 shots.

1 member found this comment useful

13 May 2024

18:10 6:10 Killarney

Garrybello

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

100

Thomas Cooper's 6 year old French Gelding GARRYBELLO's recent hurdle/chase form line fails to flatter but you don't have to look to hard to see that this Son of BALLINGARRY's better form comes on a sharper track on better ground ( His recent All Weather runs also help give this theory some merit) so I'm happy to pass over this lads last run (also after a 134 day break) which looked a little too short on a track he hasn't taken to (galloping/undulating). So let's dig into this lads form on Sharper tracks: Cork £23k Race 19f 3½ OR 123, Killarney £9k Race 2½ lengths OR 122, Killarney (Chase) was in touch with leaders when falling 4 out, Listowel £12k Race 7¾ (soft) OR 123. This French Lad now drops another 1lb , Should Strip fitter & returns back to a sharp track. Jockey Michael O'Sullivan takes the reigns & has a 37.50% place strike rate here @Killarney the past year. Hitting the Frame here certainly wouldn't be a forlorn hope here.

2 members found this comment useful

17:55 5:55 Roscommon

Polar Bear

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

Jessica Harrington's 4 year old Gelding POLAR BEAR has become more of a 'Bug Bear' of mine the past few times I've tipped him. This Son of KODI BEAR continues to slide down the handicap dropping another 2lbs (to 75) & is now 7lbs lighter for his last win, this step up to a trip to 7f wouldn't look an obvious choice but this charge did finish well @Naas 14 days ago & now drops in Class back at a sharp track (His last win came over another sharp track - Bellewstown). The Majority of this charges 'better' form has come on faster ground & although it's due to rain here @Roscommon I don't think it will get heavy. The ever reliable jockey Shane Foley pilots (jockey has overseen ALL of this lads best form) & could guide this well weighted lad into a podium finish should he kick on from this 'unknown' trip.

17:25 5:25 Roscommon

Vikki Wall

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 12/05 at 22:230.10 deduction for Marvellous Lady@10.00 withdrawn at 10:030.00 deduction for Limmortale @51.000 withdrawn at 15:050.00 deduction for Arthurs Victory @19.000 withdrawn at 15:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.1) = 13.60Best Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 13.60 BOG

@26.00

Win

750

Ian Donoghue's 4 year old Filly VIKKI WALL certainly didn't shame herself 8 days ago @Sligo (6f Yielding/Soft) reappearing after a 198 day break where she was keeping on in the closing stages but was found wanting for room. This Daughter of TAMAYUZ Has the pedigree in her veins to step up in trip & if her last run is anything to go by then the expected rain here @Roscommon shouldn't hinder. A few questions marks here (primarily the step up 2f) but dropping 1lbs for the Sligo run & now dropped another 5lbs thanks to the booking of Jockey James Ryan for a yard currently in fine fettle (28.57% Win / 57.14% place strike rate this past month) I'm more than happy to play each way.

12 May 2024

17:50 5:50 Longchamp

Inverinate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

With 5 places on offer at Current 33/1 odds for Nadine Verheyen's 4 year old Irish Gelding INVERINATE I'm happy to side with this Son of KODIAK who seems to be getting the hang of things here in France after moving across the pond from UK based trainer Ismail Mohammed, This former 7f Uk winner ran his best race to date 13 days ago @Chantilly (8f Soft) just 2¼ lengths off the winner where he just looked to run out of steam in the dying embers. Now dropped back 1f & shed 2lbs Jockey Hugo Besnier remains in the plate & has a change of getting this charge in with a shout at some prize money.

16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

Saturn

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.50

Win

165

Mrs John Harrington's 4 year old Colt SATURN looks of real interest here as he returns back to the turf, This Son of GALILEO's last run over the turf came here @Leopardstown on ground that was a little too sticky for him (Although he still finished 3rd 3¼ off the winner). Jockey Shane Foley returns to pilot & has a decent record here @Leopardstown the past year with a 39.96 place strike rate. Very interesting runner here that has racing royalty running through his veins.

11 May 2024

17:05 5:05 Cork

Rewrite The Script

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Matthew Daly's 7 year old Gelding REWRITE THE SCRIPT's step back up in trip looks positive with this Son of MAHLER keeping on after a 185 day break 51 days ago here @Cork over unsuitable ground, This Charge's last run close to this trip (23f) was in a deeper company maiden where this charge outran his 66/1 odds to finish 3rd keeping on. Now dropped 2lbs & retains the services of 3lb claiming jockey Philip Byrnes who has a 25% place strike rate here at Mallow the past year. Should this lad have knocked off the hoof rust now upped in trip with 5 places on offer he could well see himself in contention come the business end of this contest.

15:55 3:55 Cork

All About Lucy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Eoin McCarthy's 7 year old Mare ALL ABOUT LUCY looks potentially well treated here, This Daughter of FAME AND GLORY should strip fitter here run 22 days ago @Ballinrobe where she finished 3rd on conditions that certainly wouldn't have been her cup of tea (Bit far & too much juice in the turf). This charge won a maiden here last April (19f Yielding) with all of her better form coming at tracks of this nature (Here, Wexford & Ballinrobe) & is now dropped 2lbs for her seasonal reappearance with another 5lbs shaved off thanks to Jockey Gary Noonan's claim who been running ok the past month (29.41% place strike rate with a 26.32% place strike rate here @Cork the past year). Trainers Record here @Cork isn't too shabby with a 26.67% place strike rate the past year. 5 places on offer here & hitting the frame now fresher on better ground wouldn't be a forlorn hope.

1 member found this comment useful

15:42 3:42 Chantilly

Afghany

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

I'm willing to give Patrice Dolle's 6 year old French Gelding AFGHANY the benefit of the doubt now that he returns back to the All weather surface here today @Chantilly, This Son of THE GURKHA was only 1¾ off the winner on his penultimate All Weather run (Here @Chantilly) under todays pilot; 3lb claimer Coralie Pacaut. At decent odds currently at 18/1 I'm happy to play each way with 4 places on offer for a change of surface (and hopefully fortunes) & can hopefully see us hit the crossbar.

15:40 3:40 Naas

Nikki Swango

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

I'm going to take a flyer on Natalia Lupini's 3 year old Filly NIKKI SWANGO here on Handicap Debut. This Daughter of GALILEO GOLD has some decent 2 year old form on her resume with a decent level maiden win on the All Weather prior to this was a decent enough run in Class 2 company @The Curragh (trainer has since come out & said it stretched her & showers before the race scuppered her chances). 218 days off is nothing to shrug off but trainer knows how to get one ready from such a layoff with a 43.33% place strike rate when doing so aswell as a very impressive 37.50% Win strike rate with her handicap debutants. The booking of Jockey Wayne Hassett is another positive who is very good value for his 7lb claim & currently finds himself in fine fettle with a 23.33% win 56.57% place strike rate the past month. Lots of positives here 'Should' this charge be ready to fire at the first time of asking after a break.

10 May 2024

19:55 7:55 Downpatrick

Ardaghs Choice

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

I've never claimed to be the sharpest tool in the shed but I'm struggling to see a reason why Eamonn Sheehy's 9 year old Gelding ARDAGHS CHOICE is currently trading at 20/1, This Son of ARCADIO would have certainly needed the pipe opener 17 days ago @Tipperary after a gargantuan 577 day break despite this he still managed to finish in mid division on ground he certainly doesn't relish. This charge has a 8½ length hurdle win & 2nd place chase run here in Northern Ireland & is now 1lb lower than his last victory @Wexford (Another sharp track) & now gets the services of the very talented jockey Carl Millar who's very good value for his 7lb claim & has a 50% place strike rate here @Downpatrick the past year. Dropped 3lbs with 4 places on offer I'm more than happy to play each way at the current price.

1 member found this comment useful

18:45 6:45 Downpatrick

Rossies Tara

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

I tipped up Mark McNiff's 8 year old Mare ROSSIES TARA 16 days ago @Bellewstown (20f Good/Yielding) where she ran well coming off a 180 day layoff to land some prize money in 4th, This Daughter of KAYF TARA is now dropped in weight (1lb) to a career low mark of 79 & drops back 2f to 18f which has seen this maiden come closest (2nd 1½ @Sligo OR 81) at another sharp track. Jockey Phillip Enright remains in the plate & was in the winners enclosure yesterday (@Tipperary) & has a 30% place strike rate here the past 5 years, Trainer has a 40% place strike rate here @Downpatrick the past 5 years. 4 places on offer for this charge who runs off bottom weight again now on a career low mark.

1 member found this comment useful

17:50 5:50 Cork

Torivega

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

At current 33/1 odds Shelia lavery's 4 year old Gelding TORIVEGA looks worth a second glance (in my humble opinion). A bit of faith is needed with regards to this Son of LOPE DE VEGA's fitness as he arrives here in Mallow coming off a 251 day absence freshly Gelded prior to this is a win here @Cork 6f 1½ keeping on nicely. This charge's last run in Ireland before that was in Grade 3 company @Naas keeping on just 4¼ lengths off the winner THE ANTARCTIC with 2 runs in France in much deeper company aswell on his résumé. Now 3lbs lighter for that lady victory with Jockey Robbie Colgan returning who's been running well without winning with a 41.67% place strike rate the past month. 5 places on offer at good value odds should this charge be ready to go at first time of asking freshly gelded.

09 May 2024

17:40 5:40 Tipperary

Junior Rattler

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

360

Oliver Mckiernan's 9 year old Gelding JUNIOR RATTLER 'Should' strip fitter for last time outs run after a 201 day sabbatical returning on going that he wouldn't have exactly been thrilled to be running on. This Son of ARAKAN is running on his last winning mark (106) & loves a tight sharp track with stand out performances over hurdles here,Wexford & Sligo (in Deeper company). Jockey Philip Enright has yet to guide this charge to victory but does have a 66.67% place strike rate over hurdles (from 3 runs) & 50% place strike rate over Fences (from 4 runs). Trainer Oliver McKiernan has a 66.67% place strike rate here @Tipperary the past year. 5 places on offer here with double figure odds for a charge that could spark back to life now fitter & returning to favourable conditions.

16:13 4:13 Longchamp

Karioitahi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

420

Francis Alloncle's 7 year old Irish Filly KARIOITAHI had her name jotted into my tracker after a surging late run @Chantilly's All Weather Track 13 days ago with just a few words "Needs Further- possibly 10f". Well today this Daughter of MUKHADRAM gets further here @Longchamp back on the turf, This charge has winning form over this trip on testing ground (@Saint-Cloud) at this level. Jockey Corentin Berge remains in the plate & has 3 wins from 7 runs the past 5 days. Five places on offer here at current good value odds of 14/1 for a charge getting the step up in trip she looks like she wants.

14:10 2:10 Gowran Park

Au Lait

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

What's that old saying "There's more than one way to skin a cat!" Which is very true but when I look at races like this I need to know if my selection can 'Get up that Hill!' wether it be here in County Kilkenny or the other undulating/ Galloping uphill stamina sappers (Down Royal / Clonmel) there are a few obvious qualifiers here but I'm looking for a 'price' which brings me to Willie McCreery's 3 year old Filly AU LAIT who certainly would have been entitled to her run 10 days ago @Naas (after a 197 day absence), This daughter of FAST COMPANY has raced in much deeper races as a 2 year old including a run here where despite running a little green still finished 4th. The Reappearance of Jockey Billy Lee is an obvious positive who can currently do no wrong with a 25.93% Win strike rate the past fortnight. A very good price of 16/1 here for a charge who's pedigree says she can take a step forward here.

08 May 2024

20:20 8:20 Gowran Park

Kodiac Prince

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 08/05 at 06:490.00 deduction for Tasmanian Girl@13.00 withdrawn at 11:070.10 deduction for Lisamaria @7.000 withdrawn at 11:070.00 deduction for Hes Justagent @34.000 withdrawn at 11:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.1) = 17.20

@17.20

Win

18/1 seems more than a fair price for Thomas Cleary's 7 year old Gelding KODIAC PRINCE who would have been entitled to his run 31 days ago @Leopardstown which came after a 199 day sabbatical. This Son of KODIAC looks to be back on a workable mark especially with the assistance of Jockey Wesley Joyce's 5lb claim. County Kilkenny has been a happy stomping ground for this charge in the past with 2 wins/1 place (from 5 runs) & has place form on Testing ground. 5 places on offer here for a charge that 'Should' strip fitter & has shown he knows how to get Up the hill.

19:50 7:50 Gowran Park

Butter Fingers

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

The top end of the market is too short for me so in the search of Potential value Michael Mulvany's 3 year old Gelding BUTTER FINGERS pricks my intrigue, Firstly Trainer has a decent strike rate with his runners here @Gowran Park clocking in 21.43% the past year. This Son of TOUGH AS NAILS certainly won't be offput by the juice filled turf & this Sires progeny have ran well here in County Kilkenny in the past (This Charges Brother ROUGH AND TOUGH has won twice here aswell). This Grey enters handicap company top of the weights here which again sets of my spider senses, why?? He's not shown much at all so far in Maiden Contests, Jockey Sean Birds 7lb claim helps to keep this lad honest and at current 14/1 odds (with 4 places on offer) I'm happy to side with this charge who's pedigree & shrewd trainers record here have me siding tentatively each way.

07 May 2024

18:20 6:20 Ballinrobe

Its Time Again

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

David Barry's 8 year old Mare IT'S TIME AGAIN loves it here at County Mayo where this Daughter of SHIROCCO saves her best form with 2 wins/2 places (from 4 runs) & considering this charges last run here come after a 393 day break finishing 3rd on ground she wouldn't have exactly been thrilled to race on was fantastic. The winner of that Contest (and todays Rival) CAPTAIN JIMMY Now has a 7lb hike to content with & with 7lb Claimer Johnny Shinnick remaining in the pilot seat this charge 'Should' be in a great position to flip the tables this time around.

17:20 5:20 Ballinrobe

Montys Way

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 51.00 on 07/05 at 07:260.15 deduction for Red Glory@6.50 withdrawn at 09:230.00 deduction for Sayitfirst @15.000 withdrawn at 11:070.00 deduction for Bigira @13.000 withdrawn at 11:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 50.00 x (1-0.15) = 43.50

@43.50

Win

1275

I'm not going to sit here & tell you that George Stanley's 6 year old Gelding MONTY'S WAY was going to win here @Ballinrobe 18 days ago before falling 2 from home but he looked to be in an OK position & certainly had a punchers chance before departing. This Son of FASTNET ROCK only has the one win on his résumé which was a maiden contest over this trip @Killarney (another sharp track) but now running with another 2lbs shaved off thanks in part to Jockey Conor Owens could give this charge at least a shout to hit the frame in a contest that doesn't look very deep. Should this charge be ok for last time outs tumble then 5 places on offer at 50/1 looks too tempting to pass up.

14:35 2:35 Navan

Sosallycanwait

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@26.00

Void

Leanne Breen's 5 year old Mare SOSALLYCANWAIT can be forgiven for her run 25 days ago at @Dundalk this was after a 223 day break, This Daughter of NO NAY NEVER has yet to shed her Maiden tag BUT her best runs have come here @Navan with a 50% place strike rate here (from 4 runs) running from a marks of 50-55. 7lb claiming Jockey Sorcha Woods aliviates half a stone off this charges back bringing him down to a career low mark. Trainer Leanne Breen has a 50% place strike here the past year & 39.13% place strike rate here in County Meath the past 5 years. Now Fresh & returning back to a track this Mare has a liking for, current 25/1 odds with 5 places on offer looks very good 'Potential' value to let it pass by.

Stanhope

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@13.00

Lose

-50

Running off this current mark & running here in County Meath atleast gives John McConnell's a chance to get himself some prize money. Now dropped 2lbs for a 4½ length away run here 10 days ago this Son of EQUIANO will face less traffic here. Yard continue to book 7lb claimer Keithan Kennedy whos claim is obviously a huge plus. At double odds figures I'm more than happy to play this Each way now my 1st choice runner (SOSALLYCANTWAIT) has been pulled out.

14:05 2:05 Navan

Rappell

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Win

175

Trainer Paul Flynn currently has his yard in Fine Fettle & it's his 3 year old Gelding RAPPELL that has me intrigued here on his Handicap Bow. This Son of SOLDIERS CALL drops in class & to a trip that his pedigree suggests will suit. This charge is actually running 2lbs out of the handicap but jockey Wayne Hassett's 7lb claim keeps him honest. Both Trainer & Jockey are cooking on gas with Trainer (33% win strike rate the past fortnight) & Jockey (25% Win 66.67% place strike the past month) looking to continue their good run. Bottom weighted here with a top claimer booked to pilot. At huge 40/1 I'm happy to side with this yard (you wouldn't want to back against them currently)

06 May 2024

17:20 5:20 Curragh

Tai Sing Yeh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Win

115

Denis Hogan's 10 year old Veteran Gelding TAI SING YEAH's run @Navan was over before it even started 9 days ago when badly hampered prior to this was a decent run here @The Curragh 7th 4 lengths on ground that he wouldn't have loved (Heavy). This Son of EXCEED AND EXCEL has a win on turf on todays soft going from a low draw 6lbs heavier under todays pilot Joey Sheridan. 5 places on offer could give us some each way value.

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15:55 3:55 Down Royal

Favori Logique

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Very good odds here for Ross O'Sullivan's French 9 year old Gelding FAVORI LOGIQUE who 'Should' appreciated this dried out ground here @Down Royal. This Son of DENHAM RED ran very well on his penultimate @Leopardstown 2 furlongs further (28f) to finish 3rd on ground he wouldn't have been thrilled with, Now dropped back in trip & down 1lb with 7lb claimer Tom Harney Back in the Saddle. Trainer has a 42.86% place strike rate with his Marathon Runners.

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14:10 2:10 Down Royal

Ballerina Boxer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I had David Harvey's 6 year old Mare BALLERINA BOXER jotted in my notebook after an improved run on Handicap debut on her penultimate run @Naas (16f Soft/Heavy) where she was keeping on at the finish, upped in trip next time out she was brought down at the 6th. I'm keen to see how this Daughter of SHIROCCO fares on better ground with 7lb claiming jockey Alex Harvey in the plate, It should be noted that jockey has a 66.67% place rate here the past year & a 42.58% place strike rate here the past 5 years. Hood is tried for the first time & with 5 places on offer I'm happy to see if we can kick on from her penultimate run.

1 member found this comment useful

05 May 2024

14:50 2:50 Sligo

Kami

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

18/1 is too big for me to ignore Mark McNiff's 4 year old Filly KAMI, Yes she's finished dead last twice but has 2 valid reasons (In my Humble opinion) for those, last time outs run @The Curragh looked too deep & came after a 235 day abscence & her penultimate again too deep on fast ground didn't do This Daughter of MARKAZ any favours. This Charges 2 best runs have come here at her local track with her last a win 2lbs lighter coming from way off the pace despite a bad start (which she does quite a lot which isnt ideal) to beat the favourite here today (Redshore City). Jockey Gavin Ryan remains in the saddle & has a 66.67% Win strike here @Sligo the past year. 4 places on offer here for a charge who seems to prefer it here @Sligo.

04 May 2024

23:57 Race 12 Churchill Downs

Just A Touch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

I like the look of Brad Cox's Colt JUST A TOUCH who seems to be a charge on the up & can (in my humble opinion) pose a serious threat to the 'Marmite' like Favourite FIERCENESS who when turns up he's phenomenal but can (& has) blown hot & cold. Current 12/1 seems very fair for this Son of JUSTIFY (who also didn't run as a two year old) who's run in the Bluegrass stakes @Keenland was impressive plugging away in 2nd & remember this is only his THIRD race. Jockey Florent Geroux remains in the plate & should lead this charge up with the pace. The pedigree suggests he go further & I'm more than happy to fire each way here for a selection with plenty of potential upside here at double figured odds.

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17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Monbeg Park 0.00

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

I've been trying to find reasons to move off Sean Doyle's 7 year old Gelding MONBEG PARK but I really can't, This Son of WALK IN THE PARK returns back to a sphere where he left comfortably beat SPILLANE'S TOWER in his last run here @Punchestown prior to this was a chalked off win at this Level @Fairyhouse last April. This charges 3 runs over the taller timber haven't gone to plan but that happens when you come up against juggernauts the like of IL ETIAT TEMPS & MARINE NATIONALE so happy to overlook those runs. Back over hurdles gives this lad a fighting chance if returning back to the form he showed back in this Discipline last year at a course he has a 100% strike rate at. Jockey JJ Slevin remains in the plate (was on board for that victory over SPILLANE TOWER).

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Donacheady Gale 0.00

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Despite running out of the Handicap here I'm intrigued to see what happens here with John Ryan's very lightly ridden 10 year old Gelding DONACHEADY GALE who seems like a new horse after a 863 day absence has resulted in this Son of KALANISI In hitting the frame 3 from 3 over the Tall timber with his run 15 days ago In Grade 3 company @Limerick (25f) ¼ behind a top charge in Gordan Elliott's FAVORI DE CHAMPDOU being the most significant of the 3 runs. Trainer John Ryan has come out publicly stating "This is probably the best horse in the yard or one of them anyway". Jockey Daniel King retakes the reigns & has a 100% place strike rate with this old boy. Ground won't be a problem. This charge will have to take a another forward step but I'm happy to side each way here.

03 May 2024

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Hgranca De Thaix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

600

Barry Connell's 7 year old French Gelding HGRANCA DE THAIX Finally notched up a win over the tall timber 40 days ago @Limerick after coming up short (Literally!!) in his recent previous attempts (was running over 16/17f but had winning form over 20f) but possibly more important than that win was finding out how much more potential this charge has, which could be lots more after watching Henry De Bromhead's charge LETS GO CHAMP (who finished 3rd in that Limerick run) win nicely on Wednesday In a much deeper contest off a mark of 131 (our selections new OR). Any of the reported potential rain certainly would be appreciated but this Son of SADDLER MAKER does have some better ground form in his résumé. Interesting is Trainer Barry Connell's record when running a LTO winner a very impressive 34.48% Win strike rate, Jockey Michael O'Sullivan has piloted all of this French lads best form & retains the reins. Very interesting runner at a decent price.

14:25 2:25 Fontainebleau

Illuminating

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Felice Jacob's 5 year old French Gelding ILLUMINATING 'Should' Strip fitter for his 3rd (2½ lengths) @Le Croisé-Laroche 13 days ago (5½f) after a 175 days break. This Son of HUNTERS LIGHT arrives here well treated & is 10lbs lighter for his last run here @Fontainebleau & his lowest weight at this level. Jockey Jerome Moutard remains on pilot duties for his good run last time out. 3lbs lighter (from last run) & up to 6f with 4 places on offer gives this charge a good chance to trouble the main protagonists if that pipe opener has done the trick.

02 May 2024

19:15 7:15 Chantilly

Quartz Du Houley

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 20.00 on 01/05 at 22:45 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 28 used instead of 20.00 taken BOG

@29.00

Win

115

Yann Barberot's 4 year old French Colt QUARTZ DU HOULEY would have needed the pipe opener 18 days ago on the Turf @Longchamp whilst returning from a 124 day absence 'if' Stripped fitter now then this Son of BRAMETOT could get himself in the frame back on the All Weather surface which has seen him not far away from the placings in his last two All weather runs at this level prior to this was a win & 4th on the turf both In this company. This charge drops 6lbs & arrives lighter than both his previous All Weather Runs. Jockey Anthony Crastus takes the reins & has 1 Win/2 places (from 3 runs) for Trainer this past fortnight. Now well weighted certainly not a forlorn hope to rattle the crossbar.

19:05 7:05 Punchestown

Kilbarry Saint

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Con O' Keefe's French 5 year old Mare KILBARRY SAINT Could be a future Black type selection that is yet to be seen but I can only go on what I've seen which is two back to back good runs, Beating a subsequent winner by 6 lengths @Clonmel then jumped massively up to Grade 2 company last month outrunning her massive 80/1 odds to finish 2nd @Fairyhouse. This Daughter of SAINT DES SAINTS has the pedigree to run on this faster ground. This Jockey (Danny Gilligan) trainer combination is still in its infancy but its yielded 1 win 2 places (from 3 runs) the past year. This charge could be on the up as she drops in class here today & could hit the frame here at Decent odds.

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Saint Roi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Willie Mullins 9 year old French Gelding SAINT ROI sheds 5lb (with the Aid of Jockey Aiden Kelly) which gives this Son of COASTAL PATH a real chance to build on his 2nd place @Ayr last time out. Jockey & Trainer have a 66.67% place strike rate the past year (from 3 runs). Too well treated to ignore even running from top weight.

Senecia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

My intrigue can't let me pass up Vincent Halley's 6 year old Gelding SENECIA whilst his recent formline fails to flatter it would seem he's been run on the wrong going throughout the winter, Being a Son of ASK would tell you he wouldnt want all that juice in the ground. If we roll back the seasons & go back to the Spring where he got the ground his DNA wanted he performed well Winning @Ballinrobe beating a good charge HERCULE DE SUIEL 1¼ lengths & wasn't far behind WATCH HOUSE CROSS on the follow up @Wexford & also ran Well in Grade 3 company in October here @Punchestown losing by a Neck in a race that had PATH D'OROUX 18 Lengths behind. There is simply too much here for me totally write off at 50/1 for an Interesting Charge getting the conditions it seems like he wants.

15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Sign From Above

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Peter Fahey's 6 year old Gelding SIGN FROM ABOVE 'Should' appreciate this better going after failing to make an impact this term on Heavy when returning from a break. This Son of SEA THE STARS ran well on ground he wouldn't have been in love with (Heavy) in Class 2 company @Chepstow on his antepenultimate run & NOW arrives here 9lbs lighter. Jockey Sam Ewing is booked & decent place strike rate here the past 5 Years with a 24.32% whilst trainer Peter Fahey has a similar record with a 28.57% place strike rate. Big odds here with 6 places for a Charge that 'should' sail more smoothly over better ground.

15:38 3:38 Chantilly

Romantic Rose

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Joeri Goossens 5 year old French Filly ROMANTIC ROSE has failed to kick on from some good performances in much deeper waters last year Including a 2nd (by a Neck) here @Chantilly (AW £17k race) then followed up again on the AW in a £26K race (1¾ off the winner), This Daughter of NATHANIEL didn't disgrace herself in Quinte+ company @Fontainebleau (4 lengths £33k Good ground) in September so why such big odds? This charge seems to struggle when returning from a break the results don't lie; two breaks two last place finishes but this charges run 33 days ago showed some glimpses, She was certainly entitled to strip fitter for a break & rallied late on to finish strong in a blanket finish not too far off the prize money. If this charge can pick up where she left off last year she looks very dangerous now potentially tuned up.

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