chillywatts

Grew up attending P2P's and have 15+ years following racing. A/w and flat specialist but also like the occasional jumps. Trust the process!

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chillywatts's Tips History

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17 May 2024
19:15 7:15 Hamilton

Get Shirty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

18:55 6:55 Aintree

King Alexander

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

18:20 6:20 Aintree

Northern Bound

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

16 May 2024
15:50 3:50 Perth

Accidental Rebel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

With 4 places on offer it's extremely hard to ignore this horse at a massive price and now with the ground drying out, can only aid the cause. He's not done too much racing in the last couple of years but did beat Outlaw Peter in a Group 2 Novice hurdle on good ground over 2m3f. Could surprise for top yard, Derek Fox on board. E/w bet
15:20 3:20 Perth

Windance

Daily Racing

30 EW

@8.50

Lose

-60

I like the look of this one today as has some good form on Good/ GS and at 3 mile. Massini Man could be the danger based on the run behind Anglers Crag, but ultimately I think a few of these will be found out with the better ground and this looks a value E/w play. Richie McLernon doing the steering for the Honeyball team, lots to like.
14:15 2:15 York

Alligator Alley

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Has to be worth an e/w play from the form behind Equilateral last year and David O'Meara team have hit a bit of form recently. Recent runs not inspiring but is now 2lbs lower than last win and well weighted now back on turf can turn the screw here 
15 May 2024
19:22 7:22 Perth

Return Fire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Could be a Lucinda Russell double on the cards at Perth and with this dropping in grade, with conditions to suit, should be hitting the frame in a race like this, especially back at 3m.
18:52 6:52 Perth

Jem In Em

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 15/05 at 08:550.15 deduction for Bollin Matilda@5.50 withdrawn at 18:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10

@6.10

Win

1

Down in class for Lucinda Russell and Derek Fox and goes well on the ground and must have a good chance today with conditions fine. Artic Man would have been the danger, but it looks to be drying out up there which can rule out the win. Form behind Curley Finger is also the best on offer. Large e/w bet
16:30 4:30 Ffos Las

Peejaybee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

Interesting race with many up in trip and I like the look of Peejaybee who has some nice form coming into the race, is well weighted so can go well with Sean Bowen on board. E/w play
15:00 3:00 Ffos Las

Long Draw

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Win

390

Popped up in the tracker after a nice run LTO and gets those conditions today bar any rain which looks to come later int he day. Murphy and Sean Bowen have a great strike rate and this looks a risk free bet with 5 places.
14 May 2024
19:40 7:40 Chepstow

Beyond Equal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Tumbling down the weight and could be it's time today in this line-up on soft ground. Has some form in Class 3s and 4s over this trip on soft and decent jockey on board. E/w play 
16:30 4:30 Southwell

Grivetana

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

67

Lost her way but has come 2 lengths 2nd in a Group 3 hurdle and now back ina class 4 handicap can show her class after switching to Harry Derham who is going well. Top of the market suggests a big run back from a break.
16:15 4:15 Beverley

Poets Dawn

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

Beverley is a top Easterby haunt and it's hard to ignore this one with 5 places. Still officially 4lbs above last winning mark however Alex Fielding's 7lb claim makes it 3lbs below that so could surprise at good odds. E/w play
15:45 3:45 Beverley

Dandy Dinmont

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Has run well in defeat against much better horses at this track in higher grades and his run behind Blind Begger at Thirsk is good enough form to be in with a chance off top weight. Tinkler yard have been knocking on the door lately. E.w play
15:15 3:15 Beverley

Digital

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Digital has been waiting patiently to strike in the right race and this could be the one today. Has come down the weight and dropping another class today can only help here. Thankuappriciate will be the obvious danger but this should at least be hitting the frame. E/w bet
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Southwell

Benny Silver

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@5.50

Lose

-3

The favourite could come on again however I have my doubts still and this looks a risk free e/w bet based on the rest of the line up Trainer is going well and jockey on form. 

Happy Du Mesnil

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.83

Lose

-50

13 May 2024
19:55 7:55 Wolverhampton

Pop Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Best value in the race lies here with SDS on cracking form taking the ride for the 1st time. I think he can go well on this today now back down to a mark he can get competitive from. C&D winner beating Pepsi Cat. E/w play
18:35 6:35 Windsor

Rhythm N Hooves

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Close to last winning mark and on good ground can go well for Holie Doyle and Archie Watson who have a great strike rate together. The Ascot win was impressive with a few of these behind by 5 lengthsso you would like to think this has a great chance today. E/w bet
18:20 6:20 Wolverhampton

Big Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.00

Lose

-50

I think this horse still has some in the tank for a mark this high and with Tommie Jakes doing the steering, I do prefer this over Circles but are both closely matched. With a clean run can go very close at least.
16:47 4:47 Catterick

Snash

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Will be tough to beat looking at the best form. Runs well over 6f, gets the ground and Sean Kirrane is an astude jockey. Should be hitting the frame today. E/w play
16:35 4:35 Hereford

Golden Maverick

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

15:47 3:47 Catterick

Ernest Rutherford

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

14:47 2:47 Catterick

Pons Aelius

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

This horse has tumbled down the weights andhas been expensive to follow in recent times but I will kick myself if I don't back it today back on turn on good ground. If you just look at the horses it has beaten it then if back on song will clear up in this. E/w 
13:47 1:47 Catterick

Cubanista

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

Bit of money coming for this horse and has some very good form on Good to Firm ground over 7f when coming 2nd to Flying Secret. That has lost by a head to Popmaster in a class 3on this ground and distance so that must give this a chance from the bottom of the weights. Morgan Cole on board who get on with the horse well. E/w play
12 May 2024
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Billy Mill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

15:15 3:15 Plumpton

Aviles

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

The form coming home with Coast Guard station can be boosted from that one's 2nd to Guy the other day on good ground over 2m1f. I think this is good for in the context of this race step up and trip won't be an issue and can go well today. E/w play
10 May 2024
19:50 7:50 Ripon

Golden Melody

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

7

Its interesting David Allen rides Highway Gray in this and it might be worth an Easterby forecast here. Based on the staying on 4th to Eastern Charm at Ripon in a class 4 over 1m if it goes like that, it will go extremely close to today in this lineup
19:15 7:15 Ripon

Fortamour

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Showtime Mahomes

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

I backed this last time and it faded but it goes really well at Ripon and will have blown some cobwebs away for the last run out now back to 6f can go well. Also backing Fortamour in this. E/w Play 
16:50 4:50 Chester

Chillhi

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Push

0

Chillhi can go well off top weight today with Willy Pyle taking off 3lb . This horse has run well  in a class 2 handicaps coming 3 lengths behind Struth on good ground  over 1m6. Now  back in a class 4 and back in trip surely has to have a decent chance of hitting the frame here.
15:50 3:50 Market Rasen

Hidden Heroics

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Void

0

15:05 3:05 Chester

Israr

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 10/05 at 00:300.00 deduction for Sunchart@29.00 withdrawn at 08:010.00 deduction for Certain Lad @13.000 withdrawn at 08:010.15 deduction for Royal Rhyme @6.500 withdrawn at 09:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98

@3.97

Lose

-7

If you look at the form on good ground this Horse looks well in here today can't see anything beating it except for Passenger. I'm not a fan of either jockey but I prefer Jim Crowley over Richard Kingscote both have not really been on form but Jim surely had to start banging in some winners sometimes soon and this should be winning this
14:35 2:35 Chester

Botanical

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

The form coming behind Jeff Coombs and Elegancia as it didn't get first run and it ran on well , gets that ground distance today. With SDS 
13:30 1:30 Chester

Dancing Magic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

The group form that this has makes it an unbelievable maiden And it's time could be now with Buick on board. It's second run after being gelded back on good ground which is the best form shown coming 4 lengths behind Waipiro over 1m2 in a group 3. Hoping drop back and trip won't be an issue as there is some form over 7f early on in career.
09 May 2024
18:50 6:50 Stratford

Village Master

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

16:10 4:10 Chester

Dream Harder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The form behind Spirit Dancer over 1m2 is decent as that was only 1.5 lengths and that has beaten group horses like Luxembourg so that sets the standard of good ground form here. Nice price and strong on the market
15:40 3:40 Chester

Alsakib

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

This horse has a cracking turn of foot as shown when winning cosily on good ground to True Legend over 1m4f. There are questions marks over the staying powers of Deauville Legend and Arrest after watching their races back which rules them out for me. Oisin can have a better day today. Enemy also looks interesting. E/w play 
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Chester

Never So Brave

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.00 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG

@2.00

Win

100

The horse has come 2nd to a couple of Group 1 winners and should find this a breeze based on form.
13:30 1:30 Chester

Vintage Clarets

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

If you look at the form on good ground then this one has some very strong form and whilst not being in any form this season, he could well be ready for a big run today. I am not a missive fan of Jack Garrity but he had won on this horse beating Wen Moon in a hot class 2 and this has managed to get 2lengths within Equilateral. ith a good start this can make the frame. E/w bet
1 member found this comment useful
08 May 2024
21:00 9:00 Kempton

Fictional

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Night Bear

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

19:30 7:30 Kempton

Rich

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Chance is taken on this Richard Hannon horse after coming back from a break. Last time it ran here over 1m and came home with Running Lion who has just won a Group 2 Fillies so this could be the class horse down to 7f. Chola Empire has drifted horribly and the market is also speaking. E/w play
18:10 6:10 Fontwell

Family Business

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I am wondering if this is about to come back to form with good ground and new headgear today. This horse has only come 10 lengths behind Mylesfromwicklow and William Cody and also just behind taste the fear on good at this distance which is top form in the context of this race, I reckon the yard have a few bob on this. E/w play
17:10 5:10 Fontwell

Only Fools

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Looks to have a chance here on good ground and up in trip. The form beating Coolenymore is solid as that has just gone in again.
16:25 4:20 Kelso

Coastguard Station

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

This horse appears to be rejuvenated back on good ground which it gets today. Is better weighted than the Skelton horse who he has beaten already, should be going close today and can keep on improving. 
13:30 1:30 Chester

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

I personally don't see why the price is so high for this, especially because the Balding team is going well. This horse showed a lot of raw speed on a good surface over 7f and gets that today over 6 which won't be a problem. This horse was only 5 lengths behind Ballymount Boy on heavy over 6f so back on good ground can show his class here with Oisin on board. E/w bet
1 member found this comment useful
07 May 2024
20:00 8:00 Hereford

Pilot Show

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

This horse has a fantastic chance in this field today on good ground which he likes and goes well at this track. He's finished only just behind Robyndzone and Prince de Fichaux who operate at higher levels and that was on good ground over this distance so should be thereabouts today. e/w play
19:30 7:30 Hereford

Cooleenymore

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

87

17:05 5:05 Ffos Las

Boston Joe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

195

This horse has a great chance based on the 1. 5 lengths to Royal Mer over C&D who has since won a class of 4 and 3 over this distance. This form can't be ignored, especially with these weights and 4 places on offer. If the ground dries out it could be problematic but willing to take that risk. E/w play
16:20 4:20 Fakenham

Trincomalee

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 07/05 at 10:390.10 deduction for Court Master@8.50 withdrawn at 15:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.10) = 4.60

@4.60

Win

112

Lucy Wadham has been in fantastic form and this Horse can continue that today. I watched the last runs on good ground and I think this Horse could be well in today. Very consistent and good ground and market is speaking a bit. 
16:00 4:00 Ffos Las

Jessie Lightfoot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

I'm going to take a risk on Jessy Lightfoot today because it ran on very well LTO . The ground won't be an issue and the others have questionmarks. 

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