Gooner Jay
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Gooner Jay's Tips History
18 May 2024
19:15 7:15 Doncaster
Churchella
Daily Racing
50 EW
@19.00
Win
1080
There are a few in with chances here, but at the odds i will have to go with Churchella. Has already won twice this year at Southwell over 2m and was the best horse lto imo when a close 3rd coming from a little too far back and then the winner and 2nd wondering about which stopped a clear run, again imo. Decent ew shout up in class.
18:07 6:07 Doncaster
Inertia
Daily Racing
50 EW
@19.00
Lose
-100
Trainer not really known for having first up 2yo winners and the drift in the market is equally worrying, but looks the part on paper being brother to a few winning 2yo's, so will chance ew on debut.
17:25 5:25 Navan
Heliogabalus
Daily Racing
50 EW
@21.00
Lose
-100
Looks a big price for one from this yard who have been in fine form. Did well on second run last year on the aw coming 3rd from a poor draw, still running green and will hopefully have come on a lot.
16:15 4:15 Navan
Dollar Value
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.50
Lose
-100
Not much of a price for an ew bet here, but Dollar Value returned to the track last month with a decent 3rd place finish, so should come on for that run at a track where he does well.
Global Export
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@4.50
Win
175
15:50 3:50 Newmarket
Blessed Honour
Daily Racing
15:05 3:05 Navan
Only Spoofing
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Lose
-100
There is every chance that Only Spoofing would have needed that run a week ago at 10yo and might well need this run as well, but i like the drop to 5f today and think it will help.
Pro Bono Alexander
Daily Racing
I think it is worth taking a chance on this filly who has been in great form and doesn't look like she's finished improving any time soon. The decent odds for her can only be put down to the fact that her form has been on the aw, so a chance is taken that she is equally decent on turf.
14:40 2:40 Newmarket
Gorak
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@11.00
Win
50
Must have been pleased with the 4th place of 15 over c & d on seasonal debut a month ago and is 2lb lighter today. Ran alone for over half the race from a low draw and wonder if the same will happen again from a high draw this time.
Saint Lawrence
Daily Racing
I thought Saint Lawrence ran ok lto and it was certainly no embaressment coming 4.5l behind Nobal Dynasty and was eased imo near the finish. Won the Wokingham only last year and could be coming back to form and looks a decent ew bet at the price. I do also fancy Gorak ew, so will use this as my win pick.
13:55 1:55 Navan
Star Sailor
Daily Racing
50 EW
@41.00
Lose
-100
This has all the earmarks of a handicap debut plot. Dam and half brother are both quick sprinters and this ran first two races over 7f and then a mile. Gave it a sighter lto over 5f at Cork, but from what i could see, wasn't really given a proper ride and not sure the heavy going would have suited anyway. Lets see what happens today.
13:40 1:40 Wexford
Ar Aghaidh
Daily Racing
34 EW
@67.00
Lose
-68
13:20 1:20 Navan
Bamako
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Two short priced head the market and Billy Lee is on stables other horse, so maybe this is not the race for Bamako who is trading at 50-1. The thing is it did well in first race coming 4th and finished best of all after having doors closed down the home straight and probably did a bit too much trying to get a decent position from a wide draw and then in the home stretch got a huge bump from another horse and was pretty much eased from then on. Am going to watch with interest, but could be one further down the road.
Subtotal537
17 May 2024
19:40 7:40 Leopardstown
Doctor Grace
Daily Racing
50 EW
@41.00
Lose
-100
6 places up for grabs in this race and i have plumped for Doctor Grace who is yet to win on turf, but has wins on the aw and mainly runs on that surface. I can't see any reason for this and her mark with this claimer is down to 49 and with the exeption of 3 or 4 here today, DG must be in with a chance of getting a place.
19:05 7:05 Leopardstown
Kyprios
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@1.18
Win
18
If i can't get my nap to win today on Kyprios at stupid odds on price, i might as well give up putting a nap to any runner i pick. Surely even Moore can't mess this up.
17:55 5:55 Leopardstown
Marvellous Lady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
A little ew bet here on this one making h/c debut who showed some ability on debut last year and has had just the one run this year were heavy going and first run were probably to blame. Seem to have waited for better weather/going for 2 months which is why a small wager is advised, but watch for next race if dropping back in distance if nothing occurs today.
Skontonovski
Daily Racing
50 EW
@23.00
Lose
-100
Wanted to tip this the other day, but was a reserve and didn't run. Has a higher aw mark and has most wins on that surface, but turf mark is now 57 (over 10 lower) and has a 5lb claimer on top and visor goes back on today and all wins have come with that on.
17:25 5:25 Leopardstown
Roderick 0.00
Daily Racing
49 EW
@51.00
Lose
-99
Had a run over hurdles lto and blew the start and was always behind and wasn't great lto on the flat, but seemed to be finding a bit of form the two runs before that, one of them over c & d. Does seem to like some cut, but has won twice on good, once on yielding and first ever win was on g/f, so maybe can run on any surface and looks overpriced here at 50-1 on that last c & d run.
16:50 4:50 Leopardstown
Rehearsal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
I quite fancy two at a price in this race, but i really like this one. Jess Harrington has her stable in fine form and i expect this one to show as much improvment as it did from last years run to seasonal debut and should be in the mix. Ew for betting.
Wrob And Wryan
Daily Racing
50 EW
@36.00
Lose
-100
Had Tokenomics behind in first and only race and although that one has improved a bit nto is currently about 12-1 and this one 35-1. Didn't have the clearest of runs down the straight and penny seemed to drop a bit late, so am expecting an improved run today.
16:15 4:15 Leopardstown
Green Asset
Daily Racing
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
There are some decent looking 2yo horses, on paper, running in this maiden with only 3 of them having had a run and two of them are the outsiders at currently 200-1. The other, Divine Genius, is at 33-1 having come last in first race was the one i was going to tip ew as again looks impressive on paper and was quite an expensive buy and will surely go better today on better ground and has a tongue tie fitted. But races aren't run on paper and Green Asset's cv of relations of 100+ rated winners is also impressive, so i'm going to have a small cheeky ew at 100-1.
Hotazhell
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Subtotal-581
16 May 2024
18:52 6:52 Lingfield
The Outlaw
Daily Racing
17:02 5:02 Salisbury
Warmonger
Daily Racing
16:15 4:15 York
Big Evs
Daily Racing
If ready to go Big Evs should be winning this with ease. Only the Nunthorpe flop on the cv and appears to be able to run on any going, the one to beat.
15:45 3:45 York
Ancient Wisdom
Daily Racing
14:45 2:45 York
Dutch Decoy
Daily Racing
100 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-200
Has had two 2nd place finishes in a row and is due a change of luck and making it my nap will not help it's chances! Being on the round course, the draw is important and is ok in 6. Open race as expected and i also think at a simlair price and drawn in 1, Al Mubhir is in with a shout.
Navagio
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
A little simliar to Allezdancer today, Navagio was a decent 3rd at Donny first up and then poor nto at Newbury, but we don't have Neil Callan on board, oh no, and i say this with a bit of sick in my mouth, we have Moore. Anyone that reads my tips will know how over-rated i think he is and i take him on when ever i can and have made over £20k this year laying his rides, but i like the horse and it might win even with him riding, but i won't be holding my breath and at the price it just has to be bet. Prob ew for betting.
Nibras Angel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
Has been running well in the UAE this year in higher grade races without winning, but has now had a little break and will hopefully be fully charged for this competitive class 2 race today. EW for betting.
14:15 2:15 York
Arecibo
Daily Racing
50 EW
@21.00
Lose
-100
Ran well on seaonal debut coming 2nd and next race would have been a race for just keeping the engine ticking over because the form and mark look good. I also like the fact that the blinkers go back on which means they think they have decent chances. Might be 9yo, but looks to be running well.
Jm Jungle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
I must have changed my mind 20 times on picks for this race, but have landed on JM Jungle for the win tip who has been racing in Bahrain and returned to the UK with a decent 4th last month. Ran well over c & d last year and has decent chances today.
Subtotal-469
15 May 2024
20:15 8:15 Sligo
Alonzo
Daily Racing
Trainer not in great form but this expensive Frankel colt will surely have more to offer in what looks a weaker race than lto where he came 4th. Was only about 3l behind what looked a decent type in Birdman and should come on for that run and really should be winning this.
19:45 7:45 Sligo
Liberty Vallence
Daily Racing
25 EW
@126.00
Lose
-50
Just the two races so far, the first was a year ago and a lot better effort on the aw in January when 5th, but wasn't really trying that hard down the middle of the home straight. Could well be a simlair effort today and the odds suggest the same, but as i've said before, anything can happen with this trainer and a place could happen.
19:30 7:30 Tipperary
Racing Daisy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Has improved from first race to second after not really showing much before. Stepping up to 3m today which i expect will suit and has ew chances.
19:15 7:15 Sligo
Out On Friday
Daily Racing
35 EW
@101.00
Lose
-71
I really hope there are no non runners in this 8 runner race over 10.5f, because Out On Friday might have place chances here at triple figure odds. After a couple of wins last June and another in September mark hit 78 and is now running in better races and although mark has dropped to 73, i think that's fine. Unconsistent Laelaps, Fiver Friday seems high in weights, Carlo Bianconi could be anything and the others aren't what you call strong. I thought OOF had run more than the one race this year, which means i missed some races where declared a n/r, but he needs good going so lto was just a run for fitness and today gets his good going and could surprise at a price.
18:30 6:30 Tipperary
The Niffler
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@7.50
Win
390
Any rain showers that are likely to fall today will be welcom for The Niffler who has been in great form in the last two races. Finished strong lto but not able to catch the winner after winning the race before and will certainly be finishing strong again today to hopefully win.
17:45 5:45 Sligo
Enola Nation
Daily Racing
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Will have a cheeky little ew go with Enola Nation on second handicap run and is now dropping in trip after two races over 7f that seemed a touch to far for her.
17:20 5:20 York
Wahraan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The starts are a big problem for Wahraan and as big a fan of Saffie as i am, she seems to be wanting quite a lot at the start as well. How on earth Wahraan finished 3rd lto after what happened at the start is anyones guess and is clearly a decent horse that should be winning races like this and with even slighly better starts will do, lets hope it's today.
17:10 5:10 Sligo
Akeela
Daily Racing
I made a note on this one and can't read my own writing!!! What i do know is the last two rides have been poor and today we get a decent pro jockey on top and from lto's poor wide draw, this time stall 1. Will go ew for betting purposes and low stakes as i can't remember why i noted the horse.
Florence Thompson
Daily Racing
50 EW
@41.00
Lose
-100
Ran well over c & d just over a week ago coming 6th, 4l behind which was her best effort for some time. I would feel even more confident if she had a better draw but she has run well over 6f and 7f before so this stiff finish should benefit just like lto.
16:15 4:15 York
Fire Demon
Daily Racing
Has been in tip top form and seems very progressive and unlike quite a few of these, has been racing this year. Did ok over 7f on turf so am expecting Fire Demon to carry on the form.
Thursdays Child
Daily Racing
50 EW
@19.00
Win
129
Is 2 for 2 and my ew tip for this race as a could be anything type. Has done all that has been asked and could be a surprise winner, but i'll be happy with a place.
15:45 3:45 York
Friendly Soul
Daily Racing
Has to be my nap today which should give every other horse a chance! Trainer has won this many times and last race won by a couple of lengths, but they were miles ahead of the rest and should come on for that run.
15:15 3:15 York
Diligent Harry
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@19.00
Win
129
Has been in good form winning two listed races back in February and was a decent 3rd in a grade 1 sprint at Medan on World Cup night. Opened up at 25-1 but is already coming down in price, but 18-1 is still ok.
14:45 2:45 York
Aleezdancer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Win
700
I will also have a win tip here on the basis that this has the sniff of a plan just for this race. First run this season was a decent run at Donny and looking like the form was there, a nothing run nto could just be getting ready for this race and the jockey booking under-lines my thinking.
Makanah
Daily Racing
50 EW
@SP
Lose
-100
Take your pick from quite a few in with a chance here, but for an ew pick it has to be Makanah. Has yet to win here but has a great place record and was 2nd two years ago and 5th last year, is on lowest mark for 5 years and was a decent 4th on seasonal debut, so has a lot in his favour.
Subtotal797
14 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Ayr
Desert Dream
Daily Racing
50 EW
@12.00
Lose
-100
Looks like this race will be a good watch and will be quite competitive. Desert Dream is getting on a bit now but is not losing the love of racing and was a bit unlucky lto on second start this year. Now fully fit i expect a late charge off what looks like is going to be a strong pace and will hopefully fill a top 4 spot.
19:30 7:30 Ayr
Be Proud
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 14/05 at 09:520.15 deduction for Zarzyni@5.50 withdrawn at 12:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 6.10 BOG
@9.00
Win
30
19:20 7:20 Killarney
Paper Doll
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Looks quite an open race and this 4yo is making her h/c debut and is dropping in distance from those first 3 runs back to 8f and as always, i'm a little wary of these kind of moves.
Trueba
Daily Racing
50 EW
@29.00
Lose
-100
There are a few in this 18 runner race that have winning chances and i hit the post, again, last week with Kodiac Prince who came 2nd and Comfort line to name a couple. But my ew tip here is Trueba who is drifting and currently an over-priced 28-1. I nearly had a small ew on him lto, but it was his first run and they left off the head gear which told me to leave it. Blinkers go on today and they have only been used twice i believe, so maybe i should be leaving this race also, but reports are saying he only likes good g/f and i don't believe that to be true, maybe not heavy but has done well on soft g/s and if that's the reason for the drift, so be it, but at the odds i'll take my chances.
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19:00 7:00 Ayr
Royal Countess
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Lose
-100
There are some likes and dislikes here with Royal Countess. We have the lack of a recent run, claiming jockey hasn't won a race to my knowledge and lack of form in general for the negative. Local trainer who had winners here a couple of weeks ago, c & d wins (3) and a falling h/c mark with a 7lb claimer for the positive. Looks a weak race and if ready to go first up, can at least place at nice odds.
18:10 6:10 Chepstow
Star Of St James
Daily Racing
29 EW
@29.00
Win
133
A change of running surface and a removal of head gear might be the change that SOSJ needs to get back in the groove, because form has been pretty avaerage of late, so a chance is taken on a return to form.
17:05 5:05 Southwell
Darquesse
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@201.00
Lose
-50
I can't resist having a cheeky ew on Darquesse who returned to the track after a little break last week and although was tailed off in last, did complete the race which hadn't been the case of previous 3 races. Has the same good going today and is now hooded which will need to transform this horse, but it's been known. Very small ew for betting.
Ill Reef
Daily Racing
50 EW
@67.00
Lose
-100
Won a bumper when in France but fell on debut in the UK and followed up with a distant 5th lto. Has already changed stables again and a look at that last race, which was only 11 days after the fall, may well have come too soon because they ran ok for a while and also goes with a tongue tie today with a change of going.
16:15 4:15 Beverley
Mickey Mongoose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
Form has been awful since joining this yard with the one exeption, the win at Southwell over a mile two runs back. Lto was over 1m3f and although todays mark is the same, we have the same jockey and this time we are back over a mile. Has been a front runner but this jockey has given the lead away in those last two races to be in 2nd and it worked the first time, but seemed a bit of a stretch lto and didn't seem to have anything left in the straight, but if dictating the pace today, lightning might strike twice.
Whatwouldyouknow
Daily Racing
50 EW
@67.00
Lose
-100
It has been quite a while since Whatwouldyouknow has run on the green stuff, being thought of as an aw horse, but that's not been the case this year and a return to turf on good/firm might well turn his fortunes around. It was only back in November 2023 that he last won, so i don't think he's over the hill just yet and he hasn't had many bad races on this going, maybe a couple, but has won 3 times and placed as well and with 5 places on offer here with a few firms, it might be worth an ew at these huge odds.
Subtotal-487
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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