vzcv5t
Look for the Ew value in a race. Big Everton/Celtic fan, best racehorses seen, immortal Mill Reef on the Flat and mighty Arkle NH. Best racehorse seen live the great Reference Point who never got the credit he deserved (only flooped in Arc because of ill fitting shoe that caused a foot problem) as he was around the same time as the great Dancing Brave.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
vzcv5t's Tips History
19 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Exeter
Henry Pick
Daily Racing
25 EW
@101.00
Lose
-50
Was behind and beaten @ the time on debut run but was hampered by a faller on home bend so could have run a bit better had that not happened when coming 8/12 beaten 26 lengths in a similar class NHF race over extended 2 miles at Taunton. Is nicely bred, entitled to come on for that run/experience and shrewd local trainer does have some big priced horses win/run well in this sphere of racing, so current 100/1 worth small Ew consideration here.
19:15 7:15 Bath
Havana Goldrush
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
360
Not been firing on all cylinders on the Aw of late, but did win this race last year off a 9lb higher mark and has the look of a horse that may have been prepped with a repeat in mind. Good apprentice up claiming 7l and in hands of a very shrewd trainer, making current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
19:00 7:00 Exeter
Hooky Street
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
35
Only weakened approaching last on chasing debut Lto when coming 5/8 beaten 10.5 lengths in a similar grade novice handicap chase over 2 miles at Hereford. That experience should not be lost on them, blinkers on first time today, good jockey retains ride and shrewd trainer is 25 percent last 14 days, making current 12/1 decent Ew value in the race.
18:30 6:30 Exeter
Rebel Intentions
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Far from disgraced in a class 4 novice handicap hurdle Lto and is dropping down to a class 5 open handicap hurdle here off a 2lb lower mark so is nicely treated in this race. Good conditional retains ride taking off 5lb and very good trainer has done well here last 5 seasons, making current 20/1 worth Ew consideration here.
16:50 4:50 Newbury
Moon Over India
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Is related to a couple of decent winners and stable are 33 percent with a Lsp on their 3yo's here last 5 seasons, making current 33/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
16:30 4:30 Ayr
Voix Du Reve
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
Into veteran stage now but did win this race last year off a 8lb higher mark and although best recent form has been on good ground, they did win races on very soft going in their early days in France/Ireland so should not be inconvenienced by today's conditions. Looks like a horse that has been prepped with this race in mind, making current 14/1 worth Ew consideration here.
15:20 3:20 Ayr
Bass Rock
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
Won this race in 2021/22 and although they had a good start over fences their form in that sphere had tapered off in recent runs. Definite signs of revival back over hurdles Lto should have them spot on for another crack at this race off a very favourable mark of 123. Good jockey who was on board for 20/22 win back in the saddle replacing good 7lb conditional jockey and very shrewd trainer best here with his hurdlers last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
15:12 3:12 Newbury
Brave Call
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG
@29.00
Win
115
Left debut run behind on follow up run as a 2yo, when meeting a lot of trouble in running but keeping on very strongly to come 3/11 beaten 4.75 lengths in a class 4 maiden over a mile @ Newmarket. Should make a better 3yo on nice pedigree, is related to stables 6 time winner Island Bandit, top class jockey booking would suggest a big run expected today and shrewd trainer has a 267.00 Lsp at this track last 5 seasons. If selection was coming from a top 6 stable then they would be half the current price of 16/1 and as such offers solid Ew value @ that price.
14:30 2:30 Fontwell
Tara Iti
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Very good stable do run 3 here, but i prefer selections profile. Although recent form figures not inspiring they are a different horse round here @ Fontwell and last visit resulted in a C/D win in a class 4 handicap hurdle off a 4lb higher mark and this is a class 5 today. Good conditional who retains ride well worth their 7lb claim and very shrewd trainer who is tops here numerically last 5 seasons, 23 percent with a Lsp of 43.45 on his hurdlers in same period, making current 14/1 decent Ew value in the race.
14:12 2:12 Newbury
Spanish Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
Ran well in some very good handicaps last season and they have won/run well after extended breaks in the past so lack of recent run not a issue here. Starts season off a decent mark of 90, is a C,D winner, going not a issue, good jockey who does well for this stable retains ride and shrewd trainer in form. Selection does look a big overpriced here @ current 40/1 and as such offers decent Ew value @ that price.
13:42 1:42 Newbury
Tropical Storm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Top stable like to target one for this race and they won it in 201/22 so selection should be primed for a decent debut here. Good jockey up and top class trainer 17 percent with a impressive Lsp of 115.98 on their 2yo's here last 5 seasons, making current 14/1 decent Ew value in the race.
13:30 1:30 Fontwell
Snapdance
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
100
Did not jump that well on hurdles debut Lto, but did keep on very well to come 5/10 beaten 14 lengths in a similar class maiden hurdle over 1.7 miles at Wincanton on soft ground. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, step up to 2.3 miles here a big plus, good jockey who does well for this stable replaces good 3lb conditional rider and very shrewd trainer could not be in any better form, 2/2 last 14 days, making current 18/1 the Ew value against hot favourite in the race.
Subtotal600
18 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City
Mokaatil
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Did not stay 7f Lto and better judged on previous run when coming 2/11 beaten 0.5 lengths in a similar class handicap over C/D. Is a C,D winner so clearly goes well here, good Irish apprentice booked taking off 5lb and very good dual trainer has done well here last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
19:15 7:15 Clonmel
Rememberhesmine
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Good prior run @ Limerick over 2.2 miles on heavy ground and not disgraced when keeping on well Lto when coming 4/12 beaten 40 lengths on soft ground over extended 2.2 miles at Naas. If they can get a fast run race then good jockey(7lb)/trainer combination makes current 14/1 solid Ew value in the race.
17:45 5:45 Clonmel
Shean Glory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner has been running a bit better than recent form figures may suggest and all those runs have been on heavy ground. If they can get a fast run race today then should be a player, making current 8/1 the Ew value in the race.
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Farhh To Shy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner ran well for a long way in the Lincoln before weakening final furlong and is going to come on for that run. Down another 1lb here so nicely handicapped in this race, good jockey who was last to win on selection 5 runs ago back up and shrewd trainer is in form, making current 10/1 decent Ew value here.
17:00 5:00 Cheltenham
Khutulun Khan
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Kept on very well on debut run when coming 3/10 beaten 4 lengths in a similar class NHF race over extended 1.7 miles at Ascot. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, good jockey up and shrewd trainer is not unknown for having winners in this sphere of racing, making current 16/1 solid Ew value in the race.
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Looking For Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Got better as they went along as a 2yo, cultimating in a very good run when coming 2/11 beaten 1.5 lengths in a similar grade maiden over 7f at Doncaster. Half sister was decent for this stable so selection should progress as a 3yo, good jockey booked and very good trainer is 15 percent with a Lsp of 40.00 on his 3yo's here last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
15:42 3:42 Ripon
Cockalorum
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Is getting on now, but they did win this race last year on seasonal return on soft ground and they followed up in a class 3 handicap off a mark of 82 over C/D so clearly likes this unique track. Not badly treated here off 85, good apprentice up taking off 3lb and shrewd training duo 28 percent here last 5 seasons making current 25/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Woodhay Wonder
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@9.50
Win
255
Ran well in a Grp 2 over C/D as a 2yo and then took 2 valuable auction races under same circumstances so clearly goes well on this unique track. Very good jockey back up and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 7.50 very good Ew value in the race.
Subtotal55
17 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Kempton
Digital
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Was far from disgraced in a class 4 @ Southwell Lto on stable debut and very interesting that connections are coming a long way here back to their last win over C/D 4 runs back, making current 12/1 solid Ew value here.
19:00 7:00 Kempton
Rhasidat
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Won on stable debut over C/D 4 runs back in a class 6 handicap and although no show in 2/3 runs since including a class 5 over C/D Lto, hood if going on first time today. Eye-catching jockey booking for this stable would suggest selection is not unfancied today and good training duo makes current 33/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
18:00 6:00 Kempton
Irrelevant
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Kept on well from a rear position Lto when coming 5/9 beaten 5.25 lengths in a similar class handicap here at Kempton. Is a C/D winner so step back up in trip here will suit, down 2lb so now a very nicely handicapped horse at this level, good in form jockey booked and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 12/1 decent Ew value in the race.
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Arnaz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Has been slowly into stride on both runs to date here at Kempton over 7f but has still run well in both. Is related to sprint winners so drop back to 6f here not a issue if they can break on terms from plum draw. Good jockey who has been riding some nice winners for this stable of late retains ride and very good trainer is in top form at present, 33 percent with a Lsp of 22.07 last 14 days, so selection should not be discounted here @ current 16/1 offering Ew value at that price.
17:00 5:00 Cheltenham
Castel Gandolfo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Looks like Lto run on the flat was a prep for this race so should be spot on today. Although yet to win here has run some very good races at this unique track, including 3 runs back when coming 4/18 beaten 12.5 lengths in a similar class handicap hurdle. Good amateur up claiming 7lb and very good trainer has done well here last 5 seasons, making current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Mallavelly
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@10.00
Win
20
Was not a cheap buy and although debut run here as a 2yo was not that bad, did not follow up back here at Newmarket but that was on very heavy ground. Should make a better 3yo especially on this better going and this jockey/trainer combination must always be noted when teaming up together, making current 8/1 very good Ew value in the race.
16:25 4:25 Cheltenham
Captain Cattistock
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Has P/u last 2 runs, but has been given a nice break to freshen them up and although very good stable run a more fancied one here, selection has won last 2 running's of this race, so is clearly a Spring horse, making current 14/1 the Ew value in the race.
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Miss Rascal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Shrewd training duo who are in form, 2/2 with their 2yo's so far this season and they are 29 percent with a Lsp of 29.75 on their 2yo's here last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 solid Ew value in the race.
15:50 3:50 Cheltenham
Hector Javilex
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner was holding every chance 2 from home in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival before fading at last to come 12/22 beaten 18 lengths. That is a Grade 3 race and this is a class 2 off a 2lb lower mark. Repeat of that performance must put them in the mix here and good jockey/trainer combination makes current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Pretty Crystal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Win
840
Ran well in some good GRP 3 contests last year as a 2yo and they won on debut so clearly does not take a lot of getting ready. Could be the joker in the pack here with very good trainer being in such cracking form at the moment, 23 percent with a Lsp of 28.50 last 14 days making current 28/1 decent Ew value in the race.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Ambiente Friendly
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Impressed when winning a class 3 maiden on debut as a 2yo and was far from disgraced when stepped up to a GRP 3 here at Newmarket on follow-up run over a mile. Could develop into a decent 3yo, very under used jockey up and in hands of a very shrewd trainer, making current 8.50 the Ew value in the race.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Abate
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
This C/D winner has won/run well fresh in the past so lack of recent run not an issue and good jockey(5lb)/trainer combination had an impressive all the way winner in a sprint here yesterday, making current 10/1 very good Ew value in the race.
13:30 1:30 Cheltenham
Shy Love
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@23.00
Lose
-50
Was a B/f on rules debut here in a class 5 NHF race after showing promise in an Irish PTP. However, made no mistake on hurdles debut when an impressive 7.5 length winner of a class 4 novice over extended 2.4 miles at Huntingdon. Looks to have plenty of scope for improvement even at this class 2 level, good jockey retains ride and very good trainer likes to target one for this race, making current 22/1 decent Ew value against the front 2 in the betting market.
Subtotal310
16 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Newcastle
Jems Bond
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Has not been beaten far in their last 4 runs here at this level over 6/7f and has now dropped to a very attractive mark of 52 here. Is a C/D winner, good jockey who went well on selection 2 runs back @ Southwell back up and very shrewd trainer 17 percent with a very impressive Lsp of 100.91 on his 4yo plus here last 5 seasons, making current 12/1 solid Ew value in the race.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle
Exceed Now
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Nicely bred with plenty of pace in pedigree and showed promise in sole 2yo run when coming 4/12 beaten 4 lengths in a class 4 novice over 6f at Kempton. Should make a better 3yo, top draw today, very under used jockey booked and top class trainer has an excellent record at this track with all his runners last 5 seasons, making current 8.50 the Ew value in the race.
17:30 5:30 Newcastle
Hot Team
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Went well on turf Lto and this C/D winner has gone well on their last 2 visits back here in similar class stake races. Retains a solid mark of 46 here, good jockey booking today and in hands of a shrewd trainer who does well @ placing his horses to good effect, making current 12/1 decent Ew value in the race.
17:00 5:00 Naas
Leloopa
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
Nicely bred and was far from disgraced when unfancied in betting market on debut run, but kept on very well to come 4/6 beaten 13 lengths in a similar value NHF race over 2 miles at Thurles on heavy ground. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, very good amateur booked today and in hands of a shrewd owner/trainer, making current 16/1 very good Ew value in the race.
16:50 4:50 Ffos Las
In Rem
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Did not really take to fences and much better back over hurdles Lto, when coming 3/8 beaten 6.25 lengths in a similar class handicap hurdle over 2.7 miles at Exeter on soft ground. Is 1lb lower here, C/D winner and good jockey/trainer combination makes current 12/1 decent Ew value in the race.
16:05 4:05 Newmarket
Primo Lara
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@26.00
Lose
-50
Made a very promising debut as a 2yo in a hot class 4 maiden over 7f at Yarmouth, but was turned over on follow up run @ 1/4 in a 3 runner race over 7f at Leicester. However, that was on very soft ground and is back on better going here. Is related to some nice winners, good jockey up and very shrewd trainer who likes to have winners here at Newmarket is 15 percent with her 3yo's last 5 seasons, making current 25/1 decent Ew value in the race.
13:30 1:30 Naas
Lets Avit
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-50
Their 2nd run last year showed improvement from debut run when coming 5/12 beaten 12.5 lengths in a similar value maiden hurdle over extended 2 miles @ Ballinrobe. That race was run in a good time for the going so form could be better than it looks on paper. Tongue tie on first time today, very good conditional retains ride and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 40/1 solid Ew value here.
Subtotal-245
15 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Kelso
Red Ned
Daily Racing
25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
Has the form on the book against a lot of newcomers and very good jockey/trainer combination makes current 11/1 the Ew value in the race.
17:03 5:00 Kelso
Whatsgoingon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Been running with merit in the pointing field and could make a decent Hunter Chaser, so current 28/1 worth Ew consideration here.
16:03 4:00 Kelso
Less Legacy
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
Won this race last year off today's mark and looks to have been prepared for a repeat, making current 11/1 very good Ew value here.
Subtotal-100
14 April 2024
17:25 5:25 Down Royal
The Abbey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
This C/D winner has competed with merit @ a much higher level in last 2 runs and retains last mark of 115 here. Top jockey/trainer combination makes current 7.50 the Ew value in the race here.
17:00 5:00 Plumpton
Getaways Gift
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Win
17
Showed promise on debut when coming 5/14 beaten 20 lengths in a similar class NHF race over 1.7 miles at Wincanton. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, under used jockey up and very good trainer is 3/6 in this sphere of racing here last 5 seasons, making current 8.50 very good Ew value in the race.
16:50 4:50 Down Royal
Politicise
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 14/04 at 09:550.00 deduction for Larkfield Legacy@67.00 withdrawn at 11:050.10 deduction for Gold Haven @10.000 withdrawn at 11:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.1) = 15.40
@15.40
Win
432
Not fired fences/hurdles last 2 runs, but is now on a nice dropping mark of 100 in this chase. Drying ground should be much in their favour, very good conditional who has gone well on selection in the past back up claiming valuable 7lb and in hands of a shrewd trainer, making current 16/1 decent Ew value here.
16:15 4:15 Down Royal
Dreal Deal
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 14/04 at 09:480.55 deduction for Now Is The Hour@1.67 withdrawn at 14:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.55) = 8.20
@8.20
Win
216
Dual Flat/NH performer who has snippets of form over fences and has dropped to a very attractive mark of 127 here. Drying ground going to be much in their favour, very good jockey booked who does very well for this stable and in hands of a very shrewd dual trainer, making current 16/1 solid Ew value here.
16:07 4:07 Hereford
Valentia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Actually ran well here @ Hereford Lto on hurdles debut as they were hampered twice during the race when coming 4/12 beaten 26 lengths in a similar class maiden hurdle over extended 2.5 miles. Entitled to improve for that run/experience, drop back to this extended 2.3 miles not a issue, good conditional retains ride taking off 3lb and very good trainer 16 percent with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 16/1 solid Ew value in the race.
14:40 2:40 Plumpton
Sindri
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@101.00
Lose
-50
Is a staying maiden on the flat, but was not entirely disgraced on only previous hurdles run when coming 7/14 beaten 37 lengths in a similar class maiden hurdle over 2 miles at Hereford. That was on very soft ground and today's better going should be much more in their favour. Hood on first time today and good jockey retains ride (NH), making current 100/1 worth small Ew consdieration in the race.
14:30 2:30 Down Royal
Glenabo Bridge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Well into veteran stage now, but this C/D winner still retains enough ability to take this off current mark which is the same as last winning one which was only 5 runs back. Today's conditional who was on board for that win retains ride taking off 2lb and good trainer has done well here last 5 seasons, making current 22/1 decent Ew value in the race.
14:22 2:22 Hereford
Captains Road
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@67.00
Void
0
Irish Ptp winner who went well for along way on rules debut here before dropping away tamely to be P/u in a similar class maiden hurdle over extended 2.4 miles at Southwell on soft ground. Entitled to come on for that run/experience, interesting that very inexperienced conditional being replaced by a good conditional today and very good trainer 18 percent with his hurdlers here last 5 seasons, making current 50/1 worth Ew consideration in the race.
14:05 2:05 Plumpton
Rum Cove
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
Shown very little in their 4 non handicap hurdles to date. However, Lto one was in a class 3 and selection is making handicap debut here off a very low mark of 79 in a class 5. Must also be noted that they have an extremely large stamina dosage so is going to be a different horse over today's 3.1 miles which in itself may not be far enough. Good jockey/trainer combination makes current 22/1 very good Ew value in the race.
Subtotal477
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
