Benaldo1981

Try to find the value in sports betting. Sod the favourite!

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Benaldo1981's Tips History

All tips
28 March 2024
09:30 Simona Waltert vs Elsa Jacquemot

Simona Waltert

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

We had Waltert as the underdog against the seeded player in the last round and I think she's worth a look again here as I think she should probably be closer to favouritism when you look at the stats.
09:30 Zeynep Sonmez vs Ella Seidel

Zeynep Sonmez

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

This pretty much looks a coin toss in terms of the stats and match record on the clay courts so I think Sonmez holds the value as a result.
01:10 SA Spurs @ UTA Jazz

SA Spurs

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

85

Jazz are almost too bad to be true at the moment, so the Spurs look a tempting play at the price. Even as the road side I think they should be a touch shorter in the odds.
00:10 HOU Rockets @ OKC Thunder

HOU Rockets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

85

The ROckets are absolutely flying and have quietly won nine on the spin to suddenly become relevant. They may be the road team here but they will feel untouchable and look a tasty price.
27 March 2024
23:40 LA Clippers @ PHI 76ers

PHI 76ers

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Clippers not in the best of form over the last ten matches so the price for the 76ers is somewhat surprising with home advantage.
23:10 BKN Nets @ WAS Wizards

WAS Wizards

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Wizards actually playing pretty well now the pressure is off and the Nets poor run has taken them out of contention. I wouldn't have them this heavily favoured as the road team.
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Imperial Cult

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

IMPERIAL CULT was not far away on the last all-weather outing, which was here of this trip from a pound higher in the weights. Might need a run after the lengthy break but has placed of three of four runs in this sphere and looks a bit steep in price. Lightly raced 5yo who could still be on the up.
16:50 4:45 Hereford

Higgs

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Unpredictable sort but HIGGS showed that with a clear round of jumping, he can get involved when placing at Leicester in January. Very little since then but 7lbs lower now and dangerous to rule out if we get a good day.
15:00 Casper Ruud vs Nicolas Jarry

Nicolas Jarry

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.80

Win

90

Jarry continues to be good to us with a couple of underdog wins over Draper and Seyboth Wild and I just think he's got a handy knack of discovering ways to win matches. He's not to be underestimated against Ruud here.
14:00 2:00 Wincanton

Ragamuffin

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@15.00

Lose

-50

RAGAMUFFIN yet to win since returning to hurdling in 2023 but these been some promise from higher in the handicap. The yard's in form, the break shouldn't be a problem, and as long it's not a total wash-out there are each-way claims here. There's been some equally awful runs during the same stint, and on my current form maybe this one will flunk again, but if catch a going day it could be a different story.
07:00 Anastasiia Gureva vs Polina Kudermetova

Anastasiia Gureva

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Gureva isn't this far behind Kudermetova statistically on the clay so I wouldn't have her this much of an outsider and she holds a bit of value at this price.
07:00 Dalma Galfi vs Simona Waltert

Simona Waltert 0.00

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

I think Waltert should be aclearer favourite than this for the win in the opening round of this Antalya Challenger. She was much better on the clay last season and with neither player featuring onthe surface yet this season, I think Waltert should win it.
07:00 Elsa Jacquemot vs Chloe Paquet

Chloe Paquet

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Paquet statistically looks the better player on this surface so is a worthy play as I'm not sure she should be this much of an underdog.
07:00 Eva Lys vs Olga Danilovic

Olga Danilovic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Danilovic was my fav when I priced this one up so I'm surprised that Lys has been given the favourite tag, albeit marginal. Lys was pretty much a non-starter on the clay last season.
07:00 Katarzyna Kawa vs Elena Gabriela Ruse

Katarzyna Kawa

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Kawa is my preferred choice here, she's got pretty emphatic clay court form in comparison to her opponent, who tends to stick to the hard court. Kawa's had a slow start but is showing signs of a revival and looks a decent value play
02:07 ANA Ducks @ SEA Kraken

ANA Ducks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Eight defeats in a row for Seattle so even with the home advantage I doubt I'd have them as favourties in any match whatsoever, so the Ducks are probably value for me.
00:37 CAL Flames @ CHI Blackhawks

CHI Blackhawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Flames are slipping right up at the moment and the Blackhawks are actually fairing pretty well with the pressure off no they've been eliminated, so I'll play Chicago with the home advantage.
00:07 EDM Oilers @ WIN Jets

WIN Jets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

I'll look at the Jets here as with home advantage I priced this one up the opposite to what it actually is at about 1.80 for the Winnipeg win.
26 March 2024
23:40 GS Warriors @ MIA Heat

MIA Heat

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

With home advantage and the Heat having the slightly better record and form I think they look a decnet better than double your money play here.
23:40 LA Lakers @ MIL Bucks

LA Lakers

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.80

Win

190

I'll give the Lakers a small look at this price they've won the last three and can certainly make a better fist of it than this price suggests.
23:37 NJ Devils @ TOR Maple Leafs

NJ Devils

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.35

Win

68

These two look pretty evenly matched man for man and on recent stats so I'll give the Devils a look at this price.
23:07 BOS Bruins @ FLA Panthers

BOS Bruins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

The Bruins look like a decent play here, they are in slightly better form and showing signs of recovering from their recent slump so they look the team to be with.
20:30 Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Anca Alexia Todoni

Anca Alexia Todoni

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Sorribes Tormo rightly the fav here, but Todoni wins ALOT of clay matches and could cause her higher ranked opponent some issues. Usually one or two surprises at every tourney and this could be one 
19:45 Solihull Moors v Southend

Solihull Moors

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

SOlihull are chanced with the home advantage here. Southend proving tricky to beat but Moors are as well and are quietly mounting a push for the Football League. They wouldn't be my underdogs for this.
17:15 5:15 Southwell

Grid Iron Maiden

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

The other to take a look at is GRID IRON MAIDEN, who wasn't suited by the step up to six furlongs, and could fare better this time round. Was only beaten by 1.5 lengths from two pounds higher on this surface at Newcastle the run before last, and with new headgear could be a player.

Justahunch

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@26.00

Win

100

Just like the name, because a stable change might make the difference for JUSTAHUNCH, I'll chance it in a weak looking affair. Dylan Cunha is in form and has a good record with new horses, so I think this one is worth the punt at this price, in case the trend continues. Gonna have to chance the three places as there's no value left in 4 places.
16:50 4:50 Taunton

Lady Pacifico

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

LADY PACIFICO looked promising on chase and stable debut back in November with today's jockey Tabitha Worsley guiding her to third at Leicester. The switch back to hurdling and longer trip probably didn't suit last time, but this could be a different prospect and it's still early days for new connections too.
15:20 3:20 Taunton

Sindabella

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

David Noonan returns to the saddle on SINDABELLA and he was a comfortable winner on board at Exeter in December from two pounds lower in the handicap. Gets this distance, as proved when beaten by 5 lengths from 3lbs higher in the weights last April. Take the extra place but this has stronger claims than some at lower prices.
15:00 Francesca Jones vs Yulia Starodubtseva

Francesca Jones

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

I'll chance a British win here I think Jones has had an encouraging start to the season, especially on clay, with a run to the semis and final at ITF events in Tunisia and she could build on that here.
15:00 McCartney Kessler vs Nadia Podoroska

McCartney Kessler

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Not a lot between these two and Kessler is in much better form in 2024 with a title win in Rome and the final of Puerto Vallerta. She looks a nice play if she brings that form to the table against Podoroska, who's form has been ordinary this season.
15:00 Natalija Stevanovic vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Natalija Stevanovic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

This looks quite a big price discrepancy in a match that looks a pretty tough one to call. Stevanovic worth the look in what I see as more of a coin toss.
15:00 Tatjana Maria vs Anna Bondar

Tatjana Maria

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I had Maria as my favourite for this so I think she's a tempting play as the slight underdog here. She's not had much of a time of things on the hard court but is better on clay and could well see this one out.
15:00 Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi

Tomas Machac

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

I had Machac down as a clearer fav than this for the win, he's got the statistical edge on the hard court and his overall record so despite being a couple of clicks under odds-on looks a decent bet.
14:20 2:20 Taunton

Halligator

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

HALLIGATOR hails from a yard that generally does well here, and took a step forward over this trip last time out, it's second after wind surgery. Should this one continue that path then there are claims in a weakish looking class four here. Ground, Grade and distance no problem.
09:30 Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Ada Kumru

Ada Kumru

Win Match

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Wild-card home player Kumru might cause her higher ranked opponent some problems in front of her own crowd here. She looks value at the price and will probably make a breakthrough at some point.
09:30 Veronika Erjavec vs Moyuka Uchijima

Veronika Erjavec

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Erjavec would be my clear fav here, she's much better on the clay than her opponent and looks a decent bet to see off Uchijima.
02:40 IND Pacers @ LA Clippers

IND Pacers

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Pacers look a bit high in the market in a two horse race, especially as their form more than matches the CLippers. They are good enough to pick up the win here.
01:30 Erika Andreeva vs Ana Sofia Sanchez

Ana Sofia Sanchez

Win Match

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Andreeva's whipped over here having lost in the first round at Miami last week and as she had a losing record on clay last season and has whipped over to Europe, I think she might be susceptible here.
00:07 VGS Golden Knights @ STL Blues

STL Blues

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

AS the home team, I think the Blues should be a pretty close match to the Knights in this market. There's very little between the teams in terms of form, overall record and line-up so I'm surprised St Louis are outsiders by as much as they are.
25 March 2024
20:30 Astra Sharma vs Robin Montgomery

Astra Sharma

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

I had Sharma as the clear fav when I priced her up so I fancy her to take this as she should be shorter in the win odds. Her clay form is much better.
19:00 Tamara Zidansek vs Jule Niemeier

Tamara Zidansek

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Zidansek is a much better clay court player so is a surprising price here and is worth the look at this price to cause the upset.
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Cant Stop Now

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

CAN'T STOP NOW wasn't far away on the last C and D run here in January and has place claims if matching that showing. This is a step up in grade but there's a few question marks to consider about some of the others so we'll give it a look as it does look to be on a mark it could defy.
15:00 Sebastian Korda vs Hubert Hurkacz

Sebastian Korda

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

I think this represents value for Korda, he's pretty close to Hurkacz statistically, with the Pole only marginally ahead. This looks too much of a big price and Korda did beat his opponent on the hard court at the Australian Open in 2023.
15:00 Victoria Azarenka vs Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Boulter's been good to us of late and after her WTA tour win she's continued to prove that she's stepped up her game of late. If she continues that level she'll take this.
15:00 Yulia Putintseva vs Anhelina Kalinina

Yulia Putintseva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Putintseva is in better shape than her opponent so she looks a decent play as I'd made her the favourite to win this so surprised to see both palyers at about the same price.
02:10 IND Pacers @ LA Lakers

IND Pacers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-50

PAcers look a decent play at the price as the two teams have identical records over the last ten games, and look pretty even in line-ups too. Lakers should be favs but had this at about a 1.83-2.00 split so value in Indiana
01:07 MON Canadiens @ SEA Kraken

MON Canadiens

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

Two poor teams so this looks a decent value play on the Canadiens for me.  They can't both lose and they look a fair play at the price.
24 March 2024
23:10 OKC Thunder @ MIL Bucks

OKC Thunder

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Thunder are in great form, better than that of the Bucks, so even as the away team they look as though they've got a real chance to nick the win.
23:00 Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

ADF won the last H2H and does look the value here between two players who look pretty closely matched statistically. This could be much closer than the odds suggest and Ruud struggled at times in his second round match.
22:10 CLE Cavaliers @ MIA Heat

CLE Cavaliers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Cavaliers have a better overall record and probably shouldn't be this big in the market even as the road team to pick up the win here.
22:07 FLA Panthers @ PHI Flyers

PHI Flyers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-50

Panthers have lost four in a row and now face the Flyers in a tricky contest and look too short in price for the win here. Flyers look a decent price on their own rink.
20:30 Martin Damm vs Christopher OConnell

Martin Damm

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Damm may have got the win against Paul by default but was competitive in the action we did see so is perhaps a value play at this price against a lesser opponent.
20:30 Nicolas Jarry vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Nicolas Jarry

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Decent win for Jarry against Draper and if he's got enough left in the tank, he should land this one. I had him down as the clear fav.
17:05 5:05 Ascot

Espoir De Romay

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Bit like Blind Beggar actually. ESPOIR DE ROMAY is seven pounds lighter than when finishing second in this last year. Disappointed subsequently but three were in class two affairs and probably didn't like the heavy when dropped back to class thre last time out. The return here could be the catalyst.
15:05 3:05 Doncaster

Blind Beggar

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

Hit and miss all-weather campaigh for BLIND BEGGAR, and I expect the same will be in order on the flat for this unpredicatble type. That said there is some promise there, especially from a pound lower in the weights than when a runner up in the corresponding race last season. Also a pound better off than Aleez Dancer, who won the race last year and is 9/2 at the time of writing. Too big a price discrepancy between the two for me. Likely front runner who can once again get involved.
15:00 Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Tabilo

Alejandro Tabilo

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-50

Bloody love a bet on Tabilo atm, he's proving pretty difficult for players who are ranked higher than him to beat on this surface. He'll cause Dimitrov problems and we'll get a run for our money for sure.
15:00 Martin Landaluce vs Ben Shelton

Martin Landaluce

Win Match

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

The outsider would've taken some confidence from his first round win over Munar and I'm not sure I'd have him this high in price with that victory under his belt. Small look at him in case Shelton has an off day.

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