bappleby17
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bappleby17's Tips History
24 April 2024
19:30 Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Win
46
Anderlecht have been superb at home this season, boasting a record of 15 wins, 4 draws and a loss in their last 20 here. They sit 2pts clear and should have enough against a Cercle Brugge side that they've beaten three times in a row by an average of 7-0.
19:30 Club Brugge v Genk
Draw
Both sides are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 6 with 4 or 5 wins. Just 2pts separate them and it's 3 draws in 6 on the road for Genk. Unlikely to be much between them.
19:30 Rapid Vienna v SK Sturm Graz
Draw
Sturm Graz know this is a critical match in their title hopes but looks a tough test. Rapid have lost just 2 of 15 at home, 7 of which ended in draws. Two of the last three H2H games ended 1-1.
18:30 AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
Draw
5 of the last 9 H2H matches between AEK and Panathinaikos ended level and there's very little to separate them again in what's an incredibly exciting title race. Decent value for the draw.
18:00 Barry Hawkins v Ryan Day
Ryan Day to win 10-7
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Barry Hawkins has managed only 2 wins in his last 6 H2H matches against Ryan Day and I think he'll struggle in this opening round fixture. Day qualified well and has 8 wins in his last 11, while Hawkins has struggled in back to back losses.
18:00 Brommapojkarna v Sirius
Draw
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
Just a point separates the sides, albeit at an early stage in the season. Brommpapojkarna have drawn 2 of their last 3 here and generally recent H2H matches have been high scoring but tight.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
21 goals have been scored in the previous 5 H2H matches between Brommapojkarna and Sirius. Of the hosts' opening 4 matches this term, 17 goals have been scored too. Likely to be an entertaining clash.
18:00 IFK Goteborg v BK Hacken
Draw
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Hacken are probably the better overall side and sit slightly above Goteborg but away from home they've been shocking of late, winning just 1 of 15. The visitors generally score more too but I think this will be tight and the draw looks a good option.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
Hacken's last 10 matches have seen 39 goals scored in them at an average of almost 4 per game. 4 of Goteborg's previous 6 at home also went above this spread and I expect goals here.
18:00 John Higgins v Jamie Jones
Jamie Jones
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Open
0
Jamie Jones has had a decent season including some big wins against the likes of Robertson and Lisowski. He won his previous match against Higgins and the Scotsman hasn't played his best stuff at the Crucible in recent times.
Jamie Jones 3.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.83
Open
0
Jamie Jones has covered this spread in all 4 previous matches against Higgins including 2 wins, albeit with less frames involved. Higgins has lost his last 3 in a row heading into this so isn't in his best form.
Jamie Jones to win 10-6
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@26.00
Open
0
Jamie Jones was excellent in qualifying including his win against Neil Robertson. He's won two of his last four against John Higgins and I've not been convinced by the Scotsman of late. Jones the better form player and I think he can claim this one 10-6.
18:00 Lorient v PSG
PSG (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Lorient sit in 17th place and face a PSG side here who are chasing an unprecedented quadruple. They've lost 4 of their last 5, failing to score in all of them, and PSG have won their last 3 on the road by scorelines of 6-2, 4-1, 2-0.
17:45 FC Twente v Almere City FC
FC Twente (AH) -1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
Twente have been very strong at home this season, picking up 37pts in 15 matches here. Almere City come into this with only 1 win in their last 9 matches and they have little to play for in mid table.
17:30 Aris Salonika v Olympiakos
Draw
50 WIN
@4.20
Open
0
Olympiakos don't have a great record here, winning on just 3 of their last 10 trips. Aris are always competitive at home and given they've only lost 4 of their last 20 here, this looks a good price for the draw.
17:30 Austria Klagenfurt v FC Salzburg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
These sides have met each other 5 times since the start of 2023, with 19 goals scored at an average of 3.8 per game. 5 of Klagenfurt's last 9 at home saw over 3.5 goals.
17:30 Hartberg v LASK Linz
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
3 of the last 4 H2H matches have ended in draws between the sides. LASK have drawn 3 of their last 4 on the road all of which ended 0-0.
17:00 Farul Constanta v Rapid Bucuresti
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Rapid Bucuresti have drawn 11 of their last 17 away matches which suggests another is likely here. Farul have drawn 7 of their last 14 at home and not much to separate them in the standings.
17:00 SJK v HJK Helsinki
SJK (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.88
Win
44
HJK have lost 5 of their last 7 on the road. SJK have started well with 7pts in 3 games and have won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 6 at home.
17:00 Wisla Plock v Miedz Legnica
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Wisla Plock and Legnica have seen their last 6 H2H matches finish above this spread, including a 4-0 win for Legnica in the reverse fixture. Both average around 1.5 goals per game in attack.
17:00 Znicz Pruszkow v Arka Gdynia
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
74 goals have been scored in Arka's 28 league games, an average of over 2.5 per game. Pruszkow's previous two home games both ended in 3-2 losses and I like goals here.
15:00 FC Goa v Mumbai City FC
Mumbai City FC (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Goa have failed to win any of the last 10 H2H matches. That includes 5 losses and Mumbai finished above them in the regular season.
15:00 Lamia v PAOK Salonika
Draw
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
PAOK have failed to win any of their last 4 games as their title and European hopes have taken a big hit. It's been difficult for Lamia in the Championship Group but home form has been solid this year and 6/1 for a draw is worth a go.
14:45 Universitatea Cluj v CSM Politehnica Iasi
CSM Politehnica Iasi (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Poli Iasi have won the last 4 H2H matches in a row between these sides. They're more in need of the points and Cluj have lost their last 3.
13:30 Mark Allen v Robbie Williams
Mark Allen
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
Mark Allen is the world #3 and it would be a huge shock if he lost here. In 5 previous matches against Robbie Williams, 4 have ended in whitewash wins for the Northern Irishman.
Mark Allen to win 10-2
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Mark Allen has won 4 of the last 5 H2H matches between this pair, including wins of 4-0, 4-0 and 5-0. He's comfortably better than Williams as an overall player and I think he wins easily here.
09:00 Ding Junhui v Jack Lisowski
Ding Junhui
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
In 3 previous H2H matches between the pair Ding has won all 3 convincingly by an aggregate scoreline of 15-3. He reached the World Open final last month and I think he'll be too strong here.
Ding Junhui -1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Lisowski's form has been a mixed bag of late, with 5 wins and 5 losses in 10, including some heavy defeats. He has a poor record against Ding historically, losing 4-1, 5-1 and 6-1.
Ding Junhui to win 10-4
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Ding has played Lisowski 3 times previously and convincingly won them all by scorelines of 4-1, 5-1 and 6-1. He was excellent at the World Open last month and I think he can win easily here.
09:00 Kyren Wilson v Dominic Dale
Kyren Wilson
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.14
Win
7
Kyren Wilson is ranked 28 places better off than Dominic Dale in the world rankings and has won the previous 6 H2H matches between the pair. He's had good recent wins against the likes of O'Connor, Wilson and Pang.
Kyren Wilson to win 10-2
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Kyren Wilson is a class above Dominic Dale and I expect him to win convincingly here. He has a great record at the Crucible and has won the last 6 H2H matches.
Subtotal-38
23 April 2024
20:00 Leicester v Southampton
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Form is very close over the last 15 league games, with 26pts for Southampton and 25pts for Leicester. I think Leicester would take a point to keep their opponents at arms length and extend their lead at the top with favourable fixtures to come.
19:45 Auxerre v Laval
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
19:45 Barrow v Bradford
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Very important game with both sides searching for a playoff spot. Barrow played well for 80 mins at Doncaster lately before collapsing late on. A point here would secure their spot above Bradford and they don't lose many at home. City will be competitive though having won 3 of their last 4. Draw most likely.
19:45 Bordeaux v Dunkerque
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Bordeaux and Dunkerque can't be split in the league table, both sitting on 41pts. The home side look too short with the bookies, particularly given their form and the fact Dunkerque are 5 unbeaten on the road with 3 draws.
19:45 Caen v Annecy
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Similarly matched sides with Annecy scoring 40 league goals vs Caen's 43. Defensively even more similar with 42 and 41 conceded respectively. Only previous H2H match here ended 0-0 and both in good form of late.
19:45 Cambridge Utd v Wycombe
Draw
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Wycombe have found decent form of late, losing just 2 of 9 on the road. They face a Cambridge side who need 2pts to guarantee survival and who would take a point here as a result. Reverse fixture ended 0-0.
19:45 Cheltenham v Peterborough
Peterborough
50 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-50
Tough to look past a win for Peterborough here. Cheltenham must win to have any chance of survival and will have to attack, but their home form is rotten with 5 consecutive losses here. Peterborough have won 5 of 6 on the road.
19:45 Colchester v Doncaster
Doncaster
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
19:45 Grenoble v St Etienne
St Etienne (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Grenoble's form is awful with W1 D2 L7 in their previous 10 matches. They host a St Etienne side with 4 clean sheets in 5 on the road and in prime position for promotion.
19:45 Guingamp v Angers
Draw
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Rarely many goals between these sides and I'd expect it to remain close. Guingamp have 21pts from 16 at home while Angers have 19pts from 16 on the road this term. Both have 2 draws in 4 at home and away respectively and under 1.5 goals in last 5 H2H games. 0-0 or 1-1 likely.
19:45 Rodez v Paris FC
Draw
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Rodez and Paris can barely be split, just 2 points and 1 place between them. Rodez have drawn 3 of their last 5 at home and for Paris it's 5 draws in 7 on the road, losing 0.
19:45 SC Bastia v Concarneau
Draw
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Bastia and Concarneau have met 4 times previously and all 4 meetings ended in draws. A point could see the visitors out of the relegation zone and with both in the bottom half, it looks a good pick this evening.
19:45 Troyes v Pau
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Pau have scored 13 in their last 5 matches, an average of over 2.5 goals per game on their own. They host a Troyes side with one of the worst defensive records in the league, but who also average over a goal per game themselves.
19:45 US Quevilly v Amiens
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
Quevilly have been one of the division's more entertaining side with 89 goals across their 33 league matches. The previous 7 H2H matches have seen 21 goals at an average of 3 per game.
19:30 FC Blau Weiss Linz v SCR Altach
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
Linz and Altach drew 2-2 when they met just 3 days ago, so 15/8 looks a big price for over 2.5 goals in that context. Altach's last 10 road matches saw 26 goals at an average of 2.6 per game.
19:30 Resovia Rzeszow v Wisla Krakow
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Wisla have been comfortably the highest scorers in the division, netting 52 goals across their 28 league games, 5 more than any other side. Their last 7 in a row on the road saw btts and they won the reverse fixture 4-1.
19:30 Sint Truidense v Gent
Sint Truidense (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
St Truiden have lost only 1 of their previous 15 home matches so this looks a favourable spread. That includes 5 wins in their last 6 here. It's 5 losses in 8 on the road for Gent.
19:30 Standard Liege v KV Mechelen
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
Liege have drawn their last 3 on the spin including 3-3 scorelines against Westerlo and St Truiden. They've drawn 9 of 20 across all comps and while Mechelen have the better record this term, their road form hasn't been overly convincing.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Standard have seen 7 of their previous 9 go above this spread, with 3 of the last 4 actually seeing over 5.5 goals scored. 7 of Mechelen's last 8 also saw 3+ netted.
19:30 Westerlo v OH Leuven
Draw
50 WIN
@3.70
Win
135
Westerlo are winless in 8, though that run includes creditable draws at home to Genk and Standard Liege. Leuven have drawn 5 of 10 on the road and little to separate the sides.
Draw #3-3
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
Westerlo's last two matches have seen over 4.5 goals including a 3-3 draw against Liege here last time out. Leuven have scored 2+ on their last 4 trips here and have drawn 5 of 10 on the road.
18:00 Degerfors v Helsingborg
Draw
Degerfors and Helsingborgs both have 5pts from their opening 3 matches, drawing 2 of them. Recent H2H matches have been tight too, with 2 of the last 3 home games here ending 1-1.
18:00 Robert Milkins v Pang Junxu
Robert Milkins
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
Robert Milkins trails 5-4 going into this session but he's already responded well to going down 3-0 and I think he can win here. He's ranked 11 places better off than Pang in the world and form has impressed of late including victories against Gilbert and Williams.
Robert Milkins 1.50
Handicap Betting
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Milkins has 5 wins in his previous 8 matches. He's not lost to Pang previously, with the only H2H match ending 2-2 and this first session was tight with Pang edging it 5-4. Milkins is the top 16 player though and I think covers this spread.
17:30 Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
11 of the previous 12 H2H matches between the sides saw both teams score. Lustenau have shipped goals for fun this year and sit bottom of the league. Wolfsberger have scored 3 goals on their last 3 visits to Lustenau.
17:30 FC Botosani v Dinamo Bucharest
Draw
Just one place separates these two sides in the battle to avoid relegation in Romania. Dinamo Bucuresti have lost just 2 of their last 7, drawing 3.
17:30 WSG Swarovski Tirol v FK Austria Vienna
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Austria Vienna won 3-0 when these sides met last week and the xG was over 3.5. Tirol's previous 20 home matches have seen 62 goals scored at an average of over 3 per game.
17:00 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala v GKS Tychy
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Podbeskidzie have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 6 in a row at home. Tychy's previous 5 away matches have seen 19 goals at an average of 3.8 per game.
17:00 Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Stal Rzeszow
Stal Rzeszow
50 WIN
@2.45
Win
73
Sosnowiec have failed to win any of their last 20 matches. They face a Stal Rzeszow side who have won 5 of their last 6, scoring 2 in every game.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Stal Rzeszow have scored 2 goals in their last 6 consecutive matches. 3 of Sosnowiec's previous 6 matches have all had over 3.5 goals too.
13:30 Mark Williams v Si Jiahui
Mark Williams to win 10-8
Frame Betting
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Mark Williams goes into this session 5-4 up and it should be another close session here. Sun Jiahi qualified well but Williams comes into this off the back of three excellent wins and I think he'll edge this.
Subtotal85
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