the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

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the prophet's Tips History

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19 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Exeter

Man Of Light

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 7yo, two runs this year after almost two years off the track. He jumped and travelled nicely on his chase debut five weeks ago, but was an unlucky faller at the 8th. This quicker ground will suit him, he could be worth another chance, and he’s well treated at the weights going off his early career hurdle form.
15:20 3:20 Ayr

The Four Sixes

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Irish import, 2 wins from 8 over hurdles for the 6yo. Unlucky faller last time out. A win and two narrow defeats in his three previous races, progressing nicely. The winner from two starts back has boosted the form and is rated 12lb higher now. Trip and soft ground will suit, and top jockey Sean Bowen is in the saddle.
15:00 3:00 Fontwell

Master Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 7yo. Had his problems, just two runs last year, but seems in better shape now, beaten just 5L four weeks ago on his second return run, and can take another step forward. He was beaten by a 127 rated runner in that last race, he now runs in a 0-115 rated handicap. He likes the quicker ground and he has been rated 11lb higher in the past.
14:30 2:30 Fontwell

Solar System

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

175

Three starts over hurdles for the 5yo. Two runs this year, 3rd of 14 on his handicap debut last time out, only 3L behind the runner-up. Same mark for this contest, strong jockey booking, unexposed and open to plenty more improvement.
14:20 2:20 Ayr

One Eye On Vegas

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

Seven starts over hurdles and the 7yo is progressing nicely, 2 wins and a 2L defeat in his last three runs - a strong contest last time out - His dam was a useful 3m PTP runner and this step up in trip could bring about some more improvement. He could improve to be better than his current ow 108 rating.
18 April 2024
15:15 3:15 Cheltenham

Game On For Glory

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 8yo, win or placed in 6 of his 9 starts under rules. He has been 2nd, 1st and 3rd over fences this year, three high RPR ratings, no problem with the 20.5f trip and quicker ground, still on a handy mark and ticks all the right boxes - which is more than what a lot of her rivals can say -
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Shouldvebeenaring

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo progressed nicely last year, he finished off with two narrow defeats in Group 1 company last autumn, 14 and 16 runner races. A decent run last month after a 5 month break and he should have a fitness edge over quite a lot of his rivals in this Group 3.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Shelikesthelights

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The trainer has been patient with the 6yo mare. Just 8 starts over hurdles. Back-to-back wins this time last year, including on quicker ground. Just two runs this winter, a good 3rd behind a nice type last time out. I feel this £26K race would have been the target. Unexposed over this 20f trip but breeding does suggest she can improve for the trip, nice mark, and she’ll be fresh after a 3 month break.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham

Presenting A Queen

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

The 7yo switched to fences this winter, four starts, form 3223, beaten 4L or less in her last three runs, twice behind the progressive ‘Heva Rose’ who is rated quite a bit higher now. She’s proven on quicker ground and will be fresh for a big run after a 10 week break.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Woodhay Wonder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

360

The 3yo filly has 3 wins from 5. She was 3rd in a Group 2 on her third start, no match for the front two at the finish but she was beaten by two runners rated 98 and 103. She finished the year by winning two valuable conditions sales races, 15 and 22 runner races, her last win by 4L. She’s a previous 6f C/D winner who likes the quicker ground. Her opening handicap mark of 88 looks handy and there’s room for improvement after 6 months off the track.
1 member found this comment useful
17 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Matrika

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Three runs for the 3yo filly. Form 121, all on quick ground. A close 2nd of 17 runner in a Group 3, and a Group 2 winner when last seen. Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien team up and she looks a nice price for this Group 3.
15:15 3:15 Cheltenham

Betterforeveryone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

The 7yo switched to chasing this winter, four runs, form 3F21. Beaten 3L two starts back, solid form. Impressive 14L winner last time out. Slightly higher mark today but not excessive. More to come from the youngster.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Astro King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Win

17

The 7yo took his form to another level last year after joining his current yard. He won the 34 runner Cambridge handicap during Sept off a huge mark - which was over this 9f C/D - Not disgraced in two overseas runs this winter in high quality races and those efforts should have him in decent shape for this Group 3 today.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Gemirande

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Two runs last month for the 8yo, after 11 months off the track. A respectable 5th of 16 at the festival on unsuitable. ground. He went close twice this time last year, in a couple of quality Graded handicap races - including over this C/D -Those races were on good ground which is a positive for today. Slightly lower mark now and he should still have plenty of freshness about him.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Ambiente Friendly

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Two starts for the 3yo colt. A 3L debut win, solid form. He was 3rd in a Group 3 on his second start, behind a subsequent Group 1 winner, and just behind a smart looking O’Brien runner. A 6 month break and quicker ground could bring about more improvement. He can go well at this Listed level.
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham

Arqoob

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Two nice runs recently, in good company for the 6yo, after stepping up in trip. A good 3rd of 16 in a class 2 during Feb, and the field was quite strung out when 2nd last time out. Same mark today. He does tend to come from off the pace and a first run at this Cheltenham track could pay to his strengths.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Solray

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 4yo colt. He has 2 wins from 5 on the AW, plus two narrow defeats, and he was too keen last time out on AW Champions day. The form of his previous run looks solid. Just two starts on turf, going close twice, so no problem with the conditions today. Good jockey David Egan is booked for the ride. He’s unexposed on turf and the return to a grass surface might give him a little extra spark. He does look overpriced.
16 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Forever Eighteen

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Five runs for the 3yo gelding and he showed improved form in his two handicap races. He was 2nd of 12 over this 6f C/D, coming from the rear, not the clearest of runs and the front pulled well clear of the rest. He’s returning from a 7 month break and hopefully stronger. He’s not trained at one of the big yards but they have been going well in 2024 and this one could be ready.
20:00 8:00 Newcastle

Miners Gamble

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Four career runs for the 3yo gelding. Back from a 6 month break with a big run over this 6f C/D four weeks ago, beaten just 1/2L on his handicap debut, earning a high RPR rating. Same handicap mark tonight and you would expect some improvement after the return run.
19:30 7:30 Newcastle

Rockin Rosa

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo filly is a previous 7f C/D winner. She was only beaten 1/2L four weeks ago, earning a good rating. She was coming off a 5 month break that day and you could expect some improvement.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Indicate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Not a lot between the two market leaders in this novice race, both with two starts and both winning last time out. The selection is the proven one over this 5f trip, and his debut was 8 months back. He was always in control when winning late Feb on his return, and that form looks decent.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Prairie Falcon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo ran a big race over this 7f C/D five weeks ago, after coming off 7 month break, losing by a shd and racing against some useful in form rivals, and earned a high RPR rating. The 4th in the race won next time out and the winner ran a decent race on AW Champions day. He can take a step forward and he gets to run off the same mark.
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Frankfreya

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo didn’t show a lot 10 days ago, a debut for a new yard, but he was coming off a 6 month break and should be a little sharper today. He had 1 win from 6 last year, winning a 12 runner contest three starts back, over this 10f trip, the front two pulling 4L clear of the rest. He can be a player today if he can get back to that level.
16:57 4:57 Newcastle

Peripeteia

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

Capable on her day, win or placed in 12 of 18 AW races for the 6yo mare. It can be all or nothing with her. It was nothing in her final two starts last year, but she had a win and three near misses in her previous four runs. She comes here fresh after a 4 month break and is on a fair mark. Her last run at this track was during Nov, 2nd of 12 that day, over this 12.5f C/D, the 3rd, 4th, 6th and 7th from that race have won 6 races between them since.
15 April 2024
19:30 7:30 Kempton

Yellow Pages

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

Three starts for the 3yo gelding, two runs on turf, but his best effort was over this AW 7f C/D, on his last start. Only beaten 2L in a strong looking novice stakes. Only the 3rd in the race has run since but he has earned an 84 rating. The selection is trained at a good yard and his opening handicap mark of 70 looks very lenient. He’s coming off a 6 month break and there could be plenty of improvement from him.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Ciara Pearl

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Progressive 4yo filly, four runs, form 212-1. Her two defeats were by a nk and a shd. Back from a winter break with a nice win last week, earning a high RPR rating. Higher mark today but she isn’t near her peak yet.
17:20 5:20 Windsor

Amancio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Still a maiden after 8 runs, but the 3yo gelding hasn’t been beaten far in his last six races. He’ll be fit after three AW runs this year, losing by a nk during Feb and that form is looking good now. The return to turf might bring some improvement. Every chance in this weak looking contest.
16:33 4:30 Kelso

Lexies Moon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Room for more improvement for the 6yo mare after just four runs over hurdles. She was a winner two starts back - that form given a big boost by the runner up - She was a respectable 4th of 15 in a novice hurdle four weeks ago, behind a 123 rated winner. She has a handy looking 106 opening handicap today and top jockey Brian Hughes takes over in the saddle.
16:20 4:20 Windsor

Crazy Luck

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

The 6yo mare has been 1st or 2nd in 13 turf races. Her recent return run on the AW should have her tuned up for today. Solid form during the last two years while racing off an 80+ rating. She runs off a 76 mark today and has De Sousa taking over in the saddle.
16:03 4:00 Kelso

Kilta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Just 5 hurdle starts for the 7yo and he’s getting the hang of things. He was a 3L winner two starts back. He lost by 1/2L four weeks ago which was a better quality race than this one today, and I like the fact that the front pair had pulled 18L clear of the rest.

Singapore Trip

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

French import, 6yo, just four UK runs. Excuses last time out but only beaten 3L and a length in his two previous races, Dec/Jan. The form of both those races are looking very strong now and the selection looks to be on a very attractive mark. Strong jockey booking and a big player against these lower rated rivals.
15:50 3:50 Windsor

Leap Abroad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

The 5yo was beaten 1/2L on the AW three weeks ago and seems in good shape. He ran four nice turf races at the start of last season, while rated between 87-90. He’s effectively 13lb+ better off now, with his low mark and good 7lb apprentice in the saddle.
15:03 3:00 Kelso

Indian Louis

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Three chase runs for this ex PTP winner. A winner on his chase debut, only beaten 2L last time out - same mark today - the 6yo can take another step forward and a break since Feb will have him fresh.
14:33 2:30 Kelso

Both Barrels

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.12

Win

106

Just three runs over hurdles for the 6yo gelding, 4th, 3rd and 2nd. The form of his novice hurdle run two starts back looks strong. Not beaten far on his handicap debut last time out, the field quite strung out - the winner had won his previous race by 25L - The selection is unexposed and comes here fresh after a 7 week break.
14:20 2:20 Windsor

Mc Loven

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The 3yo colt has 2 wins from 6. He ran a nice race on the AW at the start of last month, in a useful £23K handicap over 6f, beaten just a length and he showed plenty of speed at the front, only losing out in the last 100 yards. He was coming off a 5 month break and looks to have wintered well. No problem with the quick turf ground and should be a big player over this 5f trip today.
14 April 2024
17:17 5:17 Hereford

Kings Justice

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

The 6yo has taken well to fences this winter, a win and two very narrow defeats. Unlucky to be brought down 2 out last time out when running well. Plenty of winners have been coming out of those races and he’s still on an attractive mark.
16:42 4:42 Hereford

My Monty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Just four starts over hurdles, 3rd in a couple of races, including over this C/D last time out. That maiden hurdle form looks quite useful and the selection can be a player with an opening handicap mark of 103.
16:25 4:25 Plumpton

Shandancer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

Lightly raced 7yo, some useful efforts in defeat. He likes the quicker ground and is on a handy looking mark now. First run for a new yard after 7 months off the track. Good apprentice in the saddle and his 5lb claim is a big help.
15:50 3:50 Plumpton

Blame The Game

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Not great this winter but this better ground could give him a chance. He was only beaten 2L this time last year in a stronger contest this race today, on good ground. He has a 12lb lower mark now and he is a previous C/D winner.
13 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Aintree

Ma Shantou

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Two runs for the 5yo gelding. A close 3rd on his Irish debut during Dec. He was then an impressive 6L winner on his UK debut six weeks ago, winning with the minimum of fuss, earning a high rating. The well beaten 3rd that day had previously been a close runner-up to a useful looking Nicholls runner, so the form seems decent. He looks set for a big run in this NHF bumper race.
1 member found this comment useful
17:30 Bournemouth v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Bournemouth have won their last three home games - against sides near the bottom - and are hard to predict. Utd are 6th in the league but they have lost 12 league games this season and can tend to be well outplayed at times..tricky…draw
17:00 5:00 Aintree

Hercule Du Seuil

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

‘Found A Fifty’ has had four hard Grade 1 races this winter and this could be one race too many. The selection has been off the track for 6 months for whatever reason, however, I don’t think top trainer Willie Mullins would be running him if he wasn’t fit and ready. The 7yo comes into the race after five wins in a row, 4 high RPR ratings and no doubt about his ability.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Galvin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@41.00

Lose

-50

A smart 10yo who has 8 wins over fences. Solid form in the X-country races at Cheltenham and should be fine with this trip. Trained at the good Gordon Elliot yard. He seems in good shape, not beaten far in a quality hurdle race during Feb over a short trip, and it would have been a nice prep. In the two years prior to 2024 he had been rated between 165 and 168. His current mark of 155 should give him every chance.
2 members found this comment useful

Panda Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

He went close in the Irish National this time last year, only an 8yo who should still be improving in the stayers chasing game. Two very narrow defeats this year, high quality races, 22 and 27 runners. On top of his game and weighted to go well.
15:32 3:32 Chepstow

Melusine De Pail

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Just three starts over hurdles for the 6yo mare, form 322. The form looks solid. She’ll be fresh for her handicap debut after a 3 month break and her opening handicap mark is attractive.
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Strong Leader

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 11/04 at 16:260.00 deduction for Proschema@101.00 withdrawn at 09:190.15 deduction for Sire Du Berlais @6.500 withdrawn at 12:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.15) = 9.50

@9.50

Win

255

An open looking Grade 1, 24.5f hurdle contest. The 7yo is lighty raced and progressing. He was only beaten a length last time out in a Grade 2, a first run over this kind of trip, and a race with plenty of the top staying horses involved. He was receiving some weight that day and will have to improve a little, but he’s going in the right direction.
2 members found this comment useful
15:00 Brentford v Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

No win in 9 league games for Brentford, they are edging closer to the bottom three and they will be the side under the most pressure in this home fixture. Sheff Utd are playing with spirit and a bit of freedom, just 1 defeat in their last 4 and I like the fact that they’ve scored 8 goals in those 4 games…away win
15:00 Burnley v Brighton

Burnley

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Three defeats in their last 5 for Brighton, and just 2 goals scored in those games. Brighton play with a very low tempo and look like they are just going through the motions. Burnley are now down yet and they are playing with spirit, unbeaten in four game before an away defeat to Everton last week - but it was a game in which they dominated possession - The home won’t be lacking for effort in this match…home win
15:00 Nottm Forest v Wolverhampton

Nottm Forest

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Forest created plenty of chances in the 3-1 away defeat to a good Spurs side last week. They beat a good Fulham side 3-1 in their last home game, they are fighting at the bottom but they have the right attitude to win this game. Just 1 win in 5 for Wolves, 3 defeats, and they look a side who are waiting for the season to end and might not be up for a battle…home win
14:50 2:50 Chepstow

Walk In The Wild

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Poor this campaign but only beaten 2L last time out and there is still hope for the 8yo. He wasn’t beaten far in this race last year and he has a 14lb lower mark now. Will be fresh after a 6 week break.
14:30 2:30 Aintree

Erne River

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 9yo, 3 wins from 9 over fences and can have more to offer. He’s in good form, a winner two starts back, then last time out a close 5th of 18 in a valuable handicap. He’s running off the same mark in this contest and meets the useful ‘Forward Plan’ again, but on 8lb better terms and the selection is a more attractive price. I think his recent 11 week break should have him fresh for a big run.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Chepstow

Heaven Smart

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

The 7yo has gone chasing this campaign, five runs and progressing nicely. Beaten a length in a 15 runner contest during Nov. He was an easy 4L winner two starts back, well clear off the rest. Testing ground and higher grade not helping last time out, but he’s had a nice six week break and has every chance in this company.
13:55 1:55 Aintree

Caldwell Potter

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.50

Void

0

Irish import who is making his UK debut. Three runs, form 211. The 6yo was a 6L Grade 1 winner when last seen during Dec, and was an expensive purchase for his UK connection. He’s had a nice 3 month break, he has the highest rating, and should be set for a big run in this Grade 1.
1 member found this comment useful

Jimmy Du Seuil

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Just three starts over hurdles for the 5yo and there should be plenty more improvement from him. He was a runner-up at the festival, no chance behind the winner but he was beaten by the best horse around and doesn’t face him today. Top jockey Paul Townsend takes over in the saddle.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Lord Snootie

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@19.00

Win

64

He was sent off as the fav last time out, in a valuable 17 runner handicap, but he had a valid excuse for his poor showing. He was beaten under a length in his previous race, that form is very strong. Still on an attractive look mark and the 7yo is worth another chance.
1 member found this comment useful
12:30 Newcastle v Tottenham

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

A tricky game to call. Newcastle have been good at home this season, while Spurs have only lost 3 away games all season - Spurs have actually lost 4 at home - Trippier still missing for Newcastle is a negative. There’s normally goals in the Newcastle games, but the points could be shared…draw

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