Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Joe Biden remains at the head of the betting with the WHO and Doctors and Nurses for the Time person of the year award despite recent events
- Betting on Biden to Win the Nobel Peace prize abandoned by punters. Betting sites make him 16/1
- US President Still Given 70% Chance of Serving a full term in office until at least 2024 by online bookies.
- Only a 10% Chance that Biden will leave office in 2021 according to bookmakers
Time Person of The Year
Looking at the betting at online betting sites today for the Time person of the year, some may be surprised to find Joe Biden was the third favourite and the first human individual in the betting market.
The odds suggesting he is the most likely individual to pick up the award and in part, retain the award given to both him and Kamala Harris in 2020.
Time Person of the Year Award Betting 18/08/2021
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Doctors, Nurses, First responders | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| World Health Organisation | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Joe Biden | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Kamala Harris | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Anthony Fauci | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Winning in 2020 saw him become only the 2nd Catholic to pick up the award after Pope Francis in 2013, and placed him in the company of recent winners such as Mark Zuckerberg, Donald Trump and Greta Thunberg. Hmm!
The Time Person of the Year Award is about [for better or for worse] the person who has done most to influence the events of the year. Joe Biden is staking a strong claim and bookmakers have him a 20% chance of picking up the award for a second consecutive year.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Specialist - olbg.com
Nobel Peace Prize Betting
The Nobel Peace Prize, on the other hand, is awarded to recipients that have "done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses"
Joe Biden is currently given only a 6% chance by bookmaker of picking up this prize. perhaps events in Afghanistan are overshadowing the rejoining of the Paris Climate Agreement.
Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| World Health Organisation | 6/5 | 45.45% |
| Alex Navalny | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| Black Lives Matter | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Jacinda Ardern | 9/1 | 10% |
| Joe Biden | 15/1 | 6.25% |
Joe Biden's chance of winning the Nobel Peace Prize has shrunk to just 6% according to the odds at betting sites. Alex Navalny is the big mover in the betting.
Nigel Skinner - Political betting specialist - olbg.com
How Long Will Biden Last
Despite the thoughts of the current situation and US Presidents handling of it, the length of the term he is most likely to see out in office, according to the bookmakers, is the full one, with odds of doing so, just 1.45 or in probability terms just under 70%
The chance of Biden lasting less than another six months and exiting before 2022, are just 11%
Biden Exit Date Betting
| Date | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9/20 | 68.97% |
| 2022 | 9/2 | 18.18% |
| 2024 | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| 2021 | 15/2 | 11.76% |
| 2023 | 15/2 | 11.76% |
According to Bookmakers, Joe Biden has a 70% chance of seeing out his full term in office and not making an exit until at 2024
Nigel Skinner - Political betting specialist - olbg.com
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