Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Hong Kong Mile Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sha Tin racecourse is the Hong Kong Mile, this is one of the four races that make up the Hong Kong Internation Races. This Group 1 is contested by runners aged three or older over a distance of one mile (1,600m).
First run in 1991, the race was originally known as the Hong Kong International Bowl and was run over one furlong shorter (1,400m), the current name and distance were introduced in 1999 and it was upgraded to G1 status in 2000.
Hong Kong Mile Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Sha Tin tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sha Tin Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Hong Kong Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Mile, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Hong Kong Mile Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Mile next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.30. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Hong Kong Mile see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:33.25 was set by Admire Mars in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Yasuo Tomomichi and ridden by Christophe Soumillon. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Golden Sixty won in a time of 1:34.10, booked to ride was C Y Ho on this K W Lui trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals:
- Admire Mars (1:33.25) in 2019
- California Spangle (1:33.41) in 2022
- Golden Sixty (1:33.45) in 2020
Hong Kong Mile Past Winners
Here are the Hong Kong Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hong Kong Mile as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:34.10 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 8yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 27/20F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2022 1:33.41 | California Spangle (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 11/5 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2021 1:33.86 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 6yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 30/100F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2020 1:33.45 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 30/100F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2019 1:33.25 | Admire Mars (JPN) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 10) 26/1 | Christophe Soumillon Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2018 1:33.52 | Beauty Generation (NZ) 6yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 1/2F | Zac Purton John Moore (HK) |
| 2017 1:33.72 | Beauty Generation (NZ) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 74/10 | K C Leung John Moore (HK) |
| 2016 1:33.48 | Beauty Only (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 5/1 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2015 1:33.92 | Maurice (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (11 of 14) 7/2 | Ryan Moore Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
| 2014 1:33.49 | Able Friend (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 4/6F | Joao Moreira John Moore (HK) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Mile have been based:
- HK: 8 winners with an additional 14 placings from 67 runners
- JPN: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 30 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Hong Kong Mile Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals with both John Moore and K W Lui who have both won the race three times. John Moore winners have been with Able Friend (2014) and Beauty Generation (2017 & 2018). K W Lui winners have been with Golden Sixty (2020, 2021 & 2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Mile is A S Cruz (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hong Kong Mile, J Size has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Moore | 13-3-8 | -1.43 | +0.43 |
| K W Lui | 4-3-4 | +0.95 | +0.72 |
| A S Cruz | 13-2-2 | -3.80 | -6.68 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 4-1-3 | +23.00 | +19.74 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.90 |
| J Size | 16-0-2 | -16.00 | -11.21 |
| A P O'Brien | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| Yasutoshi Ikee | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| P F Yiu | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -0.50 |
| C Fownes | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +4.90 |
Hong Kong Mile Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals with both Zac Purton and C Y Ho who have both won the race three times. Zac Purton winners have been with Beauty Only (2016), Beauty Generation (2018) and California Spangle (2022). C Y Ho winners have been with Golden Sixty (2020, 2021 & 2023).
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Purton | 8-3-4 | +2.70 | +0.31 |
| C Y Ho | 5-3-4 | -0.05 | -0.28 |
| Joao Moreira | 9-1-3 | -7.33 | -6.19 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-2 | -3.50 | -3.96 |
| K C Leung | 6-1-2 | +2.40 | +4.24 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 5-1-2 | +22.00 | +14.60 |
| Hugh Bowman | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -4.01 |
| Karis Teetan | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -0.50 |
| Mirco Demuro | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| James McDonald | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +6.40 |
2024 Hong Kong Mile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 6, 4, 1, (3, 7), 1, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (39%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 10 / 10 (41%) - No bigger than 94/5 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (52%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 10 / 10 (58%) - Carried 121 - 127lbs (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Ran over 1mf - 1mf (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - No bigger than 179/10 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (62%) - No bigger than 26/1
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Not in ENG/FRA/IRL/SCO/SGP/ZAF/WAL (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Had 3 - 9 placings (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (68%) - Fewer than 4 starts (180 Days)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Had 3 - 15 placings (Trip)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - No bigger than 17/2 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - Made 3 - 15 starts (Trip)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Made 4 - 19 starts (Non-Hcps)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Mile. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis
The trend factor that produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.67 is when runners had 2 career starts over further. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-42.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 14 (8,12) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (4,9) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (5,1) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (6,10) [10 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 4 (10,5) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Mile is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 111 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Mile:
- Medaglia dOro (3 Wins)
- Road To Rock (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hong Kong Mile, that stallion is Deep Impact who has failed to produce a winner from 9 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Admire Mars in 2019, winning for Yasuo Tomomichi at odds of 26/1 under the guidance of Christophe Soumillon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Hong Kong Mile head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Other Principal races at Sha Tin racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Sha Tin racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January (Hong Kong Triple Crown)
Races in February (Hong Kong Triple Crown)
Races in April
Races in May (Hong Kong Triple Crown)
Races in November
Races in December (Hong Kong International Races)
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