Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
Home Advantage
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Home advantage could play a huge part in Euro 2020 match results.
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UPDATE: All 4 Semi Finalists played their group games at home!
My first thought when considering this advantage was not to bet against any home team, any team playing in their own country should "up" their game and will be expected to put in a good performance.
Any crowds allowed will predominately be a home crowd, this could/should lift the home side even further.
The following group games feature countries who are playing group games in their own countries at Euro 2020.
I have always listed the home teams first even though UEFA may have them in the reverse order.
There are 24 group games where the country is at home, they are listed below.
The betting odds will change as we get closer to match kick-off and also after the first game for all countries.
I have quoted the prices but will use best odds as kick-off (BOKO) as hopefully some of the countries will drift.
The 1st Euro 2020 strategy is to back all home teams to win and see if a profit can be made.
These will be 1 point bets, so 24 points in total.
| Date | Venue | Home Team | Away Team | Home Team Odds | Away Team Odds | Draw Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11th June | Rome | Italy | Turkey | 1.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3-0 |
| 12th June | Copenhagen | Denmark | Finland | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.33 | 0-1 |
| 12th June | St Petersburg | Russia | Belgium | 5.5 | 1.62 | 4.0 | 0-3 |
| 13th June | London | England | Croatia | 1.8 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1-0 |
| 13th June | Amsterdam | Netherlands | Ukraine | 1.6 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3-2 |
| 14th June | Glasgow | Scotland | Czech Republic | 3.25 | 2.45 | 3.3 | 0-2 |
| 14th June | Sevilla | Spain | Sweden | 1.42 | 9.0 | 4.75 | 0-0 |
| 15th June | Budapest | Hungary | Portugal | 6.0 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 0-3 |
| 15th June | Munich | Germany | France | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0-1 |
| 16th June | St Petersburg | Russia | Finland | 1.65 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1-0 |
| 16th June | Rome | Italy | Switzerland | 1.75 | 5.5 | 3.65 | 3-0 |
| 17th June | Copenhagen | Denmark | Belgium | 4.33 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1-2 |
| 17th June | Amsterdam | Netherlands | Austria | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2-0 |
| 18th June | London | England | Scotland | 1.33 | 9.0 | 5.75 | 0-0 |
| 19th June | Budapest | Hungary | France | 8.5 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 1-1 |
| 19th June | Munich | Germany | Portugal | 2.25 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4-2 |
| 19th June | Sevilla | Spain | Poland | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0-0 |
| 20th June | Rome | Italy | Wales | 1.44 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1-0 |
| 21st June | Amsterdam | Netherlands | North Macedonia | 1.22 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3-0 |
| 21st June | Copenhagen | Denmark | Russia | 2.0 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 4-1 |
| 22nd June | London | England | Czech Republic | 1.4 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1-0 |
| 22nd June | Glasgow | Scotland | Croatia | 4.4 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 1-3 |
| 23rd June | Sevilla | Spain | Slovakia | 1.25 | 14.0 | 6.5 | |
| 23rd June | Munich | Germany | Hungary | 1.28 | 12 | 6.6 | |
The 2nd Euro 2020 strategy is to back the draw when the home team is not the favourite, (6 games in total).
These will be 1 point bets so 6 points in total.
| Date | Venue | Home Team | Away Team | Draw Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12th June | St Petersburg | Russia | Belgium | 4.0 | 0-3 |
| 14th June | Glasgow | Scotland | Czech Republic | 3.3 | 0-2 |
| 15th June | Budapest | Hungary | Portugal | 4.0 | 0-3 |
| 17th June | Copenhagen | Denmark | Belgium | 3.8 | 1-2 |
| 19th June | Budapest | Hungary | France | 5.5 | 1-1 |
| 22nd June | Glasgow | Scotland | Croatia | 3.4 | 1-3 |
The way the tournament is formated has thrown up some interesting matches,
- Scotland will never have a better chance of reaching the knockout stages with 2 home games, and a game at Wembley.
- Fancied Belgium must play away at two strongish rivals.
- The Germans in the toughest group have 3 home games.
I will be updating the tables and profit and loss as the results come in.
To add your own tips and bets please visit the dedicated OLBG Euro 2020 Tipping Pages.
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